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Geopolitical uncertainty dulls business confidence, says survey

Geopolitical uncertainty dulls business confidence, says survey

Almost a quarter of medium-sized businesses reported their activity was down compared to the same period last year, a new business confidence survey said.
The survey carried out for lender Linked Finance found that business optimism amongst all Irish-based SMEs surveyed was 67% six months ago, but that has now dropped to 61%. One-in-three SMEs reported that that business results were lower year-on-year, an increase of 2% on the same period last year.
Large and medium-sized SME businesses continue to drive job creation, with 36% of respondents from these areas reporting higher employee numbers year-on-year. Employment growth appears to focused in Dublin, with only one-in-10 firms outside Dublin reporting increased employee numbers.
Overall, Dublin-based SMEs were performing better than those in the regions in terms of activity, the survey said, with 76% reporting trade was the same or higher – but for those based outside the capital, only 62% reported this was the case.
The research suggests large businesses are holding up well, but medium sized firms of four to nine people have seen the biggest change year-on-year, with almost a quarter reporting that business activity is down compared to the same period last year.
Only one-in-five medium-sized firms expect the third quarter of 2025 to bring a boost in business, compared to almost one-in-two when surveyed this time 12 months ago. Larger SMEs remain optimistic for Q3, with 46% expecting an upturn in business.
Linked Finance CEO Niall O'Grady said that it was understandable that some businesses are adopting a cautious mode, concerned about tariffs or revising their forecasts. 'We live in uncertain times, and it is not surprising that SMEs in Ireland are tempering their outlook given constant reports, and now confirmation, about tariffs. This is combined with continuing conflict in both Europe and the Middle East.
'However, there are several positive take-aways from the data, particularly that large companies remain bullish for the next quarter – which is important as they employ the most people here. In addition, micro businesses are seeing a slight improvement while the retail and wholesale trade is showing some green shots.'
The quarterly business confidence survey is conducted by Ipsos B&A on behalf of Linked Finance, amongst a sample of 360 business owners/managers countrywide.
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What's the beef between this previous and current presidential hopeful?
What's the beef between this previous and current presidential hopeful?

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time2 hours ago

  • The Journal

What's the beef between this previous and current presidential hopeful?

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Gareth Sheridan plays down business partner's Moldovan airline controversy as ‘not an issue' for election
Gareth Sheridan plays down business partner's Moldovan airline controversy as ‘not an issue' for election

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Gareth Sheridan plays down business partner's Moldovan airline controversy as ‘not an issue' for election

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Millionaire Áras hopeful launches presidential campaign in the Shelbourne - here's what he said
Millionaire Áras hopeful launches presidential campaign in the Shelbourne - here's what he said

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  • The Journal

Millionaire Áras hopeful launches presidential campaign in the Shelbourne - here's what he said

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After a story appeared in the Irish Examiner today, Sheridan confirmed that his mother did object to a housing project through her work. He said his mother 'broke down' when Sheridan asked her about it yesterday. 'It's something that is not in the personality of my mother by any means. My mother grew up in social housing. You know, she is one of my inspirations to tackle the housing crisis, and she's fully behind it. So I'm just really stressed about that. As a family, we find this as a core issue that needs to be tackled,' he said. What does he think about immigration and racist attacks? Asked about the recent attacks on the Indian community, Sheridan said 'it's certainly troubling but has become a 'little bit more prominent' now. 'I really stress that if that's something that you support or get behind, and I'm definitely not your candidate,' he said today. 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'I think we're Irish first and European second and they need to listen to the people a little bit more,' said Sheridan. 'I think there's an overwhelming objection of the idea that we would move forward with that. And I want to stress that we're militarily neutral, but we've never been morally neutral, and that's important as well,' he said. Would Sheridan like to see a united Ireland? Sheridan said it is something he would love to see in his lifetime, but he said it is a complex issue that cannot be rushed. He told the media that the idea of a united Ireland needs to be 'very seriously thought out', stating that 'the narrative that we need to rush to bring that through is a little bit unprepared'. Is housing going to be one of his key talking points? Yes, Sheridan said he is not going to bring his toolbox and start building houses, but he will champion the issue. My ideal home here is we claim to 'make Ireland home again'. He said there has been complete ignorance to Article 41.21 of the Constitution which enshrines the right to a peoples' domestic needs. Readers like you are keeping these stories free for everyone... A mix of advertising and supporting contributions helps keep paywalls away from valuable information like this article. Over 5,000 readers like you have already stepped up and support us with a monthly payment or a once-off donation. Learn More Support The Journal

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