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Oil posts weekly gain but remains under supply hike pressure

Oil posts weekly gain but remains under supply hike pressure

Mint16-05-2025

HOUSTON -Oil settled higher on Friday, notching a second straight week of gains on easing U.S.-China trade tensions, although prices were held back by expectations of higher supply from Iran and OPEC .
Brent crude futures settled up 88 cents, or 1.4%, at $65.41 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures closed 87 cents, or 1.4% higher at $62.49.
The benchmarks posted a weekly rise of 1% and 2.4% respectively.
The contracts fell by more than 2% in the previous session on the prospect of an Iranian nuclear deal, which could result in an easing of sanctions that could see Iranian crude return to the global market.
"Expected increases in OPEC oil production along with a more probable Iranian nuclear agreement has re-surfaced the bear trade," said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.
"Near term, with geopolitical temperatures cooling, a strong seasonal travel demand will be needed in the coming months to counter the expected rises in supplies," Kissler added.
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday the U.S. was nearing a nuclear deal with Iran, with Tehran "sort of" agreeing to its terms. However, a source familiar with the talks said there were still issues to resolve.
ING analysts wrote in a note that a nuclear deal lifting sanctions would allow Iran to increase oil output, resulting in additional supply of around 400,000 barrels per day.
Investor sentiment was boosted this week by the U.S. and China, the world's two biggest oil consumers and economies, agreeing to a 90-day pause on their trade war during which both sides would sharply lower trade duties.
The hefty reciprocal tariffs had raised concerns about a sharp blow to global growth and oil demand.
Analysts at BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions, said in a research report, however, that "while the 90-day cooling off period leaves the door open for additional progress on lowering trade barriers on both sides, the uncertainty on longer-term trade policy will limit price upside."
Keeping a lid on supply additions, Kyiv and Moscow failed to agree to a ceasefire at their first direct talks in more than three years, with Russia presenting conditions that a Ukrainian source described as "non-starters".
Israel struck Yemen's Red Sea ports of Hodeidah and Salif on Friday, continuing its campaign to degrade Houthi military capabilities.
On the U.S. supply side, oil rigs fell by 1 to 473 this week, their lowest since January, energy services firm Baker Hughes said in its closely followed report on Friday.
The dollar rose on Friday after the latest round of economic data showed a jump in import prices while consumer sentiment remained subdued, putting it on pace for a fourth straight weekly advance.
This article was generated from an automated news agency feed without modifications to text.

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Oil jumps over 7% after Israel's strikes on Iran
Oil jumps over 7% after Israel's strikes on Iran

Time of India

time38 minutes ago

  • Time of India

Oil jumps over 7% after Israel's strikes on Iran

Oil prices jumped more than 7% on Friday, trading near multi-month highs after Israel launched widescale strikes against Iran, sparking Iranian retaliation and raising worries about disrupted oil supplies. Brent crude futures jumped $5.1, or around 7.4%, to $74.46 a barrel by 0843 GMT after hitting an intraday high of $78.50, the highest since January 27. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like An engineer reveals: 1 simple trick to get all TV channels Techno Mag Learn More Undo U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up $5.1, or 7.5%, at $73.15 a barrel after hitting a high of $77.62, its highest level since January 21. Play Video Pause Skip Backward Skip Forward Unmute Current Time 0:00 / Duration 0:00 Loaded : 0% 0:00 Stream Type LIVE Seek to live, currently behind live LIVE Remaining Time - 0:00 1x Playback Rate Chapters Chapters Descriptions descriptions off , selected Captions captions settings , opens captions settings dialog captions off , selected Audio Track Picture-in-Picture Fullscreen This is a modal window. Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window. Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Opacity Opaque Semi-Transparent Text Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Opacity Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Caption Area Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Opacity Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Drop shadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps Reset restore all settings to the default values Done Close Modal Dialog End of dialog window. Friday's gains were the largest intraday moves for both contracts since 2022, after Russia's invasion of Ukraine caused a spike in energy prices. Israel said it targeted Iran's nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders on Friday at the start of what it warned would be a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from building an atomic weapon. Live Events Iran's nuclear facility in Natanz was damaged, the country's atomic energy organisation said in a statement, but investigations have not shown any radioactive or chemical contamination outside the site. The primary concern was around whether the latest developments would affect the Strait of Hormuz, said SEB analyst Ole Hvalbye. The key waterway had been at risk of impact from increased regional volatility previously but had not been affected so far, Hvalbye said. There was also no impact to oil flow in the region so far, he added. About a fifth of the world's total oil consumption passes through the strait, or some 18 to 19 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil, condensate and fuel. Under a worst case scenario, JPMorgan analysts said on Thursday that closing the strait or a retaliatory response from major oil producing countries in the region could lead to prices surging to the $120-130 a barrel range, nearly double their current base case forecast. The $10 a barrel price gain in the past three days had yet to reflect any drop in Iranian oil production, let alone an escalation that could involve disruption to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, Barclays analyst Amarpreet Singh said in a note. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio called Israeli strikes against Iran a "unilateral action" and said Washington was not involved while also urging Tehran not to target U.S. interests or personnel in the region. "The key question now is whether this oil rally will last longer than the weekend or a week - our signal is that there is a lower probability of a full-blown war, and the oil price rally will likely encounter resistance," said Janiv Shah, analyst at Rystad. "Fundamentals show nearly all Iranian exports going to China, so Chinese discounted purchases would be most at risk here. OPEC+ spare capacity can provide the stabilizing force," he added. In other markets, stocks dived and there was a rush to safe havens such as gold and the Swiss franc. "A key question is whether the Iranian retaliation will be limited to Israel or if the leadership will seek to internationalize the cost of tonight's action by targeting bases and critical economic infrastructure across the wider region," RBC Capital analyst Helima Croft said in a note.

Oil jumps over 7% after Israel's strikes on Iran
Oil jumps over 7% after Israel's strikes on Iran

Economic Times

time38 minutes ago

  • Economic Times

Oil jumps over 7% after Israel's strikes on Iran

Oil prices surged following Israeli strikes on Iran. Concerns arose about potential disruptions to oil supplies. Brent crude futures and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude both experienced significant increases. The Strait of Hormuz, a crucial oil transit route, is under close watch. Analysts are assessing the long-term impact on oil prices and regional stability. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Oil prices jumped more than 7% on Friday, trading near multi-month highs after Israel launched widescale strikes against Iran, sparking Iranian retaliation and raising worries about disrupted oil crude futures jumped $5.1, or around 7.4%, to $74.46 a barrel by 0843 GMT after hitting an intraday high of $78.50, the highest since January 27.U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was up $5.1, or 7.5%, at $73.15 a barrel after hitting a high of $77.62, its highest level since January gains were the largest intraday moves for both contracts since 2022, after Russia's invasion of Ukraine caused a spike in energy said it targeted Iran's nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders on Friday at the start of what it warned would be a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from building an atomic nuclear facility in Natanz was damaged, the country's atomic energy organisation said in a statement, but investigations have not shown any radioactive or chemical contamination outside the primary concern was around whether the latest developments would affect the Strait of Hormuz, said SEB analyst Ole Hvalbye. The key waterway had been at risk of impact from increased regional volatility previously but had not been affected so far, Hvalbye was also no impact to oil flow in the region so far, he a fifth of the world's total oil consumption passes through the strait, or some 18 to 19 million barrels per day (bpd) of oil, condensate and a worst case scenario, JPMorgan analysts said on Thursday that closing the strait or a retaliatory response from major oil producing countries in the region could lead to prices surging to the $120-130 a barrel range, nearly double their current base case $10 a barrel price gain in the past three days had yet to reflect any drop in Iranian oil production, let alone an escalation that could involve disruption to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, Barclays analyst Amarpreet Singh said in a note.U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio called Israeli strikes against Iran a "unilateral action" and said Washington was not involved while also urging Tehran not to target U.S. interests or personnel in the region."The key question now is whether this oil rally will last longer than the weekend or a week - our signal is that there is a lower probability of a full-blown war, and the oil price rally will likely encounter resistance," said Janiv Shah, analyst at Rystad."Fundamentals show nearly all Iranian exports going to China, so Chinese discounted purchases would be most at risk here. OPEC+ spare capacity can provide the stabilizing force," he other markets, stocks dived and there was a rush to safe havens such as gold and the Swiss franc."A key question is whether the Iranian retaliation will be limited to Israel or if the leadership will seek to internationalize the cost of tonight's action by targeting bases and critical economic infrastructure across the wider region," RBC Capital analyst Helima Croft said in a note.

Reliance Industries shares slip 2% as brent crude tops $75/bbl on Israel-Iran conflict
Reliance Industries shares slip 2% as brent crude tops $75/bbl on Israel-Iran conflict

Economic Times

timean hour ago

  • Economic Times

Reliance Industries shares slip 2% as brent crude tops $75/bbl on Israel-Iran conflict

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