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2025 Women's Euros odds: Spain favoured ahead of defending champs England

2025 Women's Euros odds: Spain favoured ahead of defending champs England

The 14th edition of the European Women's Championship will begin on Wednesday in Switzerland, which becomes the sixth nation to host both the men's and women's Euros. Spain are the team to beat as holders of both the Nations League and World Cup. Now it remains to be seen whether they can complete the set.
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The Spaniards are the favourites (7/4 on Betfair) to triumph in Switzerland and win a tournament secured by their male counterparts last summer. In a sense, this is the final frontier for Montse Tome's side given Spain have traditionally underperformed in this particular tournament. They haven't made it past the quarter-finals of any of the last three Euros but surely the expectations this time are different.
Spain waltzed through qualification with no team in League A picking up more points or scoring more goals. Thirty-five-year-old Jenni Hermoso has been left out of the squad despite being the nation's record goalscorer. They have talent all over the pitch, though, and a plethora of treble winners with Barcelona suggest this could be the moment this team joins the ranks of the immortals.
Unsurprisingly, perhaps, England are second favourites (47/10) to go all the way. They won this tournament when they hosted it three years ago and narrowly lost the World Cup final when they faced Spain the following year. They'll try to do better than England's men and actually win a tournament on foreign soil.
England's coach, Sarina Wiegman, is the undisputed master of the Euros. She has won the tournament in charge of the Netherlands and England, winning an astonishing 12 out of 12 matches along the way. There are no sure things in sport but Wiegman in the European Championship is about as close to one as you can get. Once again, however, Spain stand in the way.
Most outside observers believe that one of England or Spain will triumph over the coming weeks.
Germany's women feel somewhat like Brazil's men in that they have a long and storied history that hasn't quite been emulated in more recent times. They are, in fact, the most successful nation in the history of this competition, having won it a staggering eight times. Like their male counterparts in 1966, they lost the last final after extra time at Wembley against the hosts. Germany have appeared in 9 out of the 13 Euros finals but find themselves, uncharacteristically, not necessarily expected to go the distance on this occasion.
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The big blow for Germany (5/1) is the absence of Alexandra Popp. The attacking great retired in October of last year with a record of 67 goals in 145 international appearances, thus making her the third top scorer in the nation's history. Popp notched six goals in five appearances at the last Euros before an injury forced her to miss that Wembley final. Only time will tell how the country will fare without her goals at a major tournament.
France (6/1) are deemed the fourth most likely team to succeed according to the bookmakers, although a lot has changed with the ousting of Wendie Renard and Eugenie Le Sommer, two of the country's longest-serving players.
French supporters hope this changing of the guard will help the team buck the trend of history, which has seen them play in more major tournaments (12) without reaching a final than any other nation. Will number 13 prove lucky for them? The French open against the defending champs on Saturday.
Sweden (14/1) are dark horses. They won the inaugural Euros in 1984, their only major competition win to date. Like England, the Swedes have reached the semi-finals of the last four major tournaments, an enviable record, to say the least.
Kosovare Asllani figures to be crucial for Sweden, not least in terms of experience. She has made 18 appearances at the Euros, more than any other current player, and all of those have been as a starter.
The Netherlands (22/1) do not have particularly short odds to win the 16-team tournament despite winning it in 2017. The Dutch are on a decent run of form that has seen them win 19 of their last 26 matches at major tournaments, a record only bettered by holders England.
The most significant weapon in the arsenal of the Netherlands, Vivianne Miedema, has more goals in the WSL than any other player in history. With an astonishing 99 goals for her country, Miedema is closing in on becoming the first Dutch player, man or woman, to reach a century of international goals. It's hard to bet against her reaching that milestone in Switzerland, especially if the nation continues its record of going deep in tournaments. In a group containing England and France, though, an extended run is far from a given.
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Betting/odds links in this article are provided by partners of The Athletic. Restrictions may apply. The Athletic maintains full editorial independence. Partners have no control over or input into the reporting or editing process and do not review stories before publication.
(Photo of Alexia Putellas: Alex Bierens de Haan / Getty Images)
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Should Luis Diaz be sold? Our Liverpool writer argues with himself
Should Luis Diaz be sold? Our Liverpool writer argues with himself

New York Times

timean hour ago

  • New York Times

Should Luis Diaz be sold? Our Liverpool writer argues with himself

The noise surrounding Luis Diaz and a potential move away from Liverpool will not go away. German champions Bayern Munich are the latest to test the club's stance that they are not interested in selling the 28-year-old this summer. The response was the same one Barcelona got when they enquired last month. Advertisement So what should Liverpool do with Diaz? It's a topic that is ideal for a (sensible) Friday evening chat at the pub with a pint. There are multiple opinions, options and avenues available — but what makes the most sense? Given it's Thursday morning and I'm on the clock, the pub is my work desk, the pint is a glass of water and I'm splitting my brain into two — Andy and Andrew — to discuss Diaz. Andy: There's no debate. Diaz has to stay. He is coming off his most productive season at Liverpool — 17 goals and eight assists in 50 appearances. He played a key role in the forward line that fired them to a Premier League title playing as a left winger before transitioning into the No 9 role where he became the preferred option. He is a player that Slot trusts and his adaptation to the striker role increased his versatility and value to the head coach because he can choose between different tactical set-ups depending on opponents. With all that in mind, Liverpool are right not to be entertaining his sale. Given fellow attackers Darwin Nunez and Federico Chiesa are set to depart, and the significant changes made in other areas of the squad, you're beginning to move into the dangerous area of trying to change too much too quickly. Andrew: Sorry, Andy, but it's not that clear-cut. Surely Liverpool should be looking to cash in on a player entering the final two years of his contract and arguably at peak value. Diaz is 28, turning 29 in January, and has two years remaining on his contract. Any transfer fee Liverpool could get will begin to decrease after this summer. Diaz had a very good campaign last season and answered some of the questions about his end product – but he did go through a 19-game spell where he scored only once despite playing the central role. While the send-offs for players at the end of their contracts in recent years have been a nice gesture, money needs to be made to fund incomings. Are we really deciding to keep him with the possibility of him leaving for free? The club has already foregone one potentially massive transfer fee with Trent Alexander-Arnold leaving for Real Madrid, and are in danger of that scenario repeating itself with Ibrahima Konate, who is now in the last year of his deal with no sign of an extension being signed. It's just bad business to keep allowing this to happen. Advertisement Andy: Well, that's not how Liverpool seem to see it. It feels like allowing contracts to run down and players to leave for nothing has almost become part of their business model. That may make the accountants twitchy, but it's all about weighing up the sporting benefits of keeping the player against the financials. The No 9 position was central to many discussions last season. The two natural strikers Slot had to choose from – Nunez and Diogo Jota – also struggled to produce in an attack that was built around Mohamed Salah and designed to primarily create chances for the wide players. If Liverpool feel Diaz will contribute to trophy success in the next two seasons, then they will value that higher than a transfer fee they get this summer. Andrew: But is there not some logic in giving him a new contract, retaining his value and then selling him in two years for a fee? Is that not better than getting nothing back for him in 2027? Andy: The contract situation is interesting because Liverpool have been able to benefit from an agreement where Diaz seems to be contributing significantly more than he is being paid. From on-pitch and business standpoints, that is a positive for the club. He arguably does deserve a new deal if he is to remain a key part of Liverpool's plans but say he wants four more years, which is probably what a 28-year-old would be searching for. That would take him up until the age of 32, while also doubling his wages. As we know, Liverpool only want players entering their thirties with multiple years remaining on their contract in exceptional circumstances — essentially if your name is Virgil van Dijk or Salah. Hopefully this is never the case, but say Diaz suffered a significant injury – that reduces the number of clubs who would be in for him, his value and leaves Liverpool in a situation where they may be unable to move him on. 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Instantly, Liverpool would add a younger, homegrown player to the squad and probably get the same amount of production from Gordon next season. There are other options out there, too, who would fit the age profile, tactical flexibility and attributes required. Andy: There are only a small number of players who are genuinely not for sale at any price. Arguably, Van Dijk and Mohamed Salah are two of them. So, yes, if Liverpool received an offer that blew them away then they would be sure to consider it. But they have already changed plenty this summer. Two new full-backs in Jeremie Frimpong and Milos Kerkez and a new creative in Florian Wirtz will mean tactical tweaks next season. Add in a potential new centre-back and No 9 and there's even more integrating to do. Cohesion is something Slot spoke about last season and while he has experience of squad overhauls at Feyenoord and a free summer without international competitions to disrupt pre-season, continuity is still important. Forcing change when it's not a necessity can be detrimental, especially ahead of defending a league title. Andrew: I'm all about retaining the Premier League title, and maybe seeing the club lift more silverware next season. And I suppose you could look to move Diaz on next summer, too. This does all come back to whether Liverpool are going to sign a No 9 this summer, given Nunez seems to be on his way. If they choose not to spend big in an inflated market, then Diaz will probably continue to fill in that role next season — but if that's the case, you worry that the lack of a natural centre-forward may come back to haunt them. Advertisement Andy: It's a risk, for sure, but Liverpool won plenty of games last season with Diaz through the middle. Ultimately, when he's in form, he's a brilliant player to watch, full of fun and dynamism. Let's enjoy that while he's here and if he produces another season like his most recent, with Wirtz pulling the strings, Liverpool's stance will be the right one. (Top photos: Getty Images)

With Jenni Hermoso left out, who will be Spain's star striker at Euro 2025?
With Jenni Hermoso left out, who will be Spain's star striker at Euro 2025?

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

With Jenni Hermoso left out, who will be Spain's star striker at Euro 2025?

'No door is closed to any player.' Those were the words of Spain's head coach Montse Tome at a news conference in May as she announced yet another squad without Jenni Hermoso. It was the fourth time in a row that Hermoso, Spain's all-time top scorer with 57 goals, was left out. She was La Roja's starting centre-forward as they lifted the 2023 World Cup but has not appeared in any squad for her national team since October. Advertisement 'I am clear about what I want from the team, what I want from the players when they are off the pitch: that camaraderie, that poise,' Tome said in November 2024, when she omitted Hermoso for the first time. 'We want to launch that line of work and that is where we are going to focus.' Back then, Hermoso was left out along with Irene Paredes and goalkeeper Misa Rodriguez. Curiously, that came after all three players were involved in the Netflix documentary It's All Over: The Kiss That Changed Spanish Football, in which they and fellow Spain team-mate Alexia Putellas spoke about what had happened behind the scenes at the Spanish football federation (RFEF) since 2022. That story has been well covered. In 2022, 15 of Spain's players sent an email to the RFEF declaring themselves unavailable for selection by their national team until things changed in terms of the federation's treatment of the women's game. They spent months not playing for Spain and only three returned to play in the 2023 World Cup, which Spain won. During the celebrations, RFEF president Luis Rubiales gave Hermoso an unconsented kiss, which resulted in a trial this February where Rubiales was found guilty of sexual assault and fined more than €10,000 (£8,600; $11,800). Hermoso is in the twilight of her career at 35 years old and has just left Mexican side Tigres UANL, but it is easy to understand why reporters have asked Tome so much about her absence. She is a proven goalscorer who was key at the 2023 World Cup, scoring three times and winning the Silver Ball award for the second-best player of the tournament, only behind her team-mate Aitana Bonmati. Advertisement So, who will be this Spain team's star striker in her absence? For a start, the team's goals are evenly distributed among the team — and this is especially true of star midfielders Putellas and Bonmati (who was diagnosed with viral meningitis but discharged from hospital on Sunday). Putellas was Barcelona's second-highest scorer in the 2024-25 season with 22 goals, while Bonmati scored 15 in her lowest scoring campaign in the last four years. Their fellow Barca and Spain winger Salma Paralluelo scored 13 times despite taking a three-month break from the game to adjust her training regime to prevent injury (she started out combining football and athletics). However, in terms of individual names that stand out above the rest, it is hard to look beyond Claudia Pina after a sensational end to the season with Barcelona. The 23-year-old winger can create goals out of nothing. She finished the season as the Champions League's top scorer with 10 goals despite not being an undisputed starter, helping her side to the final (where they lost 1-0 against Arsenal). She scored 22 times across all competitions. Advertisement Six months ago, Pina was not even in Tome's plans. In fact, she was one of the players who was relegated to Spain's under-23s from the senior team after Tome took charge in September 2023. She had been one of 'Las 15' who did not return for the World Cup. Now, there is no question of her making the Euros squad. In Spain's Nations League game against England in June, she came on in the 58th minute with her side losing 1-0, scored two minutes later with her first touch and then the eventual winner in the 70th minute. Her second was a work of art, a fine shot from outside the area that nestled in the top corner. These Euros could not have come at a better time for Pina. She is full of energy, even when she is not in the starting line-up, and brings accuracy, audacity and talent. She could be set for a breakout tournament in Switzerland. Esther Gonzalez is the closest player to Hermoso in terms of her position. The Gotham FC centre-forward joined the NWSL side from Real Madrid after the World Cup win and has flourished since then, recently renewing her deal with the club until 2027. Advertisement She remains the second highest scorer in Madrid's brief history in the women's game, with 39 goals across three seasons with the club. Moving to the United States has made her physically stronger and more complete. After a spell out of the squad, she returned in March and has scored three goals in her last four games for Spain. She is a regular for the team at 32 years old and was one of their captains at the World Cup. Then there is Mariona Caldentey. The former Barca forward scored 16 goals in her debut season for Arsenal. At Barca, she tended to be underrated among a host of stars and was not a regular in the starting line-up, partly due to injuries she suffered. Caldentey has come into her own in the Women's Super League and was an important player in Arsenal's Champions League triumph against her old club in May. She can play up front and as an attacking midfielder. Advertisement In her last season at Barca, coach Jonatan Giraldez used her as a No 9, although she admits this is not her ideal position and she tended to play as a left-winger in Catalonia. Tome is using Caldentey as a right-winger, but wherever she plays, she has a knack for scoring goals. Coming into the tournament in Switzerland as one of the top contenders for the Ballon d'Or, we could see her play an even more prominent role. There are other options too, not least Alba Redondo and Paralluelo. Redondo was Real Madrid's top scorer in Liga F this season with 15 goals and the fourth highest in the league. Paralluelo, meanwhile, played a key role in the World Cup, scoring the goal against the Netherlands that sent Spain through to the semi-finals and another against Sweden in the semi-final. But she is a winger rather than an out-and-out striker like Hermoso. Advertisement What is clear, though, is that Spain will not be short of scoring options, even in Hermoso's absence. This article originally appeared in The Athletic. Spain, Women's Soccer, Women's Euros 2025 The Athletic Media Company

Why do Newcastle keep missing out on transfer targets?
Why do Newcastle keep missing out on transfer targets?

New York Times

timean hour ago

  • New York Times

Why do Newcastle keep missing out on transfer targets?

The repeat narrative is becoming tiresome and concerning for supporters. 'Newcastle United have missed out on [INSERT NAME OF ANY OF THEIR TARGETS]' has been the theme of the summer. Dean Huijsen, Liam Delap, Bryan Mbeumo and now, perhaps most worrying of all, Joao Pedro. So why have the club been unable to conclude a deal? Is it to do with PSR (the Premier League's profit and sustainability rules) constraints? Are they spending too long pursuing players who do not want to move to them? Do they have a coherent strategy? The departure of sporting director Paul Mitchell after less than a year at the club has not helped ease the angst. The Athletic looks at the four examples and analyses why Newcastle's window has unfolded in frustrating fashion — and what to expect next. Of the players Newcastle have 'failed' to sign, Huijsen moving to Real Madrid from Bournemouth rightly generated the least hysteria. The 20-year-old was coveted by the biggest clubs in Europe and, while Newcastle pushed hard to acquire the Spain international, there was an acceptance they were always unlikely to lure the centre-back to Tyneside. There are similarities to Newcastle's move for Michael Olise last summer. When the winger was leaving Crystal Palace, the expectation was that he would join an elite outfit — as he did in Bayern Munich — but Newcastle want to put themselves into the frame for quality players. Olise and Huijsen had release clauses — £50million ($68m) for the latter — meaning financially any potential deal felt too enticing to overlook, and Newcastle's pitches to each player were said to have been impressive and well received. Newcastle could have opted against entering the race for Huijsen, given the likelihood was he would head elsewhere, but they are determined to try and compete for the highest quality of player possible within their PSR constraints. Delap was not necessarily a key target. Newcastle rate the 22-year-old and felt he would prove an excellent alternative to Alexander Isak, as well as someone who could play alongside and complement the Sweden striker. But it is not certain that an out-and-out striker joins; instead, a more versatile forward like Joao Pedro, who can play across the frontline, may prove better value given Newcastle's budget. As with Huijsen, Newcastle sensed a potential opportunity. The £30m relegation-release clause in Delap's Ipswich Town contract represented a below-market price for a striker who scored 12 goals in his first full Premier League season — and for a team who went down. The former Manchester City centre-forward chose Chelsea over Manchester United, Nottingham Forest, Everton and Newcastle, but that late-May decision offered the latter plenty of time to reassess their plans. When Newcastle finalised their list of potential summer recruits, Mbeumo was their top right-sided forward target. The Cameroon international scored 20 and assisted a further seven in the Premier League last season. Coupled with his top-flight experience and ability to provide cover through the middle, it led to confidence he would have an immediate impact by displacing Jacob Murphy or pushing the right winger to new heights. Advertisement Price was always a concern, however, given Mbeumo is 25. He is entering his prime but is a couple of years above the ideal age Newcastle would usually recruit from. At around £50m, they would have been keen to do a deal, though Brentford are seemingly holding out for more than £60m. In the end, Newcastle did not even get to a club-to-club negotiating stage because Mbeumo indicated a preference to join Manchester United in late May. At that stage, Newcastle shifted on to alternative right-wing options, recognising that they should not repeat the month-long and futile pursuit of a target, as occurred with Palace centre-back Marc Guehi last August. Although the circumstances were different — Newcastle did not reach Palace's valuation of Guehi, whereas Mbeumo is set to opt for another club — multiple sources on Tyneside, speaking on condition of anonymity to protect relationships, claimed the club could not match the potential financial package Manchester United will offer. The Brazil forward feels like the most consequential player who Newcastle have 'missed out on'. Not necessarily because of his quality — Howe rates him highly, yet supporters appeared split about his reputation and general ability — but because of his unique profile. Newcastle may have tried and failed to sign a right winger pretty much since the takeover occurred in October 2021, but theoretically there are alternatives to Mbeumo — with Nottingham Forest's Anthony Elanga chief among them — even if the player pool which Howe believes will instantly improve his starting XI is small. With Pedro, he is 23, Premier League-hardened, was available (Brighton & Hove Albion may argue otherwise but eventually sold him), can play across the frontline, and would have been able to compete with as well as complement Isak. Advertisement Finding a forward of similar age, adaptability and experience at an affordable price is going to be difficult. Eintracht Frankfurt's Hugo Ekitike, who Newcastle tried to sign in January 2022 and is viewed internally as of a comparable profile, will reportedly command a fee reaching €100m (£86.4m) and he has never played in England. Some fans have equated the Joao Pedro situation to last summer's Guehi saga, suggesting Newcastle pursued a player they were never going to sign and should have switched focus sooner. However, unlike Guehi, this was not about price — Newcastle did have a bid rejected, yet there was a feeling a compromise could be reached — but, as with Mbeumo, Joao Pedro communicated that he favoured a move to Chelsea. Those inside Newcastle contend this was not clear all along and that, initially, Joao Pedro's camp had suggested he was receptive to a transfer to Tyneside. Then, around a fortnight ago, his preference for London emerged, while there have been suggestions, according to sources who were speaking anonymously to protect relationships, he was stung by the manner in which Newcastle pulled out of negotiations to acquire him from Watford in 2022. That is when they pivoted towards signing Isak. Regardless, Newcastle pulled out of negotiations shortly before Chelsea reached an agreement and they have been forced to re-evaluate once more. While there is an insistence they have alternatives to Joao Pedro, the list is said to be small. Although the frustration of supporters is shared internally, there is no sense of panic — which is unlikely to pacify fans understandably impatient for additions following three successive windows without a first-XI signing. Howe is restless for additions, too, and would prefer to be welcoming new players for pre-season training when it begins on Monday. The expectation inside Newcastle is that the market will heat up once players return to their clubs for pre-season — and the hope is that an initial signing with generate momentum for others to follow. Advertisement A goalkeeper, centre-back, right-winger and versatile forward are still wanted. James Trafford is the top goalkeeper target and, while talks continue with Burnley, Newcastle are yet to reach a fee, even if those around the deal have always presented a confidence it will get done. At right wing, Newcastle never strongly pursued Antoine Semenyo due to his valuation, even before the Ghana forward signed a contract extension at Bournemouth. Their interest in Elanga remains, however, following an initial £45m bid being rejected. Guehi is still on their wanted list, too, although there are alternative centre-back options. Where Newcastle turn next, if anywhere at all, in their hunt for a forward is unclear. A first senior signing would help everyone, inside and outside of the club, settle down. There is internal confidence it will come — even if Newcastle are operating without a sporting director following Mitchell's exit on Monday — but, until it does, supporter apprehension will only grow.

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