Salt Lake City Supercross betting, predictions, odds, picks, lines: First-time minus odds for Chase Sexton
For the first time in 2025, ALT Sports has awarded a minus line to the favored rider for the outright win, with Chase Sexton opening at -205 for the Monster Energy Supercross finale in Salt Lake City. Sexton opened at +190 last week in Denver before scoring his sixth season victory .
That is only one sign of how massively Sexton is favored.
Sexton and Cooper Webb have been alternately favored during the past several rounds, with minimal points separating them. The differential between Sexton and Webb is nearly 500 points for Salt Lake City. Webb opens at +290, which is his worst opening line since Round 5 in Tampa when he was +352. That week, the Supercross series lost Jett Lawrence to injury. Eli Tomac followed one round later, and the makeup of the betting landscape dramatically changed.
In a head-to-head matchup, Sexton is favored over Webb to the tune of -248 to +180.
The rationale for the outright win line is obvious. Sexton has potentially everything to gain by winning, but only if Webb allows himself to be put in harm's way. Webb needs to finish only seventh or better to win the championship, and he has finished worse than fourth only once this season. Inexplicably, his odds to win the championship were lowered this week from -478 to -383 while Sexton's improved from +312 to +261.
The traders believe it's a foregone conclusion Sexton will podium, giving him a line of -1200 to finish third or better. Webb's podium odds are -275.
Sexton is also favored to be the fastest qualifier in SLC at -187.
With the loss of Ken Roczen from the entry list last week in Denver, only one other rider has a line under 10/1 for Salt Lake City. Aaron Plessinger (+850) shows his most lucrative line since winning the muddy Foxborough race.
Last week, Justin Cooper (+1250) arguably had more speed than his teammate Webb, but was unwilling to show enough aggression to get into second and alter Webb's championship clinch scenario. (For further analysis, watch the video embedded above.) Traders noted the strength, however, as Cooper scored his second consecutive podium finish. His opening odds last week were +2156. Cooper is listed at +180 to score another podium in SLC.
In a head-to-head matchup, Plessinger (-139) is favored over Cooper (+105), but there is not a lot of juice in either squeeze.
Opening Odds, Outright Win
Chase Sexton, -205Cooper Webb, +290Aaron Plessinger, +850Justin Cooper, +1250Malcolm Stewart, +2876Dylan Ferrandis, +3265Joey Savatgy, +11169Shane McElrath, +12275Justin Hill, +13925Dean Wilson, +14007Colt Nichols, +14007Christian Craig, +14007Mitchell Oldenburg, +14007Austin Politelli, +15453Benny Bloss, +15453Bubba Pauli, +15453Mitchell Harrison, +15453Kyle Chisholm, +16899Grant Harlan, +16899Anthony Rodriguez, +16899Hunter Schlosser, +16899Freddie Noren, +16899Cade Clason, +16899
Justin Starling, +16899
Opening Odds, Podium
Chase Sexton -1200Cooper Webb -275Aaron Plessinger, +141Justin Cooper, +180Malcolm Stewart, +272Dylan Ferrandis, +290Joey Savatgy, +687Shane McElrath, +711Justin Hill, +767Dean Wilson, +868Christian Craig, +945Colt Nichols, +959Mitchell Oldenburg, +1115Austin Politelli, +1331Benny Bloss, +1595Bubba Pauli, +2094Mitchell Harrison, +2513Kyle Chisholm, +2607Freddie Noren, +3320Grant Harlan, +3702Hunter Schlosser, +4199Cade Clason, +4271Anthony Rodriguez, +4499
Justin Starling, +4709
More SuperMotocross News
Two riders die in 11-bike British Superbike crash
Denver 450 Results | 250 Results
Chase Sexton dominates Denver 450s, keeps hope alive
Haiden Deegan wins 250 Denver feature, championship
Denver Qualification | 250 Heats | 450 Heats
Kevin Moranz wins PulpMX Privateer Challenge
Ken Roczen to miss final two SX races
Drew Adams returns in Denver
Seth Hammaker's Northeast success
Justin Barcia to miss the final three SX rounds
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