
NBA Draft early entry tracker: Rutgers freshman Ace Bailey becomes latest entry
As the excitement builds for the NBA Draft, which will take place on June 25-26 in Brooklyn, a host of top underclassmen will declare their intention to leave college early for the pros.
Who's in, and who's out? The Athletic is here to help. We're tracking the top draft-eligible underclassmen as they declare their intentions to enter the draft or to stay in school. From standout freshmen to breakout sophomores, our team is watching the announcements, analyzing performances, and projecting draft stock as the road to the draft heats up.
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The deadline to apply for early entry is April 26, but players have until June 15 to withdraw from the draft and maintain their college eligibility.
Here are the prospects who have already declared so far, as well as an analysis of the top players yet to decide:
Ace Bailey, forward, Rutgers
Bailey is arguably the most talented player in this class and might also possess the highest upside. The 6-foot-10, 200-pound forward has a variety of moves offensively and can score from anywhere on the floor. Just 18, Bailey averaged 17.6 points and 7.2 rebounds per game. He has the tools to be a multi-time All-Star and a primary option for his team at the next level. He's raw in some areas, but the talent is undeniable.
Vecenie projects Bailey as a top-five pick due to his pure talent. 'Some see real star upside, while some see a good, Michael Porter Jr.-like role player, and yet others worry significantly about his decision-making. The pre-draft process will be incredibly important,' Vecenie wrote.
Cooper Flagg, forward, Duke
Flagg had one of the greatest freshman years in college basketball history, bringing home awards for AP Player of the Year, ACC POY and ACC Rookie of the Year while averaging 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game.
Flagg is the most versatile prospect in the draft. With his length, athleticism and motor, he can impact the game defensively. He may not be his team's best player at the next level, but he could be its most impactful. The 6-foot-9, 205-pounder led the Blue Devils in every statistical category this season.
Like most analysts, Vecenie has Flagg going No. 1 overall in his mock draft, writing: 'More than anything, what stands out is his elite level of competitiveness. There is not a second in which he's on the court that he's not playing hard or totally locked into what he's doing.'
Kon Knueppel, forward, Duke
Knueppel looked like a future NBA player when he led the Nike EYBL regular season in scoring two years ago. This season, he was one of the best 3-point shooters in the country and may have improved his stock more than any other player. His 14.4 points, 4.0 rebounds and 2.7 assists — and 47.9/40.6/91.4 shooting splits — earned him ACC Tournament MVP and All-ACC second-team honors.
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Prospects like Knueppel will always have value at the next level as a floor spacer (47 percent on spot-up 3s). He also has the IQ to match, able to operate in the pick-and-roll and make good decisions as a secondary ball-handler.
Vecenie projects Knueppel as a top-10 pick, writing that in addition to his shooting, he is competitive on defense. 'There are some real issues with his foot speed that will become exacerbated as he moves up to the NBA, and teams are intrigued to see how he'll defend perimeter players effectively in the increased space. But his ability to play both on and off the ball is extremely interesting,' he wrote.
Collin Murray-Boyles, forward, South Carolina
Murray-Boyles is a unique prospect — a jack of all trades and a master of none — yet one who is wildly productive. The 6-foot-7, 231-pounder averaged 16.8 points, 8.2 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.3 blocks per game. What he lacks in athleticism and 3-point shooting, he makes up for with his instincts, footwork and IQ.
NBA teams love to play small but keep the versatility. Well, here comes Murray-Boyles, a player who can either overpower defenders or use his skill and ability to change speeds going downhill.
Notes Vecenie: 'His stock is all over the map, with some scouts seeing him as high as a top-six player in the class and others seeing him as more of a top-20 guy.'
Kasparas Jakucionis, guard, Illinois
The 6-foot-6, 200-pounder from Lithuania is one of the most creative passers in this class, averaging 4.7 assists per game while adding 15.0 points and 5.7 rebounds per contest. Jakucionis fits the mold of a cerebral player who might not be the fastest or the most athletic but who has a feel for the game and knows how to make the right plays.
That's Jakucionis in a nutshell. He also has excellent size for his position and craftiness that allows him to score at the rim.
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In his mock draft, The Athletic's Sam Vecenie notes that scouts would love to have seen Illinois make a run in the NCAA Tournament to get a better look at him outside of Big Ten play. Where will he be picked? 'I would say it's anywhere from No. 5 to No. 10.'
Tre Johnson, guard, Texas
Some people are born to score, and Tre Johnson fits that category. The 6-foot-6, 190-pounder averaged 19.9 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists while shooting 39.7 percent from 3. Johnson is the most talented scorer in the class, and he can do it from all three levels with consistency. Johnson gets a lot of his points off the dribble, as he made 95 dribble pull-up 2s and 99 dribble pull-up 3s. The 19-year-old led the SEC in scoring and finished second in 3-point percentage. He was named SEC Freshman of the Year and was a second-team All-SEC selection.
Vecenie projects Johnson as a top-10 pick, primarily because 'there are evaluators who truly believe there are some star upside outcomes for him.' He does offer a word of warning, writing that Johnson 'does not create easy shots for himself. He's a big-time contested shot-maker.'
Asa Newell, forward, Georgia
The NBA loves plug-and-play players, and Newell is a guy who can fit into most systems. The 6-foot-10, 220-pounder averaged 15.4 points and 6.9 rebounds, along with a steal per game. Newell has an elite motor and has shown that he can guard multiple positions. As for offense, he uses his IQ, length and athleticism to create scoring opportunities. Newell, 19, has the potential to be a high-end two-way player at the next level.
Vecenie projects Newell as a late first-rounder: 'There's just a lot to work with and develop, although scouts do wonder if he's a bit of a tweener positionally.'
Jase Richardson, guard, Michigan State
Richardson was one of the biggest breakout players in college basketball this season. The 6-foot-3, 185-pounder averaged 12 points while shooting 49 percent from the field, 41 percent from 3 and 84 percent from the line. Richardson excels as a playmaker and a connector with a well-rounded offensive game.
Richardson lacks size and doesn't do anything in particular that will wow you. But his poise and IQ are impressive, as are his shot-making, pace, efficiency and overall skill set. These things make him productive and can help win games.
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In Vecenie's mock draft, Richardson was projected as a lottery pick. Vecenie called the guard 'one of the true breakout risers of this draft class. … Few players navigate tight spaces quite like Richardson, as he has a Jalen Brunson-like ability to find creases in the defense with his pristine footwork.'
Egor Demin, guard, BYU
Demin is the best all-around passer in this class, chipping in 5.5 assists while scoring 10.6 points and grabbing 3.9 rebounds per game. The 6-foot-9, 190-pound prospect from Russia isn't the most athletic player, nor is he a polished shooter, but he distributes the ball well and can see the play before it happens. He also can use his size to get to the middle of the floor and finish over defenders.
Demin showed flashes as a capable shotmaker, starting the season by making 13 of 23 3s, but his percentages later dipped. He could thrive in a role as a secondary ball-handler with his ability to consistently put his teammates in scoring position.
In his mock draft, Vecenie projects Demin as a late first-rounder. 'He looks like a player who would be helped by returning to college for another year,' he wrote. 'However, some scouts still genuinely adore his game because of his vision and playmaking. If he goes in the lottery, it won't stun me, because the people who really buy the upside tend to really buy into it.'
Derik Queen, center, Maryland
Queen brings a unique combination of size, skill and IQ. The 6-foot-10, 245-pound Baltimore native averaged 16.2 points and 9.1 rebounds per game. He shot 55.8 percent inside the arc and 68.4 percent at the rim. Basketball has evolved significantly over the last half-decade, particularly at center. Bigs like Nikola Jokić, Domantas Sabonis and Alperen Şengün have taken the game by storm, and Queen possesses similar traits. He has elite passing tools and fires precision passes with either hand, which leads to assists.
Vecenie tabs Queen as a late lottery pick, writing that he is the 'exact kind of offensive playmaking center whom teams would love to have, especially if you believe he has the potential to shoot from distance.' His defense, though, could be a problem.
Jeremiah Fears, guard, Oklahoma
Jeremiah Fears is an anomaly; very few players in college basketball history have reclassified to enter college early and had the success he has. The Joilet, Ill., native averaged 17.1 points, 4.1 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game while leading his team to the NCAA Tournament.
Fears, who does not turn 19 until October, is one of the youngest prospects in this class and has several traits NBA teams desire, such as his ability to get paint touches. At 6-foot-4 and 182 pounds, he has good size, speed and burst to be a productive NBA player. As electrifying as he is with the ball in his hand, Fears will need to clean up his 3-point shooting at the next level.
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Vecenie writes of Fears in his mock draft: 'There are scouts who see him as an end-of-the-first-round gamble. There are others who see him as a clear lottery pick who could end up in the top half. His pre-draft process will be fascinating to track as it could lead to a real rise, or he might end up going a bit lower than this.'
Liam McNeeley, forward, UConn
This draft has several polarizing prospects and McNeeley is one of them. A versatile player who played some point forward for the Huskies, he can read defenses and make good decisions with the ball in his hands. He's another cerebral prospect who won't 'wow you' with his athleticism but is a better athlete than some might think.
The 6-foot-7, 210-pounder averaged 14.5 points, 6.0 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He didn't shoot the 3 as well as many expected (31.7 percent), but he has excellent mechanics and did make 38 percent of his 3s off the catch.
Vecenie tabs McNeeley as a late lottery pick, though he noted that there are concerns about his offensive game. He also wrote that while McNeeley is very competitive on defense, there are worries there, too, that he is a bit slow-footed.
Dylan Harper, guard, Rutgers
Harper has a very advanced offensive game that features step-backs, euro-steps and spin moves. But what stands out the most is his patience. Typically, younger guards look to make the home run play and won't take what the defense gives them. But the 6-foot-6, 215-pounder has a mature game, similar to his father, five-time NBA champion Ron Harper Sr.
He operates well in the pick-and-roll, setting his teammates up for easy baskets while also being an offensive threat as a downhill driver. Harper averaged 19.4 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.0 assists per game.
In his mock draft, Vecenie writes that Harper 'is an elite player, and most NBA executives see him as the clear No. 2 pick in the class.'
V.J. Edgecombe, guard, Baylor
You may not find a better athlete in this class than the 19-year-old Edgecombe — search his clips and you'll find a healthy collection of furious dunks. He could be one of the best shot-blocking guards in the league.
Edgecombe started the year slow, but the 6-foot-4, 180-pounder ended up being the Big 12 Rookie of the Year with averages of 15.0 points, 5.6 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game.
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Edgecombe also has great defensive instincts and puts a ton of pressure on ballhandlers. He played on the Bahamian national basketball team in the 2024 FIBA Olympic Qualifying Tournament and was one of the best players on a roster that featured several current NBA players.
Vecenie has Edgecombe going No. 3 in his mock draft, primarily due to the perception that he is a safe pick. 'Because he plays really hard and defends, the intel is quite positive; it's hard to see how exactly he fails totally, and he maintains a degree of upside long-term if the ball skills continue to improve,' he wrote.
Mark Few got his son some closing minutes in Gonzaga's blowout win over Baylor.
And then Joe found himself on the wrong end of a mammoth poster dunk from V.J. Edgecombe 😅
🎥 @SportsCenterpic.twitter.com/55QOibNdlq
— The Athletic (@TheAthletic) November 5, 2024
Khaman Maluach, center, Duke
Maluach burst onto the scene last summer, playing in the 2024 Olympics for South Sudan as the youngest player by a wide margin. But made headlines a few years prior as he was the third youngest prospect to play in the FIBA World Cup. The 7-foot-2, 250-pound big man has the tools to be a defensive anchor and a lob threat at the next level. In 39 games for Duke, he averaged 8.6 points and 6.6 rebounds and led the ACC in total blocks, with 51 (1.3 per game).
Maluach has a 9-foot-8 standing reach, 1 inch longer than San Antonio Spurs star Victor Wembanyama and 1 inch shorter than four-time NBA Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert.
Vecenie projects Maluach as a late lottery pick: 'Everyone at least sees Maluach as sticking in the NBA as a backup center because players this big who can move like he can just don't wash out of the league, especially when the league itself has a dearth of backup bigs. But others see real upside for him as a league-average starter with potential for more if his jumper comes around.'
Carter Bryant, forward, Arizona
You can't have enough 3-and-D players on your roster in the NBA, and Bryant is an archetypal 3-and-D athlete.
He shot 37 percent from 3 on 2.8 attempts while scoring 6.5 points and grabbing 4.1 rebounds per game. His numbers aren't flashy, but he has the tools to be a key piece in the NBA. During conference play, he shot 38.6 percent from 3 and averaged 7.5 points per game.
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His best skill, though, is what he does defensively. Bryant makes plays with his quick-twitch athleticism and instincts, and he has a knack for blocking shots and jumping passing lanes. Bryant can offer a winning team valuable minutes as a role player.
Vecenie projects Bryant as a late first-rounder. 'He looks like the exact kind of big wing NBA teams are constantly searching for,' he wrote. 'Yes, it would probably behoove him to return to school. However, scouts are excited by his tools and are intrigued to see if he can be a serious defensive playmaker as a 3-and-D style weapon.'
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CNN
20 minutes ago
- CNN
NBA Finals: What to know as OKC Thunder and Indiana Pacers battle for title
The 2025 NBA playoffs have been ones to remember with shock results, historical big comebacks and the traditional heavyweights struggling. And at the end of a thrilling postseason, it is two teams with vastly different stories in the Finals. The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers will face off in the best-of-seven series for the Larry O'Brien Trophy and the chance to lift aloft a championship banner in their home arena. Both have had grueling journeys to reach this spot, so here's everything you need to know. The NBA Finals begin with Game 1 on Thursday in Oklahoma City with the Thunder having home-court advantage because of their better regular season record. All games will be broadcast on ABC. Here's the full NBA Finals schedule: · Game 1: Pacers @ Thunder, Thursday at 8:30 p.m. ET · Game 2: Pacers @ Thunder, Sunday at 8 p.m. ET · Game 3: Thunder @ Pacers, June 11 at 8:30 p.m. ET · Game 4: Thunder @ Pacers, June 13 at 8:30 p.m. ET · Game 5 (if needed): Pacers @ Thunder, June 16 at 8:30 p.m. ET · Game 6 (if needed): Thunder @ Pacers, June 19 at 8:30 p.m. ET · Game 7 (if needed): Pacers @ Thunder, June 22 at 8 p.m. ET The Thunder's and Pacers' route to the NBA Finals couldn't have been more different. The Thunder spent the majority of the regular season atop the Western Conference standings and were many peoples' picks for the title. They are led by this season's MVP, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and have a deep rotation filled with productive role players who have stepped up in the biggest moments. On the other hand, the Pacers had a good but not great regular season, not challenging for the top two seeds in the Eastern Conference and even having a sub-.500 record in January. Yes, they have two elite players in Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam, but causing a stir in the latter stages of the NBA postseason was on nobody's playoffs predictions. But here we are. Both teams had to endure their ups and downs throughout the playoffs. The Thunder went to a Game 7 against the Denver Nuggets in the semifinals and experienced a 42-point blowout loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals before their star-power shone through. The Pacers, meanwhile, have made big comebacks a part of their DNA, shocking the Eastern Conference No. 1 seed, the Cleveland Cavaliers, in the second round in five games before coming through a thrilling Eastern Conference Finals with the New York Knicks which became an all-time classic, such was the level of drama in most games. While the Thunder are many people's favorites to earn their first NBA ring since moving from Seattle, in particular with home-court advantage – they had a league-best 43-7 home record this season – Indiana has made the impossible possible throughout the postseason. And led by head coach Rick Carlisle – who coached the Dallas Mavericks to a shock NBA title victory over the heavily-favored Miami Heat in 2011 – nothing is off the cards. Throughout the postseason, the two Finals contenders have homed in on what makes them successful. For the Thunder, it is their elite defense while for the Pacers, it is their explosive offense. OKC's deep rotation is full of capable defensive players, highlighted by their two All-NBA Defensive team stars – Lu Dort on the first team and Jalen Williams on the second. But even outside of those, they have contributors who have had big moments this playoffs. Chet Holmgren has provided key blocks at certain points and Alex Caruso turned into a key defender of three-time MVP Nikola Jokić in the Nuggets series. On the other side, Indiana has made a high-scoring offense a key part of its game. Most of it revolves around Haliburton, with his pin-point passing able to set up his teammates in good spots while Siakam provides a physical presence inside. Haliburton is averaging 18.8 points, 9.8 assists and 5.7 rebounds per game this postseason as Indiana has outgunned many of its opponents; in the 2025 postseason so far, the Pacers are 12-0 when they score 114 or more points but 0-4 when they don't hit the mark. 'When you get to this point of the season, it's two teams and it's one goal and so it becomes an all-or-nothing thing,' Carlisle said. 'And we understand the magnitude of the opponent. Oklahoma City has been dominant all year long – with capital letters in the word 'dominant.' 'Defensively, they're historically great and they got all kinds of guys that can score. It's two teams that have similar structures, slightly different styles.' The fate of this year's NBA title might revolve around one end of the court and whether Indiana can break down a stout OKC. The NBA Finals could be defined by the two star guards on display – Gilgeous-Alexander for the Thunder and Haliburton for the Pacers. Both were traded away from their first teams – Gilgeous-Alexander was traded from the Los Angeles Clippers and Haliburton from the Sacramento Kings – but have blossomed with their new teams. Gilgeous-Alexander is the league's MVP this season, beating out Jokić for his first award, after leading the league in scoring with 32.7 points per game. The 26-year-old is arguably one of the most unstoppable offensive forces in the NBA at the moment, but it has been a long road to get to this point. 'It's been a roller coaster,' Gilgeous-Alexander said earlier this week. 'I had nights where I thought I wasn't good at basketball, had nights where I thought I was the best player in the world before I was. It's been ups and downs. My mentality to try to stay level through it all really helped me. Once I figured that out, I really saw jumps in my game.' He added: 'All the moments I got, like, cut, traded, slighted, overlooked. But also all the joy, all the things that my family has comforted me in, all the life lessons. Everything that's turned me into the man and the human being that I am today.' It's been a similar journey for Haliburton, who had played second-fiddle in Sacramento to De'Aaron Fox. His trade to Indiana allowed him to express himself, and it's seen him turn into one of the best playmakers in the NBA. 'This is a franchise that took a chance on me, saw something that other people didn't see in me,' Haliburton said of the Pacers. 'Sometimes, I think they saw more in me than I saw in myself.' That doesn't mean he's universally loved around the league though, with The Athletic conducting an anonymous survey of NBA players who voted Haliburton as the league's most overrated player. Though his play and game-winners this postseason have surely changed some of those opinions. For the Thunder or Pacers to have any chance of winning this year's Larry O'Brien Trophy, it will likely rest on their star guards' shoulders to get them to the finish line.


CNN
22 minutes ago
- CNN
NBA Finals: What to know as OKC Thunder and Indiana Pacers battle for title
The 2025 NBA playoffs have been ones to remember with shock results, historical big comebacks and the traditional heavyweights struggling. And at the end of a thrilling postseason, it is two teams with vastly different stories in the Finals. The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers will face off in the best-of-seven series for the Larry O'Brien Trophy and the chance to lift aloft a championship banner in their home arena. Both have had grueling journeys to reach this spot, so here's everything you need to know. The NBA Finals begin with Game 1 on Thursday in Oklahoma City with the Thunder having home-court advantage because of their better regular season record. All games will be broadcast on ABC. Here's the full NBA Finals schedule: · Game 1: Pacers @ Thunder, Thursday at 8:30 p.m. ET · Game 2: Pacers @ Thunder, Sunday at 8 p.m. ET · Game 3: Thunder @ Pacers, June 11 at 8:30 p.m. ET · Game 4: Thunder @ Pacers, June 13 at 8:30 p.m. ET · Game 5 (if needed): Pacers @ Thunder, June 16 at 8:30 p.m. ET · Game 6 (if needed): Thunder @ Pacers, June 19 at 8:30 p.m. ET · Game 7 (if needed): Pacers @ Thunder, June 22 at 8 p.m. ET The Thunder's and Pacers' route to the NBA Finals couldn't have been more different. The Thunder spent the majority of the regular season atop the Western Conference standings and were many peoples' picks for the title. They are led by this season's MVP, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and have a deep rotation filled with productive role players who have stepped up in the biggest moments. On the other hand, the Pacers had a good but not great regular season, not challenging for the top two seeds in the Eastern Conference and even having a sub-.500 record in January. Yes, they have two elite players in Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam, but causing a stir in the latter stages of the NBA postseason was on nobody's playoffs predictions. But here we are. Both teams had to endure their ups and downs throughout the playoffs. The Thunder went to a Game 7 against the Denver Nuggets in the semifinals and experienced a 42-point blowout loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals before their star-power shone through. The Pacers, meanwhile, have made big comebacks a part of their DNA, shocking the Eastern Conference No. 1 seed, the Cleveland Cavaliers, in the second round in five games before coming through a thrilling Eastern Conference Finals with the New York Knicks which became an all-time classic, such was the level of drama in most games. While the Thunder are many people's favorites to earn their first NBA ring since moving from Seattle, in particular with home-court advantage – they had a league-best 43-7 home record this season – Indiana has made the impossible possible throughout the postseason. And led by head coach Rick Carlisle – who coached the Dallas Mavericks to a shock NBA title victory over the heavily-favored Miami Heat in 2011 – nothing is off the cards. Throughout the postseason, the two Finals contenders have homed in on what makes them successful. For the Thunder, it is their elite defense while for the Pacers, it is their explosive offense. OKC's deep rotation is full of capable defensive players, highlighted by their two All-NBA Defensive team stars – Lu Dort on the first team and Jalen Williams on the second. But even outside of those, they have contributors who have had big moments this playoffs. Chet Holmgren has provided key blocks at certain points and Alex Caruso turned into a key defender of three-time MVP Nikola Jokić in the Nuggets series. On the other side, Indiana has made a high-scoring offense a key part of its game. Most of it revolves around Haliburton, with his pin-point passing able to set up his teammates in good spots while Siakam provides a physical presence inside. Haliburton is averaging 18.8 points, 9.8 assists and 5.7 rebounds per game this postseason as Indiana has outgunned many of its opponents; in the 2025 postseason so far, the Pacers are 12-0 when they score 114 or more points but 0-4 when they don't hit the mark. 'When you get to this point of the season, it's two teams and it's one goal and so it becomes an all-or-nothing thing,' Carlisle said. 'And we understand the magnitude of the opponent. Oklahoma City has been dominant all year long – with capital letters in the word 'dominant.' 'Defensively, they're historically great and they got all kinds of guys that can score. It's two teams that have similar structures, slightly different styles.' The fate of this year's NBA title might revolve around one end of the court and whether Indiana can break down a stout OKC. The NBA Finals could be defined by the two star guards on display – Gilgeous-Alexander for the Thunder and Haliburton for the Pacers. Both were traded away from their first teams – Gilgeous-Alexander was traded from the Los Angeles Clippers and Haliburton from the Sacramento Kings – but have blossomed with their new teams. Gilgeous-Alexander is the league's MVP this season, beating out Jokić for his first award, after leading the league in scoring with 32.7 points per game. The 26-year-old is arguably one of the most unstoppable offensive forces in the NBA at the moment, but it has been a long road to get to this point. 'It's been a roller coaster,' Gilgeous-Alexander said earlier this week. 'I had nights where I thought I wasn't good at basketball, had nights where I thought I was the best player in the world before I was. It's been ups and downs. My mentality to try to stay level through it all really helped me. Once I figured that out, I really saw jumps in my game.' He added: 'All the moments I got, like, cut, traded, slighted, overlooked. But also all the joy, all the things that my family has comforted me in, all the life lessons. Everything that's turned me into the man and the human being that I am today.' It's been a similar journey for Haliburton, who had played second-fiddle in Sacramento to De'Aaron Fox. His trade to Indiana allowed him to express himself, and it's seen him turn into one of the best playmakers in the NBA. 'This is a franchise that took a chance on me, saw something that other people didn't see in me,' Haliburton said of the Pacers. 'Sometimes, I think they saw more in me than I saw in myself.' That doesn't mean he's universally loved around the league though, with The Athletic conducting an anonymous survey of NBA players who voted Haliburton as the league's most overrated player. Though his play and game-winners this postseason have surely changed some of those opinions. For the Thunder or Pacers to have any chance of winning this year's Larry O'Brien Trophy, it will likely rest on their star guards' shoulders to get them to the finish line.


San Francisco Chronicle
41 minutes ago
- San Francisco Chronicle
Finals things to know: Shai nearing a milestone, and don't expect close games
OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) — Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has a chance to make a whole slew of history in these NBA Finals. The Oklahoma City star is the first reigning MVP who'll play in the finals — they start Thursday night when the Thunder play host to the Indiana Pacers — since Golden State's Stephen Curry in 2016. He could become the first player to win a scoring title and an NBA title in the same season since Shaquille O'Neal did it for the Los Angeles Lakers in 1999-2000. And sometime in Game 1 or Game 2, Gilgeous-Alexander will likely hit another milestone. He comes into this series with 2,960 points this season — officially, anyway, more on that in a second — between the 82-game regular-season slate and now the postseason. With 40 more points, he will record the 25th instance of a 3,000-point season when combining the regular season and the playoffs. The most recent to do it was Luka Doncic, who had 3,005 points for Dallas last season. If the NBA Cup championship game counted statistically, which it doesn't, Gilgeous-Alexander would only need 19 more points for 3,000. He had 21 in that OKC loss to Milwaukee at Las Vegas in December, but those points don't count toward his season total. Michael Jordan had 10 seasons with at least 3,000 points, Wilt Chamberlain had five and nine other players — Bob McAdoo, Elgin Baylor, James Harden, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Kevin Durant, Kobe Bryant, Rick Barry, Shaquille O'Neal and Doncic — have one. Last year, it was Oshae Brissett for Boston and AJ Lawson, Olivier-Maxence Prosper and Dwight Powell for Dallas. This year, it's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Luguentz Dort for Oklahoma City, along with Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard for Indiana. 'I played against Andrew when I was 9 years old,' Gilgeous-Alexander said. 'It's been an amazing journey. To see him having success, my own success, obviously Lu's success, Ben's success, it's special. It's hard to even wrap your head around. ... For us to make it to this stage, is a testament to our hard work, our character, people around us that helped us get here. It's been a blessing. It's been super fun.' Dort said he hopes Canadians enjoy seeing four of their own in the finals. 'Obviously we represent our teams here,' Dort said. 'But at the end of the day we represent our country as well.' And it's certain that Montreal will get a title: Dort and Mathurin are both from there. 'I think it's a great opportunity for me, Lu, the whole Montreal city,' Mathurin said. 'I think it's a great step in the right direction just to be able to go against each other. You know, Lu's a great friend of mine. I would call him brother right now, but we're enemies.' Finally, the finals, for James Johnson Indiana's James Johnson has been in the NBA for 16 seasons. He has played for 10 different franchises. He has played under 11 different coaches. He has finally made the NBA Finals. Johnson came close in 2019-20, starting the season with Miami — which wound up making the bubble finals that season. But Johnson was part of a three-team trade about a month before the pandemic hit and ended up in Minnesota. 'Getting here now means that I was fortunate enough to be on a team of guys that only want winning," Johnson said. "I was fortunate enough to join a team of guys that just want to win — and they want to win by any means necessary.' Where are the close games? The last time Indiana's Rick Carlisle coached in the NBA Finals, every game was basically decided at the end. All six games of the Dallas-Miami series in 2011 were decided by 10 points or less. Since then, those games are rare. Out of the last 73 NBA Finals games, starting with the 2012 Heat-Thunder matchup through last season's Boston-Dallas series, the average margin of victory has been 12.4 points per game. There hasn't been an instance of more than three consecutive single-digit finals winning margins in that stretch, and 45 of the 73 games have been decided by at least 10 points. And there have been only six games in the last 12 finals decided by three points or less — while 10 have been decided by 20 points or more. Record drought between overtimes There hasn't been an overtime game in the NBA Finals since Game 1 of the 2018 series between Golden State and Cleveland. The seven-year drought and counting without a finals overtime game is the longest in NBA history. There was a six-year stretch from 1984 through 1990 without an OT finals game, but never seven — until now. The division champion quirk If Oklahoma City wins the NBA title, it will mark the 13th time in the last 14 seasons that a division champion has wound up winning the finals. The only exception in that span was Golden State in 2022. Before that, the last team to not win their division but win the NBA title was Dallas in 2011 — coached by current Indiana coach Carlisle. Playoff pool totals The Thunder and Pacers are playing for the NBA championship, the Larry O'Brien Trophy and about $5 million. Technically, $5,002,359. That's what one team will get added to its share of the league's annual playoff pool by winning the NBA Finals this season. The total pool this year, which will be divided by the 16 playoff teams, is $34,665,698. The Thunder have already secured no worse than $7,418,145 from the pool. The Pacers have secured at least $6,160,260. ___