General Atomics Awarded U.S. Space Force Contract for Phase 2 of the Enterprise Space Terminal Program
SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA / / May 8, 2025 / General Atomics Electromagnetic Systems (GA-EMS) announced today that it has been awarded a contract by the U.S. Space Force (USSF) Space Systems Command (SSC) for Phase 2 of the Enterprise Space Terminal (EST) program. This Phase 2 contract award was issued through the Space Enterprise Consortium (SpEC) via an Other Transaction Agreement (OTA). The EST program is an enterprise optical communications solution to enhance mission effectiveness by providing resilient, high-capacity communication solutions for Department of Defense (DoD) space platforms operating primarily in beyond Low Earth Orbit (bLEO) regimes at crosslink ranges from 10,000 to 80,000 kilometers while maintaining the ability to operate in the LEO regime.
"GA-EMS, under a Phase 1 contract award, leveraged its extensive Optical Communication Terminal (OCT) expertise to develop a design that can be efficiently scaled to deploy a mesh network enterprise of OCTs with capabilities to transfer large volumes of data between spacecraft and ground stations distributed across a wide spectrum of operational domains," said Scott Forney, president of GA-EMS. "We are excited to enter Phase 2 to advance our system design and begin the build and test of the OCT subsystems."
Phase 2 will include lab demonstrations of OCT subsystems within a government provided test bed. GA-EMS will continue design and analyses activities to optimize the system designs. Testing results and analyses will then be presented during a Critical Design Review (CDR) at the end of Phase 2 period of performance.
"The Phase 2 CDR will help inform the decision gate toward entering Phase 3 of the program, which will call for the assembly, test, and delivery of an integrated prototype OCT system for demonstration on a government provided test bed," said Gregg Burgess, vice president of GA-EMS Space Systems. "We look forward to delivering a robust, producible Optical Communication Terminal for the Space Force to ensure resilient space network connectivity for future National Security Space Architectures."
GA-EMS completed the preliminary design of the payload support system, electrical hardware, laser terminal design, optical design and subsystem, thermal control, and command and data handling under the EST Phase 1 contract awarded in 2024. As prime contractor, GA-EMS has teamed with L3Harris for the modem subsystem and Advanced Space to provide performance modelling.
Contact Information
General Atomics Electromagnetic Systems Media Relations ems-mediarelations@ga.com8589646989
SOURCE: General Atomics Electromagnetic Systems
View the original press release on ACCESS Newswire
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
6 hours ago
- Yahoo
Trading Technologies' TT® platform wins award for Best Derivatives Trading System in Markets Media's 2025 Global Markets Choice Awards
Win follows Best in Fintech recognition for Alice Pocklington, EVP Head of APAC, in Markets Media 2025 Women in Finance Asia Awards CHICAGO and NEW YORK, June 6, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Trading Technologies International, Inc. (TT), a global capital markets technology platform services provider, today announced that its TT platform won the award for Best Derivatives Trading System in Markets Media Group's 2025 Global Markets Choice Awards. The awards were presented last night at an event in New York. Alun Green, TT's EVP Managing Director, Futures & Options, said: "As we continue to build on our significant expansion into new asset classes and services across the trade life cycle, it remains a high honor to receive recognition for excellence in support of derivatives trading, which will always be an important focus for TT. Thanks to Markets Media for continually celebrating the best the industry has to offer." Terry Flanagan, Managing Director, Markets Media, said: "Trading Technologies has a longstanding market-leading position as a platform of choice for sophisticated traders of futures and options on futures. And it's not standing still — the firm continues to add functionalities and raise the bar on algorithmic execution and multi-asset digitization, and it has recently added support for U.S. equity options. Trading Technologies is a logical winner for Best Derivatives Trading System." The award is the second recent recognition for TT from Markets Media. Last week, Alice Pocklington, TT EVP Head of APAC, won Markets Media's 2025 Women in Finance Asia Award for Best in Fintech, presented at an event in Singapore. The awards celebrate "the most dynamic, talented and accomplished professional women who drive excellence in the financial centers of Hong Kong, Singapore, Tokyo and Sydney." The TT platform offers multi-asset solutions across the trade life cycle. The platform, which handled more than 2.8 billion derivatives transactions alone in 2024, includes a comprehensive order and execution management system (O/EMS) connecting to more than 100 global exchanges and venues across asset classes. Traditionally a North American award, the Markets Choice Awards are now global as of this year. The awards recognize and celebrate the "best of the best in capital markets trading and technology." In 2024, TT won the Markets Media European Markets Choice Award for Best Listed Derivatives Exchange/Order Management System (E/OMS). About Trading Technologies Trading Technologies ( is a global capital markets platform services company providing market-leading technology for the end-to-end trading operations of Tier 1 banks, brokerages, money managers, hedge funds, proprietary traders, Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs), commercial hedgers and risk managers. With its roots in listed derivatives, the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) company delivers "multi-X" solutions, with "X" representing asset classes, functions, workflows and geographies. This multi-X approach features trade execution services across futures and options, fixed income, foreign exchange (FX) and cryptocurrencies augmented by solutions for data and analytics, including transaction cost analysis (TCA); quantitative trading; compliance and trade surveillance; clearing and post-trade allocation; and infrastructure services. The award-winning TT platform ecosystem also helps exchanges deliver innovative solutions to their market participants, and technology companies to distribute their complementary offerings to Trading Technologies' clients. View original content to download multimedia: SOURCE Trading Technologies Error while retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data
Yahoo
18 hours ago
- Yahoo
Big Dreams, Bigger Risks: Rocket Lab's Neutron Bet Faces Market Gravity
Shares of Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) rallied immensely after the first-half decline in 2024, supported by both the business surrounding the neutron mission and contracts with governments. The stock is now 544% up over past 52-weeks. Earlier in the month, the space company reported strong Q1 findings, highlighted main achievement points and confirmed the company's key strategies. However, the company's share price dropped about 12% after it issued soft guidance and the earnings release. I think many ignore how strong Neutron will be in 2025, so I see this as knee-jerk selling. Neutron, a cheaper and reusable rocket, gives Rocket Lab an edge over SpaceX and has already helped the firm begin supplying services to government agencies. For instance, the U.S. Space Force picked Northrop Grumman to participate in the $5.6 billion third phase of its National Security Space Launch program, having selected only five companies. It also won contracts for its HASTE hypersonic vehicle in the U.S. and U.K. programs worth tens of billions. Besides moving into other segments, the company revealed it will buy Mynaric (a laser-communication provider) and develop more advanced satellites, showing their focus on growing in space infrastructure. In addition, Rocket Lab is growing much more quickly than SpaceX, launching nearly 60% more in 2024 than in 2023, which gives it an edge in the space market. Rocket Lab is teaming up with the U.S. Air Force to build its new Neutron rocket, which could transform Rocket Lab and the whole space industry. Neutron is 43 meters high, its diameter is 7 meters, and it is capable of transporting 13,000 kg to low-Earth orbit. The Archimedes engines allow it to lift off by creating 480,000 kg of thrust. I am especially amazed by how much the spacecraft is expected to cost when it launches, at $5055 million. In comparison, SpaceX's Falcon 9 costs around $67 million for every launch and it can accommodate 22,800 kg, set at about $3,000 per kilogram. Neutron is cheaper for each launch, but it costs about $4,000$4,300 per kilogram, so it is less cost-effective. Even so, Neutron has some additional strengths. It is suitable for frequent medium-lift missions such as those needed for the Kuiper satellite constellation operated by Amazon (AMZN). Having a reusable rocket and built-in fairings means the process can be performed faster, saving money. Although Falcon 9 is built for many missions, Neutron concentrates on getting to orbit as quickly as possible and reliably. Being able to make most of their own parts at Rocket Lab helps control their budget and maintain a high standard of quality. Because it has launch sites in the U.S. and New Zealand, the company is able to provide more options for when customers can book a launch. Usually, the cost plays a big role in deciding when to launch, and Neutron's more affordable price might appeal to many users. I also like that it can be used again, which should boost Rocket Lab's earnings as it improves how to collect them. Being picked for the NSSL list on a $5.6 billion indefinite delivery, indefinite quantity (IDIQ) contract until 2029 from the U.S. Space Force is a strong vote of confidence in Neutron's abilities. When the launch starts next year, I expect investor interest to rise. If Rocket Lab successfully scales Neutron launches, it could generate about $787.5 million in annual revenue by flying 15 rockets a year at an average $52.5 million per launch (15 $52.5 million = $787.5 million). Assuming a conservative 5 % net margin, roughly in line with established aerospace peers like Northrop Grumman, each launch would contribute about $2.625 million in profit (5 % $52.5 million). At that pace, total owner earnings could reach approximately $39.4 million annually (15 launches $2.625 million). While Neutron's reusable design and in-house manufacturing could improve margins over time, this 5 % baseline provides a realistic near-term projection grounded in industry comparables. Moreover, the global commercial launch services market is expected to be worth around $12 billion to $15 billion by 2027, with the mid-lift segment (515 t payload) alone accounting for roughly $4 billion. Neutron targets that mid-lift bracket, giving Rocket Lab access to potentially $400 million$800 million per year from mega-constellation projects (e.g., Amazon Kuiper) plus U.S. government and other mid-satellite contracts. While the Neutron rocket promises a lot of growth for the company, it still ties with some major risks which can't be easily ignored. First of all, the Archimedes engine is not yet meeting its goals. It produces 0.8 MN of thrust instead of the 1 MN target. It burns for 112 seconds but needs to reach 180 seconds. Also, it can only be reused twice so far, while the goal is to reuse it 10 times. Secondly, building this rocket needs a lot of R&D funding, which is why Rocket Lab is burning through cash, making it tougher for the company to maintain financial health. Lastly, SpaceX's Falcon 9 already dominates the mid-lift market with proven reliability, and it will not be easy to bring their customers to divert to Neutron until it's fully ready to prove its strength on the real ground. So, Rocket Lab has to resolve technical issues in order to launch in 2026 as scheduled. While turning to financials, I have to admit that Rocket Lab's revenue growth has been really impressive. Annual sales climbed from $62 million in 2021 to $436 million in 2024, representing 78 % year-over-year (YoY) growth in 2024. This was driven by more launches, 16 Electron missions in 2024 versus 10 in 2023, and expanded deliveries of space systems. The space company's Gross profit turned positive in 2024 at $116 million versus $51 million in 2023 as production scaled. Operating results remain deeply negative with a 2024 GAAP operating loss of $189.8 million, roughly 43 % of revenue, up from a $177.9 million loss in 2023, reflecting rising R&D and SG&A. Rocket Lab is investing heavily in new technology such as Neutron and vertical integration, so operating margins are under pressure. Free cash flow has been negative each year, around $116 million in 2024, an improvement from $154 million in 2023. High capital spending of $28.7 million in Q1 2025 and lumpiness from contract timing kept GAAP operating cash flow deeply negative at $54.2 million in Q1 2025. However, The balance sheet has grown aggressively. Total liabilities rose to $823.7 million by Q1 2025 from $386.7 million in 2023 as the company funded its expansion. This includes a $345.9 million convertible note issuance and borrowings for new facilities. Equity financing offset this as Rocket Lab issued convertible preferred stock of 51 million shares in early 2025, boosting additional paid-in capital by $109 million. Moreover, the company held $517 million in cash, equivalents and marketable securities, up from $378 million at end-2024, providing a cash runway for scaling. Inventory and contract assets grew as production ramped, but contract liabilities and deferred revenue rose too, reflecting strong future bookings. Overall, the balance sheet shows healthy liquidity and significant R&D investment a trade-off for near-term losses but supporting the ability to scale new launch and space infrastructure offerings. Over the last four quarters, Rocket Lab has consistently beaten analysts' estimates on both the top and bottom lines. In Q1 2025, revenue was $122.6 million, up 32 % from Q1 2024. Space Systems accounted for $85 million of Q1 sales, with the remainder coming from launch services. Operating loss widened to $59.2 million versus $43.1 million a year earlier, and GAAP net loss was $60.6 million or $0.12 per share, reflecting ramped-up R&D and near-term investment. The firm reported a backlog of $1.067 billion at quarter-end, with 56 % expected to convert to revenue in 12 months, giving visibility into future bookings. Rocket Lab's $1.067 billion backlog at Q1 2025 isn't just a tally of orders; it's a testament to growing trust from commercial players and national security clients. Launch-related work has nearly doubled year-over-year, now making up 40 % of the total, signalling a structural shift. With Neutron locked into the Pentagon's $5.6 billion NSSL program and Electron demand soaring past 20 launches this year, Rocket Lab is evolving into a strategic supplier for recurring US government missions. About 56 % of the backlog converts to revenue within 12 months, offering real visibility and genuine excitement for what's ahead. For Q2 2025, management guided revenue of $130140 million and gross margins of 3032 %, suggesting another high-revenue quarter. Near-term profitability remains challenged by heavy spending on Neutron development and new facilities. As we look ahead, Analysts anticipate that Rocket Lab will achieve profitability by 2027. This projection aligns with the company's plans to scale up its Neutron rocket launches and reduce capital expenditures, potentially generating approximately $80 million in net income on $1.25 billion in revenue that year. In the interim, Rocket Lab is expected to remain unprofitable, with estimated losses of $0.38 per share in 2025 and $0.30 per share in 2026. However, the company anticipates becoming cash flow positive by 2026, driven by increased launch cadence and revenue growth. Rocket Lab's stock has been a hot topic among Wall Street's biggest names, and their recent guru trades tell an interesting story. On March 31, 2025, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest trimmed its RKLB holding by 30%, selling roughly 1.07 million shares, which now leaves her with 2.47 million shares. I believe she's taking profits after a strong run, but still keeping a sizable stake. That same day, Renaissance Technologies (Trades, Portfolio) quietly reduced by 16.5%, offloading around 300,000 shares (leaving 1.52 million). I think this modest trim hints at cautious optimism, they like the long-term growth story but are wary of near-term execution risk. Value guru Joel Greenblatt (Trades, Portfolio) also dialed back 24%, selling about 67,500 shares to land at roughly 214,000 shares. I believe he's locking in gains here, even value investors need to book some profit when a high-beta name spikes. Most dramatically, Paul Tudor Jones slashed 92.8% of his position, offloading roughly 286,000 shares and retaining only 22,000. That's a major vote of no confidence, and I think it signals he's moved on to other bigger splash opportunities. By contrast, Steven Cohen (Trades, Portfolio) made a splashy new buy on March 31, picking up 1.04 million shares. I believe his Millennium fund sees Neutron's upcoming launch (and the $5055 M price point) as a real catalyst. Overall, it's a mix of profit-taking, cautious trimming, and a couple of optimistic buys, telling me that Rocket Lab's runway still excites me, even if some big players are managing risk along the way. Those who have been closest to Rocket Lab have been selling off their stakes lately, and those who follow the market say their actions indicate a lack of confidence in the company's immediate prospects. Any time after March 17, 2025 and prior to July 23, 2025, anyone who follows the plan can sell shares just as Klein or Kampani did. I think the simultaneous selling by both executives suggests they are taking measures together to reduce risk ahead of Neutron being launched later than expected. On March 14, Adam C. Spice, the CFO, shifted 62,843 shares at $18.18, in total raising about $1.14 million. I personally believe the sale means he's confident in making gains after Electron's performance and still managing his own risk until the Neutron news comes. By late 2024, a big surge of director-level sales took place. On December 11, Director Nina Armagno offloaded 10,000 shares at a price of $23.63. On December 3, Director Alexander R. Slusky offloaded 100,000 shares for $23.64. In my opinion, these deals, especially Slusky's substantial one, suggest that board members acted fast during the upturn after the IDIQ contract ended to collect profits. In earlier deals, both Adam Spice and Frank Klein sold shares, parting with 62,511 and 35,988 shares, respectively, near $24.15 on November 25. I think, insiders prefer to secure their earnings from Rocket Lab's small missions, wait out expectations around Neutron and enter the market again when there are valued gains to pursue. Rocket Lab currently trades at 27.7 sales, compared with the aerospace & defense sector average of 2.7. This implies investors expect significantly higher growth despite today's modest revenues. For context, BWX Technologies (NYSE:BWXT) is valued at 34.3 earnings, roughly in line with the sector average, while ATI (NYSE:ATI) sits at 27.6 earnings, closer to broader industrial valuations. By contrast, Rocket Lab's 27.7-sales multiple appears elevated relative to peers. With roughly 461 million shares outstanding and a share price near $26.79, Rocket Lab's market capitalization is about $12.36 billion. To justify that valuation via a reverse DCF, investors would need to receive $12.36 billion in present-value free cash flow. Assuming each launch yields $52.5 million in revenue with a 5 % free cash flow margin (about $2.625 million per launch), Rocket Lab would have to complete roughly 4,710 successful launches ($12.36 billion $2.625 million) to generate that level of cash flow. Management guides toward approximately 25 Neutron launches annually beginning in 2027. At that cadence, achieving 4,710 launches would take nearly 189 years (4,710 25). Even if Rocket Lab hits its target cadence and 5 % margin, the implied payback period remains extremely long, underscoring today's lofty valuation. GuruFocus GF Model also indicates that GF Value for Rocket Lab USA in one year is $15.73, suggesting a downside of -43.53% from the current price of $27.86. In short, by standard DCF metrics and Gurufocus GF Model, Rocket Lab looks significantly overvalued today. Rocket Lab's stock has had a wild ride, plummeting early in 2025, ripping higher on Neutron hype and big defense wins, then dropping again after softer guidance. Its backlog and government contracts suggest real momentum, and Neutron's cheaper, reusable design could shake up the launch market. Yet the company is still losing money, burning cash on R&D and new facilities, and insiders and big funds have trimmed positions. At today's rich valuation, you're paying for future success, not current profits. If Neutron delivers and margins improve, Rocket Lab could reward investors, but there's plenty of execution risk along the way. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
a day ago
- Yahoo
Big Dreams, Bigger Risks: Rocket Lab's Neutron Bet Faces Market Gravity
Shares of Rocket Lab (NASDAQ:RKLB) rallied immensely after the first-half decline in 2024, supported by both the business surrounding the neutron mission and contracts with governments. The stock is now 544% up over past 52-weeks. Earlier in the month, the space company reported strong Q1 findings, highlighted main achievement points and confirmed the company's key strategies. However, the company's share price dropped about 12% after it issued soft guidance and the earnings release. I think many ignore how strong Neutron will be in 2025, so I see this as knee-jerk selling. Neutron, a cheaper and reusable rocket, gives Rocket Lab an edge over SpaceX and has already helped the firm begin supplying services to government agencies. For instance, the U.S. Space Force picked Northrop Grumman to participate in the $5.6 billion third phase of its National Security Space Launch program, having selected only five companies. It also won contracts for its HASTE hypersonic vehicle in the U.S. and U.K. programs worth tens of billions. Besides moving into other segments, the company revealed it will buy Mynaric (a laser-communication provider) and develop more advanced satellites, showing their focus on growing in space infrastructure. In addition, Rocket Lab is growing much more quickly than SpaceX, launching nearly 60% more in 2024 than in 2023, which gives it an edge in the space market. Rocket Lab is teaming up with the U.S. Air Force to build its new Neutron rocket, which could transform Rocket Lab and the whole space industry. Neutron is 43 meters high, its diameter is 7 meters, and it is capable of transporting 13,000 kg to low-Earth orbit. The Archimedes engines allow it to lift off by creating 480,000 kg of thrust. I am especially amazed by how much the spacecraft is expected to cost when it launches, at $5055 million. In comparison, SpaceX's Falcon 9 costs around $67 million for every launch and it can accommodate 22,800 kg, set at about $3,000 per kilogram. Neutron is cheaper for each launch, but it costs about $4,000$4,300 per kilogram, so it is less cost-effective. Even so, Neutron has some additional strengths. It is suitable for frequent medium-lift missions such as those needed for the Kuiper satellite constellation operated by Amazon (AMZN). Having a reusable rocket and built-in fairings means the process can be performed faster, saving money. Although Falcon 9 is built for many missions, Neutron concentrates on getting to orbit as quickly as possible and reliably. Being able to make most of their own parts at Rocket Lab helps control their budget and maintain a high standard of quality. Because it has launch sites in the U.S. and New Zealand, the company is able to provide more options for when customers can book a launch. Usually, the cost plays a big role in deciding when to launch, and Neutron's more affordable price might appeal to many users. I also like that it can be used again, which should boost Rocket Lab's earnings as it improves how to collect them. Being picked for the NSSL list on a $5.6 billion indefinite delivery, indefinite quantity (IDIQ) contract until 2029 from the U.S. Space Force is a strong vote of confidence in Neutron's abilities. When the launch starts next year, I expect investor interest to rise. If Rocket Lab successfully scales Neutron launches, it could generate about $787.5 million in annual revenue by flying 15 rockets a year at an average $52.5 million per launch (15 $52.5 million = $787.5 million). Assuming a conservative 5 % net margin, roughly in line with established aerospace peers like Northrop Grumman, each launch would contribute about $2.625 million in profit (5 % $52.5 million). At that pace, total owner earnings could reach approximately $39.4 million annually (15 launches $2.625 million). While Neutron's reusable design and in-house manufacturing could improve margins over time, this 5 % baseline provides a realistic near-term projection grounded in industry comparables. Moreover, the global commercial launch services market is expected to be worth around $12 billion to $15 billion by 2027, with the mid-lift segment (515 t payload) alone accounting for roughly $4 billion. Neutron targets that mid-lift bracket, giving Rocket Lab access to potentially $400 million$800 million per year from mega-constellation projects (e.g., Amazon Kuiper) plus U.S. government and other mid-satellite contracts. While the Neutron rocket promises a lot of growth for the company, it still ties with some major risks which can't be easily ignored. First of all, the Archimedes engine is not yet meeting its goals. It produces 0.8 MN of thrust instead of the 1 MN target. It burns for 112 seconds but needs to reach 180 seconds. Also, it can only be reused twice so far, while the goal is to reuse it 10 times. Secondly, building this rocket needs a lot of R&D funding, which is why Rocket Lab is burning through cash, making it tougher for the company to maintain financial health. Lastly, SpaceX's Falcon 9 already dominates the mid-lift market with proven reliability, and it will not be easy to bring their customers to divert to Neutron until it's fully ready to prove its strength on the real ground. So, Rocket Lab has to resolve technical issues in order to launch in 2026 as scheduled. While turning to financials, I have to admit that Rocket Lab's revenue growth has been really impressive. Annual sales climbed from $62 million in 2021 to $436 million in 2024, representing 78 % year-over-year (YoY) growth in 2024. This was driven by more launches, 16 Electron missions in 2024 versus 10 in 2023, and expanded deliveries of space systems. The space company's Gross profit turned positive in 2024 at $116 million versus $51 million in 2023 as production scaled. Operating results remain deeply negative with a 2024 GAAP operating loss of $189.8 million, roughly 43 % of revenue, up from a $177.9 million loss in 2023, reflecting rising R&D and SG&A. Rocket Lab is investing heavily in new technology such as Neutron and vertical integration, so operating margins are under pressure. Free cash flow has been negative each year, around $116 million in 2024, an improvement from $154 million in 2023. High capital spending of $28.7 million in Q1 2025 and lumpiness from contract timing kept GAAP operating cash flow deeply negative at $54.2 million in Q1 2025. However, The balance sheet has grown aggressively. Total liabilities rose to $823.7 million by Q1 2025 from $386.7 million in 2023 as the company funded its expansion. This includes a $345.9 million convertible note issuance and borrowings for new facilities. Equity financing offset this as Rocket Lab issued convertible preferred stock of 51 million shares in early 2025, boosting additional paid-in capital by $109 million. Moreover, the company held $517 million in cash, equivalents and marketable securities, up from $378 million at end-2024, providing a cash runway for scaling. Inventory and contract assets grew as production ramped, but contract liabilities and deferred revenue rose too, reflecting strong future bookings. Overall, the balance sheet shows healthy liquidity and significant R&D investment a trade-off for near-term losses but supporting the ability to scale new launch and space infrastructure offerings. Over the last four quarters, Rocket Lab has consistently beaten analysts' estimates on both the top and bottom lines. In Q1 2025, revenue was $122.6 million, up 32 % from Q1 2024. Space Systems accounted for $85 million of Q1 sales, with the remainder coming from launch services. Operating loss widened to $59.2 million versus $43.1 million a year earlier, and GAAP net loss was $60.6 million or $0.12 per share, reflecting ramped-up R&D and near-term investment. The firm reported a backlog of $1.067 billion at quarter-end, with 56 % expected to convert to revenue in 12 months, giving visibility into future bookings. Rocket Lab's $1.067 billion backlog at Q1 2025 isn't just a tally of orders; it's a testament to growing trust from commercial players and national security clients. Launch-related work has nearly doubled year-over-year, now making up 40 % of the total, signalling a structural shift. With Neutron locked into the Pentagon's $5.6 billion NSSL program and Electron demand soaring past 20 launches this year, Rocket Lab is evolving into a strategic supplier for recurring US government missions. About 56 % of the backlog converts to revenue within 12 months, offering real visibility and genuine excitement for what's ahead. For Q2 2025, management guided revenue of $130140 million and gross margins of 3032 %, suggesting another high-revenue quarter. Near-term profitability remains challenged by heavy spending on Neutron development and new facilities. As we look ahead, Analysts anticipate that Rocket Lab will achieve profitability by 2027. This projection aligns with the company's plans to scale up its Neutron rocket launches and reduce capital expenditures, potentially generating approximately $80 million in net income on $1.25 billion in revenue that year. In the interim, Rocket Lab is expected to remain unprofitable, with estimated losses of $0.38 per share in 2025 and $0.30 per share in 2026. However, the company anticipates becoming cash flow positive by 2026, driven by increased launch cadence and revenue growth. Rocket Lab's stock has been a hot topic among Wall Street's biggest names, and their recent guru trades tell an interesting story. On March 31, 2025, Cathie Wood's Ark Invest trimmed its RKLB holding by 30%, selling roughly 1.07 million shares, which now leaves her with 2.47 million shares. I believe she's taking profits after a strong run, but still keeping a sizable stake. That same day, Renaissance Technologies (Trades, Portfolio) quietly reduced by 16.5%, offloading around 300,000 shares (leaving 1.52 million). I think this modest trim hints at cautious optimism, they like the long-term growth story but are wary of near-term execution risk. Value guru Joel Greenblatt (Trades, Portfolio) also dialed back 24%, selling about 67,500 shares to land at roughly 214,000 shares. I believe he's locking in gains here, even value investors need to book some profit when a high-beta name spikes. Most dramatically, Paul Tudor Jones slashed 92.8% of his position, offloading roughly 286,000 shares and retaining only 22,000. That's a major vote of no confidence, and I think it signals he's moved on to other bigger splash opportunities. By contrast, Steven Cohen (Trades, Portfolio) made a splashy new buy on March 31, picking up 1.04 million shares. I believe his Millennium fund sees Neutron's upcoming launch (and the $5055 M price point) as a real catalyst. Overall, it's a mix of profit-taking, cautious trimming, and a couple of optimistic buys, telling me that Rocket Lab's runway still excites me, even if some big players are managing risk along the way. Those who have been closest to Rocket Lab have been selling off their stakes lately, and those who follow the market say their actions indicate a lack of confidence in the company's immediate prospects. Any time after March 17, 2025 and prior to July 23, 2025, anyone who follows the plan can sell shares just as Klein or Kampani did. I think the simultaneous selling by both executives suggests they are taking measures together to reduce risk ahead of Neutron being launched later than expected. On March 14, Adam C. Spice, the CFO, shifted 62,843 shares at $18.18, in total raising about $1.14 million. I personally believe the sale means he's confident in making gains after Electron's performance and still managing his own risk until the Neutron news comes. By late 2024, a big surge of director-level sales took place. On December 11, Director Nina Armagno offloaded 10,000 shares at a price of $23.63. On December 3, Director Alexander R. Slusky offloaded 100,000 shares for $23.64. In my opinion, these deals, especially Slusky's substantial one, suggest that board members acted fast during the upturn after the IDIQ contract ended to collect profits. In earlier deals, both Adam Spice and Frank Klein sold shares, parting with 62,511 and 35,988 shares, respectively, near $24.15 on November 25. I think, insiders prefer to secure their earnings from Rocket Lab's small missions, wait out expectations around Neutron and enter the market again when there are valued gains to pursue. Rocket Lab currently trades at 27.7 sales, compared with the aerospace & defense sector average of 2.7. This implies investors expect significantly higher growth despite today's modest revenues. For context, BWX Technologies (NYSE:BWXT) is valued at 34.3 earnings, roughly in line with the sector average, while ATI (NYSE:ATI) sits at 27.6 earnings, closer to broader industrial valuations. By contrast, Rocket Lab's 27.7-sales multiple appears elevated relative to peers. With roughly 461 million shares outstanding and a share price near $26.79, Rocket Lab's market capitalization is about $12.36 billion. To justify that valuation via a reverse DCF, investors would need to receive $12.36 billion in present-value free cash flow. Assuming each launch yields $52.5 million in revenue with a 5 % free cash flow margin (about $2.625 million per launch), Rocket Lab would have to complete roughly 4,710 successful launches ($12.36 billion $2.625 million) to generate that level of cash flow. Management guides toward approximately 25 Neutron launches annually beginning in 2027. At that cadence, achieving 4,710 launches would take nearly 189 years (4,710 25). Even if Rocket Lab hits its target cadence and 5 % margin, the implied payback period remains extremely long, underscoring today's lofty valuation. GuruFocus GF Model also indicates that GF Value for Rocket Lab USA in one year is $15.73, suggesting a downside of -43.53% from the current price of $27.86. In short, by standard DCF metrics and Gurufocus GF Model, Rocket Lab looks significantly overvalued today. Rocket Lab's stock has had a wild ride, plummeting early in 2025, ripping higher on Neutron hype and big defense wins, then dropping again after softer guidance. Its backlog and government contracts suggest real momentum, and Neutron's cheaper, reusable design could shake up the launch market. Yet the company is still losing money, burning cash on R&D and new facilities, and insiders and big funds have trimmed positions. At today's rich valuation, you're paying for future success, not current profits. If Neutron delivers and margins improve, Rocket Lab could reward investors, but there's plenty of execution risk along the way. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data