
Snap Insight: Jetstar Asia closure - the writing was on the wall
SINGAPORE: The decision for Jetstar Asia to close shop in Singapore on Jul 31 was not entirely a surprise. The writing was on the wall: The low-cost carrier has been largely loss-making throughout its existence, only profitable for six of its 20 years. This year, it expects to lose A$35 million (US$22.8 million).
Still, the news on Wednesday (Jun 11) came as a shock, due to over 500 employees losing their jobs as well as the suddenness of its exit. It had added a new destination, Labuan Bajo, as recently as March.
The Jetstar Asia business model has been described as the 'airline-within-airline' strategy. It is 49 per cent owned by Australia's national carrier Qantas and 51 per cent by Singapore company Westbrook Investments, with links to a local tour agency.
It was first introduced in the United States in 2003, when United Airlines formed Ted to fend off budget competitors such as JetBlue and Frontier. Five years later, United was forced to shutter Ted due to higher jet fuel prices.
Jetstar Asia's demise is different, people close to Qantas told me.
This strategy is not uncommon in the industry: think Singapore Airlines and Scoot, or Lufthansa and German Wings. Less common though, was Qantas' decision to base Jetstar Asia in Singapore in a bid to focus on this regional market, separate from Jetstar Airways in Australia.
BUDGET AIRLINES MUST BE RUTHLESSLY COST-EFFICIENT
The main reasons for closure, these observers argued, stemmed from changes in the dynamics at Changi Airport and the high cost of being based in Singapore when low-cost carriers have to be ruthlessly cost-efficient.
First, the rise in the Singapore dollar versus the Australian dollar has put tremendous strain on Qantas. In the past six months, the SGD has appreciated by more than 2 per cent against the AUD.
Second, some Jetstar Asia officials felt it was hard done by when it was forced to move from Terminal 1 at Changi (where Qantas flies into and thus allowing for seamless connectivity) to Terminal 4, the budget terminal.
This meant inconvenience for passengers connecting between Jetstar Asia flights and Qantas and other major airlines. The budget terminal is the only one without a Skytrain connection to the three main terminals, although landside and airside buses are available.
The terminal change was publicly opposed by the airline when it was announced in July 2022 and only took place in March 2023, after months of negotiation.
In recent times Jetstar Asia's shareholders were also said to be concerned over Changi Airport Group's introduction of new levies for passengers and airlines alike, due to higher running costs there.
LOW-COST JUST IN NAME?
The immediate implications to operations at Changi Airport, fortunately, are not severe given that Jetstar Asia makes up less than 5 per cent of all flights at the airport.
The shutdown will however create a new vacuum for 16 intra-Asia routes once plied by the airline, likely to be mopped up by the likes of Malaysia's AirAsia and Indonesia's Lion Air Group.
Trade associations such as the International Air Transport Association (IATA) and the Association of Asia Pacific Airlines (AAPA) remain positive on the outlook for airlines this year.
While no other low-cost carriers in the region are expected to close down, several, like Vietjet, face financial constraints and have been unable to completely shrug off structural issues brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Budget airlines may soon run into the problem of being low-cost just in name. Higher operating and ancillary costs, amid increased competition and uncertainty linked to the wider global economy, mean the gap is narrowing between legacy airlines and low-cost carriers in the short- to medium-haul sector.
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These included stiff regional competition, volatile fuel prices and geopolitical tensions. Challenges such as supply chain snags also delayed new plane deliveries and grounded existing ones, while sustainable aviation fuel mandates pushed costs up. Airlines cited rising costs – including the fees charged by Changi Airport – as a challenge to operating in Singapore. The Republic in November 2024 had announced airport fee hikes to fund upgrades to Changi Airport. The move was lamented by Jetstar Asia's chief executive John Simeone, who said it could affect the airline's ability to sell tickets under S$100 – which comprised around two-thirds of the carrier's flights as at December 2024. Jetstar Asia grounded When Jetstar Asia announced its exit – citing cost pressures as threatening its ability to offer the low fares that are key to its business – passengers and staff were shocked, but industry experts said the move was unsurprising, albeit unfortunate. They pointed to how the Singapore-based carrier had struggled to turn a profit even before the pandemic, and was in the black for only six years in more than two decades of operations. Jetstar Asia lacked the scale, local dominance and margin buffers of its stronger rivals, analysts said. Moreover, its 2023 shift to Terminal 4 from Terminal 1, where its parent Qantas operates, severed the seamless connectivity between the two airlines and lengthened connecting times, which likely worsened its problems, analysts added. However Qantas itself has displayed a respectable performance. Qantas Airways in February announced an underlying profit before tax of A$1.39 billion (S$1.17 billion) for its first half ended December. It also declared its first special dividend in more than two decades and its first final dividend since September 2019. What does Jetstar's departure mean? 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