logo
From the archive: Enoch and after

From the archive: Enoch and after

Photo by David Reed Archive / Alamy
Enoch Powell's 'Rivers of Blood' speech opposed immigration and the Race Relations Bill. For it, Edward Heath dismissed him from the shadow cabinet. The NS political columnist Alan Watkins warned against Powell's menace as an extra-parliamentary demagogue.
The great Bishop Butler was in the habit of walking in his garden with a companion and musing upon the possibility of madness suddenly striking the politicians of his time. Today madness is very much in the political air. Mr Enoch Powell says that we are all mad. Some of Mr Powell's former colleagues in the shadow cabinet, for their part, claim that The word should more properly be used of Mr Powell. 'Mad' is, to be sure, an unsubtle epithet, and of no very precise scientific meaning. Clearly there is a sense in which Mr Powell is as sane as anybody. There is another sense in which he is a politically unbalanced and (to use one of his own favourite adjectives) dangerous man.
There is, for a start, the matter of Mr Powell's appearance. I am sorry if this seems tasteless, but I am consoled by the knowledge that I am not the only person to have been guilty of this particular error over the past few days. Those staring eyes, that tight, occasionally twitching white mask of a face: can the possessor of these characteristics, one wonders, be entirely balanced? But this is not the only or the most important aspect to Mr Powell. Let us go back over his speeches of the past four or five years. Most of them – and here they differ from last Saturday's – are distinguished by wit, clarity, a certain elegance of expression. They are among the few contemporary political speeches that bear re-reading. In all speaking or writing, however, there comes a point at which a certain superficial lucidity is not an aid to thought but a barrier. There is a temptation to make the facts or the emotions fit the construction of a sentence, the shape of a speech. This is a temptation to which Mr Powell continually succumbs.
'I strive to be brief,' said Horace, 'and become obscure': but in Mr Powell's case the distortions that occur are not solely or even mainly due to a striving after literary effect. Mr. Powell practises a conscious political obscurantism. In 1963-4, it will be remembered, he made a succession of speeches about Conservatism and Socialism. These speeches purported to describe the differences not between theories but between real political parties. Even in 1963-4, when socialist hopes for Mr Harold Wilson were rather higher than they are today, Mr Powell's observations bore only the slightest relation to political fact. I remember asking him how he justified them. 'Well,' he replied (or words to this effect), 'one of the best ways of bringing something about is to pretend that it has actually happened.'
Now, it is arguable that this practice, though not perhaps very exalted, is common enough among politicians and publicists. But Mr Powell's liking for antithesis and exaggeration goes further than this. He refuses to qualify his thoughts or admit to doubt because his method of reasoning about politics does not permit him to do so. In some ways this is an attractive characteristic. We all like certainty, or the appearance of certainty. Indeed – and this is not such a digression as may appear – there Is a persuasive though ignorant criticism of political writing which goes something as follows: there are far too many ifs and buts and on the one hands and on the others; back, therefore,, to the models of the 17th and 18th centuries. But nearly all this writing, as anyone who has actually read it knows, is based on one or more of the following elements: appeals to scriptural authority; attacks on personalities; simple and syllogistic reasoning from dubious premises. In his speeches and writings Mr Powell makes particular use of the latter two elements. He begins with an apparently indisputable statement and builds upon it an inverted pyramid of nonsense. He is, in the true sense, a political primitive.
Certainly it is not inevitable that a politician who reasons in this fashion should think of himself as a Messiah. But dogmatism and messianism reinforce each other wonderfully. Mr Powell's doctrinal certainty marches hand in hand with the belief that he has been sent by providence to redeem the times. In addition Mr Powell holds the view, as Gladstone and Cripps did before him, that what is personally convenient for him also happens, by remarkable coincidence, to correspond to the will of the Almighty. I give two examples of this latter characteristic. The first concerns incomes policy. Until he left the Cabinet in 1963, Mr Powell supported, and indeed played a part in the formulation of, Mr Reginald Maudling's incomes policy. When he left the cabinet he attacked the policy, without feeling that he was being at all inconsistent.
My second example brings us to the events of this week. It was Mr Powell, it seems, who suggested the words 'on balance' in the Opposition's so-called reasoned amendment. His speech on Saturday, however, hardly suggested much balance about anything. And the sequence of events seems to have been roughly as follows. Mr Powell deliberately set out to provoke Mr Edward Heath. Mr Heath was more hurt and injured than angry. On Sunday morning he telephoned most members of the Shadow Cabinet. The consensus was that 'things have gone far enough'. Mr Heath is anxious to make clear that at no point did he ask the views of his colleagues about whether he ought to dismiss Mr Powell. Nor, at this stage, did anyone threaten to resign if Mr Powell stayed in the Shadow Cabinet. There is no reason substantially to question this version; though Mr Heath, in an attempt to emphasise his own leadership, is possibly insisting on it too strenuously. Anyway, by midday or thereabouts, Mr Heath had made up his mind to sack Enoch, and shortly after he telephoned his Chief Whip, Mr William Whitelaw, and asked him to come to London. Mr Whitelaw, having driven from the furthest north. arrived at about eight, and Mr Powell was duly dismissed.
Subscribe to The New Statesman today from only £8.99 per month Subscribe
One Labour MP, on hearing the news, sent a telegram of congratulation to Mr Heath. And, indeed, Mr Heath deserved his telegram. On Sunday night it would have been possible to argue that he was, with some courage, risking a split in the party in the House of Commons. Having alienated his left wing by refusing to support the Race Relations Bill, he was now, it must have been thought, provoking his right wing by sacking Mr Powell. But things did not work out quite like this. As far as the Conservative Party in Parliament was concerned, the dismissal of Mr Powell was, in an odd way, a steadying influence. Indeed if it had not been for Mr Powell's weekend speech, Tuesday's debate would have been a far more boisterous occasion. In the event both sides seemed to feel that they had to be moderate, to make amends for what one of their number had said. This was particularly true of Mr Quintin Hogg who, without a note, gave one of the greatest parliamentary performances I have ever heard. Mr Hogg's outstanding characteristic is his magnanimity. He was generous even to Mr Powell, though he had sharp things to say. One felt that he was speaking for the whole House.
And this, curiously, is what is so disturbing about the present situation. While Mr Hogg was speaking for the House, the dockers were demonstrating for Mr Powell. For years and years Mr Powell has been making speeches on defence and economic policy. The speeches were widely reported, certainly, but they struck no response from the public at large. He has now, quite deliberately, decided to exploit the one issue on which many people are scarcely rational. And he has appeared to put himself not only outside his party but outside the system of parliamentary government. He has contrived to tie racism to the disillusion with party politics. He is now, in fact, the most dangerous type of demagogue. As such he is a threat to Mr Heath, not from within the parliamentary party, but from outside it. There was a time, not so long ago, when Mr Powell's contributions to politics could be regarded (by others, if not by himself) as an intellectual diversion. No longer. And the parallel that occurs to me is not Sir Oswald Mosley or Governor Wallace. It is Senator Joe McCarthy. Like McCarthy, Mr Powell exploits prejudice; as with McCarthy, many ordinary people think he is on their side. The main difference is that Mr Powell is more intelligent.
[See also: From the archive: Reality: a charter for avoidance]
Related
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Britain's biggest threat isn't Starmer, but the next Labour leader
Britain's biggest threat isn't Starmer, but the next Labour leader

Telegraph

timea day ago

  • Telegraph

Britain's biggest threat isn't Starmer, but the next Labour leader

If the pressures and realities of being in Government seem to have overwhelmed and surprised a large number of Labour MPs, spare a thought for lowly members of the party. Being in office has always been an uncomfortable experience for the comrades. Mario Cuomo's famous dictum that 'we campaign in poetry and we govern in prose' never quite hit home with them. As the writer John O'Farrell once eloquently put it, being a Labour Party member while Labour is in office is like being a David Bowie fan when 'The Laughing Gnome' was in the charts. But these days the conflict between loyalty to party and loyalty to Socialism (always with a capital S) is keener than ever. The political world is in a state of flux and party members are being tested beyond the point of endurance by current government policy, as the recent Survation poll of more than 1000 party members demonstrates. More than seven in 10 paid-up Labour members said the Government was wrong to proscribe Palestine Action as a terrorist organisation. An even larger proportion – 84 per cent – opposes the Government's continued support of the two-child benefit cap. How much more comfortable it was when the party was in opposition! When all members had to do to feel good about themselves was to complain about those evil Tories and talk of the blessed sunlit uplands of the New Jerusalem that would be established by Socialism one day. That's the thing about Labour: electoral victories are barely celebrated for a single day. And then the betrayals get underway by sell-out ministers and everyone starts complaining about the Government again. While most people recognise that being in Government inevitably means tough and unpopular decisions, Labour Party members are generally not among those people. Pontification is so much more appealing than actual governing and legislating. And so Keir Starmer – and particularly his MPs, those in Government as well as on the back benches – should be encouraged by this latest survey. For if his own party, the party that elected Corbyn as party leader twice, is unhappy with him, he must be doing something right. These are the people who think Ed Miliband – he of the Ed Stone, the 2015 general election result, the bacon sarny and the scourge of the oil industry – is the best performing Cabinet minister while Liz Kendall, who tried to rein in welfare spending and wants to get people off benefits and into jobs, is the least popular. I well remember the unexpectedly robust response I received on the doorstep in one of the poorest council estates in my former constituency, after the then Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition Government introduced the two-child cap on welfare benefits. I had expected local residents to be angry and resentful at this policy. Instead, aside from one or two directly affected, there was a general support for the notion that if better off couples had to limit their families to sizes that they could afford, less well-off families should do the same. That was an eye-opener. And Kemi Badenoch, the Conservative leader, seems to have grasped the reality of that even as most Labour members continue to demand that those in work should pay higher taxes to fund larger families of those out of work. Those are the hard choices and harder realities that governments have to contend with on a daily basis. It's a reality that Labour Party rank-and-file members would rather not confront; that is not, after all, what they joined the party for. Perhaps if Corbyn and his co-leader Zarah Sultana ever get round to forming and naming their new Left-wing party, many of those unhappily remaining in Labour will make the switch to a party more willing to tell them what they want to hear. In the meantime, Starmer needs to imbue in his MPs a sense of discipline and a belief that the hard decisions made today will start to pay dividends when the next general election hovers into view.

TRADING DAY Muted Monday, eyes on Trump summitry
TRADING DAY Muted Monday, eyes on Trump summitry

Reuters

time2 days ago

  • Reuters

TRADING DAY Muted Monday, eyes on Trump summitry

ORLANDO, Florida, Aug 18 (Reuters) - TRADING DAY Making sense of the forces driving global markets By Jamie McGeever, Markets Columnist Many world markets took a breather on Monday as investors awaited the outcome of U.S. President Donald Trump's extraordinary meetings with Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskiy and many European leaders, and looked ahead to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's keynote speech in Jackson Hole later in the week. More on that below. In my column today I ask whether U.S. consumer spending can be sustained, which would keep the economy growing and steer it away from recession. Much will depend on how the rich feel about their finances. If you have more time to read, here are a few articles I recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets today. Today's Key Market Moves Today's Talking Points: * Europe goes to Washington. U.S. President Donald Trump's intense, hastily-arranged summitry continued on Monday as he welcomed Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to the White House to discuss how to end the Ukraine-Russia war. This follows Trump's meeting with Vladimir Putin in Alaska on Friday, which was a success for the Russian president but yielded little for Trump. And that meant little for Ukraine or Europe, which explains the extraordinary sight of Zelenskiy being backed in Washington on Monday by many of Europe's most powerful leaders, including Germany's Friedrich Merz, France's Emanuel Macron, Britain's Keir Starmer and NATO's Mark Rutte. Trump's appearance with Zelenskiy before the cameras was cordial and even friendly, in stark contrast to their acrimonious meeting in February. Trump said the U.S. would help Europe in providing security for Ukraine as part of any deal, but also suggested to reporters that he no longer believed a ceasefire was a necessary prerequisite for striking a peace agreement. * Jackson Hole. Attention is now turning to the annual Kansas City Fed's symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, which gathers Fed officials, central bankers and leading economists from around the world to discuss the challenges facing the global economy. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech on Friday is the keynote event. Leaving aside any possible long-term policy steers, such as changes to QT or tolerating slightly higher inflation, the main focus is whether he leans toward a rate cut in September or not. Rates traders still think he will, but their conviction is ebbing by the day. They are now attaching an 82% probability of a quarter-point cut next month, the lowest likelihood since the unexpectedly weak employment data on August 1. * Long-end bond blues. Yields on 30-year sovereign bonds in major countries around the world continue to rise. In some cases, like that of Germany, they are now the highest in many years as investors begin to fret again about inflation and fiscal spending plans. Many investors are also questioning the wisdom of the Fed resuming its easing cycle next month, which is what's currently priced into rates futures markets, with inflation above target, unemployment at a historical low, stocks at record highs and financial conditions the loosest in years. Even the long end of China's bond market is feeling the squeeze. The 30-year yield spiked 8 basis points to 2.12% on Monday, the highest in five months and biggest one-day rise since October. And this is in China, where the deflationary pressures of the last few years are showing no sign of lifting. Can the rich continue to prop up US consumer spending? U.S. consumer spending's surprising resilience is the main reason the economy has not only avoided recession, but continued to grow at a solid clip. The big question now is whether American households can keep that going, especially with higher, tariff-fueled prices coming down the pike. In the U.S., "the consumer" is king. Consumer spending accounts for around 70% of total economic output, so changes in people's propensity to spend have a direct, outsized influence on the health of the economy. But "the consumer" is, of course, actually millions of people. And when you split them into groups based on income and wealth, it becomes clear that total spending disproportionately comes from the rich. Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, said earlier this year that the richest 10% of Americans, those earning at least $250,000 a year, now account for half of all consumer spending. That's a record. Thirty years ago, the richest 10% accounted for 36% of all consumer spending. A Boston Fed paper, opens new tab last week backed up Zandi's findings, concluding that the strength of aggregate consumer spending in the last three years is due to high-income earners. But the authors suggest high-income consumers have a reasonable cushion because they haven't maxed out their credit cards. While the lower-income and middle-income cohorts both saw their credit card debt soar past pre-pandemic totals in the last few years, wealthier Americans' credit card debt remains below the 2019 high and well below the level implied by the pre-pandemic trend. So, if necessary, they still have room to borrow to fund their spending. Spending across the income deciles could also be supported by enhanced earning power. While some indicators show that the U.S. labor market may be softening, annual average earnings growth still rose in July to 3.9%, meaning real wage growth is running at a 1.3% annual pace, depending on what slice of inflation you use. Real annual wage growth has been between 1.0% and 1.8% for over two years, above the average for the decade leading into the COVID-19 health crisis. And overall workers' income may be growing at an even faster rate, according to economists at Bank of America. They calculate that aggregate labor income – number of jobs multiplied by wages multiplied by number of hours worked - increased 5.5% in July on a six-month annualized basis. Most of that growth was driven by higher wages. With household delinquency rates, excluding student loans, cooling off this year, strength in labor income should continue to support consumer spending, they argue. This, in turn, should help the U.S. avoid the recessionary spiral of lower spending begetting layoffs, begetting even lower spending, begetting more job cuts. This is one of the reasons BofA economists retain their out-of-consensus call that the Federal Reserve won't cut interest rates at all this year. Others are less confident. Zandi at Moody's Analytics warns that a correction on Wall Street would hit the rich hard via the negative wealth effects, "and, given how weak the economy is, push it into recession." The concentration of equity ownership at the top of the U.S. wealth ladder is extreme - the richest 1% in the country owns 50% of stock market assets and the top 10% holds around 90%. Some measures of household spending are already flashing amber. Inflation-adjusted spending as measured by personal consumption expenditures flat lined in the first half of this year. Yet figures on Friday showed that retail sales rose 0.5% in July after an upwardly revised 0.9% gain in June. But then there are tariffs. Companies, not consumers, have borne the brunt of these levies so far. Economists at Goldman Sachs estimate that consumers absorbed only 22% of tariff costs through June, but they reckon that figure could rise to 67% in the months ahead if the Trump administration's expected tariffs are implemented. So there are grounds for both caution and optimism. Much will depend on whether the rich draw in their horns. What could move markets tomorrow? Want to receive Trading Day in your inbox every weekday morning? Sign up for my newsletter here. Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, opens new tab, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

Dollar gains before Ukraine peace talks, Fed policy in focus
Dollar gains before Ukraine peace talks, Fed policy in focus

Reuters

time2 days ago

  • Reuters

Dollar gains before Ukraine peace talks, Fed policy in focus

NEW YORK, Aug 18 (Reuters) - The dollar gained on Monday as U.S. President Donald Trump prepared to host talks on ending Russia's war in Ukraine, and traders pared bets on a September rate cut before a speech on Friday by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Trump will meet Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy on Monday before holding talks with the leaders of Britain, Germany, France, Italy, Finland, the European Union and NATO, the White House said. The European leaders were heading to Washington to show solidarity with Ukraine and to press for strong security guarantees in any settlement of the war in Ukraine. Traders are also focused on Powell's appearance later this week at the U.S. central bank's annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming for any new indications on whether a rate cut is likely next month. Powell has said he is reluctant to cut rates on expectations that Trump's tariff policies will lead to higher inflation this summer. Traders pared bets on a cut at the Fed's September 16-17 meeting after producer price inflation was hotter than expected in July. They had ramped up bets on a cut after consumer price inflation data for last month showed limited pass through from the trade levies. Fed fund futures traders are now pricing in a 85% probability of a September rate cut, after last week briefly fully pricing in a move. Powell is unlikely to lock himself into a monetary path before seeing August's round of data. 'I don't think that he can be definitive after being so cautious for so long. But I do think he has a clear opening on the labor market,' said Lou Brien, strategist at DRW Trading in Chicago. 'If the labor market weakens, he can move on that without having to wait for inflation, and that has historically been the way the Fed goes. They talk tough on inflation. They react to the labor market. The last jobs number was weaker than expected, the revisions were weaker than expected, and that makes it more than one report,' Brien said. The euro was last down 0.21% on the day at $1.1673. Against the Japanese yen , the dollar strengthened 0.46% to 47.85. Sterling weakened 0.1% to $1.3538. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 1.66% to $115,764.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store