Eurovision 2025 odds and betting tips: Who will win this year's song contest?

The Sun

28-04-2025

WITH just a few short weeks to go until Eurovision 2025, anticipation for the event is hotter than ever, with the favourites for the event becoming clearer.
The show has become increasingly popular with bettors in recent years, with punters turning to the best UK betting apps and sites to attempt to pick the eventual winners.
In this guide to the Eurovision 2025 betting odds, we break down the biggest contenders and make our picks for who is most likely to be crowned Eurovision 2025 winner in Basel on May 17th.
🌟 The current Eurovision favourites
🎵 Sweden
As rehearsals and semi-final staging take shape, Sweden's entry KAJ, with their song 'Bara Bada Bastu' has emerged as an early favourite, with talkSPORT BET currently pricing them at 11/10. The Swedes have historically performed well at the event, with their last win coming in 2023. Despite being wildly different from 2023's winner, 'Tattoo' by Lorren, 'Bara Bada Bastu' has captured the imagination of Eurovision fans and looks to be a hit with judges.
The song will be the first time Swedish has been used in the contest since 1998. When KAJ won Melodifestivalen and were selected as the country's entry, many critics wrote off the country's chances, but the catchy, comedic tune has become a viral hit and looks set to help the country seal a historic eighth Eurovision win in Basel.
🎹 Bet on Sweden to win the Eurovision at 11/10 with talkSPORT BET 🎹
🎵 Austria
Eleven years on from their iconic win with Conchita Wurst, Austria will be looking to secure a third Eurovision title with JJ and 'Wasted Love'. This powerful ballad is the polar opposite of KAJ's entry and could strike a chord with Eurovision voters who prefer a more rousing hit. They are currently priced at 4/1 with bet365.
🎵 France
Well-known French singer Louanne, who was a semi-finalist in the country's version of The Voice is set to return to the limelight with her entry 'Maman'. The French are long overdue a Eurovision win, having not won the prize since 1977. They achieved their best result since 2001 last year when they finished fourth and will be hoping to finally end their poor run in Basel this year.
Of course, the odds right now still assume that all of these entrants will qualify. Of these three, only France's place is assured as one of the 'Big Five', but it seems extremely unlikely that Sweden and Austria will struggle in the semi-finals.
⭐ The UK's Eurovision entry
Long-time Eurovision fans will not be surprised to see the UK's entry 'What the Hell Just Happened?' by Remember Monday priced all the way out at 80/1 with bet365. The UK's poor performances in Eurovision have become something of an ongoing national joke. This was exemplified perfectly by last year's entry, 'Dizzy' by Olly Alexander, receiving zero votes from the public.
It hasn't all been doom and gloom in recent years, though, with Sam Ryder's 'Spaceman' finishing runner-up in 2022, losing out to Ukraine's Kalush Orchestra with 'Stefania'.
While it does not look like Remember Monday is likely to repeat Ryder's success, the band will make headlines as they are the first girl band to represent the country in the UK since Precious in 1999. They finished 12th that year, which, based on the odds, would be seen as somewhat of a success in Basel.
🌠 Eurovision underdogs
It looks set to be a tough year for some of the bigger names in Eurovision this year. Outside of France, none of the Big Five are fancied by the bookies to have a good night. Spain and Germany are both out at 100/1 with talkSPORT BET, with neither of their songs appearing to resonate with audiences.
Likewise, Italy, who have finished in the top ten for each of the last four years, are out at 66/1, with their entry 'Volevo essere un duro' from Lucio Corsi not striking a chord with viewers.
Ireland, the joint-most successful act in the competition's history, is highly likely to continue its nearly three-decade run without a win. Their entry 'Laika Party' from Emmy has been announced as the third act in the second semi-final, which has raised concerns about them even reaching the final.
Finally, host Switzerland is also anticipating a rough night. 'Voyage' by Zoë Më has been met with a tepid reception. The song, which feels fairly generic, has failed to recapture the magic of last year's entry 'The Code'.
First semifinal countries and songs
Country Odds Artist Song
Albania 55/1 Shkodra Elektronike Zjerm
Azerbaijan 200/1 Mamagama Run With U
Belgium 25/1 Red Sebastian Strobe Lights
Croatia 300/1 Marko Bosnjak Poison Cake
Cyprus 60/1 The Evan with Shh
Estonia 40/1 Tommy Cash Espresso Macchiato
Iceland 300/1 VAEB Roa
Italy 125/1 Lucio Corsi Volevo essere un duro
Netherlands 16/1 Claude Kmb C'est la vie
Norway 150/1 Kyle Alessandre Lighter
Poland 200/1 Justyna Steczkowska GAJA
Portugal 300/1 NAPA Deslocado
San Marino 125/1 Gabry Ponte Tutta L'Italia
Slovenia 250/1 Klemen How Much Time Do We Have Left
Spain 100/1 Melody Esa Diva
Sweden 10/11 KAJ Bara Bada Bastu
Switzerland 100/1 Zoë Alina Kressler Voyage
Ukraine 80/1 Ziferblat Bird of Pray
Odds provided by bet365 are subject to change.
Second semifinal countries and songs
Country Odds Artist Song
Armenia 300/1 PARG Survivor
Australia 125/1 Go-Jo Milkshake Man
Austria 4/1 JJ Wasted Love
Czechia 22/1 Adonxs Kiss Kiss Goodbye
Denmark 300/1 Sissal Hallucination
Finland 28/1 Erika Vikman Ich Komme
France 13/2 Louane Maman
Georgia 300/1 Mariam Shengelia Freedom
Germany 125/1 Abor & Tynna Baller
Greece 125/1 Klavdia Asteromata
Ireland 125/1 EMMY Laika Party
Israel 16/1 Yuval Raphael New Day Will Rise
Latvia 300/1 Tautumeitas Bur man laimi
Lithuania 200/1 Katarsis Tavo Akys
Luxembourg 300/1 Laura Thorn La Poupée Monte Le Son
Malta 66/1 Miriana Conte Serving
Montenegro 300/1 Nina Zizic Dobrodosli
Serbia 300/1 Princ Mila
United Kingdom 80/1 Remember Monday What The Hell Just Happened?
Odds provided by bet365 are subject to change.
Are the bookies often right about Eurovision?
In short, yes. While the bookies may not always have the winner as favourite, it is rare that the winner is usually in the top three-five favourites. Heading into last year's event, for example, Croatia was the favourite with most bookies, being priced around evens, while Switzerland's Nemo, the eventual winner, was second or third, being available around 3/1 with most top UK bookmakers.
However, the show's favourites will often offer decent value when compared to other entertainment events. It is highly unlikely, for example, that would you find the favourite priced around evens at an event like The Oscars or the Emmys, making it an attractive prospect for punters.
In terms of surprises, Eurovisions are often defined by who doesn't deliver, as opposed to who does. There have been several occasions where a favourite has underperformed in a final, but a considerable outsider, that being anyone outside of the top five places, has not won for some time. You would need to go back to Israel in 2014 or Azerbaijan in 2011 to find the last truly surprising winners on the night.
About Eurovision
Eurovision is an annual singing competition held in Europe, with 26 countries competing in the grand final to be crowned winner. While all eyes will be on the final, the contest starts in the days leading up to it with the semi-finals. There are 37 entries in the contest overall. These consist of 36 European countries and Israel, which qualifies for the competition because its public broadcaster, the Israeli Public Broadcasting Corporation, is a member of the European Broadcasting Union.
As per tradition, the winner of the contest hosts the following year. St. Jakobshalle in Basel, Switzerland, will be the venue for this year's contest, thanks to Nemo's 'The Code' winning in 2024.
The contest has become defined by its upbeat Euro-pop songs and powerful ballads, with winners tending to consist of high-energy pop songs or slow, moving ballads that allow singers to showcase their range.
The winner of the contest is decided by two votes: one from the public and one from the judges. However, the involvement of so many countries often causes debate about the political nature of the event, with geopolitical events often appearing to have an influence on the outcome.
When and where to watch Eurovision 2025
Eurovision 2025 will begin with the live semi-finals on Tuesday, May 13th, and will conclude with the final on Saturday, May 17th. The semis can be watched live on BBC iPlayer, and the final will be broadcast on iPlayer and live on BBC One. The event will be hosted by Hazel Brugger, Michelle Hunziker and Sandra Studer. You can keep up to speed with all of the latest shifts in the Eurovision odds, as well as monitor any bonus offers right here at The Sun.