
‘Green' loans and cars drive record rise in consumer borrowing, but fears raised over possible global downturn
It is the highest personal loan activity since the banks started recording personal borrowing levels in 2020.
These figures come as the Central Bank of Ireland reported there was more than €13bn in outstanding consumer credit at the end of March. This is the highest level since February 2020 when debts were built up during the Celtic Tiger. The vast chunk of current personal loans have repayment terms of more than one, and up to five years.
This means consumers will be repaying them for years with economists warning US tariff and tax policies could trigger a global recession.
Car loans of close to €850m were drawn down last year to fund the purchase of 66,200 vehicles. This was a rise of 14pc on the previous year, with the value of the vehicle loans up by 20pc.
In the last three months of last year almost €200m was borrowed to fund car buying, according to new figures from the Banking and Payments Federation Ireland (BPFI).
The average car loan is now €12,757, up from €12,442 a year earlier.
Loans for home improvements and 'green' home improvement projects all hit new highs.
The BPFI, which represents the banking, payments and fintech sector in Ireland, said borrowing was at its highest since it started recording personal loans in 2020.
Consumers took out just short of 230,000 personal loans last year, adding up to €2.5bn. That was up around 16,000, or 13pc compared with 2023.
The average home improvement loan was €12,086, up from €11,305 in 2023. The number of home improvement loans, at 15,033, was up 22pc year-on-year, amounting to €182m.
The figures come as the Central Bank of Ireland reported that outstanding consumer credit stood at €13bn at the end of March this year, the highest it's been since February 2020.
Brian Hayes, chief executive of the Banking and Payments Federation Ireland, said the rapid increase in personal debt reflected growing consumer confidence.
'Annual figures show that the total number of personal loan drawdowns in 2024 was 229,423 valued at nearly €2.5bn, an increase of 13pc and 21.6pc in volume and value respectively compared to 2023, and the highest activity levels since the data series began in 2020.'
But Michael Kilcoyne, chairman of the Consumers' Association of Ireland, a voluntary lobby group, sounded a note of caution. 'I don't know that it is wise for so many people to be taking out personal loans given the global economic uncertainty out there,' he said.
He questioned if people should be borrowing for holidays when there was a threat to the corporation tax take here from Donald Trump's tariff plans, and his calls for pharmaceutical companies to 'reshore' operations to the US.
Mr Kilcoyne said: 'We are facing a period of huge uncertainty.'
Mr Hayes said each category of personal lending has reached its highest level.
'Looking more closely at key categories, each segment reached its highest volume and value in annual terms, with other loan activity – including education, holidays and special occasions such as weddings – more than doubling since 2020.'
The banks said the value of green personal loans jumped by 56.8pc since 2023 to €30.2m in the last quarter of 2024.
In number, green loans rose by 48.7pc over the same period to a total of 1,326.
The average green loan was 'relatively high' at €22,795 in quarter four, with more than twice the average of €10,425 for all loans in the same quarter, Mr Hayes said.
'It is encouraging to see a continued rise in demand for green personal loans with 5,178 green personal loans valued at €120m in 2024,' Mr Hayes added.
Independent economist Austin Hughes said the record lending levels were keeping pace with pay rises.
'These numbers aren't as staggering or as threatening as first appears.
'Overall, non-mortgage consumer debt rose slightly less than household incomes last year as new lending only slightly exceeded maturing loans.'
Mr Hughes said there was little indication of any return to Celtic Tiger norms despite the sharp increase in new borrowing.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Irish Independent
a day ago
- Irish Independent
Opposition calls for ‘vote of conscience' on Israel Bonds
The Central Bank of Ireland is the designated authority in relation to the sale of Israel Bonds in the EU. Speaking to reporters on Monday, Social Democrats TD Sinead Gibney said: 'We have failed as an international community to prevent a genocide from happening so now we have to do everything in our power to make sure that we stop it.'


Irish Independent
4 days ago
- Irish Independent
Irish shares hit all-time high despite tariff uncertainty
The Iseq 20 index of leading Irish shares hit a record high of 1963.01 yesterday, slipping back only slightly before closing at 1,956.02. The index is made up of the leading shares on the Euronext Dublin exchange, including heavyweights Ryanair, Kerry, Kingspan and Glanbia as well as AIB and Bank of Ireland. Shares hit their high after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates for an eighth time in 12 months on Thursday, a move that would traditionally be seen as a boost to investment, credit and consumer confidence. The MSCI global index, which draws on leading shares from across the developed world, hit an all-time high on Tuesday, boosted by particularly strong gains for Germany's Dax index. In Ireland, the Iseq 20 index only at the start of this year recovered to levels seen in 2007, at the peak of the Celtic Tiger, unlike most European and US markets where shares have long since pushed higher over the past decade. However, the composition of the Irish shares indices has also radically changed, not just since 2007 – when bank shares crashed – but in the past three years as heavyweight stocks like CRH, Flutter and Smurfit Kappa shifted their listings to the US, shrinking the potential size of the Irish index. The Irish high this week was in line with global and European trends. Wall Street rebounded yesterday after a generally upbeat employment report, and a bounce-back in Tesla shares helped put the indexes on track for weekly advances. In the US, jobs numbers yesterday were relatively weak but not as bad as feared, and markets shifted higher in response. This is a sigh of relief report The US economy added 139,000 jobs in May while the unemployment rate held firm at 4.2pc, according to the Labour Department. 'This is a sigh of relief report; people were really worried that this was going to be a kind of start of a downturn in the labour market and therefore start the downturn in the economy,' said Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments in Charlotte, North Carolina. 'It came in pretty much on the screws and we've got a bit of a reprieve, at least for a month. That's leading to a pretty large relief rally,' Mr Ladner added. In Ireland and across the globe, investors are increasingly looking past the near-term risk of Donald Trump imposing further destabilising tariffs and anti-trade measures, and are focused on the underlying economy, which has so far shrugged off any real negative fallout. How long that can be sustained remains to be seen. Bank of America's influential strategist Michael Hartnett warned yesterday that global stocks are getting close to triggering a technical 'sell' signal, saying the market is running too hot after surging 20pc in just two months. He cited data points on fund flows and market breadth as evidence that investors have been rushing into risk assets and positioning is getting stretched. Traders often use that as a marker because it can theoretically indicate that the buying power in the market is likely to soon be exhausted, leaving prices vulnerable to a pullback. At the same time, the market is approaching 'overbought territory,' he said. The Bank of America data highlights a nervousness among traders about the rapid pace of recent stock gains. The combination of the Trump administration's tax-cut package to boost growth, plus a softer stance on tariffs and robust economic data, has fanned optimism. US equity futures rallied yesterday after the monthly jobs report came in stronger than expected. In Europe, the new German government's push to support industry as well as ECB easing of credit has fed into the rising stock markets. However, major risks are hovering close to the surface. Mr Trump has set a July 9 deadline for talks with the European Union to produce a trade deal, threatening a 50pc tariff on European goods if they fail. The White House has yet to lock in trade terms with China, Japan or Canada. Meanwhile, Mr Trump's public falling out with Elon Musk has been playing on stock markets as the main driver of swings in Tesla's share price, both higher and lower at different times this week.


Irish Times
5 days ago
- Irish Times
The Celtic Tiger was a time of vulgarity and gross incompetence, but at least we got things done
The passage of time allows us the luxury of viewing periods of history in a more considered and rounded context. In the years that followed the banking collapse and the bailout paid for by Irish citizens, the phrase ' Celtic Tiger ', which was once a source of pride, became synonymous with gross economic incompetence, greed and vulgarity. The damage has been exhaustively documented – the austerity that hit the poorest communities, the young people forced to emigrate, the builders that went bust, the young couples trapped in negative equity, the middle classes who invested in property and bank shares as a one-way ticket to prosperity only to find themselves facing hardship in their old age. The collapse of the Celtic Tiger was all of these things, but to view it entirely through the prism of how it all ended is to miss the point. READ MORE The Troika left town more than a decade ago. Now, the ratio of Ireland's debt to gross national income has fallen to 70 per cent from 170 per cent at the peak of austerity. Everybody who wants a job has one. Ghost estates, once seen as the most visible manifestation of that period and all its follies, have vanished from the landscape. There were 3,000 in 2010; there are less than one per cent of that figure now. What is the real legacy of the Celtic Tiger? Look around you. In the noughties, more than 600,000 homes were built. The State built a motorway network between 1991 and 2010, which made it immeasurably easier to get around. The tailbacks of Monasterevin and Moate, to name but a couple of bottleneck towns, are a distant memory. The M50 faced multiple objections and was eventually finished in 2005. Would it get built now? The Port Tunnel (2006), Terminal 2 of Dublin Airport (opened in 2010, but built during the boom), Cork suburban railway (2009), the Aviva Stadium, Croke Park, Dublin docklands and Temple Bar - which dates back to the Charles Haughey era - are long-term projects that will outlast the memories of those austerity years. The Celtic Tiger was informed by a can-do attitude and a spirit of optimism. Despite recovering our prosperity, we have not regained the optimism of this heady time. The most basic metric of confidence about the future, the number of children being born, has declined precipitously since peaking during the boom years. Twenty thousand fewer children were born in the State last year than in 2007, despite a significantly bigger population. This has mirrored trends throughout Europe, but Ireland in the 2000s was an outlier in having a birth rate at or around the replacement rate of 2.1 children per women. That number is now 1.5 and declining. Nevertheless, because of the Celtic Tiger era baby boom, Ireland will have a relatively healthy demographic well into the 2040s. Huge mistakes were made during the Celtic Tiger era, but huge things were accomplished. We have spent too long dwelling on the former and not enough on the latter. Few would argue with this policy, but it also abolished tax relief for investors and developments Fifteen years on from the nadir of the bust, the Troika bailout of 2010, perhaps the most important lesson from the Celtic Tiger is that we got things done. The post-boom recovery has been a time of crippling inertia exemplified by the National Children's Hospital, over-budget and long-delayed. Dublin Metrolink, the country's longest-running joke, is a manifestation of how not to get things done. The State's most acute problem, the housing crisis, is a side effect of prosperity, not austerity. Everybody knows there is a serious problem, a bigger and more intractable one than faced when the Troika arrived in town, yet attempts to resolve it have foundered repeatedly because they have been inadequate. Banks lent irresponsibly during the Celtic Tiger years and we all paid a price. We went from being incorrigible spenders to incorrigible savers. Irish people have €156 billion in saving and as a result, the banks are now stuffed with money, yet small and medium-sized developers claim they can't get credit and the equity they need to purchase zoned land is too high. The banks want the Government to offer a State guarantee credit scheme to developers. The Government's response to the property-induced economic crash was to make credit much more restrictive to those wishing to buy a home. Few would argue with this policy, but it also abolished tax relief for investors and developments. Section 23 exemptions were first introduced in 1988 to give a boost to apartment development in inner-city areas of towns and cities which had suffered decades of flight to the suburbs. Developers and investors could write off the costs of investing in apartments against their rental income over a period of 10 years. [ Department objected to Government's 'housing tsar' amid concerns over pay and recruitment Opens in new window ] [ Ireland is like the paradox of Schrödinger's cat: a wet country that has too little water Opens in new window ] By 2011, they were in such bad odour that the coalition government of Fine Gael and Labour abolished them for new entrants at the behest of the Troika. They had an inflationary impact on housing, they allowed wealthy people to shelter taxable income, they were expensive for the State, or so the arguments went. Countering that fact is that they were a huge success in getting homes and apartments built – at least 60,000 over the duration of the scheme. At this remove, the question that the Government should be drawing from the Celtic Tiger years is how so many homes were built - about 90,000 in 2006 alone - and what positive lessons can be drawn from that.