logo

Moody's upgrades Omani banks outlook to ‘positive' on improving loan quality

Zawya26-02-2025

Global rating agency Moody's has changed the outlook for the banking sector in Oman to 'positive' from 'stable', thanks to improving operating conditions and loan quality.
'We expect loan quality to improve, as economic growth will support borrowers' repayment capacity,' Francesca Paolino, AVP Analyst, Moody's, said.
Omani banks will continue to deliver steady profitability and retain solid capital buffers, she added.
The country's non-oil growth is likely to be around 3% in 2025-2026, driven by strong business and consumer confidence, improvements in tourism and a pipeline of committed private sector investment projects in manufacturing, transportation and renewable energy.
However, over-reliance on government deposits remains a key risk for the banks, but deposit growth is likely to be in line with government and private-sector loan demand.
Omani banks hold sufficient liquid resources to cover their exposure to confidence-sensitive market funding, Paolino said.
The positive outlook on the banking system also considers the government's improving capacity to support banks in a crisis, largely driven by a reduction in the Gulf state's debt burden and improved debt affordability, she added.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

S&P and Moody's upgrade Emaar's credit ratings, citing strong financial performance and robust revenue visibility
S&P and Moody's upgrade Emaar's credit ratings, citing strong financial performance and robust revenue visibility

Zawya

time14 hours ago

  • Zawya

S&P and Moody's upgrade Emaar's credit ratings, citing strong financial performance and robust revenue visibility

-Moody's upgrades Emaar's rating to Baa1 with Stable Outlook Dubai, United Arab Emirates: Emaar Properties PJSC (DFM: EMAAR), one of the world's most valuable and respected real estate development companies, has announced that both S&P Global Ratings and Moody's Ratings have upgraded the company's long-term issuer credit ratings, reinforcing Emaar's position as a financially resilient and strategically agile market leader. S&P Global Ratings upgraded its long-term issuer credit rating to BBB+ from BBB, with a stable outlook, while Moody's upgraded Emaar's long-term issuer rating to Baa1 from Baa2, also with a stable outlook. These upgrades reflect Emaar's robust financial fundamentals, consistent performance, and sound strategic direction. The same S&P and Moody's rating upgrade has been applied to Emaar's senior unsecured debt. Strong Financial Position and Strategic Execution As of March 2025, Emaar reported a revenue backlog of approximately AED 127 billion (US$ 34.6 billion), providing strong revenue and cash flow visibility through 2028. The company's recurring income portfolio continues to expand, supported by disciplined execution, resilient operations, and diversified income streams. S&P's upgrade was driven by Emaar's record-high backlog of AED 110 billion (US$ 29.9 billion) as of December 2024, and healthy presales in the UAE of AED 65.4 billion (US$ 17.8 billion) during 2024, alongside a net cash position, low leverage, and strong adjusted EBITDA margins. Moody's highlighted significant reduction in adjusted debt of Emaar from 2020 to March 2025 and the drop in debt to equity ratio over the same period. Commenting on the announcements, Mohamed Alabbar, Founder of Emaar, said: "We are proud to receive this recognition from both S&P and Moody's, which underscores the strength of our strategy, the quality of our assets, and the discipline we maintain in financial management. These upgrades reflect not only our performance, but also the confidence in Dubai's economy and real estate market. We will continue to pursue sustainable growth, innovation, and value creation for our shareholders and stakeholders alike." Liquidity and Resilience Emaar reported an interest coverage ratio of approximately 24 times for the twelve months ending March 2025 and holds AED 25.4 billion (US$ 6.9 billion) in cash (excluding escrow balances), along with AED 7.4 billion (US$ 2 billion) in undrawn committed credit facilities, providing ample liquidity and financial flexibility. S&P noted that Emaar's strong mall, hospitality, and entertainment operations, in addition to the resilience of its real estate development business, contributed to the rating action. Dubai Mall, for instance, recorded over 111 million visitors in 2024, with overall mall portfolio occupancy of 98.5%, showcasing the strength of Emaar's recurring income-generating assets. Outlook Both agencies issued a stable outlook, reflecting their expectation that Emaar will maintain solid credit metrics, strong liquidity, and continued operational performance. These dual upgrades reinforce Emaar's reputation as a leading player in the global real estate sector, anchored in a dynamic and fast-growing market. For all media queries, please contact: PR@ About Emaar Properties Emaar Properties PJSC, listed on the Dubai Financial Market, is a global property developer and provider of premium lifestyles, with a significant presence in the Middle East, North Africa, and Asia. One of the world's largest real estate companies, Emaar has a land bank of ~1.7 billion sq. ft. in the UAE and key international markets. With a proven track-record in delivery, Emaar has delivered over 120,000 residential units in Dubai and other global markets since 2002. Emaar has strong recurring revenue-generating assets with approx. 1.4 million sq. mtr. of leasing revenue-generating assets and 40 hotels and resorts with over 9,800 keys (includes owned as well as managed hotels). Today, 32 percent of Emaar's revenue is from its shopping malls, hospitality, leisure, entertainment, commercial leasing, and international businesses. Burj Khalifa, a global icon, Dubai Mall, the world's most-visited retail and lifestyle destination, and Dubai Fountain, the world's largest performing fountain, are among Emaar's trophy destinations. Follow Emaar on:

Bond market is sending out distress signals, but investors don't need to panic
Bond market is sending out distress signals, but investors don't need to panic

The National

time6 days ago

  • The National

Bond market is sending out distress signals, but investors don't need to panic

Investors tend to fixate on the stock market, but there are times when the bond market cries out for our attention, too. That's definitely the case today, because it's sending out distress signals. The global bond market is actually the bigger of the two, worth about $140 trillion, compared with $115 trillion for equities. And when bond yields surge, the ripple effects can shape everything from mortgage rates to stock valuations and government solvency. In recent weeks, yields on long-dated US government bonds, or Treasuries, have jumped to their highest levels since the global financial crisis. Investors are demanding more interest to lend to governments awash with debt, at a time when sticky inflation deters central bankers from slashing interest rates. Tom Stevenson, investment director at Fidelity International, said the US 30-year Treasury yield climbed above 5 per cent in May as markets recoiled at US President Donald Trump's new tax cut proposals, known as the 'Big, Beautiful Bill'. That package alone could add more than $3 trillion to US debt, which already stands at a mountainous $36 trillion. It could lift the country's debt-to-GDP ratio from about 100 per cent today to 125 per cent within a decade. 'The prospect of higher borrowing and unsustainable debt servicing costs led Moody's to downgrade the US prized triple-A credit rating. Debt interest payments, already at $880 billion a year, will rise further as a result,' Mr Stevenson says. He sees trouble ahead. 'The US has lived beyond its means thanks to strong global demand for its debt. But confidence is beginning to wane, with investors seeking to diversify elsewhere.' Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial in Dubai, says a similar story is unfolding elsewhere. In Japan, 30-year yields have climbed towards 3 per cent following the weakest demand in a decade. In the UK, 30-year gilt yields briefly touched 5.55 per cent as government borrowing soared. Yet at the same time, stock markets have rallied after Mr Trump paused his 'liberation day' trade tariffs on April 9, Mr Valecha says. 'US markets enjoyed a V-shaped recovery with the S&P 500 up almost 20 per cent, while the tech-focused Nasdaq rose 27 per cent.' The UK's FTSE 100 and Japan's Nikkei 225 are both trading above key technical levels, he adds. But investors shouldn't assume this will continue. 'Global government debt is rising fast, pushing 95 per cent of GDP," he says. "If this continues, debt could reach 100 per cent of GDP by the end of the decade.' Global inflation is also proving sticky, driving up interest rates and yields. That's a warning shot for stock markets. Mr Valecha flags up something called the 'equity risk premium', which measures the difference between what investors can expect from shares and the yield from lower-risk bonds. 'As bond yields rise that gap gets smaller, it becomes harder to justify paying high prices for shares, especially when valuations are already stretched.' The equity rally may continue but it will be bumpier, and careful stock picking is required, Mr Valecha says. Near-zero interest rates Near-zero interest rates allowed governments to borrow freely in the past decade, but that era is now over, says Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Bank. 'Rising sovereign debt is arguably one of the most underappreciated long-term risks to global financial stability.' If interest rates remain elevated, this could crowd out public investment, put pressure on social spending and, ultimately, reduce economic dynamism, she says. High debt levels also suppress growth, which fuels more borrowing in a vicious cycle. 'The fiscal space to respond to future crises is being eroded,' Ms Chanana says. The risk is amplified in emerging markets, many of which have borrowed heavily in US dollars, making debt harder to service if their currencies weaken. Corporate earnings remain resilient but the equity rally may have run its course, she says. 'Further equity upside may require either stronger earnings growth or a clearer path towards monetary easing.' While cash and bonds offer short-term comfort, don't overdo the flight to safety. Ms Chanana warns that higher inflation will chip away at the real return. 'Increased exposure to cash or bonds may not be sufficient to preserve or grow wealth over the long term.' Instead, she favours a diversified approach. 'Equities, particularly those tied to structural themes like AI and digital infrastructure, continue to offer compelling growth opportunities.' While gold has stood bright as a hedge against inflation and economic and political volatility, it also has one big drawback as yields rise – it doesn't pay interest or dividends. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, but that hasn't deterred investors yet, with the price up 26 per cent this year. 'Gold still plays a strategic role as a hedge against systemic risk, currency debasement and geopolitical uncertainty,' Ms Chanana says. Should investors turn back to bonds? Tony Hallside, chief executive of Dubai-based brokers STP Partners, agrees that gold still has a role to play in a diversified portfolio but suggests rebalancing towards high-quality fixed income. 'Investment-grade bonds, especially with shorter durations, provide attractive yields while preserving capital. They offer stability and liquidity when markets turn turbulent." 'That doesn't mean abandon stocks entirely, but it does mean being more selective." Amol Shitole, head of fixed income at Mashreq Capital, sees an opportunity in emerging market bonds, particularly in the Middle East and North Africa. Mena bonds continue to enjoy haven status due to their superior credit quality, he says. 'We favour the UAE, Qatar, Oman and Morocco for their strong fundamentals and ongoing structural reforms.' He says Mashreq remains underweight on Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, citing fiscal risks and tight valuations. He doesn't expect US yields to spiral uncontrollably. 'We believe US Treasuries will continue to benefit from flight-to-safety demand during slowdowns or uncertainty.' In equities, he sees opportunities in small caps and value stocks, particularly as higher interest rates pressure growth sectors. 'A well-diversified multi-asset portfolio including equities, fixed income, gold and alternatives can yield attractive returns of 7 per cent to 7.5 per cent a year.' There is little prospect of a return to ultra-low interest rates, but at least this means bond investors are being rewarded gain. Equity investors must be more careful, but strong companies still offer solid long-term value. Gold remains a valid hedge. As ever, diversification is the best defence.

Sharjah launches proactive plan for 5,600 trips during Eid Al Adha holiday
Sharjah launches proactive plan for 5,600 trips during Eid Al Adha holiday

Gulf Today

time04-06-2025

  • Gulf Today

Sharjah launches proactive plan for 5,600 trips during Eid Al Adha holiday

The Sharjah Roads and Transport Authority (SRTA) has put together a special plan for the upcoming Eid Al Adha holiday. This initiative is aimed at making sure travellers can enjoy comfortable and safe transportation as they celebrate the Eid. With an increase in people wanting to travel during this festive time, the SRTA is stepping up its services to ensure everyone can move smoothly between different areas in Sharjah and beyond. Engineer Yousef Khamis Al Othmani, the head of the SRTA, highlighted the importance of being well-prepared during holidays. He noted that during the Eid holiday in 2025, which runs from June 5 to 8, there will be a noticeable rise in public transport users. To handle this, the SRTA has made plans to operate 180 buses on various routes, aiming to complete around 5,600 trips over the four days. During peak times, buses will come every 5 minutes instead of the usual 45-minute wait. This means shorter waiting times and more convenience for everyone traveling. The authority is committed to making travel easy for people visiting family or exploring popular destinations, both within the emirate and outside it. They are also increasing staff at busy bus stations, especially the Jubail Bus Station, which will be open from early morning until late at night to accommodate the larger number of passengers expected during this busy holiday. The Authority has improved bus services in Sharjah City for the Eid holiday, making travel easier for everyone. They are running a total of 1,144 bus trips each day across 12 different routes, using 104 buses that connect to 543 stops around the city. During the Eid Al Adha holiday, there will be a special boat service operating between Sharjah and Dubai. Abdul Aziz Al Jarwan, who is in charge of transport at the local authority, announced that there will be four daily trips. These boats will leave from the Aquarium Station in Sharjah and arrive at Al Ghubaiba Station in Dubai, working together with Dubai's Roads and Transport Authority. Al Jarwan shared that the Authority is working closely with the Omani transport company, Mwasalat, to run international route 203. This route connects Sharjah with Muscat, the capital of Oman, and offers two flights each day. This service is expected to encourage tourism between the two countries, especially during the Eid holidays. Passengers can board at Jubail station and travel to Al Athaiba station, making stops along the way. Tickets can be purchased online through Mwasalat Oman's website or at their service points. WAM

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store