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Forrester warns of deepfakes & AI extortion in 2025 threats

Forrester warns of deepfakes & AI extortion in 2025 threats

Techday NZ30-04-2025

A report by Forrester has identified the top cybersecurity threats anticipated to impact organisations and security teams in 2025.
The Forrester report, entitled "The Top Cybersecurity Threats in 2025," outlines five key risks confronting companies, ranging from global regulatory upheavals to the proliferation of high-quality deepfakes and the rise of advanced extortion schemes powered by generative AI (GenAI).
According to Forrester, the first major threat area concerns global regulatory disruptions. In its 2024 Business Risk Survey, 24% of enterprise risk management leaders cited regulatory changes as a top concern. The report notes that shifting global regulations are contributing to a complex compliance environment. Organisations must pay particular attention to those requirements currently enforceable, including major regimes such as the European Union's AI Act, the Digital Operations Resilience Act (DORA), and the forthcoming CMMC 2.0 requirements. Forrester states, "With so much regulatory change, organisations must focus on compliance change management and prioritise requirements that are being enforced now."
The second threat highlighted in the report is the danger posed by deepfake technology. The increasing availability and sophistication of tools and algorithms for producing high-quality deepfakes threaten authentication processes, erode trust, and put brand reputations at risk. Forrester emphasises the importance of both end-user education and robust authentication measures in tackling this issue. The report projects, "Forrester anticipates biometrics vendors will allocate 20-30% of R&D budgets to enhance deepfake detection by 2025."
Another listed concern is the potential for so-called "tech exuberance" over generative AI. Forrester warns that the ungoverned deployment of AI without adequate security evaluation and oversight may create fresh vulnerabilities for enterprises. "Organisations must implement a comprehensive AI security strategy that includes discovery, policy enforcement, and detection and response capabilities for real-time detection," Forrester advises.
Economic pressures and their impact on insider risks comprise the fourth area of concern in the report. The ongoing trend of job cuts worldwide has created conditions under which the risk of insider threats is elevated. According to Forrester, "Post-layoff dissatisfaction increases the risk of insider threats as financially stressed employees may turn malicious, leading to data breaches and other security incidents." The report recommends that organisations combine proactive insider risk management with efforts to encourage a positive workplace culture: "A robust insider risk management program combined with initiatives to foster a positive work culture is critical for minimising these threats."
The fifth threat outlined is a shift from traditional ransomware to GenAI-driven extortion schemes. Forrester points to the growing sophistication of such schemes, which now use generative AI for advanced sentiment analysis as part of broader data breach strategies. To address these threats, Forrester says, "Businesses must adopt a holistic Zero Trust approach and consider investing in phishing-resistant multifactor authentication and passkeys, data loss prevention tools, and ongoing employee training to counteract these threats."
With cybercriminal tactics continuing to evolve and regulatory requirements growing in complexity, the report indicates that security teams will need to adopt multi-faceted and adaptive cybersecurity strategies to prepare for the year ahead. The full Forrester report provides detailed analysis and specific recommendations for Chief Information Security Officers and risk management leaders navigating these developments.
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Interrupted by illness during her early schooling: 'I became very sick and had to leave school in Grade 5', because they had not enough money for treatment. She experienced firsthand the long-term impact of an education cut short. Now, every morning as she feeds their fish at the family ponds, she reminds her children of the importance of seizing every opportunity: 'I tell my children, 'You must do well to have a good future.'' Her determined voice, tempered by past hardships, fuels the hope that her children will break free of the limitations that once defined her lives. A Transformative Partnership Change began with the arrival of the EU-STREIT PNG Programme, an initiative aimed at reviving key agricultural value chains such as cocoa, fisheries, and vanilla. Funded by the European Union and implemented by FAO, ILO, ITU, UNCDF, and UNDP, the Programme is designed to improve these sectors by addressing gaps from production to market. The Programme provided vital technical training, agricultural inputs, and cocoa value chain support that had long been unaffordable or inaccessible to the villagers. Maka's farmers gained access to pest-tolerant seedlings, polybags, shed cloth, essential farming tools, nursery materials, and fermentary kits, alongside training in cocoa budding, block management, harvesting, post-harvesting as well as business development and management. Through this support, 40 farmers from the community were enabled to plant 4,033 pest-tolerant cloned cocoa seedlings, which transformed their rundown block fields into productive plots. These resources were more than just physical tools, they symbolized a renewed hope. Reflecting on support received, Joseph recalls, 'When I saw these things, I was very happy.' Building on the Programme's agricultural initiatives in cocoa, support was also extended to aquaculture within the community. In June 2024, the Programme supported Joseph and Damia to stock 400 fingerlings in their only fishpond, initiating aquaculture freshwater fish farming. Within 6–7 months, the fish matured quickly, leading to a high fingerling production rate, allowing the family to expand their fishpond from one to three, and to distribute 50–100 fingerlings to cluster groups and individuals in surrounding area. This expansion, driven by Programme intervention, is strengthening fish farming in Maka, increasing profitability and nutrition for involved households. This blend of expertise and resources empowered Maka's farmers to adopt sustainable, climate-smart practices, setting them on a path toward long-term prosperity. Revitalizing Production and Market Access One of the Programme's greatest achievements was restoring market access for Maka's agricultural produce. 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As the first articulation of the Strategy in Papua New Guinea, the Programme enhances market access for remote farmers by improving transport links, expanding digital tools for real-time farming advice and weather alerts, and promoting clean energy use. These 'smart, clean, and secure' solutions reduce transaction costs, boost productivity, and strengthen food security and incomes, delivering tangible impact in line with the EU's global development vision. About the EU-STREIT PNG Programme The EU-STREIT PNG Programme, is the European Union's largest grant-funded initiative in the country being implemented as a United Nations Joint Programme by FAO, ILO, ITU, UNCDF and UNDP. It focuses on boosting sustainable and inclusive economic development in rural areas. This is achieved by FAO's support in enhancing economic returns and opportunities within cocoa, vanilla, and fisheries value chains. Additionally, the Programme strengthens and improves the efficiency of value chain enablers, including access to Information & Communication Technology (ICT) by the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) and digital financial services by UNCDF. ILO also supports the development of sustainable, climate-resilient roads and other transport infrastructures while UNDP provides renewable energy solutions. The Programme directly benefits two provinces: East Sepik and West Sepik.

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