Hurricane center keeps tracking 2 Atlantic systems while TS Dexter becoming extratropical
As of the NHC's 8 a.m. tropical advisory, closer to the the U.S. but moving away was a weak area of low pressure a couple hundred miles off the coast of the southeastern United States producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.
'Some slow tropical or subtropical development is possible over the weekend while the system moves northward to northeastward, remaining well off the east coast of the United States,' forecasters said. 'By early next week, the low is expected to become extratropical, ending its chances for tropical development.'
The NHC gave the system a 30% chance to develop in the next seven days.
Farther east, though, a tropical wave that was headed to the central Atlantic also had disorganized shower activity.
'Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for gradual development in a few days, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend or early next week while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the central tropical and subtropical Atlantic,' forecasters said.
The NHC gave it a 10% chance to develop in the next two days and 60% in the next seven.
The next names on the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season list are Erin and Fernand.
The season's fourth named storm continued to churn in the Atlantic as well. Tropical Storm Dexter, which formed in the Atlantic on Sunday night, remained no threat to land.
As of 5 a.m. Thursday, the center of Dexter was located about 425 miles south of Cape Race, Newfoundland moving east-northeast at 168 mph with maximum sustained winds that had grown to 50 mph. Tropical-storm-force winds extend out 175 miles.
'An east-northeast to northeast motion is expected during the next couple of days,' forecasters said, 'Dexter is expected to strengthen as an extratropical low later today through Friday. The cyclone is forecast to weaken beginning Friday night and Saturday.'
Dexter became the fourth named storm following tropical storms Andrea, Barry and Chantal.
Before the start of hurricane season, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration had forecast an expected 13 to 19 named storms for the year, of which 6 to 10 would grow into hurricanes. Three to five of those would develop into major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher.
The height of hurricane season runs from mid-August into October.
The entire six-month season runs June 1 to Nov. 30.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
2 hours ago
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Erin forecast to be hurricane by Friday
Aug. 13 (UPI) -- Tropical Storm Erin is slightly intensifying and forecast to become a hurricane on Friday morning over the central tropical Atlantic with a chance of ultimately affecting the U.S. East Coast, the Bahamas and Bermuda next week, the National Hurricane Center said Wednesday. For the first time since Erin became a tropical storm Monday morning, intensity increased, though just 5 mph, to maximum sustained winds of 45 mph, with gradual strengthening during the next two days forecast, the NHC said in its 5 p.m. EDT update. In the 11 p.m. update, Erin remained at 50 mph. Erin is forecast to reach hurricane status by 8 a.m. Friday with winds at least 74 mph, and a major hurricane, with winds of at least 111 mph, by 8 p.m. Sunday. It would be the first hurricane of the Atlantic season. Beryl was the first hurricane last year on June 24. The storm is about 1,095 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands. Erin was moving westward at 16 mph and will shift to a north-westward track beginning Thursday night and into the weekend, the NHC said. On the forecast track, the storm's center will move over or near just north of the northern Leeward Islands. The NHC's "cone" doesn't track Erin past Monday night, and NHC forecasters remind that they have an average error of 150 to 214 miles at days four and five. In the latest discussion, NHC forecaster Jack Beven said there is a "greater than normal uncertainty about what impacts Erin may bring to portions of the Bahamas, the East Coast of the United States and Bermuda." But he said: "The risk of dangerous surf and rip currents across the western Atlantic basin next week is increasing." By this weekend, swells are forecast to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, the NHC said. Alex Sosnowsky, an AccuWeather senior forecaster, said there is concern that residents, visitors, cruise lines, and shipping and fishing ventures "could pass paths with a powerful hurricane." With a track farther to the east, Bermuda could be directly in the path as a major hurricane. He said a farther west scenario would mean a greater risk of strong winds, rain and coastal flooding in the U.S., including eastern North Carolina, Long Island, New York and southeastern New England. "Families heading to U.S. Atlantic beaches for a late-summer vacation next week need to be extremely cautious when venturing into the surf," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said. "More than 50 people have lost their lives to rip currents and rough surf at beaches across the country so far this year, without any major hurricane nearby." There are no warnings or coastal watches in effect as tropical-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles. But those in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico should monitor Erin's progress. The previous four named Atlantic storms this year were Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dexter. None of them became hurricanes, and Chantal was the only one to make landfall in the United States, causing significant flooding in North Carolina. Helene struck that state last year as a tropical storm, causing an estimated $53 billion in damage, after hitting western Florida as a Category 4 hurricane. Four other hurricanes made landfall in the United States in 2024: Beryl, Debby, Francine and Milton.
UPI
5 hours ago
- UPI
Tropical Storm Erin forecast to be hurricane by Friday
Tropical Storm Erin is forecast to become a hurricane by 2 a.m. Friday and a major one by 2 p.m. Sunday. Image by National Hurricane Center Aug. 13 (UPI) -- Tropical Storm Erin is slightly intensifying and forecast to become a hurricane on Friday morning over the central tropical Atlantic with a chance of ultimately affecting the U.S. East Coast, the Bahamas and Bermuda next week, the National Hurricane Center said Wednesday. For the first time since Erin became a tropical storm Monday morning, intensity increased, though just 5 mph, to maximum sustained winds of 45 mph, with gradual strengthening during the next two days forecast, the NHC said in its 5 p.m. EDT update. Forecasters said Erin will become a major hurricane, with winds of at least 111 mph, by 2 p.m. Sunday. It would be the first hurricane of the Atlantic season with winds at least 74 mph. Beryl was the first hurricane last year on June 24. The storm is about 1,200 miles from east of the Northern Leeward Islands. Erin was moving westward at 17 mph and will shift to a north-westward track beginning Thursday night and into the weekend, the NHC said. The NHC's "cone" doesn't track Erin past Monday, and NHC forecasters remind that they have an average error of 150 to 214 miles at days four and five. In the latest discussion, NHC forecaster Jack Beven said there is a "greater than normal uncertainty about what impacts Erin may bring to portions of the Bahamas, the East Coast of the United States and Bermuda." But he said: "The risk of dangerous surf and rip currents across the western Atlantic basin next week is increasing." By this weekend, swells are forecast to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, the NHC said. Alex Sosnowsky, an AccuWeather senior forecaster, said there is concern that residents, visitors, cruise lines, and shipping and fishing ventures "could pass paths with a powerful hurricane." With a track farther to the east, Bermuda could be directly in the path as a major hurricane. He said a farther west scenario would mean a greater risk of strong winds, rain and coastal flooding in the U.S., including eastern North Carolina, Long Island, New York and southeastern New England. "Families heading to U.S. Atlantic beaches for a late-summer vacation next week need to be extremely cautious when venturing into the surf," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said. "More than 50 people have lost their lives to rip currents and rough surf at beaches across the country so far this year, without any major hurricane nearby." There are no warnings or coastal watches in effect. But those in the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico should monitor Erin's progress. The previous four named Atlantic storms this year were Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dexter. None of them became hurricanes, and Chantal was the only one to make landfall in the United States, causing significant flooding in North Carolina. Helene struck that state last year as a tropical storm, causing an estimated $53 billion in damage, after hitting western Florida as a Category 4 hurricane. Four other hurricanes made landfall in the United States in 2024: Beryl, Debby, Francine and Milton.
Yahoo
7 hours ago
- Yahoo
Timelapse video captures dramatic rise of glacial lakes in Alaska that prompted floods
Timelapse video captured the dramatic increase in water level at a glacial lake near Alaska's capital city of Juneau, which was bracing for flooding after a "glacial outburst" inundated a nearby river. It's the third consecutive year that significant summer glacial flooding has threatened parts of the city of more than 30,000, as authorities warned Wednesday morning, Aug. 13, that the Juneau area would remain in "major flood stage area for several more hours." Scientists say each flood, including the current one, were all due to climate change. Alaska is warming faster than any other state, and its many glaciers are among the fastest melting, or retreating, glaciers on Earth, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Watch: Timelapse video captures dramatic water level increase Video footage captured rising water levels from July into August at Mendenhall Lake and a lake roughly 2.5 miles north of Nugget Creek. 'Glacial outbursts' have become more common in area Glacial lake outburst floods in Mendenhall Valley, where the majority of Juneau resides, have become a yearly occurrence since 2011, NOAA scientists say, as a once ice-covered basin formed from a retreating glacier above the city regularly fills with rain and snowmelt, similar to a lake. In this case, the Mendenhall Glacier north of Juneau acts as an ice dam for the meltwater that fills the basin, named Suicide Basin, but fails each summer amid higher temperatures. It gives way and sends waters that have collected in the Suicide Basin to drain past the glacial dam and empty into Mendenhall Lake and Mendenhall River, increasingly leading to major flooding. As of the latest updates from the National Weather Service, Mendenhall River levels surpassed what was seen in 2023 and 2024, when a similiar glacial lake outburst flood, or GLOF, events set records and damaged dozens of homes and structures. As of 8:30 a.m. local time, the river stood at 15.92 feet and was falling after reaching 16.65 feet about an hour prior, according to monitors at the National Weather Service. City officials said in a statement that affected areas downriver would remain in major flood stage area for several more hours. City officials said in statements to social media that power has been cut to swaths of the city and said it will be restored once flood waters recede. During the 2023 flood, Mendenhall Lake reached a peak water level of 15 feet, and in 2024, it rose a foot higher to 16 feet. In the 2024 flood, which broke records at the time, scientists with the the University of Alaska and the U.S. Geological Survey said river flow jumped to 42,000 cubic feet per second − a 25% increase − about half the flow rate of Niagara Falls. Gov. Mike Dunleavy issued a preemptive disaster declaration on Aug. 10, citing the devastation caused by "glacial outbursts" in 2023 and 2024. Juneau city officials, with federal assistance, installed emergency flood barriers over the past year along more than two miles of riverbanks in areas considered most at risk of overflowing from these glacial lake outburst floods. Although the new barriers are designed to hold back a flood of this potential magnitude, officials asked some residents to evacuate as a precaution. Official updates and resources are available at and mergency preparedness information can be found at Contributing: Trevor Hughes and Jeanine Santucci, USA TODAY; Reuters Kathryn Palmer is a national trending news reporter for USA TODAY. You can reach her at kapalmer@ and on X @KathrynPlmr. This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Timelapse video shows glacier lakes rise, causing Juneau floods Solve the daily Crossword
