Dollar feeble on soft economic data, trade uncertainties
SINGAPORE: The dollar drifted in muted trading on Thursday after weak US economic data revived fears of slow growth and high inflation, while the euro was steady ahead of an expected interest rate cut from the European Central Bank.
The soft data, which showed US services sector contracted for the first time in nearly a year in May and an easing labour market, led to a rally in Treasuries and increased the odds of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year.
In Asian hours, currency market moves were tepid as investors were hesitant in making major bets, awaiting developments for fresh cues on the economy, tariffs and trade deals.
Markets have been rattled since US President Donald Trump announced a slate of tariffs on countries around the globe on April 2, only to pause some and declare new ones, leading investors to look for alternatives to US assets.
The greenback weakness has been the story of the year, with foreign exchange strategists surveyed by Reuters expecting further declines on mounting concerns about the US federal deficit and debt.
On Thursday, the dollar was a shade higher against the yen at 143, while the euro stood at $1.1412, not far from the six-week high it touched at the start of the week. Sterling last fetched $1.3544.
The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six others, was at 98.87 and has dropped about 9% this year, poised for its weakest yearly performance since 2017.
Investors are now awaiting Friday's monthly payrolls figures to gauge the state of the labour market after payroll processing firm ADP reported that US private payrolls increased far less than expected in May.
The more comprehensive employment report on Friday is expected to show that non-farm payrolls increased by 130,000 jobs in May after advancing by 177,000 in April, according to a Reuters survey of economists.
The unemployment rate is forecast to hold steady at 4.2%. 'May's payrolls data tomorrow will be important to see if investor concerns are valid or overdone.
A soft labour market report is likely to result in outsize falls in the US dollar,' said Mansoor Mohi-uddin, chief economist at Bank of Singapore.
Trump redoubled his calls for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday to lower interest rates after the ADP data was released, the latest attack that has stoked worries about the independence of the US central bank and rattled investors.
Dollar slips after data disappoints
Markets have priced in 56 basis points of rate cuts this year from the Fed, with traders pricing in a 95% chance for easing in September, LSEG data showed.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note was at 4.363% in Asian hours, just above the four-week low of 4.349% it touched on Wednesday.
In other currencies, the Australian dollar was steady at $0.6491, shrugging off Wednesday's weak GDP report while the New Zealand dollar was last at $0.603, just shy of a seven-month high.
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