logo
Gold rises on weaker dollar, rising Middle East tensions

Gold rises on weaker dollar, rising Middle East tensions

The Stara day ago

Gold prices rose on Thursday, bolstered by rising tensions in the Middle East and a weaker dollar, while softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data boosted expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Spot gold was up 0.6% at $3,372.46 an ounce, as of 0202 GMT. U.S. gold futures gained 1.5% to $3,393.
The U.S. dollar index fell to a near two-month low, making greenback-priced bullion more attractive to overseas buyers.
The weakness in the dollar index serves as a strong catalyst, said Kelvin Wong, a senior market analyst, Asia Pacific at OANDA, adding that gold faced resistance at $3,346, and the bullish breakout triggered technical buying.
Rising geopolitical risks aided safe-haven assets, with President Donald Trump announcing on Wednesday that U.S. personnel were being moved out of the Middle East due to heightened security risks amid rising tensions with Iran.
Meanwhile, U.S. inflation data showed consumer prices increased less than expected in May, driven by cheaper gasoline, though inflation could accelerate due to import tariffs. The data prompted renewed calls from Trump for significant rate cuts by the Fed.
"We could potentially see the Fed moving more quickly than anticipated, given the CPI data, which is not particularly alarming at this juncture," Wong said.
Traders now anticipate a 50-basis-point rate cut by year-end and await U.S. producer price index data, due at 1230 GMT, for further clues ahead of the Fed's June 17-18 meeting.
Meanwhile, Trump said on Wednesday that Washington and Beijing had agreed on a framework to restore a fragile truce in the U.S.-China trade war, potentially avoiding higher tariffs.
Trump added he could extend a July 8 deadline for trade talks with other nations before higher U.S. tariffs take effect but did not foresee such a need.
Elsewhere, spot silver was up 0.3% at $36.33 per ounce, platinum rose 0.6% to $1,265.32, still hovering near more than 4-year high, while palladium was down 1% at $1,068.97. - Reuters

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

The dollar's crown is slipping, and fast
The dollar's crown is slipping, and fast

New Straits Times

time41 minutes ago

  • New Straits Times

The dollar's crown is slipping, and fast

LONDON: The dollar has sunk to its lowest in three years as rapidly changing US trade policy unsettles markets and expectations build for Federal Reserve rate cuts, fuelling outflows from the world's biggest economy. With the dollar down almost 10 per cent against a basket of major currencies this year, other countries around the globe are grappling with unanticipated FX moves that are having a knock-on impact on economic growth and inflation. "There's clearly solid dollar selling," said Kit Juckes, chief FX strategist at Societe Generale. Here's a look at some of the biggest movers: 1/ CROWN JEWELS Scandinavia's currencies are the standout performers against the dollar so far in 2025. The Swedish crown is up 14 per cent, its best performance at this point in the year against the US currency in at least 50 years. Norway's crown is up nearly 12 per cent, its best run since 2008. Highlighting just how much of this strength stems from dollar weakness, Sweden's crown is up only 4 per cent against the euro and Norway's just 1.8 per cent . Sweden is expected to cut rates this month as inflation and its economy slow, yet its currency shows no signs of weakening. In Norway, lower oil prices often temper the crown, but that dynamic has also been upended by its relationship with the dollar. 2/ SAFE-HAVEN WOES The euro, Swiss franc and Japanese yen are also among the biggest beneficiaries of the dollar's fall from grace, up roughly 10 per cent each so far this year. But this comes at a price. Swiss inflation turned negative in May, marking the first decline in consumer prices for more than four years. The surge in the franc reduces the price of imported goods, and piles pressure on the central bank to cut rates back below 0 per cent. European Central Bank rate setters will also have a wary eye on the single currency, which at around US$1.1572 is at its highest since 2021. "In my heart-of-hearts we are going to get to US$1.20 but we shouldn't get there too fast because it's deflationary," said SocGen's Juckes. Even after the recent surge, the yen remains down almost 30 per cent from end-2020 levels, leaving Japan to try to balance the negatives of a stronger currency with the need to demonstrate in trade talks with Washington that it is not seeking an unfair advantage from its longer-term weakness. 3/ FACTORY ASIA For years, Asian investors parked trillions of dollars in US assets such as Treasuries. US President Donald Trump's April 2 "Liberation Day" fired the starting gun for that capital to start flowing back to the world's manufacturing powerhouses, boosting their currencies. Taiwan's dollar surged 10 per cent over two days in May and is up nearly 12 per cent this year, while the Korean won has gained around 10 per cent. Singapore's dollar, Malaysia's ringgit and Thailand's baht are all up 6 per cent too, but China's yuan - arguably the most exposed to tariffs - has only appreciated by about 2 per cent offshore, hemmed in by the central bank's guardrails around its onshore counterpart. China wasn't labelled a manipulator in the US Treasury's latest currency report, but the lag in the yuan will not have gone unnoticed in Washington. 4/ OUTLIER Argentina's peso is an outlier, down around 15 per cent against the dollar and one of this year's weakest performers. The reasons are domestic with the introduction of a new exchange rate regime in April allowing the peso to float freely within a gradually expanding band that started between 1,000-1,400 pesos per dollar. Still, the chaotic crash feared by some has been avoided and a recent US$20 billion loan agreement with the IMF is positive. In contrast, Mexico's peso, which was under particular pressure at the start of the year from US trade policy, has bounced back to near its strongest levels since August. While it could gain further if tariff spats are resolved, it is also sensitive to the US economic outlook. 5/ STERLING Softer data has raised the prospect of Bank of England rate cuts and capped sterling's recent rally to more than three-year highs against the dollar. The pound is up almost 9 per cent this year and analysts say foreign buyers may be rushing to snap up UK Plc before any further dollar weakness makes future transactions more expensive. More than US$10 billion in bids for British companies were announced on Monday, this year's busiest day, according to Dealogic data. Analysts do, however, expect sterling to underperform other major currencies bar the dollar, given fiscal worries and weakening growth.

Oil surges, stocks fall on Middle East fears as Israel strikes Iran
Oil surges, stocks fall on Middle East fears as Israel strikes Iran

New Straits Times

timean hour ago

  • New Straits Times

Oil surges, stocks fall on Middle East fears as Israel strikes Iran

HONG KONG: Oil prices soared and stocks sank Friday after Israel launched "preemptive" strikes on Iran's nuclear and military sites and warned of more to come, stoking fears of a full-blown war. Investors ran for the hills on news of the attacks and a warning that retaliatory action from Tehran was possible, after US President Donald Trump said a "massive conflict" in the region was possible. While Tel Aviv said it had struck military and nuclear targets Iran said residential buildings had been hit. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a video statement: "This operation will continue for as many days as it takes to remove this threat. "We struck at the heart of Iran's nuclear enrichment programme. We targeted Iran's main enrichment facility at Natanz. We also struck at the heart of Iran's ballistic missile programme," he added. Iranian nuclear scientists "working on the Iranian bomb" had also been hit, he said. Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz cautioned that "a missile and drone attack against the State of Israel and its civilian population is expected in the immediate future." Trump had previously warned that an attack could be on the cards, telling reporters at the White House: "I don't want to say imminent, but it looks like it's something that could very well happen." The US leader said he believed a "pretty good" deal on Iran's nuclear programme was "fairly close", but that an Israeli strike on the country could wreck the chances of an agreement. A US official said there had been no US involvement in the operation. Still there are worries the United States could be sucked into the crisis after Iran threatened this week to target US military bases in the region if a regional conflict broke out. Both main oil contracts, which had rallied earlier in the week on rising tensions, spiked more than eight percent amid fears about supplies of the commodity. The rush from risk assets to safe havens saw equity markets across Asia tumble and bonds rally with gold. US and European equity futures were deep in the red. "The Middle East powder keg just blew the lid off global markets," said Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management. "Equity futures are plummeting. Bond yields are sinking. Gold and oil are skyrocketing," he added. "Brent crude futures are racing toward the mid-US$70s range – but if the Strait of Hormuz, which accounts for 20 per cent of global oil flows, finds itself in the blast radius, you can add another US$15 to the bid. "If Iran holds back, we get a relief bounce. But if missiles start raining down on Tel Aviv or Tehran retaliates with real teeth, we're staring down a scenario that could redefine the macro narrative for the rest of 2025." Banking giant JPMorgan Chase had warned just this week that prices could top US$130 if the worst-case scenario developed. Market sentiment had already been low after Trump sounded his trade war klaxon again by saying he would be sending letters within the next two weeks to other countries' governments to announce unilateral levies on their exports to the United States. The "take it or leave it" deal spurred fears he would reimpose the eye-watering tolls announced on April 2 that tanked markets before he announced a 90-day pause. West Texas Intermediate: UP 8.6 per cent at US$73.86 per barrel Brent North Sea Crude: UP 8.2 per cent US$75.03 per barrel Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 1.5 per cent at 37,606.72 Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.3 per cent at 23,959.81 Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.2 per cent at 3,39748 Dollar/yen: DOWN at 143.18 yen from 143.56 yen on Thursday Euro/dollar: DOWN at US$1.1543 from US$1.1583 Pound/dollar: DOWN at US$1.3557 from US$1.3605 Euro/pound: UP at 85.12 pence from 85.11 pence New York - Dow: UP 0.2 per cent at 42,967.62 (close)

Japan's Nikkei falls on geopolitical concerns after Israel attacks Iran
Japan's Nikkei falls on geopolitical concerns after Israel attacks Iran

New Straits Times

timean hour ago

  • New Straits Times

Japan's Nikkei falls on geopolitical concerns after Israel attacks Iran

TOKYO: Japan's Nikkei share average fell on Friday, mirroring moves in US stock futures, oil and other stock markets on news that Israel had conducted a military strike on Iran. As of 0106 GMT, the Nikkei was down 1.5 per centat 37,584.47. The broader Topix fell 1.28 per cent to 2,7473.9. "The market was selling stocks on caution for geopolitical risks, but the news was not driving a fire sale because investors still wanted to monitor the development of the attacks," said Naoki Fujiwara, a senior fund manager at Shinkin Asset Management. Israel has begun carrying out strikes on Iran, two US officials said on Thursday, adding that there was no US assistance or involvement in the operation. Chip-making equipment maker Tokyo Electron fell 5.5 per cent to drag the Nikkei the most. Uniqlo-brand owner Fast Retailing lost 2.1 per cent. Exporters fell as the yen strengthened, with Toyota Motor and Nissan Motor falling 2.75 per cent and 1.5 per cent, respectively. All but three of the Tokyo Stock Exchange's 33 industry sub-indexes fell. Energy sectors rose as oil prices jumped, with oil explorers and refiners gaining 3.6 per cent and 2.2 per cent, respectively. The utility sector rose 0.7 per cent.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store