
2024-25 Conn Smythe odds, prediction: Connor McDavid installed as favorite ahead of Stanley Cup Final
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The 2025 Stanley Cup Final is set to get underway Wednesday and bookmakers are having a really tough time separating the Edmonton Oilers and Florida Panthers.
The Oilers have home-ice advantage are slight -130 favorites to win the best-of-seven series at bet365, but if it were the Panthers hosting four potential games then the odds would likely be flipped.
Flip a coin.
With the odds to win the Stanley Cup so tight, it would make sense that the market for the Conn Smythe Trophy to be the same.
Connor McDavid is an even-money favorite to win the Conn Smythe, which would make the Oilers captain the fourth player to win the trophy in consecutive years but the first to do it despite being on the losing team in at least one of those years.
Leon Draisaitl has seven goals so far in the 2024-25 Stanley Cup Playoffs.
NHLI via Getty Images
McDavid currently leads the playoffs in points, assists and shots on goal.
Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky (+250) has the shortest odds of any player on the Panthers. Bobrovsky was the only other player in last year's Final to receive a first-place vote besides McDavid.
Betting on the NHL?
Aleksander Barkov is the third choice on the board ahead of Game 1 at +550 odds.
Barkov leads the Panthers in scoring with 17 points, but will also play a pivotal role in attempting to shut down McDavid and Leon Draisaitl in this series.
Barkov's two-way game is so well respected that he doesn't need to put up eye-popping point totals to get serious consideration for this award.
Leon Draisaitl is the only other player with single-digit odds at +750. The German star is one point behind McDavid in the scoring race and is tied with Corey Perry for the team lead in goals with seven.
Conn Smythe betting odds
Player Odds Connor McDavid +100 Sergei Bobrovsky +250 Aleksander Barkov +550 Leon Draisaitl +750 Matthew Tkachuk 25/1 Sam Bennett 28/1 Stuart Skinner 33/1 Carter Verhaeghe 60/1 Brad Marchand 75/1 Odds via bet365
Conn Smythe best bet
Leon Draisaitl (+750)
The oddsmakers seem to be making a stand. They are saying that if the Oilers win this series, McDavid will be given the Conn Smythe Trophy.
While there is certainly a strong chance that it happens, McDavid is just one point ahead of Draisaitl in the scoring race, and it's the German who has more goals in his account in the playoffs.
If Draisaitl continues at his current pace and scores a couple of big goals in this series en route to an Edmonton victory, he will be neck and neck with McDavid.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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