College football betting - Notable team win totals

Yahoo

a day ago

Yahoo Sports' Jason Fitz and senior sports betting analyst Ben Fawkes take a look at how the sportsbooks are ranking certain teams for this season - including Alabama, Colorado, North Carolina and Michigan.
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Video Transcript
With college football finally here, that means we get to take a look at some notable team totals out there for some of the programs you love paying attention to.
Let's go through some of them, Ben.
Where are we on Colorado right now?
Because it feels like everybody used to talk about Colorado, but this year it's kind of quiet so far.
Yeah, quiet everywhere except the betting market, I, would say.
So Colorado opened very early at 6.5 at Bet MGM.
They've been 5.5 for their over under for a while.
You don't see this very often, but they have the most tickets or the most bets of any under and the most tickets of any over, right?
And just to show you how close this is, 49% of the bets on the over, 51% on the under.
So essentially 50/50, meaning a lot of people have a lot of opinions about Colorado.
Somebody's going to be right, somebody's gonna be wrong.
Uh, this also is the most under money of any.
Win total, so at least a couple big bets on the under as well.
All right, what about rolling tide?
Where are we on Alabama?
Are we rolling up, we rolling down?
What's it look like?
Yeah, Alabama.
This opened 8.5 with a lot of juice, minus 190 at that MGM.
They did move it up to 9.5, 70% of the bets and 80% of the money so far on the over.
Uh, so again, the over 8.5 and then some of the over 9.5, not 8.
Not the best first season for Kaylin DeBoer in Tuscaloosa, but Alabama has a lot of talent.
They returned 19 defenders who had at least 200 snaps, and their defense was ranked by Bill Connolly, #8 overall last season.
So a good team, obviously questions that quarterback, but there's still a ton of talent at Alabama in a very difficult conference, but to have a number, Alabama 8.5 is a very low number to open, certainly for that team.
It feels like it was a lifetime ago they won a national championship.
Now, where are we on Michigan?
Yeah, Michigan's over/under is 8.5, uh, a lot of wagers on the under so far at Bet MGM, 70% of the money as well.
This is the second most under, uh, team total of all the college football teams.
So a lot of people going on the under from Michigan.
They are missing their top two rushers from last season.
They lost a lot on the offensive line.
And again, quarterback questions in a tough Big 10.
10.
What about the fighting Belichicks?
We are, we've got to pay attention to North Carolina this year.
This year.
North Carolina, uh, I'm in the process of reporting a piece on this.
I think they're one of the most fascinating teams, you know, uh, teams in college football.
Obviously Bill Belichick there.
This is also one of the biggest movers.
So they opened with a win total of 7.5, still 7.5, but it opened -130 to the over at Bet MGM.
They're now -165 to the under, so a ton of movement to the under.
60% of bets, 70% of the money at Bet MGM on under 7.5, the third most total bets on the under of any team.
Talking to a handicapper, he had a great line.
He said, Look, Tom Brady ain't walking through that door in Chapel Hill.
And one oddsmaker said this is a lot of movement based off of sharp action.
He's already moved UNC's power rating from where he had it early on to now down 4.5 points.
And week one, they opened as a 2.5 point favorite against TCU in their first game.
They're now a 3 point underdog, right, just based off of betting and some public perception.
So a lot of movement for UNC, not all of it good right now for Belichick.
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