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Iran-Israel: 'Preventive war and regime change are rarely met with success'

Iran-Israel: 'Preventive war and regime change are rarely met with success'

LeMonde18-06-2025
Never one to shy away from a witty remark, Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski displayed his caustic humor in Tallinn on May 16. While sharing the stage with his Estonian counterpart, Margus Tsahkna, and the United States' newly appointed permanent representative to NATO, Matthew Whitaker, recently chosen by Donald Trump, the two Europeans advocated for inviting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to the NATO summit on June 24 and 25 in The Hague, a political gesture they know Washington opposes. "I have to confess to you," Sikorski said, "I would also like to see President Putin at The Hague!" The Estonian burst out laughing, the audience erupted in applause. The American representative remained stone-faced.
Did he want to avoid publicly endorsing the Pole's irony? Or did he not entirely understand the scathing quip, perhaps being unaware that The Hague is also home to the International Criminal Court (ICC)? The US is not a signatory to the Rome Statute that established the court, and the ICC arrest warrant against the Russian president for war crimes holds little weight for Washington – least of all for Trump, who maintains good relations with Vladimir Putin. For the Europeans, however, the ICC's warrant represented a significant moment in the war in Ukraine: It brought the law to act against a leader who recognizes only force.
The anecdote from Tallinn illustrates the expanding rift between Europe and the US over international law. As the pillars of multilateralism collapse one after another, the European Union still wants to believe that it can operate on the basis of the rule of law. It cites this principle constantly, especially when condemning Russian aggression in Ukraine.
A more recent precedent
How can one not be surprised, then, by the stance several European leaders – including French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz – have taken on Israel's attack on Iran? Legally, it is a paradoxical position. Justifying this offensive with Israel's right to self-defense runs counter to the right to self-defense as recognized by the United Nations Charter: Though Iran does, indeed, threaten Israel by seeking to develop nuclear weapons, it has not yet attacked it. While inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) have observed that Iran's nuclear weapons program was advancing, they have not, however, determined that it has become a reality.
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