
Chris Selley: There are easy solutions to the 'longest ballot' problem, so let's end it now
There are many irritating things about the Longest Ballot Committee, the group of self-styled democratic reformers that stacks high-profile ridings with scores of candidates who aren't really running for office, with the aim of creating ludicrously enormous paper ballots. It's completely incoherent, first and foremost.
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The long-balloters want to take electoral-reform decisions like proportional representation out of politicians' hands and give the authority over to some 'citizens' assembly.' They believe politicians ought to 'recuse' themselves from such decisions, because they're in an inherent conflict of interest.
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Even if you agree, which you should not, it escapes me how packing the Battle River—Crowfoot byelection on Aug. 18 with 199 essentially fake candidates says anything about that daft citizens' assembly idea one way or the other. Indeed, among the chief complainants against the longest-balloters are legitimate independent candidates, people who are actually campaigning and trying to make a point, who tend to get lost among scores of other 'fake' candidates who aren't affiliated with a political party. And for what?
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The most annoying thing, though, and a very Canadian thing, is that people have been talking about what to do about this movement since it first became a minor menace at least three years ago … and nothing has been done, despite some pretty obvious solutions sitting there waiting to be adopted.
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Conservative Leader and Battle River—Crowfoot candidate Pierre Poilievre, among others, has suggested not allowing electors to sign the nomination papers of more than one candidate. (The longest-balloters generally use mostly the same collection of signatures for all their fake candidates. You need 100 to qualify to run.) That's an entirely reasonable proposal. The returning officer in each riding is supposed to check that the names and addresses attached to those signatures are above board; it should not be difficult to notice when duplicates come up.
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That alone would make the 'scam,' as Poilievre calls it, much more time-consuming for the scammers — and without jacking up the number of signatures required to run, or requiring candidates to live in the riding in question, or other measures that otherwise might be contentious. Maybe the longest-balloters would adapt and find even more obnoxious methods. Trolls tend to do that. But at the very least, it is worth a try.
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All that said, Elections Canada — which is not always known for excellent decision-making — hatched a very simple and effective solution for the Battle River—Crowfoot byelection: Instead of marking your X on a ballot as long as a beach towel, you will write down your chosen candidate's name. (Elections Canada assures us spelling errors and such will be treated generously.)
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Perhaps it's not ideal to have different ballot procedures in different ridings — though the Longest Ballot Committee generally only targets one riding per election — but it's tough to imagine a serious, cogent objection to this idea. If you can read the candidate's name, you ought to be able to write it down as well. I quite like the idea of driving home to voters that they're voting for individuals who belong to parties, not for the parties themselves.
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Toronto Sun
5 minutes ago
- Toronto Sun
Canada's economy is showing 'resilience' against U.S. tariffs. Why?
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Get exclusive access to the Toronto Sun ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition that you can share, download and comment on. Enjoy insights and behind-the-scenes analysis from our award-winning journalists. Support local journalists and the next generation of journalists. Daily puzzles including the New York Times Crossword. SUBSCRIBE TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada. Unlimited online access to articles from across Canada with one account. Get exclusive access to the Toronto Sun ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition that you can share, download and comment on. Enjoy insights and behind-the-scenes analysis from our award-winning journalists. Support local journalists and the next generation of journalists. Daily puzzles including the New York Times Crossword. REGISTER / SIGN IN TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience. Access articles from across Canada with one account. Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments. Enjoy additional articles per month. Get email updates from your favourite authors. THIS ARTICLE IS FREE TO READ REGISTER TO UNLOCK. Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience. Access articles from across Canada with one account Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments Enjoy additional articles per month Get email updates from your favourite authors Don't have an account? Create Account or Sign in without password View more offers Article content Just a few days later, U.S. President Donald Trump added 35 per cent tariffs on Canadian goods to a running tally that includes hefty duties on steel, aluminum, automobiles and, more recently, semi-finished copper. Article content tap here to see other videos from our team. Try refreshing your browser, or Canada's economy is showing 'resilience' against U.S. tariffs. Why? Back to video tap here to see other videos from our team. Try refreshing your browser, or Play Video Article content With tariffs piling up over the past few months, economists say Canada's economy is starting to show cracks — but few signs of collapse. TD Bank economist Marc Ercolao conceded it's a 'bit of surprise' to see the economy holding up against a massive disruption from Canada's largest trading partner. 'Many months ago, ourselves — as well as other economic forecasters — had an outlook for a much weaker Canadian economy. Obviously, that isn't manifesting now,' he said in an interview. 'We are avoiding the worst-case scenario.' Advertisement 3 Story continues below This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. Article content On Thursday, Statistics Canada gave a glimpse at how the economy wrapped up the second quarter of the year when many of those tariffs came into full effect. While the agency sees a couple of small contractions in real gross domestic product by industry in April and May, its flash estimates show the economy rebounding somewhat in June. If those early readings pan out, StatCan said that would be good enough for flat growth overall on the quarter. Some of those results are distorted by volatility _ businesses rushing to get ahead of tariffs boosted activity in the first quarter, and that's giving way to weakness in the second quarter, for example. It's still hard to pinpoint exact impacts tied to tariffs, Ercolao said, but a broad trend is emerging. Your Midday Sun Your noon-hour look at what's happening in Toronto and beyond. There was an error, please provide a valid email address. Sign Up By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc. Thanks for signing up! A welcome email is on its way. If you don't see it, please check your junk folder. The next issue of Your Midday Sun will soon be in your inbox. Please try again Article content Advertisement 4 Story continues below This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. Article content 'What we can say over the last six months or so is that economic activity is somewhat flatlining,' he said. tap here to see other videos from our team. Try refreshing your browser, or Play Video Services sectors are holding up relatively well, but Ercolao said export-heavy industries such as manufacturing and transportation are bearing the brunt of the impact. In an attempt to shore up some of that weakness, the federal government has announced various programs to support tariff-affected workers and broader plans to accelerate defence and infrastructure spending. Macklem noted during his press conference Wednesday that business and consumer confidence are still low, but have improved according to the central bank's recent surveys. And while some trade-exposed sectors have faced job losses and the unemployment has generally trended upward to nearly seven per cent, employers elsewhere in the economy continue to expand their payrolls. Advertisement 5 Story continues below This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. Article content 'Consumption is still growing,' Macklem said. 'It's growing modestly. It's certainly being restrained by the uncertainty caused by tariffs. But it is growing and we expect that to continue through the third and fourth quarters.' Last week the Bank of Canada kept its policy interest rate unchanged at 2.75 per cent in a third consecutive decision. If the central bank were panicked about the Canadian economy's ability to withstand U.S. tariffs, Ercolao argued it would likely have lowered that rate. The past week's GDP readings were good enough for BMO to raise its outlook for the third quarter into positive territory. Forecasters at the bank now expect Canada will avoid a technical recession this year. BMO chief economist Doug Porter said in a note to clients Friday that Ottawa's personal tax cut at the start of the month and robust demand for domestic travel amid the trade war will boost the economy this quarter, as will 'the less-dire sentiment' around economic forecasts. Advertisement 6 Story continues below This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. Article content Some other forecasters continue to pencil a tariff-induced recession into their outlooks. In the Bank of Canada's monetary policy report released alongside the rate decision, it outlined one scenario for the economy assuming the tariff situation remains largely status quo. Canada avoids a recession in that outcome. Growth in 2025 and 2026 remains overall positive, but half a percentage point lower than it would've been without the weight of tariffs. Macklem told reporters that the Bank of Canada would expect the economy to keep growing even with today's tariffs in place, 'but it'll be on a permanently lower path.' 'Unfortunately, the sad reality is that tariffs mean the economy is going to work less efficiently,' he said. Advertisement 7 Story continues below This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. Article content Porter said in his note that the actual impact of Trump's new 35 per cent tariff on Canada's economy could be less than headline figure suggests. Because of a carve-out for Canadian exports that are compliant with CUSMA, BMO sees the effective U.S. tariff rate at roughly seven per cent under the new duties, less than a percentage point higher than where it stood before Friday. But with CUSMA up for renegotiation in 2026, Porter said that 35 per cent tariff rate could loom as a 'cudgel' over negotiations — taking full effect if the trade agreement expires without a new deal in place. The Bank of Canada published a separate 'escalation' scenario this week that would see the United States remove Canada's CUSMA exemption as it ramps up global tariffs. Advertisement 8 Story continues below This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. Article content Share this article in your social network Read Next


Toronto Sun
5 minutes ago
- Toronto Sun
As premiers push for more immigration power, experts call for a fact-based debate
Published Aug 04, 2025 • Last updated 0 minutes ago • 4 minute read People hold Canadian flags at an immigration ceremony in Toronto. Photo by JACK BOLAND / TORONTO SUN OTTAWA — Some premiers say they want to have more local control over the immigration system — but experts say what the system really needs is a national conversation on immigration reform that shores up public support. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. THIS CONTENT IS RESERVED FOR SUBSCRIBERS ONLY Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada. Unlimited online access to articles from across Canada with one account. Get exclusive access to the Toronto Sun ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition that you can share, download and comment on. Enjoy insights and behind-the-scenes analysis from our award-winning journalists. Support local journalists and the next generation of journalists. Daily puzzles including the New York Times Crossword. SUBSCRIBE TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada. Unlimited online access to articles from across Canada with one account. Get exclusive access to the Toronto Sun ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition that you can share, download and comment on. Enjoy insights and behind-the-scenes analysis from our award-winning journalists. Support local journalists and the next generation of journalists. Daily puzzles including the New York Times Crossword. REGISTER / SIGN IN TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience. Access articles from across Canada with one account. Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments. Enjoy additional articles per month. Get email updates from your favourite authors. THIS ARTICLE IS FREE TO READ REGISTER TO UNLOCK. Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience. Access articles from across Canada with one account Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments Enjoy additional articles per month Get email updates from your favourite authors Don't have an account? Create Account 'Most of the existing policies have been formulated on the fly without any evidence or serious impact evaluations of what the various classes of immigrants are, how they're performing economically and otherwise,' said Michael Trebilcock, a retired academic and co-author of two books on immigration policy. 'So it's basically research-free.' As the premiers and territorial leaders were wrapping up their three-day meeting in Huntsville, Ont., late last month, they called for an increase to economic immigration levels to fill local labour gaps and said they would use their constitutional powers to seize more control over immigration and issue work permits. Ontario Premier Doug Ford later walked back his vow to issue work permits to asylum seekers. Your noon-hour look at what's happening in Toronto and beyond. By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc. Please try again This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. 'Do I want the whole immigration system on the shoulder of the province? No. Would I like to be treated the same way as Quebec? Yes, and so would every other province and territory,' Ford said last Monday. Quebec has its own distinct immigration system through an agreement with the federal government. The province is able to choose who can immigrate to Quebec based on its own criteria, with French language skills being a significant factor. David Piccini, Ontario's immigration minister, said last Monday that the province also wants to see more financial support from Ottawa to help pay for social services strained by a high number of asylum seekers landing in Ontario. 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He said current immigration policies lack broad support and he believes a comprehensive, public review is needed to rebuild that support through evidence-based policies. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. 'What we see at present is often piecemeal, on-the-fly changes in reaction to particular concerns that have surfaced in the media … international students, temporary foreign workers,' he said. Kelley said that, instead of a multi-year exercise like a national inquiry, a top-to-bottom immigration system review could be conducted quickly with 'the right people at the table.' Saskatchewan Immigration Minister Jim Reiter told The Canadian Press that he and the other subnational immigration ministers have told Ottawa they want to be seen more as partners in immigration, not stakeholders. 'We need more influence in the decision-making of this because so much of the economic stream needs to be targeted depending on the specific needs of each province,' Reiter said. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. The federal government last year slashed the number of slots in the Provincial Nominee Program from 110,000 to 55,000 as part of broader efforts to rein in immigration. The program allows provinces and territories to nominate individuals for permanent residence based on their skills and ability to contribute to the economy. Each province and territory has its own set of program streams targeting different types of immigrants based on factors like skills or business experience. Reiter said provincial immigration ministers want to see the Provincial Nominee Program return to its previous levels. He said that while he understands the need to reduce the number of temporary visas, that shouldn't come at the expense of economic immigrants. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. 'We've had to restrict (the Saskatchewan Immigrant Nominee Program) down to three streams now to a large degree because we just don't have enough spots anymore,' Reiter said. Reiter said that of the 3,600 spots Saskatchewan has for its immigrant nominee program, three-quarters have to go to temporary workers, so the province is prioritizing nominees who work in health care and skilled trades. 'We've got the largest potash mine in the world being built … just outside of Saskatoon and that company, BHP, every time we meet with them they raise the issue that skilled trades are an issue. So this is having a detrimental effect on economic growth,' he said. Trebilcock said that if provinces are focused on using immigration to strengthen their local labour markets, steps could be taken to make it easier to recognize immigrants' foreign credentials in fields like law and medicine. With federal immigration decisions having provincial consequences, Kelley said, running an effective immigration system requires close collaboration between all levels of government. 'So that speaks to the need for really tight co-operation between the federal government and the provincial government and municipalities, both in the setting of levels and in the housing and medical policies that are currently in place so that we can accommodate those who we're letting in,' she said. Sunshine Girls Celebrity Sex Files Columnists Canada


Canada News.Net
an hour ago
- Canada News.Net
New Trump tariffs: early modelling shows most economies lose - the US more than many
Share article The global rollercoaster ride of United States trade tariffs has now entered its latest phase. President Donald Trump's April 2 "Liberation Day" announcement placed reciprocal tariffs on all countries. A week later, amid financial market turmoil, these tariffs were paused and replaced by a 10% baseline tariff on most goods. On July 31, however, the Trump Administration reinstated and expanded the reciprocal tariff policy. Most of these updated tariffs are scheduled to take effect on August 7. To evaluate the impact of these latest tariffs, we also need to take into account recently negotiated free trade agreements (such as the US-European Union deal), the 50% tariffs imposed on steel and aluminium imports, and tariff exemptions for imports of smartphones, computers and other electronics. For selected countries, the reciprocal tariffs announced on April 2 and the revised values of these tariffs are shown in the table below. The revised additional tariffs are highest for Brazil (50%) and Switzerland (39%), and lowest for Australia and the United Kingdom (10%). For most countries, the revised tariffs are lower than the original ones. But Brazil, Switzerland and New Zealand are subject to higher tariffs than those announced in April. In addition to the tariffs displayed above, Canadian and Mexican goods not registered as compliant with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement are subject to tariffs of 35% and 25% respectively. The economic impacts of the revised tariffs are examined using a global model of goods and services markets, covering production, trade and consumption. A similar model was used to assess the impacts of the original reciprocal tariffs and the outcome of a US-China trade war. GDP impacts of the tariffs are displayed in the table below. The impacts of the additional tariffs are evaluated relative to trade measures in place before Trump's second term. Retaliatory tariffs are not considered in the analysis. The tariffs reduce US annual GDP by 0.36%. This equates to US$108.2 billion or $861 per household per year (all amounts in this article are in US dollars). The change in US GDP is an aggregate of impacts involving several factors. The tariffs will compel foreign producers to lower their prices. But these price decreases only partially offset the cost of the tariffs, so US consumers pay higher prices. Businesses also pay more for parts and materials. Ultimately, these higher prices hurt the US economy. The tariffs decrease US merchandise imports by $486.7 billion. But as they drive up the cost of US supply chains and shift more workers and resources into industries that compete with imports, away from other parts of the economy, they also decrease US merchandise exports by $451.1 billion. For most other countries, the additional tariffs reduce GDP. Switzerland's GDP decreases by 0.47%, equivalent to $1,215 per household per year. Proportional GDP decreases are also relatively large for Thailand (0.44%) and Taiwan (0.38%). In dollar terms, GDP decreases are relatively large for China ($66.9 billion) and the European Union ($26.6 billion). Australia and the United Kingdom gain from the tariffs ($0.1 billion and $0.07 billion respectively), primarily due to the relatively low tariffs levied on these countries. Despite facing relatively low additional tariffs, New Zealand's GDP decreases by 0.15% ($204 per household) as many of its agricultural exports compete with Australian commodities, which are subject to an even lower tariff. Although the revised reciprocal tariffs are, on average, lower than those announced on April 2, they are still a substantial shock to the global trading system. Financial markets have been buoyant since Trump paused reciprocal tariffs on April 9, partly on the hope that the tariffs would never be imposed. US tariffs of at least 10% to 15% now appear to be the new norm. As US warehouses run down inventories and stockpiles, there could be a rocky road ahead.