FIFA Club World Cup: Bayern Munich vs. Flamengo odds, picks
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Bayern Munich and Flamengo will do battle on Sunday afternoon for a spot in the quarterfinals at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup.
Bayern entered the tournament as one of the favorites to lift the trophy, but now finds itself in a tough section of the draw after failing to win Group C because of a loss to Benfica in their last match.
Flamengo has been one of the most pleasant surprises of the tournament, winning Group D ahead of Chelsea.
Bayern is a -325 favorite to advance, and is -170 to win the match in regulation.
FIFA Club World Cup: Bayern Munich vs. Flamengo betting preview
Although Bayern was disappointing in their defeat against Benfica, they were not done any favors by their schedule.
Thomas Muller of Bayern Munich waves to supporters.
FC Bayern via Getty Images
The Bavarians smoked Auckland City, 10-0, in their opening match, and then defeated Boca Juniors, 2-1, to automatically qualify for the Round of 16. That took a lot of the sting out of their match with Benfica, who needed a result to guarantee passage.
Nonetheless, Bayern was expected to win and came up short. A similar effort against Flamengo will be punished, as the Brazilians have been outstanding in this tournament and in Brazil's Serie A this season.
Flamengo's defensive prowess has been on full display, conceding just two total goals in the group stage against Chelsea, LAFC, and ES Tunis, which was considered one of the toughest groups in the competition.
FIFA Club World Cup: Bayern Munich vs. Flamengo pick
Bayern is on another level, talent-wise, compared to Flamengo, but FIlipe Luis has the Brazilian side in impeccable form.
They'll be happy to defend and force Die Roten to break them down, hoping to hit the Germans on the counterattack and punish any mistakes.
It's a formula that has worked for Flamengo in Brazil and in the group stage, but will be a lot tougher to pull off against one of the best clubs in the world.
Nonetheless, I think Flamengo can make a real go of this, and will keep things tight for much of the match.
The Play: Under 2.5 goals (+102, FanDuel)
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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Follow live as Bayern Munich face Flamengo in Miami with a place in the Club World Cup quarter-final on the line Getty Images Bayern Munich are leading Flamengo 4-2 at Hard Rock Stadium in the fourth last-16 tie of the Club World Cup. The Bundesliga champion struck early with an Erick Pulgar own goal and a deflected Harry Kane strike giving them a 2-0 lead inside 10 minutes. Gerson hammered a strike past Manuel Neuer to halve the deficit but Leon Goretzka restored the two-goal advantage with a great strike of his own from distance. Flamengo came again in the second half, though, with Jorginho scoring a penalty after Michael Olise's handball. Once again, Bayern gave themselves a two-goal cushion with Kane finishing brilliantly in the73rd minute. European champions Paris Saint-Germain await the winner in the quarter-final after cruising past Inter Miami earlier. Watch: DAZN | Channel 5 (UK) DAZN | Channel 5 (UK) Join the conversation: live@ You can sign up to DAZN to watch every FIFA Club World Cup game for free. Getty Images 29' Flamengo 0-2 Bayern Munich The cooling break is over but we haven't resumed play just yet. Michael Oliver is having his radio pack looked at. Getty Images 25' Flamengo 0-2 Bayern Munich Laimer tries an optimistic shot from distance that misses by a wide margin. Afterward, Michael Oliver blows for a cooling break. The temperature is currently 87F (31C) in Miami with plenty of humidity too. Getty Images Flamengo's response to their nightmare start has been really impressive. They are working their way through the Bayern press and starting to cause real problems in the final third with their fluid movement. The worry they must keep buried at the back of their minds is that too much damage has already been done. The second Bayern goal was a good example of how improved Dayot Upamecano has been under Vincent Kompany. Previously, jumping up like that, instinctively into a tackle, would lead to calamity. He'd be too eager, too aggressive and it would cost him. Now, he times so many of those decisions well that that proactive defending has become a real strength of his game. Getty Images 22' Flamengo 0-2 Bayern Munich Flamengo string together a nice passing move to break out of Bayern's press, but after advancing into the final third the cross into the box isn't accurate enough to trouble the Germans' defence. A mighty block from Manuel Neuer. No goalkeeper in my lifetime has ever made more excellent saves look so consistently easy. Just a big paw and a swat away, as if it was nothing. Getty Images 15' Flamengo 0-2 Bayern Munich Flamengo's first chance of the match and Neuer comes up with a fantastic save! Luiz Araujo has a free shot at the back post but the German goalkeeper gets over well and blocks his effort with a very strong arm. To their credit, Flamengo have gotten over or through Bayern's first line a few times. But the cohesion in Bayern's midfield and defense to push up the moment the ball enters the middle third has been excellent. Getty Images Flamengo expected Bayern to press high but they have still been overwhelmed by the German giants' pressure in these opening minutes, and already face an uphill challenge to make this a competitive game. Pulgar flicked Kimmich's corner kick into his own net after goalkeeper Rossi had lost the ball by cannoning an attempted long kick into his body, and Kane's shot came directly from Upamecano dispossessing De Arrascaeta high up the pitch. It also caught a helpful deflection off the shin of Ortiz. Getty Images Bayern are into this tournament now. They have not been shy in sharing their desire to win it, and that ambition is showing. A good, quick start, and much more of a Bundesliga rhythm to their performance. 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Bayern are wearing their white away strip for this game, which feels fitting in light of the Brazilian boos that cascaded down on their players as they were introduced by the stadium announcer. Getty Images There is a strong feeling in Spain that Flamengo are the underdogs of the tournament and will eliminate Bayern. There is also a lot of hype around Filipe Luis, as fans of Atletico Madrid who are not happy with Diego Simeone want him as their club's next coach. Liam Twomey / The Athletic There are still plenty of empty seats at Hard Rock as kick-off approaches. It can be hard to distinguish the allegiance of those who are here just by looking since both teams play in red, but the noise in the stadium makes it clear that this will be a Flamengo home game. Brazilians are very well represented in Miami, and Flamengo is the most supported club in Brazil. Getty Images Bayern Munich are coming off a 1-0 defeat to Benfica in their last match of the group stage, though they rotated heavily for that match knowing that qualification for the round of 16 had already been guaranteed. Another letdown today, however, would be quite a rare occurrence for the German club. They have yet to lose back-to-back fixtures in all competitions under Vincent Kompany since he became coach in May 2024. Furthermore, Bayern have only failed to score in back-to-back matches in all competitions once in the past 10 years! That came against Bayer Leverkusen and Lazio in February 2024. Getty Images There are no big surprises in either team as Flamengo prepare to face Bayern Munich at Hard Rock Stadium. Jamal Musiala remains among the Bayern substitutes as he continues his recovery from a calf injury sustained in the group stage against Boca Juniors. 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