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Most US Christian leaders believe climate change is real: Study

Most US Christian leaders believe climate change is real: Study

Yahoo07-04-2025

A mammoth 90 percent of American Christian leaders — from Catholics to evangelicals — believe in the reality of human-induced climate change, a new study has found.
However, these same leaders are typically silent in their beliefs and fail to share that understanding with their congregants, according to the study, recently published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
'Because of leadership's silence on the matter, rank-and-file Christians think most of their leaders do not believe,' senior author Gregg Sparkman, an assistant professor at Boston College, said in a statement.
As a result, Sparkman explained, those same congregants 'feel hesitant to even discuss climate change with their fellow churchgoers.'
Sparkman and author Stylianos Syropoulos, now an assistant professor at Arizona State University, drew their conclusions based on a survey of 1,600 Christian leaders across the country.
Of these leaders, they found that nearly 90 percent said they believed in anthropogenic climate change to at least some degree.
Some 60 percent of the leaders replied that humans play a major role, while 30 percent said they felt that people have had more minor impacts, according to the survey.
Breaking the data down further, the researchers observed that more than 80 percent of evangelical or fundamentalist Christian leaders believe that humans have contributed to climate change.
Nonetheless, the authors also found that about half of the respondents have never discussed this issue with their congregants — and that only a quarter have mentioned it more than once or twice.
A second survey included in the study showed that U.S. Christians broadly underestimate the prevalence of their leaders who believe in climate change. Although these participants guessed that about half of their leaders were climate-change deniers, only about 10 percent truly fell into that category, per the study.
In a third set of survey results, about half of 1,000 respondents were informed that 90 percent of Christian leaders believe in manmade climate change. That newfound awareness then increased their perception that other church members believe in or are opening to discussing this fraught issue.
As such, more respondents answered that taking climate action would be consistent with church values, while voting for politicians who oppose doing so is not, according to the findings.
'We find that informing Christians that the majority of their religious leaders believe in man-made climate change leads them to realize that climate action is in line with their morals, and voting for politicians who deny climate change may be at odds with their faith,' Sparkman said.
Noting that every year, droughts, fires, floods and other extreme weather events become more common, he stressed that 9 out of 10 Christian leaders already believe that humans have a role to play in these phenomena.
'If this truth gets out and they break their silence, it will help Christian Americans come to faith on this dire issue,' Sparkman added.
Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

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'So the main thing we wanted to do was assess whether other chemical species could provide an adequate fit to the data.' When the model was expanded, the evidence for dimethyl sulfide or dimethyl disulfide 'just disappears,' Welbanks said. Madhusudhan believes the studies that have come out after his April paper are 'very encouraging' and 'enabling a healthy discussion on the interpretation of our data on K2-18b.' He reviewed Luque and Zhang's work and agreed that their findings don't show a 'strong detection for DMS or DMDS.' When Madhusudhan's team published the paper in April, he said the observations reached the three-sigma level of significance, or a 0.3% probability that the detections occurred by chance. For a scientific discovery that is highly unlikely to have occurred by chance, the observations must meet a five-sigma threshold, or below a 0.00006% probability that the observations occurred by chance. Meeting such a threshold will require many steps, Welbanks said, including repeated detections of the same molecule using multiple telescopes and ruling out potential nonbiological sources. While such evidence could be found in our lifetime, it is less likely to be a eureka moment and more a slow build requiring a consensus among astronomers, physicists, biologists and chemists. 'We have never reached that level of evidence in any of our studies,' Madhusudhan wrote in an email. 'We have only found evidence at or below 3-sigma in our two previous studies (Madhusudhan et al. 2023 and 2025). We refer to this as moderate evidence or hints but not a strong detection. I agree with (Luque and Zhang's) claim which is consistent with our study and we have discussed the need for stronger evidence extensively in our study and communications.' In response to the research conducted by Welbanks' team, Madhusudhan and his Cambridge colleagues have authored another manuscript expanding the search on K2-18b to include 650 types of molecules. They have submitted the new analysis for peer review. 'This is the largest search for chemical signatures in an exoplanet to date, using all the available data for K2-18b and searching through 650 molecules,' Madhusudhan said. 'We find that DMS continues to be a promising candidate molecule in this planet, though more observations are required for a firm detection as we have noted in our previous studies.' Welbanks and Nixon were pleased that Madhusudhan and his colleagues addressed the concerns raised but feel that the new paper effectively walks back central claims made in the original April study, Welbanks said. 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'Regardless of what any single author group says right now, we don't have a silver bullet. But that is exactly why this is exciting, because we know that we're the closest we have ever been (to finding a biosignature), and I think we may get it within our lifetime, but right now, we're not there. That is not a failure. We're testing bold ideas.'

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