Boston Red Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions
Boston Red Sox at Milwaukee Brewers odds, picks and predictions
The Boston Red Sox (27-30) and Milwaukee Brewers (28-28) wrap up their 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from American Family Field in Milwaukee is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Red Sox vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 2-0
After losing 3-2 in Monday's opener, the Red Sox lost 5-1 in extra innings to the Brewers on Tuesday to stretch their losing streak to 4 games. OF Ceddanne Rafaela scored Boston's only run on a wild pitch. RP Aroldis Chapman blew his first save of the season (1 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 1 K), allowing the tying run in the ninth. RP Liam Hendriks took the loss in the 10th (1/3 IP, 3 ER (4 R), 2 H, 1 BB).
The Brewers won 5-1 on Tuesday as a -105 home favorite. OF Sal Frelick's RBI single in the ninth forced extra innings, with DH Christian Yelich scoring the tying run. Yelich then hit a walk-off grand slam in the 10th, securing Milwaukee's third straight victory.
Red Sox at Brewers projected starters
RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Freddy Peralta
Bello (2-1, 4.08 ERA) is making his eighth start. He has a 1.70 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 35 1/3 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 19-5 home victory against the Baltimore Orioles Friday
2025 away stats: 1-0, 4.22 ERA (10 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 2 starts
Career vs. Brewers: 0-1, 5.00 ERA (9 IP, 5 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 2 appearances (1 start)
Peralta (5-3, 2.55 ERA) is making his 12th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 60 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER (2 R), 2 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 6-5 loss at Pittsburgh Pirates Friday
2025 home stats: 3-0, 0.75 ERA (24 IP, 2 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 4 starts
Only start vs. Red Sox: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 5-3 road loss April 21, 2023
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Red Sox at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Brewers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
: Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Brewers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Red Sox +1.5 (-170) | Brewers -1.5 (+140)
: Red Sox +1.5 (-170) | Brewers -1.5 (+140) Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Red Sox at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Red Sox 2
PASS.
Milwaukee (-160) will get the win on Wednesday, but I'll take the better odds on the run line.
BET BREWERS -1.5 (+140).
I like the Brewers to complete the sweep of the Red Sox on Wednesday afternoon. Milwaukee has won 5 of its last 6 home games, and Peralta has been outstanding, going 3-1 in his last 5 starts. He's undefeated with an 0.75 ERA in 4 starts at American Family Field. After Tuesday's walk-off loss, the Red Sox are likely feeling deflated. I'm backing the Brewers to finish their mini 3-game homestand on a high note before heading out on a 6-game road trip.
BET UNDER 8 (-115).
The Under has hit in 5 straight matchups between these 2 teams. The Red Sox have gone Under in 7 of their last 10 games, while the Brewers have hit the Under in 3 of their last 4 contests. Peralta has allowed just 1 ER in his last 3 home starts (16 innings), adding to the likelihood of a low-scoring game.
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