Tropical storm Dalila might form within 48 hours as Eastern Pacific hurricane season sees active start. Check map
Designated in the Eastern Pacific,
potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E
is expected to strengthen into
Tropical Storm Dalila
on Friday. The fourth named storm of the Eastern Pacific
hurricane
season has a high chance of forming within the next 48 hours, reports NewsWeek.
A forecast map from the
National Hurricane Center
(NHC) forecasts the storm will form south of Southern Mexico. A potential tropical cyclone designation allows the NHC to issue forecasts before a tropical depression, storm or hurricane has developed.
A
Tropical Storm Watch
is in effect for parts of the southwestern Mexican coastline, including the city of Manzanillo.
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Tropical storm Dalila
Hurricane Barbara has already started formation, the first in the 2025 Eastern Pacific hurricane season, which briefly reached Category 1 strength on Monday before dissipating over colder waters Tuesday.
Live Events
The Eastern Pacific hurricane season saw a very active start, beginning May 15. Tropical Storm Alvin kicked off the season in late May, followed by Hurricane Barbara and Tropical Storm Cosme. All three storms formed before the average first date of June 10 for a named storm in this region. Now, the fourth named storm, which will be called Dalila, is expected to form in the next two days.
The NHC has been monitoring the disturbance that could become Dalila for several days.
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"Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico," a tropical weather outlook from the NHC said about the disturbance. "Environmental conditions appear conducive for continued development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the next day or so while it moves generally west-northwestward. Interests along the coasts of southern and southwestern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of this system."
The storm has a 90 percent chance of forming within 48 hours. There also is a 90 percent chance it will form within the next seven days.
The NHC has been monitoring the disturbance that could become Dalila for several days.
"An area of low pressure is forecast to develop late this weekend or early next week near the coast of Central America. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system as it moves west-northwestward near the coasts of Central America and southern Mexico," the NHS said.
While official forecasts for the storm's projected path have not yet been released, they are expected once the system forms.
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AccuWeather meteorologists are predicting an active season in the Eastern Pacific, with 14 to 18 tropical storms and seven to 10 hurricanes. Typically, the region sees about 15 tropical storms and four hurricanes in an average season.
In contrast, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) projects a slightly less active season, forecasting 12 to 18 named storms. Of these, five to 10 could become hurricanes, with two to five potentially strengthening into major hurricanes.
PTC 4-E is likely to become Tropical Storm Dalila
Wind speeds within Potential Tropical Cyclone 4-E have picked up in an area of warm water about 340 miles off the coast of Mexico. When it attains tropical storm status, PTC 4-E will be named Dalila, according to Fox Weather.
Maximum sustained winds are currently near 35 mph, with stronger gusts expected as the system intensifies in the coming days. Rainfall amounts between 2 to 4 inches are anticipated across parts of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán, and Colima through the weekend, with isolated areas possibly receiving up to 6 inches. In addition, the system is forecast to produce life-threatening surf and dangerous rip current conditions along the affected coastlines.
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AccuWeather senior meteorologist Tom Kines previously told Newsweek: "There's no doubt three named storms so early is highly unusual. The first hurricane doesn't usually occur until last week of June."
Once Dalila forms, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) will begin issuing regular updates. In addition to the system that could develop into Dalila, the NHC is also tracking another disturbance off the coast of Central America. While this system has nearly no chance of developing in the next 48 hours, it carries a 20% chance of formation over the next seven days.
Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for the southwestern coast of Mexico from Manzanillo to just west of Acapulco. The NHC is also watching a second area for potential tropical development in the Eastern Pacific due east of Potential Tropical Cyclone Four-E, offshore of southern Mexico and Central America.
Wind gusts are expected to increase in strength over the coming days. Warm water temperatures will help the chances of a tropical cyclone. Water temperatures of 80 degrees or higher are needed to sustain tropical development.
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