
Map Reveals Path of Potential Tropical Storm Dalila
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources.
Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content.
A forecast map from the National Hurricane Center has tracked a developing system in the eastern Pacific that's poised to strengthen into a tropical storm.
If it does, it will take the name Tropical Storm Dalila.
Why It Matters
The 2025 eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15 and has already seen the formation of Tropical Storms Alvin, Barbara and Cosme. Dalila, which is expected to form on Friday, would become the fourth named storm system of the season.
The NHC said the system could bring periods of heavy rainfall to parts of Mexico—including the states of Guerrero, Michoacán and Colima—through the weekend. These downpours may lead to localized flooding and mudslides, particularly in steep terrain.
What To Know
The NHC's map indicates the system will track north and west parallel with Mexico's southwestern coast.
Designated a potential tropical cyclone at the time of writing, the system is anticipated to strengthen and reach tropical storm status later on Friday, according to the agency.
This map from the National Hurricane Center shows the predicted path for Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E, which is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Dalila.
This map from the National Hurricane Center shows the predicted path for Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E, which is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Dalila.
National Hurricane Center
Forecasters at Fox Weather said the system was forecast to follow a path much like Barbara's, which quickly weakened as it moved north over cooler waters. Similarly, the outlet anticipated that Dalila would have limited effects on land.
The NHC said tropical storm watches were in effect for the coast of southwestern Mexico.
What People Are Saying
National Hurricane Center Pacific said in a Friday morning update on X, formerly Twitter: "Potential Tropical Cyclone #Four-E Advisory 3: Disturbance Expected to Become a Tropical Storm Later Today. Tropical Storm Watch Remains in Effect For the Coast Of Southwestern Mexico."
Meteorologist Phil Ferro wrote on X on Thursday: "Thursday Evening Potential Storm 4-E Advisory & Cone. It's forecast to become a full tropical storm Friday. It will be named Dalila. It should run into a high pressure dome, bounce off it, and get redirected away from Western Mexico."
Meteorologist Ryan Maue wrote on X on Thursday: "A tropical storm (Dalila) will form in the next 48-hours off southern coast of Mexico in the Eastern Pacific and probably become a hurricane."
AccuWeather senior meteorologist Tom Kines previously told Newsweek: "There's no doubt three named storms so early is highly unusual. The first hurricane doesn't usually occur until last week of June."
What Happens Next
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is predicting a likely below-normal season this year in the eastern Pacific, with 12 to 18 named storms expected. Of those, five to 10 may strengthen into hurricanes, and two to five could reach major hurricane status.
The 2025 eastern Pacific hurricane season runs through November 30.
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Newsweek
7 hours ago
- Newsweek
Tropical Storm Dalila Rainfall Map Shows Where Mexico Might Get Hit Hardest
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Tropical Storm Dalila is expected to drop up to 9 inches of rain along Mexico's southwestern coast through Sunday morning, with National Hurricane Center (NHC) experts warning of mudslides and flooding. Newsweek reached out to the NHC by email for comment. Why It Matters The Eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15 and has seen a very active start. Tropical Storm Alvin kicked off the season in late May, followed by Hurricane Barbara and Tropical Storm Cosme. All three storms formed before the average first date of June 10 for a named storm in the region. Now, the fourth storm, Tropical Storm Dalila, is strengthening off the southwestern coast of Mexico. A map from the National Hurricane Center shows possible rainfall amounts in Mexico this weekend. A map from the National Hurricane Center shows possible rainfall amounts in Mexico this weekend. National Hurricane Center What To Know Maximum sustained winds have reached 40 mph, and forecasters anticipate that the storm will continue strengthening into Saturday. The NHC anticipates that Dalila will take a western trek away from land and further into the Pacific Ocean. However, the storm is close enough to southwestern Mexico that some indirect land impacts are anticipated. One of the biggest will be heavy rain. A rainfall forecast map published by the NHC shows that the heaviest rain is expected in coastal regions of Guerrero and Michoacan De Ocampo. "Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are expected across portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima through Sunday morning, with localized amounts up to 9 inches near the coast," NHC said in the forecast. "This rainfall will lead to areas of flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain near the coast." In addition to heavy rainfall, the storm is causing high swells in the Pacific Ocean that will affect parts of the southwestern Mexico coast over the weekend. "These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions," a forecast from the NHC said. What People Are Saying An NHC forecast: "A turn toward the northwest is expected later today, with a turn toward the west forecast by Sunday. On the forecast track, Dalila is forecast to move parallel to, but offshore of, the southwestern coast of Mexico. "Dalila is a large system. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center." AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski, in a report: "Beyond Dalila, another area could develop between June 17 and 20. This area of concern would be farther to the east, likely just offshore of the far southern coast of Mexico or even just offshore of Guatemala, but would likely take a similar track." What Happens Next Tropical Storm Dalila is expected to begin weakening later this weekend. Forecasts anticipate that it will be a post-tropical depression by Monday.
Yahoo
8 hours ago
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Dalila forms in Eastern Pacific
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UPI
8 hours ago
- UPI
New tropical storm forms in Pacific as Atlantic basin remains dormant
AccuWeather's Enhanced RealVue™ Satellite of Tropical Depression 4-E south of Mexico on Friday afternoon. (AccuWeather) The eastern Pacific Ocean has spawned a new tropical storm, Dalila, which will swipe southern Mexico with flooding downpours and gusty winds. Meanwhile, the Atlantic basin remains dormant for now, but AccuWeather hurricane experts say it may spring to life during the second half of the month. The East Pacific is quickly gaining momentum following a slow start to the season, which officially began on May 15. Four storms have been named since May 28 -- Alvin, Barbara, Cosme and now Dalila. Dalila, which AccuWeather identified as a tropical rainstorm ahead of all other known sources on Thursday, was designated Tropical Depression 4-E by the National Hurricane Center on Friday morning before quickly being upgraded to a tropical storm. "Rain and wind from Dalila is likely to skirt the western coast of Mexico through this weekend before the storm moves westward into the open waters of the Pacific," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. Most of the wind associated with the tropical storm will stay offshore, but gusts can occasionally reach 40-60 mph along the immediate southern coastline of Mexico. The most significant impact in the region will be in the form of rain, with a swath of 2-4 inches expected with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 8 inches. Flooding and mudslides can occur, especially since this zone recently got hit with tropical downpours from Barbara. Due to flooding rain and gusty winds, Tropical Storm Dalila is rated less than one on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes in Mexico. "Beyond Dalila, another area could develop between June 17 and 20. This area of concern would be farther to the east, likely just offshore of the far southern coast of Mexico or even just offshore of Guatemala, but would likely take a similar track," Pydynowski said. When will the Atlantic basin spring to life? Copious amounts of wind shear and dry, dusty air from the Sahara Desert have put a lid on tropical development in the Atlantic Ocean since the start of the basin's hurricane season on June 1. "There are some signs that tropical development could occur later in the month, however, just east of the Yucatan Peninsula or in the Bay of Campeche, between June 17 and 21," Pydynowski said. Even if a tropical depression or storm does not organize, tropical downpours are expected to frequent portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico into late June, which can enhance the risk of flooding and mudslides. "Any potential tropical depression or storm would likely be short-lived and remain mainly south of the United States, but some of its tropical moisture could be drawn northward into South Texas, even if there is no organized tropical development," Pydynowski said. AccuWeather is expecting a near- to above-historical-average Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season for 2025. Between three and six named tropical cyclones are forecast to directly impact the U.S.