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Many U.S. bird species seen as reaching population 'tipping point'

Many U.S. bird species seen as reaching population 'tipping point'

Japan Times14-03-2025

WASHINGTON –
U.S. bird populations are experiencing alarming declines due to factors such as habitat loss and climate change, according to a new report identifying 112 species that have reached a "tipping point," including 42 with perilously low numbers and steep downward trends.
Even duck populations, which have been considered a conservation success story, have trended downward in recent years, though they are still higher than 1970 levels, according to the report, released on Thursday by a group of science and conservation organizations.
The report looked at 718 species using population data such as the Cornell Lab of Ornithology's eBird Status and Trends project, the U.S. Geological Survey's Breeding Bird Survey and National Audubon Society avian counts.
"Roughly one in three bird species (229 species) in the U.S. requires urgent conservation attention, and these species represent the major habitats and systems in the U.S. and include species that we've long considered to be common and abundant," said Amanda Rodewald, faculty director of the Cornell Lab of Ornithology's Center for Avian Population Studies.
The report identified species that have reached a "tipping point," having lost more than 50% of their numbers within the past half-century. Among those, it listed 33 "yellow alert" species with long-term population losses but relatively stable recent trends, 37 "orange alert" species with long-term losses that accelerated within the past decade and 42 "red alert" species with dangerously low numbers and precipitous declines.
Some of these red alert species included the mottled duck, Allen's hummingbird, yellow-billed loon, red-faced cormorant, greater sage-grouse, Florida scrub jay, Baird's sparrow, saltmarsh sparrow, mountain plover, Hawaiian petrel, Bicknell's thrush, Cassia crossbill, pink-footed shearwater, tricolored blackbird and golden-cheeked warbler.
Some of these birds already have protections under the U.S. Endangered Species Act.
"Habitat loss and degradation remain the most important contributors to declines of birds and other species," Rodewald said.
Other factors cited in population declines included climate change, invasive species, pollution, and bird collisions, for instance with wind turbine blades and buildings.
The report found that avian populations are decreasing in almost every habitat, including grasslands and arid regions. Shorebirds are the group with the most "tipping point" species, at 19.
"It represents a huge biodiversity loss," said Michael Parr, president of the American Bird Conservancy.
"The only bright spot is water birds such as herons and egrets that show some increases," Parr added.
Some examples of common birds now in decline include the chimney swift, wood thrush, grasshopper sparrow, eastern meadowlark, common grackle, barn swallow, blackpoll warbler, herring gull and bobolink.
"We have brought bird populations back from the brink before, and we can do it again," said Marshall Johnson, the National Audubon Society's chief conservation officer, pointing to the bald eagle as an example of conservation success.
"Not only do birds play an important role in our ecosystems, they're also incredibly important parts of our lives," he said. "Protecting birds is good for the environment, local economies, and it's good for people."

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Bone Collector Caterpillar Wears Body Parts of Dead Prey

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Many U.S. bird species seen as reaching population 'tipping point'
Many U.S. bird species seen as reaching population 'tipping point'

Japan Times

time14-03-2025

  • Japan Times

Many U.S. bird species seen as reaching population 'tipping point'

WASHINGTON – U.S. bird populations are experiencing alarming declines due to factors such as habitat loss and climate change, according to a new report identifying 112 species that have reached a "tipping point," including 42 with perilously low numbers and steep downward trends. Even duck populations, which have been considered a conservation success story, have trended downward in recent years, though they are still higher than 1970 levels, according to the report, released on Thursday by a group of science and conservation organizations. The report looked at 718 species using population data such as the Cornell Lab of Ornithology's eBird Status and Trends project, the U.S. Geological Survey's Breeding Bird Survey and National Audubon Society avian counts. "Roughly one in three bird species (229 species) in the U.S. requires urgent conservation attention, and these species represent the major habitats and systems in the U.S. and include species that we've long considered to be common and abundant," said Amanda Rodewald, faculty director of the Cornell Lab of Ornithology's Center for Avian Population Studies. The report identified species that have reached a "tipping point," having lost more than 50% of their numbers within the past half-century. Among those, it listed 33 "yellow alert" species with long-term population losses but relatively stable recent trends, 37 "orange alert" species with long-term losses that accelerated within the past decade and 42 "red alert" species with dangerously low numbers and precipitous declines. Some of these red alert species included the mottled duck, Allen's hummingbird, yellow-billed loon, red-faced cormorant, greater sage-grouse, Florida scrub jay, Baird's sparrow, saltmarsh sparrow, mountain plover, Hawaiian petrel, Bicknell's thrush, Cassia crossbill, pink-footed shearwater, tricolored blackbird and golden-cheeked warbler. Some of these birds already have protections under the U.S. Endangered Species Act. "Habitat loss and degradation remain the most important contributors to declines of birds and other species," Rodewald said. Other factors cited in population declines included climate change, invasive species, pollution, and bird collisions, for instance with wind turbine blades and buildings. The report found that avian populations are decreasing in almost every habitat, including grasslands and arid regions. Shorebirds are the group with the most "tipping point" species, at 19. "It represents a huge biodiversity loss," said Michael Parr, president of the American Bird Conservancy. "The only bright spot is water birds such as herons and egrets that show some increases," Parr added. Some examples of common birds now in decline include the chimney swift, wood thrush, grasshopper sparrow, eastern meadowlark, common grackle, barn swallow, blackpoll warbler, herring gull and bobolink. "We have brought bird populations back from the brink before, and we can do it again," said Marshall Johnson, the National Audubon Society's chief conservation officer, pointing to the bald eagle as an example of conservation success. "Not only do birds play an important role in our ecosystems, they're also incredibly important parts of our lives," he said. "Protecting birds is good for the environment, local economies, and it's good for people."

Scientists behind ‘net zero' concept say nations are getting it wrong
Scientists behind ‘net zero' concept say nations are getting it wrong

Japan Times

time03-12-2024

  • Japan Times

Scientists behind ‘net zero' concept say nations are getting it wrong

Diplomats from 197 countries agreed earlier this month to new rules governing how they can buy and sell credits to neutralize carbon emissions. But while they were deliberating, some of the biggest names in climate science, who defined "net zero' in 2009, found something wrong with the math underlying those debates. "Achieving 'net zero' no longer means what we meant by it,' said Myles Allen, professor of geosystem science at University of Oxford, one of the authors of a new paper published last month in the journal Nature. Their new analysis skewers an assumption at the heart of how countries and companies track emissions — that a ton of carbon dioxide is the same everywhere, whether it's dispersed in the atmosphere, embedded in forest wood or pulled from the air and pumped deep underground forever. That fungibility is the foundation of carbon markets. It lets a ton of CO2 in a forest stand as a fair trade for a ton put in the atmosphere. That rule-of-thumb turns out to be a vast oversimplification that could render many well-meaning net-zero efforts meaningless. The confusion stems from a basic fact about how the Earth's carbon cycle works: Scientists know what humanity emits into the atmosphere doesn't entirely stay in the atmosphere. Less than half of that total stays in the atmosphere on average. The rest flows into the land and ocean. To keep track of all that carbon — and how they assign responsibility for removing it — scientists keep two ledgers, one for nature and one for humanity. All the CO2 absorbed every year into land, trees and water is a service the planet offers to wash humanity's past CO2 emissions out of the air. So, these carbon drawdowns go into the nature ledger. It's important to emphasize that land and oceans are drawing down past emissions. That means they cannot be relied on to also neutralize future emissions. This is where the revelation comes in: Countries may have been double counting. In other words, it's redundant for countries to claim credit for CO2 for work already being done by land and oceans. Those emissions are already spoken for. "We can't count on them (emissions) to do two jobs at once. That's the point,' Allen said. "If we're going to count on them to mop up our historical emissions ... we can't at the same time use them to offset future fossil fuel emissions.' These differences between natural and industrial bookkeeping add up. For example, Allen said, consider a situation in which — using current carbon accounting — the world was expected to stay below 1.5 degrees Celsius. The flaws in accounting are so significant that they could be concealing another 0.5 C rise. (Allen is also chair of the advisory board of a carbon registry.) There are consequences of this accounting mismatch. The first is, it increases the urgency to stop burning fossil fuels, the authors write, or to capture and bury pollution with emerging methods. The climate that humanity grew up in relied on millions of years of coal, oil and gas sitting underground. The main solution therefore is to leave it there, capture the carbon from smokestacks and permanently bury it, or clean it out of the open air. Returning carbon underground is "geological net zero,' and it's what the authors originally had in mind in 2009. No countries are currently pursuing it. Separate from fossil fuel burning and carbon capturing, they write, nature must be left alone, to passively soak up history's CO2. And all that land needs to be conserved, undeveloped, to keep the carbon out of the atmosphere and pull down even more. Rich countries bear historic responsibility for ensuring that happens, they write. As if this weren't complicated enough, there is more to the story than two ledgers, with past carbon falling into nature and future carbon captured and stashed underground. That's because there is value to human management of land that reduces atmospheric CO2. In other words, if "managed land' is proven to take down CO2 then those tons can be counted against emissions, the scientists say. What "managed land' means is a headache to pin down. Countries have no uniform standard, and often claim all of their land as managed. In fact, so much land is claimed that their combined pledges are virtually impossible to foresee happening. They may be taking credit for emissions already in nature's ledger. There are other reasons why storing carbon in the biosphere is inferior to geological storage, they write. As wildfires continue to show every year, there's nothing permanent about living things. In 2023, the hottest year on record, trees and land absorbed virtually no carbon. Any potential slowdown in the land and ocean carbon sponges would leave a greater amount sitting in the atmosphere, further aggravating warming. Scrutiny of private carbon markets has led noteworthy players to exit and others to focus on cutting emissions directly. Those speed bumps mean that voluntary carbon markets are ahead of governments in thinking about the problem in some ways, according to Sassan Saatchi, co-founder and CEO of CTrees, a scientific nonprofit that wants to "track carbon in every tree on the planet.' Saatchi called the paper "a timely warning' even as fixing the problem "is a difficult thing to ask countries to really abide by. The scientific community has to have much better recommendations.' The paper pulls together into one place a number of concerns scientists have accumulated about land use and carbon accounting, said Pamela McElwee, a Rutgers University professor and contributor to the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. That includes separating how everyone accounts for natural and industrial CO2 drawdown. Countries should be able deduct CO2 that's drawn down permanently, back into the Earth, from their gross fossil-fuel emissions. 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