
Local textiles hemmed in: Trump cuts bangladesh tariff to 20%, leaving India at a disadvantage
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Kolkata | Pune: India is at a disadvantage to Bangladesh in the export of textiles and apparel to the US after President Donald Trump on Thursday reduced Bangladesh's final tariff to 20% from 35%. The duty is 25% for imports from India.Exporters are fearing a blow to their business since they also have to pay a penalty on top of the tariff. The US has yet to specify the extent of the penalty that Trump said would be imposed on India for its import of oil from Russia. Even the tariff on Cambodia, another country that competes with India for textile exports to the US, has been reduced to 19% from 36%. Other manufacturing hubs like Indonesia (19%) and Vietnam (20%) already face lower US tariffs.The new tariffs will be effective August 7. India is the second largest exporter of apparel to the US, behind China. Indian exporters said they won't be able to compete against Bangladesh unless they forsake most of their margins. 'Our margins are in any case as low as 5-7%. With the new tariff in place, the survival of the industry will be at stake as it comprises micro, small and medium enterprise units mostly,' said Lalit Thukral, chairman of the Noida Apparel Export Cluster.American brands and companies will not buy garments from India, as the tariff will make the price high, he said.Between January and May 2025, the US bought textiles and apparel worth $4.59 billion from India, up 13.3% from a year earlier, according to the Office of Textiles and Apparel in the US. In the same period, Bangladesh's exports grew nearly 21% to $3.62 billion and Cambodia's shipments rose 18% to $1.94 billion.Exporters from Tamil Nadu's Tiruppur, the largest knitwear exporting hub of India, said US brands have deferred their purchase in the last two months due to uncertainty over tariffs. 'Government should now sit down and work out incentives for the companies who are exporting to the US based on tariffs imposed on Bangladesh, Cambodia and Vietnam who are all India's competitors in the US market,' said Raja Shanmugan, MD of Warsaw International and past president of Tiruppur Exporters' Association.
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Economic Times
4 minutes ago
- Economic Times
Telcos' operating profit likely to grow 12-14% this fiscal on data surge: Crisil Ratings
Synopsis India's telecom industry is projected to see a 12–14% rise in operating profit, reaching ₹1.55 lakh crore in FY26, driven by higher data consumption and rising ARPU, Crisil Ratings said. ARPU is set to rise to ₹220–225 from ₹205, aided by 5G rollout and premium data plans. Lower capex post-5G rollout is expected to boost free cash flow to ₹70,000 crore, improving credit profiles. ANI The operating profit of telecom companies in India is expected to grow 12-14 per cent to about Rs 1.55 lakh crore this fiscal, driven by more data consumption and rise in average revenue per user, Crisil Ratings said on Monday. The "robust" operating performance, along with declining capital expenditure intensity of leading players post 5G rollout, is seen improving free cash flow, supporting credit profiles of leading players in the industry. The telecom industry benefits from high operating leverage, Crisil Ratings said adding that its analysis suggests that every Re 1 increase in ARPU adds Rs 850-950 crore to the industry's operating profit. "Operating profit (Ebitdar or Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortisation and payment of lease rentals) of India's telecom companies will grow a strong 12-14 per cent to about Rs 1.55 lakh crore this fiscal, driven by surging data consumption and a consequent increase in the average revenue per user (ARPU)," Crisil Ratings said in a release. The analysis of three telcos, with about 93 per cent of subscriber market share, indicates as much, it added. The operating profit metrics last fiscal, grew at about 17 per cent, lifted predominantly due to tariff hikes. This fiscal, however, the growth will be supported by strong intrinsic factors, as per Crisil Ratings. ARPU is expected to climb to Rs 220-225 this fiscal from Rs 205 last fiscal, largely on account of rising data consumption, according to Anand Kulkarni, Director of Crisil Ratings. "Wider availability of 5G network, with penetration expected to touch 45-47 per cent by March 2026 from about 35 per cent as of March 2025, is fuelling data consumption for applications such as social media, video streaming, gaming, generative artificial intelligence and digital marketing," Kulkarni said. The data usage is expected to increase to 31-32 GB in FY26 from about 27 GB in the previous fiscal. "Additionally, the Indian telcos have been rebalancing their offerings by reducing plans with low data limit or offering 5G services only on plans offering higher data limit. This trend is expected to move consumers to premium plans, boosting telco ARPU," Kulkarni added. With rising demand for data-driven services, telcos have introduced premium plans that bundle over-the-top (OTT) services, a strategy that also helps telcos upselling and raise their ARPUs. Moreover, internet penetration in rural and semi-urban areas is expected to increase by 4-5 per cent rising to 82 per cent by fiscal 2026. Users shifting from voice-only plans to data plans will further boost ARPU. Typically, a voice-only plan with validity of 28 days is priced about Rs 100 lower than an entry level data plan of the same validity. Increase in ARPU results in surge in operating profit, given that about 60 per cent of the overall cost of telcos are fixed in nature, Crisil Ratings explained. "Thus, telecom industry benefits from high operating leverage and our analysis suggests that every Re 1 increase in ARPU adds Rs 850-950 crore to the industry Ebitdar," it said. The expansion in operating profit will also improve free cash flow because of lower capex requirements. Nitin Bansal, Associate Director, Crisil Ratings noted that capex intensity, at 31 per cent average over the past two fiscals, is expected to moderate to 24-26 per cent this fiscal as a large part of 5G network rollout has been completed by the leading telcos. Further, most of the spectrum purchase was completed in fiscal 2023 and next significant spectrum renewal are due in 2030. "This will result in healthy operating free cash flow of around Rs 70,000 crore this fiscal, a large part of which will likely be utilised for debt reduction," Bansal said. As a result, net leverage is estimated at about 2.7 times this fiscal, a cool off from 3.4 times in fiscal 2025. "This augurs well for the credit profiles, especially for the leading telcos," Bansal added. Crisil Ratings' assessment does not factor in any tariff hike this fiscal and the release added that any tariff hike will have an upside for ARPU, resulting in further improvement in free cash flows this fiscal and the next.


Hindustan Times
7 minutes ago
- Hindustan Times
Zelensky Heads Back to Washington Under Pressure From Putin
Nearly six months ago, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky was asked to leave the White House after a televised confrontation with President Trump over 'real security guarantees' the Ukrainian leader insisted were needed for a peace agreement with Russia. When Zelensky returns to the Oval Office on Monday the gap over security guarantees will have narrowed, but a chasm over Moscow's territorial demands remains. That leaves Zelensky with a dilemma: how to sustain Trump's support while responding to Russian territorial proposals he feels compelled to refuse. Zelensky will have some important allies accompanying him this time, including the leaders of the U.K., France, Germany, Italy, Finland and the European Union. North Atlantic Treaty Organization Secretary-General Mark Rutte, who has developed a personal rapport with Trump, will also attend. But the diplomatic terrain threatens to be just as treacherous. While Trump administration officials have expressed fresh, if still vague, support for providing security guarantees, the White House has shelved its persistent demand that Russian President Vladimir Putin agree to an immediate cease-fire or face much tougher economic sanctions. Coming on the heels of Trump's Alaska summit with Putin, the stakes are high for Ukraine and its European supporters who are also striving to avoid a rift in the Western alliance and keep Trump focused on Putin as the obstacle to peace. Of all the issues, Putin's territorial demands will be the hardest for Zelensky to accept, including the possible exchange of territory within Ukraine to adjust the front line. A destroyed building in Ukraine's Donetsk region. Three years of full-scale war have left dozens of cities and towns razed. 'It is for the Ukrainians to decide how they might land swap,' special envoy Steve Witkoff told 'Fox News Sunday.' 'That's why Zelensky and the Europeans are coming to the White House on Monday to make those decisions themselves.' In Ukraine, many say Putin wants to drive a wedge between Kyiv and Washington by using the negotiations with Trump to try to put Zelensky in the position of losing U.S. support or facing a crisis at home if he were to make concessions to Russia. 'Putin wants all of Ukraine. It's not about territory,' said Kostyantyn Batozsky, a political analyst in Kyiv. Ukraine would continue to fight, even if Trump walked away, Batozsky said. Under a deal outlined by Putin on Friday, Ukraine would surrender its eastern Donbas region, including parts of Donetsk that Ukrainian forces still control. In exchange, Russia would freeze the conflict along the current contact line in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson and give up some area in those regions. A total withdrawal from Donetsk would create vulnerabilities for Ukraine militarily because some of its most robust defenses are there, former U.S. officials and experts say. 'Ceding those defenses would position Russia to reattack in the future with more of an advantage,' said David Shimer, a former National Security Council official during the Biden administration, who is now a scholar at Columbia University's School of International and Public Affairs. Acknowledging Russia's legal sovereignty over the region is also a political and constitutional nonstarter for Zelensky. The Ukrainian Constitution forbids trading land, Zelensky said in Brussels on Sunday, and such a matter could only be discussed in trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine and the U.S. After more than three years of full-scale war, with tens of thousands dead and dozens of cities and towns razed, polls show a majority against even territorial concessions to Russia. One point of pressure Zelensky won't be able to count on is the prospect of intensified U.S. economic leverage on Moscow in the near term. Before the Alaska summit with Putin on Friday, Trump said there would be 'very severe consequences' if the Russian leader didn't agree to end the war. But after the Russian leader balked at a cease-fire, Trump said he would try to forge a finished peace agreement and might not need to think about whether to impose additional sanctions for two or three weeks. On Sunday, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on NBC's 'Meet the Press' that the threat of intensified U.S. economic sanctions against Moscow wouldn't likely come into play unless the efforts to forge a peace over Russia's invasion of Ukraine completely broke down. Accepting Russia's de facto control of Ukrainian territory would be less of a bitter pill for Zelensky to swallow if it was accompanied by the U.S. security guarantees the Ukrainian leader has long demanded, and if Moscow's authority over the region wasn't cast as a permanent redrawing of Ukraine's borders. The U.K. and France have said they could deploy troops as part of a 'reassurance force' in the western part of Ukraine if a peace agreement was reached to deter future Russian aggression. But they have long sought a limited U.S. role—dubbed a 'backstop' by British officials—to safeguard European forces should they be in danger. Such a role, military analysts say, wouldn't need to involve U.S. boots on the ground in Ukraine, but could include indirect support such as having U.S. Air Force fighters outside Ukraine at the ready, providing European forces with U.S.-made air-defense systems, flying drones over Ukraine from outside the country, providing military intelligence and transporting European troops and equipment on U.S. planes. Russian President Vladimir Putin balked at a cease-fire when he met with President Trump in Alaska. Rubio said Sunday that fleshing out the details of how security guarantees might work in practice will be one of the main subjects in the Monday meeting. 'We're at a stage where we need to build some details on it and then ultimately, you know, obviously present that to the Russian side,' Rubio told Fox News. But first we have to have our, you know, our, our ducks in order.' While Rubio declined to provide details, Witkoff said security guarantees would be issued by individual countries and not NATO, a gesture that seems calculated to meet Moscow's opposition to ever incorporating Ukraine into the Western military alliance. Witkoff suggested the guarantees could be modeled on NATO's principle of collective defense, which is codified in Article 5 of the NATO treaty, which says that an enemy attack against one member would be viewed as an attack against all. 'It means that the United States is potentially prepared to be able to give Article 5 security guarantees but not from NATO, directly from the United States, and other European countries,' Witkoff told Fox News. 'That is big.' 'Now, it's for us to drill down on the granular details of exactly what the Ukrainians need to give them a sense of security in the future and by the way, what the Europeans need as well,' Witkoff added. Zelensky, who has sought to repair his relationship with Trump in meetings at the Vatican and at the NATO summit, will be joined by European leaders who have generally found ways to navigate the sometimes unpredictable White House. Thanking them for their support, Zelensky said on X: 'It's necessary to cease fire and work quickly on a final deal. We'll talk about it in Washington, D.C. Putin does not want to stop the killings. But he must do it.' Write to Michael R. Gordon at and James Marson at Zelensky Heads Back to Washington Under Pressure From Putin


Hindustan Times
7 minutes ago
- Hindustan Times
Donald Trump's peace-deal demands leave Zelensky with only bad options
Volodymyr Zelenskyy finds himself in an impossible bind: risk Donald Trump's wrath or accept a quick deal to end Russia's war in Ukraine by paying the disastrous price of ceding territory for vague security guarantees that could see Moscow come back stronger in a few years' time. Fresh off a summit in Alaska with Vladimir Putin that bypassed a ceasefire, Trump has left Zelenskyy little room to maneuver. (AP) This is the existential dilemma confronting the Ukrainian leader as he travels to Washington for talks with the US president on Monday. Fresh off a summit in Alaska with Vladimir Putin that bypassed a ceasefire, Trump has left Zelenskyy little room to maneuver. Subscribe to the Bloomberg Daybreak Podcast on Apple, Spotify and other Podcast Platforms. The situation is made even more tenuous by the memory of his last visit to the White House in February that erupted into a bitter exchange between Zelenskyy and Trump and briefly led to a halt in military support. This time a coterie of European leaders will accompany him, but they have questionable leverage and haven't always been on the same page. The entourage will seek clarity from Trump on exactly what security guarantees the US is willing to provide as it attempts to orchestrate a meeting with the Ukrainian president and Putin. Among the group accompanying Zelenskyy are people Trump has struck a strong personal rapport with, including NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte and Finnish President Alexander Stubb. Aside from avoiding another dispute and maintaining Trump's interest in brokering a deal, Zelenskyy's objectives in the talks include: learning more about Putin's demands, pinning down the timing for a trilateral meeting, and prodding the US toward tougher sanctions against Russia, according to a person familiar with the matter, who asked not to be identified discussing private deliberations. Whether he can achieve any of these goals will depend on how much, in the view of European officials, Putin has gotten into Trump's head. After Friday's summit, Trump appeared to align again with the Russian president by dropping demands for an immediate ceasefire as a condition for opening negotiations. Instead, he said he'll urge Zelenskyy to act fast on a peace plan. 'Putin has many demands,' Zelenskyy said Sunday at a joint press conference with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen in Brussels, a stopover to prepare for the Washington visit. 'It will take time to go through them all — it's impossible to do this under the pressure of weapons,' he said, adding that a ceasefire would be needed to 'work quickly on a final deal.' Raising the stakes for Kyiv, the US president sounded open to Putin's demands that Ukraine give up large areas of land in the east of the country, which the Russian army and its proxies have been trying to seize since 2014. Despite the harsh demands on Ukraine, there are signs that the US is now prepared to back a deal. Following his meeting with Putin, Trump told European leaders that the US could contribute to any security guarantees and that Putin was prepared to accept that. But it remains unclear what kind of security guarantees are being discussed with Putin, and what the Kremlin leader is willing to accept. 'We got to an agreement that the US and other nations could effectively offer Article 5-like language to Ukraine,' Steve Witkoff, Trump's special envoy, said in an interview with CNN, referring to the NATO provision that says if one ally is attacked, it is considered an attack on all members. Trump is also under pressure. He had promised that after taking office in January he would quickly end Russia's full-scale invasion, which is in its fourth year. His efforts were mainly targeted at Kyiv but he ultimately had to acknowledge it was the Kremlin that didn't want to stop the war. Instead of yielding to Trump, Russia has intensified attacks. Civilian deaths have mounted, with June and July the deadliest months in more than three years, according to the United Nations. Ahead of the Alaska summit, Trump said refusal to accept a ceasefire would trigger tough new punitive measures on Moscow and countries buying Russian oil. After the meeting, which included a red-carpet reception for Putin and a shared ride in the US leader's armored limo, Trump called off the threats. Rather than punish the aggressor, he declared he's seeking a full peace deal that includes 'lands' swap' and urged Zelenskyy to accept it. On Sunday, the Ukrainian leader reaffirmed his stance that he won't give up territory or trade land. 'Since the territorial issue is so important, it should be discussed only by the leaders of Ukraine and Russia' at a meeting accompanied by the US, Zelenskyy said. 'So far Russia gives no sign the trilateral will happen.' Zelenskyy's refusal to accept territorial losses is a position shared by the majority of Ukrainians. But the level of support has softened as counteroffensives sputter and casualties mount. Still, fears are that a further retreat could invite later attacks. Talks in Washington will also be pivotal for Zelenskyy domestically. In late July, he faced his first political crisis since Russia invaded. Thousands took to the streets over his move to undermine anti-corruption institutions. Zelenskyy relented and re-installed independence to agencies that investigate top officials. His position in the talks is complicated by divisions among the US, Ukraine and other allies. Trump believes Russia can take the whole of Ukraine — although the Kremlin has managed only to seize less than a fifth of Ukraine's territory despite more than 1 million war casualties. Europeans, meanwhile, are wary that favorable conditions could encourage Putin to widen his aggression. 'It is important that America agrees to work with Europe to provide security guarantees for Ukraine,' Zelenskyy said on Sunday. 'But there are no details how it'll work and what America's role will be, what Europe's role will be, what the EU can do. And this is our main task.'