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32 minutes ago
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EU-US Trade Agreement Now Hinges Mostly on Trump's Verdict
(Bloomberg) -- After months of intensive talks and shuttle diplomacy, a trade agreement between the European Union and the US now rests mostly on Donald Trump. Trump Awards $1.26 Billion Contract to Build Biggest Immigrant Detention Center in US The High Costs of Trump's 'Big Beautiful' New Car Loan Deduction Can This Bridge Ease the Troubled US-Canadian Relationship? Salt Lake City Turns Winter Olympic Bid Into Statewide Bond Boom Trump Administration Sues NYC Over Sanctuary City Policy European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will travel to Scotland to meet the US president on Sunday, as the two sides aim to conclude a deal ahead of Friday's deadline, at which point 30% tariffs on the bloc's exports to the US are otherwise due to kick in. 'Intensive negotiations at technical and political have been ongoing,' said Paula Pinho, von der Leyen's spokesperson. 'Leaders will now take stock and consider the scope for a balanced outcome that provides stability and predictability for businesses and consumers on both sides of the Atlantic.' EU officials have repeatedly cautioned that a deal ultimately rests with Trump, making the final outcome difficult to predict. The US president recently negotiated with Japan and appeared to change certain final terms on the fly before a deal was eventually agreed earlier this week. The EU and US have been zeroing in on an agreement over the past week that would see the EU face 15% tariffs on most of its trade with the US. Limited exemptions are expected for aviation, some medical devices and generic medicines, several spirits, and a specific set of manufacturing equipment that the US needs, Bloomberg previously reported. Steel and aluminum imports would likely benefit from a quota under the arrangements under discussion, but above that threshold they would face a higher tariff of 50%. Alongside a universal levy, the US president has hit cars and auto parts with a 25% levy, and steel and aluminum with double that. He's also threatened to target pharmaceuticals and semiconductors with new duties as early as next month, and recently announced a 50% tariff on copper. The EU is expecting the same 15% ceiling on some sectors that could be the target of future tariffs, including pharmaceuticals, according to people familiar with the matter. But that's one of the key points where Trump's position will be crucial to a deal being sealed, the people added. 'We'll see if we make a deal,' Trump said as he arrived in Scotland on Friday. 'Ursula will be here, highly respected woman. So we look forward to that.' Trump reiterated that he believed there's 'a 50-50 chance' of a deal with the EU, saying there were sticking points on 'maybe 20 different things' that he didn't want to detail publicly. 'That would be actually the biggest deal of them all if we make it,' the president said. Trump gave similar chances of an agreement with European negotiators before leaving Washington, but also said the EU had a 'pretty good chance' of reaching an agreement. The US president announced tariffs on almost all US trading partners in April, declaring his intent to bring back domestic manufacturing, pay for a massive tax-cut extension, and stop the rest of the world from — as Trump has characterized it — taking advantage of the US. In addition to levies, any agreement would cover non-tariff barriers, cooperation on economic security matters, and strategic purchases by the EU in sectors such as energy and artificial intelligence chips, Bloomberg previously reported. The bloc has also offered to remove tariffs on many industrial goods and non-sensitive agricultural imports. The terms of any initial deal, which is likely to take the form of a short joint statement if agreed upon, would need to be approved by member states, some of the people said. The statement would be seen as a stepping stone toward more detailed talks. Because of the ongoing uncertainty, the EU has in parallel sketched out countermeasures in the event of a no-deal scenario. That would see it quickly hit American exports with up to 30% tariffs on some €100 billion ($117 billion) worth of goods — including Boeing Co. aircraft, US-made cars and bourbon whiskey — in the event of a no-deal, and if Trump carries through with his threat to impose that rate on most of the bloc's exports after Aug. 1 or in future. The package also includes some export restrictions on scrap metals. In a no-deal scenario, the bloc is also prepared to move forward with its anti-coercion instrument, a potent trade tool that would eventually allow it to target other areas such as market access, services and restrictions on public contracts, provided a majority of member states backs its use. While Trump didn't explicitly link negotiations to non-trade matters on Friday, he did suggest that he planned to raise concerns over migration flows. Trump has imposed strict anti-immigration policies since returning to office, carrying out a mass deportation effort of those in the US illegally while also narrowing pathways to legally move to the US. 'You got to stop this horrible invasion that's happening to Europe, many countries in Europe,' Trump said, adding that he believed 'this immigration is killing Europe.' --With assistance from Josh Wingrove. Burning Man Is Burning Through Cash Confessions of a Laptop Farmer: How an American Helped North Korea's Wild Remote Worker Scheme It's Not Just Tokyo and Kyoto: Tourists Descend on Rural Japan Elon Musk's Empire Is Creaking Under the Strain of Elon Musk A Rebel Army Is Building a Rare-Earth Empire on China's Border ©2025 Bloomberg L.P. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
an hour ago
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I Asked ChatGTP What Trump's China Deal Means for the Middle Class — Here's What It Said
Rapidly shifting pieces have been synonymous with President Trump's trade policy — China included, according to AP News. Chinese producers sell more than $400 billion worth of goods in the U.S. annually, per Reuters. In order to help orient ourselves within all the changes right now, here's what ChatGTP said President Trump's latest deal with China means for middle-class finances. Check Out: For You: Tariff Reductions Are Partial, Short-Term Relief Tariffs aren't gone, but middle-class households face partial relief because of tariff reductions. A deal slashed U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%, according to Time Magazine. However, an average American family would still face a net hike of $2,300 to $2,800 a year in additional tariff-related costs. Trending Now: Consumer Prices Are Still Elevated Consumers continue to pay higher for everyday items, including electronics, clothing and appliances due to residual tariff burdens. Tariffs work like regressive taxes with those in the middle-class paying a larger share of income, per Bloomberg. Inflation and Reduced Purchasing Power Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases tied to tariffs could hit 1.3% to 2.3%, depending on whether all planned tariffs take effect, per Barron's. This is equivalent to a loss of $1,900 to $3,800 in real purchasing power per household annually. Uncertainty Hinders Business and Hiring Amidst pronounced uncertainty, businesses and consumers alike may be less inclined to make big changes or commitment. 'The stop-start nature of tariff implementation slows corporate investment, especially in manufacturing — limiting job growth and wage pressure. Consumer confidence can waver amid this uncertainty,' ChatGPT said. Risk of Retaliation and Spillover Any potential repercussions don't end just because tariffs end. Chinese retaliatory tariffs on U.S. exports could hit middle-class related industries, including autos, agriculture and manufacturing, leading to layoffs or price hikes. 'Ongoing tit-for-tat risks mean future prices and employment could shift again,' ChatGPT explained. So, What Are Your Next Moves? ChatGPT had four suggestions for what to do right now: Budget for inflation in your essential expenses, including groceries, clothes and electronics. Lock in rates for mortgage and loans sooner rather than later as uncertainty may affect financial markets. Track CPI and Fed signals. These reflect tariff-driven inflation trends. Diversify income streams to guard against local job or wage hits. Editor's note on political coverage: GOBankingRates is nonpartisan and strives to cover all aspects of the economy objectively and present balanced reports on politically focused finance stories. You can find more coverage of this topic on More From GOBankingRates Mark Cuban Warns of 'Red Rural Recession' -- 4 States That Could Get Hit Hard 7 Tax Loopholes the Rich Use To Pay Less and Build More Wealth 5 Cities You Need To Consider If You're Retiring in 2025 This article originally appeared on I Asked ChatGTP What Trump's China Deal Means for the Middle Class — Here's What It Said Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
I Asked ChatGTP What Trump's China Deal Means for the Middle Class — Here's What It Said
Rapidly shifting pieces have been synonymous with President Trump's trade policy — China included, according to AP News. Chinese producers sell more than $400 billion worth of goods in the U.S. annually, per Reuters. In order to help orient ourselves within all the changes right now, here's what ChatGTP said President Trump's latest deal with China means for middle-class finances. Check Out: For You: Tariff Reductions Are Partial, Short-Term Relief Tariffs aren't gone, but middle-class households face partial relief because of tariff reductions. A deal slashed U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%, according to Time Magazine. However, an average American family would still face a net hike of $2,300 to $2,800 a year in additional tariff-related costs. Trending Now: Consumer Prices Are Still Elevated Consumers continue to pay higher for everyday items, including electronics, clothing and appliances due to residual tariff burdens. Tariffs work like regressive taxes with those in the middle-class paying a larger share of income, per Bloomberg. Inflation and Reduced Purchasing Power Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases tied to tariffs could hit 1.3% to 2.3%, depending on whether all planned tariffs take effect, per Barron's. This is equivalent to a loss of $1,900 to $3,800 in real purchasing power per household annually. Uncertainty Hinders Business and Hiring Amidst pronounced uncertainty, businesses and consumers alike may be less inclined to make big changes or commitment. 'The stop-start nature of tariff implementation slows corporate investment, especially in manufacturing — limiting job growth and wage pressure. Consumer confidence can waver amid this uncertainty,' ChatGPT said. Risk of Retaliation and Spillover Any potential repercussions don't end just because tariffs end. Chinese retaliatory tariffs on U.S. exports could hit middle-class related industries, including autos, agriculture and manufacturing, leading to layoffs or price hikes. 'Ongoing tit-for-tat risks mean future prices and employment could shift again,' ChatGPT explained. So, What Are Your Next Moves? ChatGPT had four suggestions for what to do right now: Budget for inflation in your essential expenses, including groceries, clothes and electronics. Lock in rates for mortgage and loans sooner rather than later as uncertainty may affect financial markets. Track CPI and Fed signals. These reflect tariff-driven inflation trends. Diversify income streams to guard against local job or wage hits. Editor's note on political coverage: GOBankingRates is nonpartisan and strives to cover all aspects of the economy objectively and present balanced reports on politically focused finance stories. You can find more coverage of this topic on More From GOBankingRates Mark Cuban Warns of 'Red Rural Recession' -- 4 States That Could Get Hit Hard 7 Tax Loopholes the Rich Use To Pay Less and Build More Wealth 5 Cities You Need To Consider If You're Retiring in 2025 This article originally appeared on I Asked ChatGTP What Trump's China Deal Means for the Middle Class — Here's What It Said Sign in to access your portfolio