ASX rises amid bets for more rate cuts; CBA gains, Mayne tanks
Energy stocks powered ahead as oil prices jumped following a CNN report that new US intelligence suggests Israel is preparing for a potential strike on Iranian nuclear facilities. An attack would add to unrest in the Middle East, which supplies about a third of the world's crude. Brent crude rose above $US66 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate surged as much as 3.5 per cent before paring gains.
Oil and gas giants Woodside and Santos were up 1.2 per cent and 1.3 per cent, respectively.
Defensive sectors such as healthcare and utilities also gained, with pharmacy giant Sigma Healthcare gaining 1.3 per cent and sleep treatments maker ResMed rising 4 per cent. Power company Origin finished up 1 per cent, and gas pipeline provider APA added 0.9 per cent.
The laggards
Home sidings maker James Hardie slumped 6.2 per cent after saying its full-year net profit fell 17 per cent to $US424 million ($659 million) and warned that 'broader macroeconomic uncertainty could further impact the cost of home construction and weigh on consumer sentiment, influencing demand' in the current year. The company makes about 75 per cent of its sales in the US.
Mayne Pharma shares plunged 29.8 per cent after the drugmaker said its US suitor Cosette Pharmaceuticals was claiming Mayne's recent trading performance had triggered a material adverse change in their takeover agreement, which meant they would have to renegotiate for 10 days. If there's no positive outcome for Cosette, the US company plans to terminate the deal at the end of that period. Mayne disputes that a material adverse change has occurred.
Agricultural chemicals supplier Nufarm slumped 30 per cent to $2.81 after it posted a big slide in first-half profit and said it was reviewing the future of its ailing seed technologies business.The lowdown
Lowdown
Market bets for more rate cuts in coming months have ramped up after the Reserve Bank admitted it saw a risk that Donald Trump's tariff war could drive Australia into recession.
At a press conference following the rate call on Tuesday, RBA governor Michele Bullock said the possibility of holding rates steady was quickly cast aside for a debate on how deeply to cut.
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'There was a discussion about 50 [basis points] and 25, and the board was of the view that 25 [basis points] was the right number,' she said.
The comments were more 'dovish' than expected, with the central bank forecasting slower inflation than previously, CommSec chief economist Ryan Felsman noted. His counterpart at CBA, Belinda Allen, said the bank was still predicting two more rate cuts this year, 'but we now expect these to come a little quicker than before, and favour August and September.
'The catalyst for the shift has been the RBA's shift in tone on inflation,' she said.
Financial markets put the chance of a follow-up rate cut at the bank's July meeting at 50-50, while a quarter percentage point cut by August is fully priced in. By early next year, markets believe official interest rates will be down to 3.1 per cent.
'The RBA looks more focused on supporting growth and the job market now as concerns about inflation fade — and that points to more rate cuts ahead,' said Bloomberg Economics Australia economist James McIntyre.
Lower rates ease the mortgage pressure on consumers in the cost-of-living crisis and make it cheaper for companies to borrow money, both of which are positive for corporate profits.
On Wall Street on Tuesday, momentum slowed after the market's rally from a deep hole nearly all the way back to its all-time high set earlier this year. The S&P 500 fell 0.4 per cent for its first drop in seven days, but stayed within 3.3 per cent of its record. The Dow Jones lost 0.3 per cent, and the Nasdaq composite slipped 0.4 per cent.
Tesla closed 0.5 per cent higher as CEO Elon Musk said he's committed to still leading the carmaker five years from now and expects to pare back his political spending, assuaging investor concerns about the future of his most valuable company.
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SBS Australia
31 minutes ago
- SBS Australia
The US president announces a new trade deal with China
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And when it comes to this deal, we're going back to the terms that were agreed upon in Geneva for the release of some of those critical minerals and magnets from China to the United States. We have agreed to fully comply with the Geneva agreement as well." Mr Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping also met last week. The United States Defence agency the Pentagon is reviewing a defence pact with Australia and the United Kingdom. The AUKUS nuclear-powered submarine deal is being assessed to ensure it meets 'America First' criteria. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is preparing to meet with US President Donald Trump, with Mr Trump previously giving reassurances the 386 billion-dollar deal was secure. Labor backbencher MP Ed Husic is seizing on the announcement of sanctions against two Israeli ministers to urge the government to go further. Along with five other countries, including the United Kingdom, the government has put in place sanctions against Israel's National Security Minister, Itamar Ben-Gvir, and its Finance Minister, Bezalel Smotrich. Foreign Minister Penny Wong says the two men have committed grave abuses of Palestinian human rights, and support extremist violence. The United States has criticised the sanctions. But Mr Husic, who has continually called for tougher action against Israel, says the stakes are too high for the government to stop at this point. "It shouldn't be seen as the end point. We'll take into account what actions have to be taken next, but, at this point, welcome this announcement. But again, I think we're going to need to do more, because there are, as I said, too many innocent civilians that have been impacted." Former Greens Senator Dorinda Cox, who has defected to Labor, has accused her former party of racism. 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News.com.au
35 minutes ago
- News.com.au
'More Pounds Please': Nuclear fuel buyers call up uranium miners as shortages loom
Uranium miners have enjoyed catalysts in recent weeks, led by Donald Trump's exec orders But the real story could be contracting as AI demand grows and China looks to become world's top nuclear nation Aura Energy boss Andrew Grove says Mauritania developer is well placed to meet the market There have been catalysts aplenty for the uranium and nuclear markets in recent weeks. On May 23, US President Donald Trump signed four executive orders around nuclear energy, with the main aim being to 'expedite and promote the production and operation of nuclear energy'. Other objectives of the orders were around the deployment of advanced nuclear technologies to support national security objectives, including powering artificial intelligence computing infrastructure and national security installations, the streamlining of nuclear reactor technology, and the reform of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC). The executive orders have been described as the most aggressive US policy on nuclear energy in decades. Another interesting recent development has been the continued emergence of big technology companies as serious nuclear customers. Last week, Facebook owner Meta announced it had signed a 20-year agreement to buy nuclear power from US-based Constellation Energy from 2027. 'This transaction also follows similar nuclear-based power purchase agreements struck by Amazon, Google, Microsoft, etc,' Canaccord Genuity analyst James Bullen said. 'While potentially some way off, the larger miners did indicate that big tech was showing interest in direct offtake agreements to secure their nuclear future.' Nuclear gabfest wraps Last week, the World Nuclear Fuel Market conference was held in Sydney, the first time in its 51-year history it had been held in Australia. Aura Energy (ASX:AEE) managing director Andrew Grove was there and told Stockhead the company had a good spread of meetings with utilities. Both Grove and Bullen said the Chinese were increasingly active, with Canaccord forecasting Chinese nuclear capacity to overtake the US by 2030. 'While Western utilities and producers referred, with tongue in cheek, to a game of contracting 'chicken' in one of the more entertaining panels, CNNC was clearly batting its eyelids to the producers and seeking 'more pounds please',' Bullen said. Bullen noted that China's CGN Mining last week entered into a supply contract with its controlling shareholder CGNPC with a 30% fixed-price component of US$94 per pound with the remainder to be purchased at spot. 'While this is a related party transaction, it sets, in our view, a clear benchmark in a Chinese market where electricity prices are set by the National Development and Reform Commission.' On the flipside, Grove said US utilities weren't as aggressive – yet. 'You get the feeling that they've got enough near-term inventory, that they're not too panicked,' he said. 'Plus, they've spent the last 15 or 20 years where they can go and buy uranium whenever they feel like it so there hasn't been a lot of pressure on them to go and buy it. 'China's very aggressive in terms of running around the world trying to lock up supply, so I guess the US market has to counter that somehow.' Grove said Aura was getting close to signing a contract with a major US utility. Diversity becoming important Grove said utilities, particularly US utilities, recognised that they needed diversity of supply. 'There was a pretty strong message from the utilities that they want to support new supply, because there's some risk around stuff coming into Russia and some risk around stuff coming out of Kazakhstan,' he said. 'And for the big ones, they're starting to engage with greenfields like us and then probably one of them will give us a smaller contract that doesn't put their fuel supply at risk but helps facilitate new production coming on board.' Bullen echoed those comments, saying that utilities and traders indicated a willingness to not only contract, but also pre-pay. 'In short, they increasingly recognise the challenges associated with financing developments and, for the right projects, will use their balance sheet and credit rating to support them,' he said. Bullen noted that the term price of US$80/lb had incentivised restarts but not the greenfield developments which are required to meet the projected 1.3 billion pounds of demand between now and 2045. 'With a busy contracting period expected in the 2H, we remain highly constructive on medium-term uranium pricing,' he said. 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News.com.au
40 minutes ago
- News.com.au
Musk regrets some of his Trump criticisms, says they 'went too far'
Elon Musk, the world's richest person and Donald Trump's former advisor, said Wednesday he regretted some of his recent criticisms of the US president, after the pair's public falling-out last week. "I regret some of my posts about President @realDonaldTrump last week. They went too far," Musk wrote on his social media platform X, in a message that was received favorably by the White House. Musk's expression of regret came just days after Trump threatened the tech billionaire with "serious consequences" if he sought to punish Republicans who vote for a controversial spending bill. Their blistering break-up -- largely carried out on social media before a riveted public since Thursday last week -- was ignited by Musk's harsh criticism of Trump's so-called "big, beautiful" spending bill, which is currently before Congress. Some lawmakers who were against the bill had called on Musk -- one of the Republican Party's biggest financial backers in last year's presidential election -- to fund primary challenges against Republicans who voted for the legislation. "He'll have to pay very serious consequences if he does that," Trump, who also branded Musk "disrespectful," told NBC News on Saturday, without specifying what those consequences would be. Trump also said he had "no" desire to repair his relationship with the South African-born Tesla and SpaceX chief, and that he has "no intention of speaking to him." But after Musk's expression of regret, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters that Trump was "appreciative," adding that "no efforts" had been made on a threat by Trump to end some of Musk's government contracts. "The president acknowledged the statement that Elon put out this morning, and he is appreciative of it," Leavitt said. According to the New York Times, Musk's message followed a phone call to Trump late on Monday night. Vice President JD Vance and Chief of Staff Susan Wiles had also been working with Musk on how to broker a truce with Trump, the report said. - 'Wish him well' - In his post on Wednesday, Musk did not specify which of his criticisms of Trump had gone "too far." The former allies had seemed to have cut ties amicably about two weeks ago, with Trump giving Musk a glowing send-off as he left his cost-cutting role at the so-called Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). But their relationship cracked within days, with Musk describing the spending bill as an "abomination" that, if passed by Congress, could define Trump's second term in office. Trump hit back at Musk's comments in an Oval Office diatribe and from there the row detonated, leaving Washington stunned. Trump later said on his Truth Social platform that cutting billions of dollars in subsidies and contracts to Musk's companies would be the "easiest way" to save the US government money. US media have put the value of the contracts at $18 billion. With real political and economic risks to their falling out, both already appeared to inch back from the brink on Friday, with Trump telling reporters "I just wish him well," and Musk responding on X: "Likewise." Trump had spoken to NBC on Saturday after Musk deleted one of the explosive allegations he had made during their fallout, linking the president with disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein, who was accused of sex trafficking. bur-arp/aha