logo
Exchange Fund records HK$67.2b in investment income

Exchange Fund records HK$67.2b in investment income

RTHK06-05-2025

Exchange Fund records HK$67.2b in investment income
Eddie Yue says the Monetary Authority has been diversifying its investments in recent years to minimise risks. Photo: RTHK
The Exchange Fund recorded an investment income of HK$67.2 billion in the first quarter, reversing a loss from the previous three months.
The fund backing the local currency was boosted in part by rallies in local stocks in the January-March period, as investment interests surged over mainland stocks following AI firm DeepSeek's release of its cost-efficient AI models.
The gains compared with an investment loss of HK$20.3 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024 and represented a 7.8 percent increase year on year.
Announcing the Exchange Fund's performance on Tuesday, Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) chief executive Eddie Yue said the authorities have in recent years reduced the holdings of US dollar assets, diversifying the fund's investment portfolio.
Speaking in a Legislative Council panel meeting, Yue said while the dominance of the greenback as a reserve currency will not change in the short term, the HKMA has been gradually diversifying its investments to minimise risks.
"The investment portfolio is highly diversified, and it not only includes US dollar bonds or US dollar assets, but also many other assets," he said.
"At the end of last year, our annual report showed that the holding of our US dollar assets stood at about 79 percent in our two investment portfolios, compared with more than 90 percent a few years ago. So we have gradually diversified our investment portfolio into non-US dollar assets, including renminbi, the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, etc."
Looking ahead, Yue expects the Exchange Fund to face greater uncertainties for the rest of the year due to the tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump.
Meanwhile, Yue said the Hong Kong dollar could strengthen further in the coming months due to high demand.
He said the appreciation will depend on several factors, including upcoming IPO activities, stock dividends and reduced carry trade activities, an arbitrage whereby investors borrow low-yielding currencies to buy high-yielding currencies.
The HKMA has intervened in the currency market in recent days to stop the Hong Kong dollar from breaching the upper end of its trading range.
Yue said the city's currency market continues to operate in a smooth and orderly manner.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Taiwan's kamikaze sea drones, China warns US over trade pressure: SCMP daily highlights
Taiwan's kamikaze sea drones, China warns US over trade pressure: SCMP daily highlights

South China Morning Post

time8 hours ago

  • South China Morning Post

Taiwan's kamikaze sea drones, China warns US over trade pressure: SCMP daily highlights

Catch up on some of SCMP's biggest China stories of the day. If you would like to see more of our reporting, please consider subscribing 1. Taiwan to test kamikaze sea drone to 'support coastal assault operations' Taiwan is planning to test a home-made kamikaze sea drone later this month as it seeks to boost its naval defences in the face of growing pressure from mainland China. 2. China warns US pressure tactics won't work for trade talks to happen Beijing on Tuesday urged Washington to 'respect facts, stop spreading disinformation, and correct its wrong practices' to create conditions for meaningful dialogue amid a dispute between the world's two largest economies over a recent trade deal. 3. Military mishap risks rise with PLA's 'grey zone operations': Taiwan ex-minister Beijing has carried out at least three rounds of large-scale military drills near Taiwan since May 2024, and PLA warplanes continue to fly near the island on a daily basis. Photo: Weibo/PLA Eastern Theatre Command The risks of a cross-strait military accident are on the rise as Beijing steps up pressure on Taiwan, a former Taiwanese defence official has warned, citing the lack of direct communication channels between the two sides.

Trump's capital tax would be coup de grace for the dollar
Trump's capital tax would be coup de grace for the dollar

Asia Times

time10 hours ago

  • Asia Times

Trump's capital tax would be coup de grace for the dollar

US dollar bulls are having a rough 2025 as Donald Trump's determination to sabotage the world's reserve currency grows by the day. The US president started the year threatening to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. And to limit the Fed's latitude to make monetary policy decisions independent of the White House. Next, Trump's tariffs spooked the US Treasury market in unprecedented ways, pushing 10-year yields above 4.8% for a time in April. The turmoil spread around the globe, hitting the Japanese government bond market hardest. Now, Trump's Republican allies in the US Congress are dutifully doing their worst to undermine the dollar with the 'Big Beautiful Bill' that's winding its way through the legislative process. Buried in the voluminous 1,000-page document, all the way back in section No. 899, sits the latest Trumpian financial landmine. It aims to change the treatment of foreign capital flows into the US by allowing the White House to slap taxes on companies and individuals from nations it deems discriminatory. This very idea 'challenges the open nature of US capital markets by explicitly using taxation on foreign holdings of US assets as leverage to further US economic goals,' says George Saravelos, global head of FX research at Deutsche Bank. This 'weaponization of US capital markets,' Saravelos says, risks 'creating the scope for the US administration to transform a trade war into a capital war if it so wishes.' Elias Haddad, a strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, says it 'would deter' foreign investment in US assets at a time when the country faces increasing reliance on foreign capital to finance its ballooning debt.' Clearly, he notes, it's 'not good for the dollar.' Trouble is, the weaponization dynamic has become too commonplace for overseas investors to dismiss it as a quirk. There's a cost to being seen as weaponizing the dollar, warns economist Zongyuan Zoe Liu at the Council on Foreign Relations. Case in point: freezing a rival nation's access to its currency reserves, as former US President Joe Biden's team did with Russia in response to Vladimir Putin's Ukraine invasion. 'The more the US uses it, the more other countries are going to diversify due to geopolitical reasons,' said Liu. In 2022, Congress granted Biden's White House authority to seize Russian dollar assets to aid Ukraine. This so-called REPO provision allowed then-Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's team to transfer Russian government assets to a Ukraine reconstruction fund. It fueled fresh debate about the long-term costs of using the dollar's dominance in unsavory ways. Yet Trump 2.0 is rapidly escalating these risks in ways that could backfire badly on the US. Case in point: Trump's crackdown on student visas for China and a steadily expanding number of countries he doesn't like. Few US industries enjoy such a large trade surplus as education. But Trump's war on capital, on top of his war on trade, would be a deeply ominous development if the US Senate passes the version of the funding bill the House of Representatives has already greenlit. Emmanuel Cau, Europe equities strategy at Barclays, warns that tax legislation merely becoming law could tarnish the value of dollar assets in the eyes of foreign investors. 'In our view, this is a risk for those companies generating US revenues and domiciled in countries that have enacted Digital Services Taxes or are implementing the OECD's Under Taxed Payment Rule,' Cau explains. Then there are the Trump tantrums to come. One is his threat to slap 100% tariffs on countries trying to de-dollarize. That's particularly true of BRICS nations — Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa — as well as Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the United Arab Emirates. As Trump put it: 'We require a commitment from these Countries that they will neither create a new BRICS currency, nor back any other currency to replace the mighty US dollar, they will face 100% tariffs, and should expect to say goodbye to selling into the wonderful US economy.' Not surprisingly, Trump argues there's 'no chance' the BRICS will replace the dollar in global trade and any country that tries to make that happen 'should wave goodbye to America.' Economist Warwick Powell, author of 'China, Trust and Digital Supply Chains', says the globe's high exposure to the dollar makes many nations reluctant to undermine US capital markets But 'these concerns are countered by growing weaponization of the USD and USD assets, as well as threatened moves by the new US administration to erect significant barriers to trade with the US,' Powell says. 'The constraint is that foreign holders of the dollar and dollar-denominated … capital assets would be reluctant to rapidly diminish the exchange value of these holdings.' Yet if forced due to the US government's punitive economic measures and intensified weaponization of the dollar and associated financial assets, Powell says, 'then it is possible for BRICS nations to achieve a successful compensatory transition within a relatively short period of time. This does not imply that such a transition would not be disruptive or cost-free; it simply says, it can be achieved.' That's why, as economist Marcello Estevao at the Institute of International Finance sees it, the global economy in 2025 'stands at a precarious crossroads, heavily shaped by an overarching theme: uncertainty.' From 'political decisions to policy implementations, the lack of clarity emanates largely from the new Trump administration. This uncertainty extends far beyond the United States, permeating global markets, trade relations and regulatory frameworks.' There's still every reason to think Trump will try to fire Powell. As he said at the start of his second term in January: 'If the Fed had spent less time on DEI, gender ideology, 'green' energy and fake climate change, inflation would never have been a problem.' He complained, too, that 'because Jay Powell and the Fed failed to stop the problem they created with inflation, I will do it by unleashing American energy production, slashing regulation, rebalancing international trade and reigniting American manufacturing.' It's clear Trump is doing no such thing. In May, US manufacturing, which Trump's tariffs were supposed to save, contracted for a third consecutive month. The Institute for Supply Management's index slid 0.2 points last month to 48.5, below the 50 level signaling expansion. A gauge of imports, meanwhile, dropped to a 16-year low amid tariff uncertainty. 'An aim of tariffs is to spur a durable rebound in US manufacturing employment,' write Wells Fargo analysts in a note to clients. 'However, a meaningful increase in factory jobs doesn't appear likely in the foreseeable future, in our view.' Weak factory job growth may partly reflect high labor costs, an insufficient bench of skilled workers, slowing population growth and reduced immigration. 'Higher prices and policy uncertainty may weigh on firms' ability and willingness to expand payrolls,' the analysts note. What's really needed, though, is for the Trump administration to vastly increase investments in productivity-increasing industries. 'In order for manufacturing employment to return to its historic peak, we estimate at a minimum $2.9 trillion in net new capital investment is required,' Wells Fargo writes. 'Assuming businesses are willing and able to invest such ample sums, questions over staffing remain.' Instead, Trump's tariffs are layering on new headwinds. As Fed Governor Christopher Waller said last month, 'higher prices from tariffs would reduce spending, and uncertainty about the pace of spending would deter business investment. I have heard this repeatedly from business contacts around the country—tariff uncertainty is freezing capital spending.' Waller added that 'productivity growth, an important source of GDP increases in recent years, would slow as investment is allocated according to trade policy and not towards its most productive and profitable uses.' At the same time, Team Trump is busily giving foreign investors yet more reason to avoid US dollar assets. The timing couldn't be worse, coming just over two weeks after Moody's Investors Service revoked Washington's final AAA credit rating. Barclays strategist Cau says, 'given that the US net international investment position is sharply negative, there is indeed scope for capital outflows if indeed S899 passes through the Senate in its current form.' That could prompt governments and central banks holding large blocks of US Treasuries, including China and Japan, to rethink their positions. As proposed, the new tax could mean that 'the de facto yield on US Treasuries would drop by nearly 100bps,' says Deutsche's Saravelos. 'The adverse impact on demand for US Treasuries and funding the US twin deficit at a time when this is most needed is clear.' Beat Wittmann, chairman of Switzerland-based Porta Advisors, tells Bloomberg that the new proposed tax 'is very bad. This is huge — this is just one piece in the overall plan and it's completely consistent with what this administration is all about.' Follow William Pesek on X at @William Pesek

Vietnam faces ‘long' list of ‘tough' US demands to cut Chinese imports in tariff talks
Vietnam faces ‘long' list of ‘tough' US demands to cut Chinese imports in tariff talks

South China Morning Post

time10 hours ago

  • South China Morning Post

Vietnam faces ‘long' list of ‘tough' US demands to cut Chinese imports in tariff talks

The US sent a 'long' list of 'tough' requests to Vietnam in its tariff negotiations, including demands that could force the country to cut its reliance on Chinese industrial goods imports, two people briefed about the matter said. Advertisement Washington wants Vietnam-based factories to reduce their use of materials and components from China and is asking the country to control more carefully its production and supply chains, one of the people briefed on the talks said, without elaborating on whether quantitative targets were included. The list is part of an 'annex' to a framework text prepared by US negotiators, according to four people familiar with the matter. One of them, who had direct access to the document, said the list was sent to Hanoi at the end of May after the conclusion of a second round of talks with Washington aimed at avoiding 46 per cent 'reciprocal' tariffs on imports from Vietnam. The sources declined to be named because those discussions were not public. Advertisement

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store