Atlético de Madrid vs Botafogo predictions, odds and betting tips
Botafogo top the group with six points and only need a draw to clinch progression. It's a bit more complicated for Atlético, who are relying on results elsewhere, and may need PSG to slip up to get through.
Atlético Madrid vs Botafogo odds
Find the latest football betting odds for Atlético Madrid vs Botafogo here. Our odds are provided by our recommended football betting sites and are subject to change.
Atlético Madrid vs Botafogo predictions
Botafogo set the cat amongst the pigeons with their 1-0 win over PSG in their second match of Group B. The result - coupled with Atletico's 3-1 win over Seattle - means there are now three teams in with a chance of topping the table.
PSG are the favourites at 10/11, with Botafogo - the current leaders - second in the betting at even money. Atletico are the outsiders to win the group at 10/1.
The main reason for Atletico's long price is down to their opening match. Diego Simeone's team were dismantled 4‑0 by PSG at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, comfortably outplayed by the French Champions League winners.
Los Rojiblancos bounced back strongly in their second match against Seattle Sounders at Lumen Field. 22‑year‑old Pablo Barrios netted a brace and Axel Witsel was also on the scoresheet in a 3‑1 win, which got the Spaniards back in the mix to qualify for the Round of 16.
Barrios's performance not only steadied Atlético but also revived their hopes of a guaranteed knockout spot. It also dealt a blow to Seattle, whose campaign is now effectively over after two defeats.
Meanwhile, Botafogo has been the surprise story of the group.
After a 2‑1 win over Seattle in their opener, they stunned reigning Champions League winners PSG in Pasadena with a disciplined 1‑0 victory in their second outing - Igor Jesus scored the winning goal midway through the first half.
Their defensive rigidity and solid midfield block impressed PSG boss Luis Enrique, who claimed it was a defensive performance up there among the best he has seen this season.
The Brazilians 1-0 win catapulted them to the top of Group B with six points, meaning a draw against Atlético on Monday will seal their place in the knockout round - no matter what happens elsewhere.
Atlético Madrid vs Botafogo betting tips
Atlético Madrid are the favourites with the bookmakers to win the match and bring an end to Botafogo's winning run at the FIFA Club World Cup. But, as we've already seen in this competition, underestimating the South Americans comes with risk. Our Atlético vs Botafogo betting tips follow:
Botafogo to win or draw
Botafogo only need a draw to progress and have already beaten PSG with a disciplined, compact setup.
The win over PSG will give the South Americans plenty of self belief, and they can take momentum into their showdown with Atlético.
Diego Simeone's team must push for goals. This could leave Atlético open at the back, and as we've just witnessed, Botafogo can see a match out when they get in front.
A cagey game suits Botafogo - and we can see them preventing the Spaniards from getting the win they desperately need.
Both teams to score
Atlético know they have to go for it - only a win will give them the best chance of progressing. But with Botafogo dangerous on the counter, Simeone's side can't afford to throw caution to the wind too early.
There's every chance the game could open up after the break, which brings the 'half with most goals" market into play - the second half is currently the favourite at 21/20.
However, we're swerving that and instead backing both teams to score. It offers more flexibility if goals are tight or spread evenly across both halves.
Pablo Barrios to score anytime
Pablo Barrios had a night to remember against Seattle at Lumen Field last Thursday. The 22-year-old midfielder was Atlético's standout performer, scoring twice in their 3‑1 win over the Sounders.
With Diego Simeone again relying on attacking contributions from midfield against Botafogo, Barrios presents solid value, particularly if the Brazilians sit deep, which should invite long-range efforts from outside the box.
Buoyed by his recent brace, Barrios will be full of confidence. He's priced at 19/1 to score first and 17/2 to score anytime. At those odds, the safer anytime option still offers excellent value if he adds to his goal tally.
Location: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California, USA.
Date and time: Monday 23rd June, 8pm BST.
How to watch: DAZN and 5 Action.
WATCH EVERY MATCH OF THE CLUB WORLD CUP 2025 LIVE ON DAZN
About the author
Craig Mahood
Craig Mahood is an expert in sports betting and online casinos and has worked with the company since 2020. He joined the Betting & Gaming team at The Sun in June 2022 and works closely with the leading bookmakers and online gaming companies to provide content on all areas of sports betting and gaming. He previously worked as a Digital Sports Reporter at the Scottish Sun, covering Scottish football with particular focus on Celtic and Rangers, As well as football, he has covered horse racing, boxing, darts, the Olympics and tennis for the Sun.
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