Republican Pollster Sounds Alarm as GOP Support Collapses Under Trump
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A Republican pollster has warned that the GOP is losing support under President Donald Trump.
Speaking to conservative commentator Alex Jones on The Alex Jones Show, Mark Mitchell, the head pollster at Rasmussen Reports, said support for the Republican Party was decreasing, which could lead to the party losing the House in the midterm elections.
Why It Matters
Trump's popularity has fluctuated in the first six months of his second administration. Policy issues such as tariffs and the administration's handling of the Jeffrey Epstein case have sparked anger among the electorate, which could affect the GOP's performance in future elections.
President Donald Trump walks from Marine One after arriving on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, D.C., on July 15.
President Donald Trump walks from Marine One after arriving on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, D.C., on July 15.
AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File
What To Know
Speaking to Jones, Mitchell said Rasmussen's latest polling showed that Democrats were leading Republicans by 4 percentage points, an improvement from last month when the Democratic Party was ahead by 1 percentage point.
He said this could lead Republicans to lose the House in the midterms, adding that such a result "would be probably the end of Donald Trump's political capital because he would lose his ability to get any legislation done." He said regaining the House could embolden Democrats to launch investigations against Trump and hamper his policies.
Mitchell called this moment "a turning point" for the administration—blaming the Epstein saga, which he described as "a horrible optics mistake," for the decreasing support.
However, he said Trump's net approval rating—which went from +8 to -4 in under three weeks—had recovered to a +2, so his fortunes might improve.
A July poll of 1,164 likely voters, conducted by Rasmussen Reports, found that 56 percent didn't believe the FBI and Justice Department were telling the truth about files related to Epstein, while 21 percent believed the government.
Mitchell called this Rasmussen polling "thermonuclear" in a YouTube video explaining the poll results. He said Trump could lose the House and Senate over the polling.
Other pollsters have also spelled bad news for Trump. A survey by The Economist/YouGov, conducted July 11 to 14, found that 55 percent of respondents disapproved of Trump's job performance, while 41 percent approved.
However, other recent polls have painted a more positive picture. According to polling by The Economist/YouGov, the president has a net approval rating of +80 from conservatives. This is similar to the levels at the beginning of his second term. He has also gained traction among Gen X voters.
What People Are Saying
Mark Mitchell, the head pollster at Rasmussen Reports, said on The Alex Jones Show: "Trump thinks that winning is enough, but it's not. It has to be about accountability."
What Happens Next
Support for the president and the Republican Party will likely fluctuate in the weeks and months to come. The midterm elections are largely scheduled for November 3, 2026.
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