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Asian currencies poised for weekly gains; rate cut lifts Indian equities

Asian currencies poised for weekly gains; rate cut lifts Indian equities

New Straits Times13 hours ago

SINGAPORE/HONG KONG: Asian currencies were steady on Friday and poised for weekly gains after a phone call between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping signalled further trade talks, while most regional equities tracked Wall Street's overnight losses.
In India, equities reversed course to rise 0.9 per cent after the Reserve Bank of India delivered a larger-than-expected cut to its key repo rate and lowered the cash reserve ratio to bolster economic growth.
"The RBI may have decided to move quickly to a more appropriate policy rate level. A shift towards neutral stance means more rate cuts may be unlikely in the near-term," Jeff Ng, Head of Asia Macro Strategy at SMBC, said.
The rupee inched up 0.1 per cent to 85.74 per dollar. Other regional currencies moved within a narrow band. The Thai baht and Singapore dollar were largely flat but were on track for weekly gains of 0.5 per cent and 0.4 per cent, respectively.
The Malaysian ringgit was up nearly 0.6 per cent for the week. MSCI's index of emerging market currencies was flat after touching an all-time high on Thursday. The index is up 0.5 per cent for the week.
The dollar index was little changed, after hitting a six-week low on Thursday, and was headed for a weekly loss of 0.5 per cent.
Trump's erratic tariff moves and a worsening US fiscal outlook have triggered a flight from the dollar, prompting analysts to expect most emerging market currencies will retain or build on their gains over the next six months.
In their closely watched hour-long phone call on Thursday, Xi pressed Trump to ease trade tensions that have rattled the global economy and warned against provocative moves on Taiwan, according to a summary released by the Chinese government.
But Trump said on social media that the talks, focused primarily on trade, led to "a very positive conclusion". "The talks look positive, and coupled with Federal Reserve rate cut expectations due to weak US data, might lead to further USD softening," said Saktiandi Supaat, Head of FX research at Maybank.
Markets are now bracing for the US jobs and non-farm payrolls report due later in the day, with concerns that a downside surprise could stoke stagflation fears and boost pressure on the Federal Reserve to quickly ease policy.
Other regional stocks were broadly lower, tracking Wall Street's losses from overnight. MSCI's gauge of Asian emerging market equities edged down 0.1 per cent. Equities in Malaysia and Thailand fell 0.1 per cent and 0.8 per cent, respectively.

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