logo
Did a Top Apple Executive Just Give Investors the Ultimate Reason to Dump the Stock?

Did a Top Apple Executive Just Give Investors the Ultimate Reason to Dump the Stock?

Yahoo21-05-2025

An Apple executive recently testified at Google's antitrust case, and admitted that iPhones may not be needed in 10 years.
iPhone sales account for approximately half of Apple's top line.
Artificial intelligence (AI) could result in a shift in users relying more on wearable devices.
10 stocks we like better than Apple ›
Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) has been one of the best stocks to own over the past five years on the stock market, rising more than 160% during that time frame. As of Monday's close, its market cap was just over $3.1 trillion, making it one of the most valuable companies in the world. The success and strength of its business revolves around its iPhones and iPads, as well as the ecosystem of its other products and services.
But what if something happened that disrupted that dominance? One of Apple's own executives admitted that there could be trouble ahead for the business, and may have provided investors with a reason to think twice about owning the stock for the long term.
The world of tech is changing rapidly due to advancements related to artificial intelligence (AI). And that can mean the devices that people use today may become obsolete within the next five to 10 years.
Eddy Cue, the senior vice president of services at Apple, testified at the antitrust case against Google (which Alphabet owns), stating that even the company's iPhones may not be crucial due to changing AI trends: "You may not need an iPhone 10 years from now." Cue believes that AI-powered wearable devices, such as smart glasses, could take the place of today's smartphones.
For Apple, that means both opportunities ahead and also some significant challenges. Consider that during the first three months of 2025, the company's net sales totaled $95.3 billion, and iPhone revenue accounted for roughly half of that, at $46.8 billion. The company has already faced difficulties in growing that area of its business, as iPhone sales rose by just 2% in the most recent quarter.
A longer-term trend that gives consumers more of a reason to ditch the iPhone certainly wouldn't help matters for Apple. The company would have to rely on innovation and potentially coming out with something new. And unfortunately, that hasn't exactly been a strong point for the business in recent years.
Apple has been lagging behind other companies when it comes to AI. It has delayed its Apple Intelligence features that it was planning to roll out for iPhones this year, which will now be slated for 2026. While some AI features are available, including summarizing emails and webpages, more advanced ones such as using Apple's Siri assistant for multiapp requests that involve multiple steps won't be available until next year.
The problem is that there are already many chatbots for users to choose from today that can handle complex, multistep requests, and Apple is already well behind the competition. By next year, the gap could widen even further. While Apple is prioritizing safety and privacy, which are important aspects of AI, the company's inability to keep up could pose problems for the business in the future.
At the very least, Apple's already sluggish growth rate could take a hit. And if iPhone sales are struggling, that could trickle down and affect how many of those consumers are also buying iPads and subscribing to services.
There are over 1 billion active iPhones in the world, but Android devices actually have the lion's share of the smartphone market, at over 71%. Apple iPhones are a bit of a status figure, but they may have lost their practicality over the years, with Android devices being cheaper, less locked down, and easier for users to modify and customize. In the future, if Apple struggles to keep up with AI, its market share may diminish even further.
It's difficult to predict how the next five-plus years will play out in tech, let alone the next decade, and what effect that will have on Apple's business. The company's lack of significant innovation hasn't hurt them over the past decade, as iPhones have remained iconic devices and are still crucial to Apple's business. But the changes that AI is causing could finally ramp up the pressure on Apple to get going and deliver advancements that may be necessary to keep up with the market.
AI is an area that Apple investors should monitor. For now, the business is still doing well, and there's no need to panic. But Cue's comments about the iPhone do highlight a serious concern about just how long Apple can rely on its devices without making significant advancements. That remains a big question mark hovering over the business today.
If you're invested in Apple, you may not necessarily need to rush to sell your shares, and it can still make for a good stock to own, but this is a risk you should consider for the long haul. If, however, you're a growth-oriented investor, you may be better off pursuing other tech stocks that are better positioned to benefit from advancements in AI than Apple.
Before you buy stock in Apple, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Apple wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $642,582!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $829,879!*
Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 975% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 172% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join .
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of May 19, 2025
Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet and Apple. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Did a Top Apple Executive Just Give Investors the Ultimate Reason to Dump the Stock? was originally published by The Motley Fool

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Netflix Beat Masks Bigger Problems
Netflix Beat Masks Bigger Problems

Yahoo

time12 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Netflix Beat Masks Bigger Problems

Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) outperformed Q1 2025 earnings estimates with a 25% surge in earnings per share and near-record levels of operating margins. But under the hood, its free cash flow paints a different picture. Its new shift into advertising, live programming, and gaming could hold long-term potential, but in the near term, it's driving cost increases, squeezing margins, and uncovering weak points in monetization quality. Netflix reported diluted EPS of $6.61, significantly above the $5.68 expectation, with revenue increasing 13% year over year to $10.54 billion. Operating margin was 31.7%, close to all-time best levels, driven by price hikes and stable additions of free cash flow ($2.66 billion) increased at a more subdued clip. A large part of the beat was facilitated by content amortization timing and delayed spending, not cash-driven profit. This differential between accruals and cash has been a chronic trend at Netflix, headline profits leap, but underlying cash dynamics add to the tension. Revenue growth at UCAN slowed to 9% YoY from 15% in Q4 owing to normalization of plan mix and the lack of NFL-related ad spikes. APAC increased by 23%, and LATAM by 8%, but these markets have a correspondingly lower ARPU that constrains contribution to operating income. Content liabilities stand at $21.8 billion, with amortization spiking. Netflix is pre-paying spend into live sports, global content, and unscripted programming, all genres of high variability and uncertain ROI. The vision is obvious, but so too is the cash burn risk building. Source: Shareholder letter Netflix is no longer a subscription business, it's becoming a vertically integrated entertainment platform. The strategy has three pillars: ads, live programming, and interactive content. The new Netflix Ads Suite arrived in April in the U.S. and Canada, with native programmatic capabilities and more sophisticated targeting. Growth into the rest of the EMEA and LATAM regions is in process, aiming to reach double ad revenue by 2025. That said, advertising still contributes a "very small" percentage to income today. The competition is tough: YouTube has scale, Hulu has access to the Disney ecosystem, and Amazon has commerce bundling. The live programming drive is more mature. Netflix's purchase of WWE Monday Night RAW, the impending Taylor versus Serrano rematch, and its NFL Christmas game are driving engagement spikes. Sports streaming is a famously pricey endeavor. Rights are expensive, and payback comes largely from advertising. Netflix's bet is on tentpole moments, not quantity, but that bet has a fixed cost profile. Gaming is still the most speculative area. There are promising titles like Squid Game: Unleashed and Thronglets, but there is minimal monetization and uncertain market fit. The firm has maintained a cautious investment so far, framing it more in the form of optionality than a near-term lever. Source: Shareholder letter Localized content is Netflix's strongest worldwide competitive advantage. Shows like Adolescence (UK) and Counterattack (Mexico) have generated local resonance across over 50 markets. But there are trade-offs that come with international expansion. Reduced pricing, fragmentation of cultures, and increased regulatory restrictions--in Europe and Asia first of allreduce profitability. Netflix is expanding where the margins are thinnest. Netflix's moat, previously framed by scale and ubiquity, is eroding. It now must compete not just with Max and Disney+, but also with YouTube, TikTok, and Amazon Prime, each of which is delivering bundled value or ecosystem benefits. Netflix does not have a second business layer (such as Amazon's retail or Disney's parks), making it that much more subject to content ROI fluctuation. Netflix's valuation today extends far past industry norms and history to market medians, with the market apparently fully factoring in perfect execution. The stock has a P/E of 56.78 and a forward P/E of 47.17, each of which is in the top decile of the industry. Its PEG of 3.57 and price-to-free cash flow of 70.67 are also a reflection of how far-stretched the stock is from its fundamentals. On nearly all forward-looking multiples, EV/EBITDA of 18.88, EV/FCF of 68.64, EV/Revenue of 12.74, Netflix is valued like a capital-expensive media platform instead of a high-margin SaaS business. Its ratio of 2.04 to Price to GF Value suggests that it's trading at over twice its value. The GF Value computed by GuruFocus is $588, whereas Netflix's market cap has been trading around $1,200, which means that it is highly overvalued. Even best-case DCF estimates of $661 and modeled FCF estimates of $739 place the stock 3050% above intrinsic value. At the same time, recent Guru activity is characterized by net selling. Baillie Gifford (Trades, Portfolio) (-9.86%), PRIMECAP, Frank Sands (Trades, Portfolio), Philippe Laffont (Trades, Portfolio), and Ken Fisher (Trades, Portfolio) (-54.45%) are just a few of the notable managers that trimmed holdings through March 31, 2025. While small purchases by Jeremy Grantham (Trades, Portfolio) and Ray Dalio (Trades, Portfolio) were offset by pervasive decreases among institutional owners, the 3-year trend reveals a clear net of selling, even through the stock rose, a possible red flag. Netflix is no longer the sole bidder for the attention economy. It competes now with YouTube for short-form and creator-driven content, TikTok for younger audiences, as well as with Apple and Amazon for bundle benefits. Even within SVOD, Disney+ and Max are consolidating, providing sports, lifestyle, and entertainment bundles that concentrate spending by consumers on fewer platforms. Netflix's greatest challenge is not competition, it's that its foundational advantage of scale of content is being eroded by content fatigue. More is not always better, and not all hits translate. But bundlers like Amazon subsidize with commerce, and Disney has a park and merchandising ecosystem. Netflix doesn't have such adjacent business ecosystems, so it is more vulnerable to a shift in content ROIC. The firm is further confronted by mounting political headwinds. With its viewership spread across more than two-thirds of its customers outside of the U.S., Netflix must now contend with international regulation, content quotas, and increasing digital nationalism. These threats do not necessarily manifest themselves on earnings for several quarters, but could ultimately limit its monetization potential or create regulatory drag on the margin. Source: Nielsen Netflix is implementing an ambitious shift, becoming a complete-stack entertainment company across content, advertising, live, and interactive. But whereas its strategic plan makes sense, its valuation is predicated on execution excellence across all vectors, margin growth, scaling monetization, as well as continued subscriber growth. The vision of future Netflix would actually materialize, but at the current price, the market is already paying for it all. Investors would do well to watch out for monetization conversion from ads as well as live content, margin control through H2 2025, as well as compounding of FCF, as valuation based on beliefs doesn't take surprises generally. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

Is Palantir a Top AI Stock to Buy in June?
Is Palantir a Top AI Stock to Buy in June?

Yahoo

time17 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Is Palantir a Top AI Stock to Buy in June?

Palantir's U.S. growth rate is impressive. Its international sales haven't been gaining quite as rapidly. The stock trades at a premium valuation. 10 stocks we like better than Palantir Technologies › Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) has rapidly become one of the most popular artificial intelligence (AI) stocks in the market. It's up by more than 600% since the start of 2024 and has gained more than 60% so far in 2025 alone. Few stocks will ever match that sort of jaw-dropping performance, but now, many investors are wondering if it's too late to buy Palantir. I think there's one guiding metric that will inform investors whether it is or not, and the answer may surprise you. Palantir provides its clients with an AI-powered data analytics software suite. While the ins and outs of what Palantir does are quite complicated, its platform can simply be described as data in, insights out. This basic concept isn't easy in practice, but it has earned Palantir a broad and growing customer base. Palantir's got its start assisting various governments around the world -- and such clients are still its most important customers. It has since then expanded into commercial markets and has seen success in that arena, particularly in the U.S. In Q1, Palantir's fastest growing segment was U.S. commercial, which saw revenue rise by 71% to $255 million. Its U.S. government accounts also saw significant growth, with revenue increasing by 45% to $373 million. One area where Palantir is lagging is global sales. This may not necessarily be Palantir's fault, as AI hasn't been as widely adopted as quickly by businesses worldwide (if you exclude China). Its total commercial sales were up 33% to $397 million in Q1, while total government sales increased by 45% to $487 million. Overall, it's still a rapidly growing business, and if its domestic revenues continue growing at the same pace they have been, Palantir will be just fine. Palantir's profitability has also improved recently, with its profit margin reaching a record high of 24% in Q1. To top it off, in conjunction with its Q1 report, Palantir's management team gave guidance for a strong Q2 -- it expects revenue to rise by 38% year over year. However, Palantir's management has a history of guiding low and then overdelivering, so investors shouldn't be too concerned that Q2's forecast growth rate is slower than Q1's 39%. All of these metrics point to Palantir as still being a successful investment, but there's one problem: the price tag. As mentioned above, Palantir's stock is up by more than 600% since 2024 began, yet its revenue has only risen by 40% and net income is up 172%. In short, the market is willing to pay more for Palantir's stock than it did in 2024. This occurred by a mechanism known as multiple expansion. Palantir's stock now trades at jaw-dropping valuations. Few stocks reach and sustain levels of 212 times forward earnings and nearly 100 times sales. Palantir's execution from here will have to be flawless and outperform expectations, or else the stock will get whacked. To illustrate how expensive Palantir's stock is, let's take a five-year outlook and assume that Palantir's profit margin improves to 30%, its growth rate stays at 40%, and its share count stays flat. Those are incredibly bullish projections, but we're giving Palantir the benefit of the doubt. Should those three things occur, in five years, Palantir will produce $16.8 billion in revenue and $5 billion in profits. That would be incredible growth, but if the stock simply stayed flat from now until then, it would be trading for 58 times earnings at that point, which is still quite expensive. There are so many better options out there for investors than Palantir. The company is growing like few others, but the price you'd have to pay for the stock today already has at least five years of incredible growth baked in. As a result, I think many other stocks will outperform Palantir over the next five years. Before you buy stock in Palantir Technologies, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Palantir Technologies wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $638,985!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $853,108!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 978% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 171% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join . See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of May 19, 2025 Keithen Drury has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Is Palantir a Top AI Stock to Buy in June? was originally published by The Motley Fool

Trump's trade war is bruising Apple — and your 401(k)
Trump's trade war is bruising Apple — and your 401(k)

CNN

timean hour ago

  • CNN

Trump's trade war is bruising Apple — and your 401(k)

President Donald Trump's swipes at Apple aren't just bruising the company's bottom line — they may also be taking a bite out of your 401(k). The president's chaotic trade war continues to threaten Apple's business model, which relies extensively on international supply chains. Apple's stock has tumbled 20% this year after hitting a record high in December. The company's stock dropped 3% in one day earlier this month after Trump demanded Apple move all of its production to the United States. As the tech giant grapples with the president's tariff threats, Americans' retirement savings have taken a hit, too. Apple, the third-largest US company by market value, is a core component of many retirement plans, such as 401(k)s. Retirement savings are often invested in funds that track the S&P 500, and (AAPL) accounts for 6% of the S&P 500's value, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. The S&P 500 is weighted by market value. That means the larger a company is, the more it influences the index. The tech giant has shed nearly $1 trillion in market value this year. Its market value topped a record high $3.9 trillion in December, according to FactSet, but was down to just above $3 trillion as of Friday. The company's stock also sank 9.25% and posted its worst day in five years after Trump's initial announcement of massive 'reciprocal' tariffs in early April. Apple isn't the only stock souring. Shares of other large companies like Amazon (AMZN), Google (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) have tumbled 6%, 9% and 14% this year respectively, which could also cause the values of 401(k)s to stall. The two largest companies in the United States by market value, Microsoft (MSFT) and Nvidia (NVDA), have gained 9% and 0.6% respectively this year. The S&P 500 is up just 0.5% as other stocks have lagged. 'You just can't continue to keep an economy and companies operating in a cloud of extraordinarily high uncertainty forever without some economic consequences eventually,' said Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments. Americans collectively held $44.1 trillion in retirement assets at the end of 2024, according to data from the Investment Company Institute. Of those funds, about $8.9 trillion were held in 401(k)s. Retirement savings are long-term investments, and short-term volatility is often overcome by long-term gains. As evidenced by the S&P 500's rally in recent weeks, it's ill-advised to try and sell your portfolio in times of panic because you can miss out on rebounds in the market. Historically, short-term downturns are overcome by gains. Market downturns can be unnerving, but the stock market generally rewards investors who are patient. Trump's trade war has dealt a blow to some of America's most widely held stocks, and investors — whether Wall Street titans or regular folks with a 401(k) — have been left to stomach the volatility. Blue-chip stocks have fluctuated, and the reliable strategy of buying and holding has been put through the wringer as stocks have bounced around without much clarity. It's important to know what your retirement savings are invested in to ensure your portfolio is well diversified, said Tim Steffen, director of advanced planning at Baird Private Wealth Management. While funds that track indexes like the S&P 500 are relatively well diversified, different 401(k) plans can offer funds with different exposures to areas of the market. It's helpful to know how much you have invested in big names like Apple to better gauge how policies affect your portfolio during periods of volatility. 'You may think you've got a very diversified account because you have four different mutual funds, but if all four of those funds are tracking the same type of stocks, you probably don't have a very diversified portfolio,' Steffen said. Market downturns are opportunities to check your exposure and consider diversifying. Investing in mutual funds or exchange-traded funds that track bonds or international stocks can help mitigate risk and offset sharp declines. 'That's really the point behind mutual funds or ETFs,' Steffen said. 'It's an efficient way to get a diversified portfolio.' Thomas Martin, senior portfolio manager at Globalt Investments, said Apple has certainly been 'having a tough year,' but he doesn't think the company is in 'any danger of being a long-term underperformer.' 'I don't think people should be looking at the value of their 401(k) on a daily basis,' Martin said, noting that it is long-term money that will grow over years and decades. Apple faces two major 'unknowns' this year, according to Angelo Zino, a senior vice president and technology analyst at CFRA Research. 'First and foremost, it's the tariff talk,' Zino said. The tech giant is at the top of the list of companies exposed to uncertainties around tariffs, he said. 'We need to wait to see what that outcome is going to look like, and that's creating uncertainty in the share price right now.' Then there are the ongoing antitrust concerns against fellow tech giant Alphabet (GOOGL), Google's parent company. A federal judge in August ruled Google had an illegal monopoly on search, which could signal trouble ahead for Apple because the case centered in part on exclusive deals between Google and Apple, according to Zino. Despite the fluctuations, Apple is still seen as a strong and resilient investment, said Zino and Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. The strategists at CFRA, who have a 'buy' on the stock, said its 'premium valuation' is justified by factors including strong capital returns and its stable free cash flow. 'The Street has continuously tried to kill off Apple at times,' Zino added. 'There's always been something out there, and Apple has always been able to find a way to evolve.'

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store