Cavaliers vs. Heat Game 4 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds
Data Skrive
The Cleveland Cavaliers will take on the Miami Heat in a decisive Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. Cleveland is a strong 8.5-point favorite against Miami when the Cavaliers hit the court against the Heat on Monday. The matchup has a point total of 210.
Here is everything you need to know about the Cavaliers-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information. Cavaliers vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds When: Monday, April 28, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
TV: Cavaliers vs Heat Betting Information Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Cavaliers -8.5 -110 -110 210 -112 -108 -380 +300 Cavaliers vs. Heat Prediction
ATS Pick: Heat (+ 8.5)
O/U Pick: Over (210)
Score Prediction: Cavaliers 118 - Heat 109 Cavaliers vs. Heat Betting Insights The Cavaliers and their opponent have combined to score over 210 points, the current matchup's total, in 75 of 82 games this year.
The Heat have played in 59 games this year (72% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 210 points.
The two teams average a combined 22.5 more points per game (232.5) than this game's total of 210 points.
The Cavaliers and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 12.4 more points per game than the over/under of 210 set in this outing.
Cleveland has been victorious in 60, or 81.1%, of the 74 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
Miami has been chosen as underdogs in 37 games this year and has walked away with the win 11 times (29.7%) in those games.
After the last six head-to-head meetings, Cleveland has a 5-1 record against Miami.
Both the Cavaliers and the Heat have 3-3 records against the spread in those outings. Cavaliers Recent Trends The Cavaliers are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests.
Cleveland's average total over the last 10 games is 17.6 points more than the 210 total given for this matchup.
The Cavaliers are 49-33-0 against the spread this season.
This season, Cleveland has an against the spread record of 22-21 in its 43 games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more.
Cavaliers games this year have hit the over 49 times in 82 opportunities (59.8%).
The Cavaliers put up 121.9 points per game, 11.9 more points than the 110 the Heat give up.
Cleveland is 45-26 against the spread and 58-13 overall when scoring more than 110 points.
The Cavaliers are shooting 49.1% from the field this season, 2.5 percentage points higher than the 46.6% the Heat allow to opponents.
In home games, the Cavaliers have a worse record against the spread (23-18-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (26-15-0).
Cleveland has hit the over on the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (61%) than away games (58.5%).
As a moneyline favorite, the Cavaliers have won 34 of 40 games when playing at home, good for a .850 winning percentage. They have won 26 of 34 games away from home (.765) as a moneyline favorite. Cavaliers Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 121.9 1 Points Allowed 112.4 12 Rebounds 45.4 5 Assists 28.1 9 Steals 8.2 12 Blocks 4.3 26 Cavaliers Leaders Donovan Mitchell posts 24 points, 5 assists and 4.5 rebounds per contest.
Evan Mobley puts up 18.5 points, 9.3 boards and 3.2 assists per contest, shooting 55.7% from the floor and 37% from beyond the arc with 1.2 made 3-pointers per contest.
Darius Garland averages 20.6 points, 2.9 boards and 6.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocks.
Jarrett Allen averages 13.5 points, 1.9 assists and 9.7 boards.
De'Andre Hunter averages 17 points, 1.4 assists and 4 rebounds. Heat Recent Trends The Heat are 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their past 10 contests.
Miami has averaged a total of 214.8 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.8 greater than this game's total of 210.
The Heat have 38 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
Miami has an ATS record of 4-1-1 in its six games when underdogs by 8.5 points or more this season.
Heat games this year have gone over the total in 45 of 82 opportunities (54.9%).
The Heat average just 1.8 fewer points per game (110.6) than the Cavaliers give up to opponents (112.4).
Miami is 23-14-1 against the spread and 24-14 overall when it scores more than 112.4 points.
The Heat's 46.5% shooting percentage from the field this season is 1.1 percentage points higher than the Cavaliers have given up to their opponents (45.4%).
The Heat's winning percentage against the spread at home is .512 (21-19-1). Away, it is .415 (17-23-1).
In 2024-25, a higher percentage of Miami's games have finished above the over/under at home (61%, 25 of 41) than away (48.8%, 20 of 41).
When moneyline favorites, the Heat have won a lower percentage of games at home (15-11) than away (11-8). Heat Recent Stats Stat Average Rank Points Scored 110.6 24 Points Allowed 110 7 Rebounds 43.4 21 Assists 26.4 14 Steals 8.1 15 Blocks 3.8 30 Heat Leaders On a per-game basis, Bam Adebayo gets the Heat 18.1 points, 9.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
On a per-game basis, Tyler Herro gives the Heat 23.9 points, 5.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
The Heat are getting 18 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Andrew Wiggins this year.
The Heat are receiving 9.3 points, 7.4 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game from Kel'el Ware this season.
Davion Mitchell is averaging 7.9 points, 2.3 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game. He is making 46.8% of his shots from the field and 39.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per contest.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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