
Commentary: With 6 months left as chair, Malaysia should double down on the 40-year ASEAN Power Grid dream
KUALA LUMPUR: One way to understand how the Association of Southeast Nations (ASEAN) works is to look at the 46th ASEAN Summit 's gala dinner on May 26. The night was a cultural tour de force, led by the world-renowned Malaysian Philharmonic Orchestra, unleashing not only the heritage of the host nation, Malaysia - in songs, costumes, dance - but also each of the other member states.
The highest diplomatic point happened at the midpoint of the dinner. Three Malaysian singers broke into a medley of folk songs from every ASEAN country: the classic Sabai Sabai of Thailand, love ballad Pka Sla of Cambodia, archipelago Rasa Sayang of Indonesia, gentle Dok Champa of Laos, radio-favourite Shwe Pyi Tike of Myanmar, harmonious Bayan Ko of the Philippines, famous Home of Singapore, up-tempo Trong Com of Vietnam, recognisable Adai-Adai of Brunei, patriotic Sejahtera Malaysia of Malaysia, and Oh, Oh Timor of soon-to-be member Timor-Leste.
Leaders smiled and cheered when they heard their songs. Thai Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra took out her camera and recorded before giving the thumbs up; Timor-Leste Prime Minister Kay Rala Xanana Gusmao cheered and waved his flag.
Southeast Asia is about respecting differences, and the prerequisite of any collaboration is trust. Every country needs to feel like they are heard and have a place. No country is more important than the other. This is also why ASEAN has always been perceived as friendly but fragmented, progress stable but stalling.
A TURNING POINT FOR ASEAN?
When Malaysia took over the rotating chairmanship in 2025, many hoped it would usher in a new era of regional cooperation and decisive action. The timing seemed right.
Geopolitical tensions necessitated stronger regional trade and integration. New leaders of member states seemed to agree on core economic growth items such as green energy, digitalisation and trade.
The new chair, led by Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, also seemed to command respect from others. Mr Anwar's mix of decades-long international network and personal charisma is unquestioned. ASEAN's rising middle class is ripe for an institutional turning point.
However, a one-year timeline to coordinate structural changes in a loose regional system is overwhelming. Other member states may not have the same urgency for regional victory as the host nation, as domestic issues typically dominate leaders' day-to-day.
United States President Donald Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariffs threw off the world, with a baseline 10 per cent for most countries, including Singapore, and as much as 49 per cent for Cambodia. ASEAN countries scrambled for bilateral carve-outs, amid stock market rout and currency declines, instead of adopting a bloc-wide approach.
The sobering truth is that ASEAN concerns come second after domestic concerns. This is not unique to ASEAN; it is the reality of every loose non-integrated bloc. Against this backdrop, any lasting legacy-building work for ASEAN must be of equal or more importance to their domestic issues.
ASEAN POWER GRID
With six months left as chair, Malaysia would do well to double down on the ASEAN Power Grid (APG) development, a project that has the potential to deliver structural, lasting impact.
Almost every region has plans for something similar. Europe (ENTSO-e), Southern Africa (SAPP), Central America (SIEPAC), Central Asia (CASA-100), and even Australia to Singapore.
A supergrid for the region effectively makes borders invisible, creating superhighways for electrons to pass through land and sea, so that clean energy from the mountains and desert can power the city lights in another country.
Kuala Lumpur and Bangkok's midday solar energy could be complemented by Mekong River's hydro energy at night. Indonesian and Filipino geothermal power could backstop variable changes of Ho Chi Minh, Manila and Singapore.
For the ordinary person, this would promise cheaper bills, fewer blackouts, cleaner air, new jobs and higher income.
Countries such as Vietnam, Laos, Indonesia and Myanmar that export clean energy can earn foreign revenue with reliable buyers. Transit states like Thailand, Malaysia, Brunei pocket the wheeling charges (fees paid to transmit electricity through a grid) to fund grid upgrades. Import-heavy sites (Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, Ho Chi Minh, Manila) secure clean, stable electricity and hedge against global fuel shocks.
Although the APG idea was mooted as early as 1981, it went through a slow burn where progress was limited to research and interconnection builds. The first real demonstration was in 2018 when 100 megawatts (MW) of Laos hydropower slipped through the existing Thai gridlines and landed in Malaysia. It was the first time three ASEAN countries' power systems traded across borders. Wheeling charges, grid codes, legal agreements and political will made it happen.
Then it went further. Singapore joined in. This time, with Thailand and Malaysia acting as the wheeling states. 100MW from Laos to the island state. Then 200MW, and talks went as far as 300MW.
Now a fifth country, Vietnam, might join in a big way.
MAKING THINGS HAPPEN
Perhaps the most important agreement signed at the 46th ASEAN meeting is the potential Vietnam-Malaysia-Singapore project to transmit offshore wind energy from Vietnam to Malaysia and Singapore. This means that on top of the Laos-Thailand-Malaysia-Singapore transmission over land, we might have another subsea cable transmission from Vietnam to Malaysia and Singapore.
Granted, these infrastructure projects take time to build. Even feasibility studies typically take months to years. However, there are a few structural changes that could be completed by Malaysia in a few months to leave a legacy as ASEAN chair.
First, set a transparent wheeling charges formula. Now, most deals are negotiated from scratch on a case-by-case basis, resulting in protracted timelines. While a 'reasonable' rate varies widely, adopting best practices from other supergrids, like Southern African Power Pool may expedite this process. Rather than imposing exact rates, the formula could agree on key components, such as the proportion of network used, age of assets and replacement cost, and allowance for maintenance and operational costs. Analysts have widely agreed that this is one of the most consequential items for the APG.
Second, expand the capacity target for Laos-Thailand-Malaysia-Singapore Power Integration Project. Part of the reason this pilot did not progress further is also due to the lack of transparent wheeling charges formula. If this can be solved, setting a capacity target higher than 300MW is important as a showcase of what the APG could become. The critical paperwork is already in place - they could be boilerplates for others. Scaling from here is easier than any new project.
Third, a fully funded tripartite feasibility study (Vietnam-Malaysia-Singapore) with a time-bound path to a term sheet. Based on other similar projects, a concept-to-term-sheet timeline is typically four to six years. While it can't be achieved within this ASEAN term, the most important thing to do is to ensure feasibility study is started, with the backing of governments and multilateral development banks. If political and technical certainty can be secured, the remainder terms would be more mechanical than existential.
In regional cooperation, the most difficult thing to do is to search for something concrete. Broad base frameworks set an umbrella of goodwill for discussions, but they must be translated into something tangible and beneficial to all involved.
The APG still remains the highest leverage item for ASEAN, and it could potentially set off a series of deeper cooperation between nations. At the very least, it could be the very few items that would make many member states care more than their domestic issues.
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CNA
8 hours ago
- CNA
Polish President Duda concludes state visit to Singapore to reaffirm bilateral and business ties
SINGAPORE: Polish President Andrzej Duda on Friday (Jun 13) concluded a three-day state visit to Singapore, which marked a significant milestone in ties between the two nations. He is the first Polish president to visit Singapore in over 20 years. Singapore's Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that the visit reaffirms the growing ties between the two countries. Mr Duda was received by Singapore's President Tharman Shanmugaratnam at Parliament House on Thursday, where he inspected a guard of honour contingent. The two presidents spoke about collaboration in areas like port and logistics development, agri-food exports to Singapore, and sustainable energy. They also discussed global geopolitical and security developments. At a state banquet hosted in Mr Duda's honour, Mr Tharman said bilateral trade has grown significantly, and there is much more that both sides can do to capitalise on each other's roles as hubs within their respective regions. "There is a Polish saying that goes 'grain by grain, the measure will be filled',' said President Tharman. 'Step by step, we will build a meaningful relationship. And that epitomises the way we are going about our strategic relationship.' Mr Duda expressed Poland's intent to deepen its engagement in the region. 'My visit is a confirmation of Poland's growing presence in Southeast Asia and its interest in developing comprehensive relations with the countries of the region,' he added. 'Singapore has long been a key partner for Poland in this region, and we will wish for our relations to rise to a new, much higher level.' The two leaders encouraged businesses to explore investments in each other's countries. There are around 170 Polish companies in Singapore, while Singapore also invests significantly in Poland's transport and logistics sector. Since the EU-Singapore Free Trade Agreement (EUSFTA) came into force in 2019, bilateral goods trade between Singapore and Poland has grown by 50 per cent, reaching a high of nearly S$1.7 billion (US$1.3 billion) last year. BUSINESS TIES During the Singapore-Poland Business Forum on Friday, Minister-in-charge of Trade Relations Grace Fu highlighted the importance of like-minded partners like Singapore and Poland in creating opportunities for growth. Both nations should also bolster the rules-based trading system through economic agreements, she added. 'Poland and Singapore share robust and growing bilateral economic relations, anchored by EUSFTA,' she said. "Creating new avenues for growth and innovation is another important way to economic success. Singapore and Poland have complementary strengths and needs in sectors such as food and digital technology, creating scope for new partnerships.' Mr Duda also identified several areas for future collaboration, including the digital economy, food security, infrastructure and logistics. 'Singapore's logistics and port operators are global leaders. There is definitely room for partnerships in warehousing, freight and trade facilitation between Europe and Asia,' he said. During his trip, Mr Duda also visited ST Engineering and port operator PSA International. NEW POLISH PRESIDENT Mr Duda and his wife, First Lady Agata Kornhauser-Duda, were also presented with a new orchid hybrid – the Genus Andrzej and Agata Duda – at the National Orchid Garden. Mr Duda's visit comes near the end of his second five-year term, which is set to conclude in August. He will be succeeded by historian Karol Nawrocki. Polish Ambassador to Singapore Tadeusz Chomicki said he expects continuity from the new president for foreign policies regarding Asia and Singapore. 'They come from the same political background. When it comes to foreign policy, our activities, especially in the Asia Pacific region, there is no difference between the parties,' he told CNA938. 'We all see big opportunities and potential, between Poland and a number of countries in Asia.' Before arriving in Singapore, the Polish president was in Malaysia for a three-day official visit. Mr Duda described his tour as an effort to encourage potential regional investors to look to Poland. 'Poland has witnessed rapid development in the last years. The Polish economy is getting more robust and strong,' he said. 'We are proponents of the most open trade and the possible most open way to transport goods. I would like Poland to have the best possible relations, to have as many contacts as possible in the trade sphere.' ON UKRAINE AND MILITARY SPENDING During a wide-ranging interview with CNA, Mr Duda said his country is extremely concerned about the war in neighbouring Ukraine. 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CNA
10 hours ago
- CNA
Indonesia's multi-nation fighter jet fleet may expand with China's cheaper J-10s, but what price might it pay?
JAKARTA: Indonesia could become the only country outside China and Pakistan to operate the Chinese J-10 fighter jets if it takes up a sales offer from Beijing, but analysts say it's a decision that the Southeast Asian nation should weigh carefully. They add that the deal could jeopardise Indonesia's neutrality and credibility over the South China Sea issue, trigger an arms race in the region, and risk its airforce's operational readiness, with one observer warning that it could serve China's long-term strategic goals more than Indonesia's own interests. Earlier this month, media reports confirmed that China offered to sell its J-10 fighter jets to Jakarta, citing remarks from Deputy Defence Minister Donny Ermawan Taufanto. Interests in purchasing the Chinese planes intensified after reports that a J-10 flown by Pakistan shot down multiple jets operated by India last month, including newly-acquired French-made Rafale fighter jets. On May 30, Indonesian Defence Minister Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin announced that Jakarta would be sending several military pilots to China 'for a J-10 fighter jet training' and visiting its production facility in Chengdu. The price may be J-10s' biggest selling point for Indonesia, particularly as the country is imposing a number of austerity measures to finance President Prabowo Subianto's ambitious programmes of providing free meals and affordable housing to millions of Indonesians. But the downsides may outweigh the benefits, analysts said, arguing that a closer military alignment with China is bound to provoke mixed reactions at home and abroad. 'Indonesia really needs to tread carefully and base its decision not just on short-term gains but how the decision might affect our long-term security interests,' Khairul Fahmi of the think-tank Institute for Security and Strategic Studies (ISESS) told CNA. China has reportedly been persuading Southeast Asia's biggest economy to buy the jets numerous times. The latest was when the Indonesian Air Force chief of staff, Air Marshal Mohamad Tonny Harjono and other high-ranking officials visited the China International Aviation & Aerospace Exhibition in Zhuhai last November. 'At the airshow, (the Indonesian officials) saw the (J-10) planes and they were offered to buy them,' Donny, himself a retired air marshal, told reporters on Jun 4, as quoted by CNN Indonesia. 'This is a good plane, it meets the criteria we set and the price is cheap. So why not?' But striking such a deal with Beijing could affect Indonesia's ties with existing military partners as the majority of them view China as a threat to their security and stability, said experts. Beijing's encroachment of Indonesia's exclusive economic zone in the South China Sea has fuelled anti-China sentiments back home. Jakarta has been looking to modernise its ageing military hardware in recent years as well as diversify its defence suppliers. In 2022, Indonesia purchased 42 Rafale jets for US$8.1 billion. The first six of these French jets are slated for delivery next year. Costing up to US$120 million for its most basic model, the Rafale is one of the most expensive fighter jets in the world. Meanwhile, the J-10, which like the Rafale is considered a 4.5-generation aircraft, is said to be priced at around US$40 million each. Both may cost more with optional extras such as training or infrastructure packages. Fighter jet generations are classed according to their capabilities, performance and year of development. Currently, fifth-generation fighters are the most technologically advanced jets. Indonesia currently has a total of 110 fighter planes made in various countries including the United States's F-16, Russia's Su-27 and Su-30, Brazil's EMB-314 Super Tucano and the United Kingdom's BAE Hawk 200. 'Indonesia has been seeking to diversify its fleet to reduce dependence on a particular country or bloc,' Beni Sukadis of the Jakarta-based think-tank, the Indonesian Institute for Defence and Strategic Studies (Lesperssi), told CNA. It is also said to have inked a deal with Turkey to procure 48 KAAN fighter jets, developed by the Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI), Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan said in an X post on Wednesday (Jun 11). The deal is reportedly valued at more than US$10 billion and will span over the course of 10 years. It also includes the co-production of some KAAN jet components in Indonesia. Launched last year, the KAAN is considered a fifth-generation fighter jet. DRAWBACKS AND POTENTIAL BACKLASH So far, Indonesia has remained tight-lipped about its interests in the J-10, including whether it is eyeing brand new J-10Cs or a few of the J-10As which China's People's Liberation Army Air Force is looking to retire. The J-10 has three main models: J10A, B and C with the J-10A being the oldest and most basic and the J-10C being the latest and most advanced. All models have the same maximum speed of Mach 1.8 and a range of 1,850km. The latest model however has more advanced radars, better stealth capabilities and other improvements. The jets involved in the Pakistan-India standoff were the export variant of the J-10C. Mach is used as a unit of measurement in stating the speed of a moving object in relation to the speed of sound. For some experts, the secrecy hinted that Indonesia is still unsure about the J-10's capabilities and took the Chinese jets' recent dogfight success with a grain of salt. 'There are many factors behind a dogfight victory: Technologies, battle strategies, pilot's abilities. So it is not just about what jet was used,' Khairul said. 'Indonesia never buys military equipment impulsively.' Experts say how well and how soon Indonesian pilots and ground crew familiarise themselves with Chinese-made military equipment could be a deal-breaker. 'France and the United States are NATO countries. Their military equipment follows NATO standards and more importantly, they are inter-operable,' Beni said. Inter-operability refers to how well equipment manufactured by different countries or companies communicate and work with each other, a crucial feature in areas such as healthcare, public safety and defence. 'Inter-operability also means that a pilot or a technician who is familiar with American jets will not have a hard time familiarising himself with one made by France or the United Kingdom,' Beni continued. 'Buying the J-10 means we will have to send pilots and technicians for training, spare parts will have to come from China and the J-10 might not work well with our radar or communication system which were made by NATO countries.' Security is another thing to consider, particularly as some countries are suspicious of Chinese technologies, believing that they might be designed to allow Beijing to launch cyberattacks or gather intelligence. '(Indonesia) may have close economic ties with China but we don't yet have a strong military relationship with China,' Teuku Rezasyah, an international relations expert from Padjadjaran University, told CNA. 'How well can we trust that China will not use this advanced technology to spy on us?' the expert asked. 'Can we trust the J-10 if we have to send one to the Natunas for example?' Teuku was referring to a chain of islands in Indonesia's Riau Islands province which borders the South China Sea. Beijing is laying claim to most of the South China Sea, prompting disputes and clashes with several Southeast Asian countries. Although Indonesia is not a claimant party in the dispute, China's 'nine-dash line' cuts into Indonesia's exclusive economic zones. REGIONAL STABILITY AT RISK For more than a decade, Indonesia has been championing ASEAN to formulate a code of conduct in the South China Sea. However, apparent divergence between countries with close military ties to China, such as Cambodia and Laos, and those without, such as Vietnam and the Philippines, has made reaching a consensus nearly impossible. 'Indonesia establishing close military ties with China would put into question Indonesia's neutrality and credibility in the South China Sea issue or other disputes involving China,' Teuku said. The international expert also cautioned the possibility of an arms race in the region. Since Indonesia purchased the 4.5-generation Rafale jets, Thailand has announced plans to buy 12 JAS-39E Gripens from Sweden's Saab over the next 10 years while the Philippines has signed a contract to purchase 12 FA-50 Golden Eagles from Korea Aerospace Industries. Like the Rafales, the Gripens is a 4.5-generation fighter jet while the FA-50 is a fourth-generation aircraft which puts it on par with the US F-16. Indonesia is also negotiating the purchase of 24 of the 4.5-generation F-15EX from the US. Its reported agreement with Turkey to purchase KAAN fifth-generation planes would make it the second country in ASEAN to have such advanced fighter jets. Singapore last year announced plans to acquire eight F-35A fighter aircraft, complementing the previously announced purchase of 12 F-35Bs. The US is limiting the sales of the F-35 to a few select countries while restricting the sales of the F-22 outside of the US. Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia have had their request to buy the F-35 rejected on several occasions. Purchasing the J-10, experts say, might one day open the possibility for China to sell its fifth-generation fighters to Indonesia. China currently has two fifth-generation fighter jets: the Chengdu J-20 and the Shenyang J-35. SWEETENING THE DEAL With its comparatively cheap price, the J-10 should in theory be a hit to countries seeking affordable alternatives to Western or Russian jets. But despite being around since 2003, the J-10 is only operated in two countries: China and Pakistan, with the latter receiving their first batch in 2022. Experts say other countries may have their own security and diplomatic concerns. Even after the J-10s reported success in the Pakistan-India standoff, only a handful of countries like Egypt and Colombia are expressing interest in purchasing the Chinese jets. Indonesia – the world's fourth-most populous nation with strong diplomatic clout among developing countries across the globe – buying the J-10 could change all that, say experts. 'Just like China's profile in the transportation industry was lifted by the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed rail project, Indonesia purchasing the Chinese J-10 would immediately boost China's profile as a global defence manufacturer,' Teuku, the international relations expert said. In 2023, Indonesia launched Southeast Asia's first high-speed railway, Whoosh, a joint venture between Indonesian and Chinese firms which was financed mainly by loans from the China Development Bank. Following Whoosh's success, several countries including Vietnam and Pakistan have announced interest in adopting Chinese technologies for their high-speed rail ambitions. To woo Indonesia, experts said China could sweeten the deal by agreeing to buy more Indonesian goods, an enticing proposition amid the threat of a tariff war initiated by US President Donald Trump. China might also offer joint manufacturing or assembly of the J-10, as it did with Pakistan, or promise more investment in other sectors. 'Prabowo realises that Indonesia needs Chinese investment which may ultimately compel him to go ahead with the purchase,' defence expert Beni said. The expert highlighted that during his campaign run last year, Prabowo promised to create 19 million jobs and grow the country's economy by eight per cent annually during his first term. In 2024, Chinese investment in Indonesia reached US$8.1 billion. China injected another US$1.8 billion into the country in the first quarter of 2025. Experts said the final decision will depend on what China has to offer and how much Jakarta is willing to risk in return. 'Only time will tell.'

Straits Times
10 hours ago
- Straits Times
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