logo
Gold (GLD) Closes Out Its Best Quarter Since 1986 amid Flight to Safety

Gold (GLD) Closes Out Its Best Quarter Since 1986 amid Flight to Safety

Globe and Mail01-04-2025

Gold hasn't shone this bright in nearly 40 years.
Don't Miss Our End of Quarter Offers:
Discover the latest stocks recommended by top Wall Street analysts, all in one place with Analyst Top Stocks.
Make smarter investments with weekly expert stock picks from the Smart Investor Newsletter.
The precious metal that is widely used to make jewelry just posted its best quarterly performance since 1986 amid a flight to safety among skittish investors worried about trade wars, geopolitical instability, and a potential U.S. recession. The spot price of gold rose 19.3% in this year's first quarter to finish trading on March 31 at an all-time high of $3,157.60 per ounce.
The last time gold performed this well was the third quarter of 1986, when it gained 24% immediately after the Chernobyl nuclear disaster when the world was on edge and investors were seeking safe haven assets. Gold has hit 18 closing highs so far in 2025 and we're only three months into the year.
More Gains Ahead?
In addition to investors buying physical gold and spot gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the yellow metal also continues to benefit from robust buying among central banks around the world. In China and elsewhere, central banks are buying physical gold amid global uncertainty and to lessen their exposure to the U.S. dollar, which is the world's reserve currency.
Expectations for two to three interest rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve this year is also underpinning the price of gold as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. The rally in gold's price is having a cascading effect, lifting the price of gold miner stocks such as Barrick Gold (GOLD), and even retailers such as Costco Wholesale (COST) that sell gold bars to consumers.
Is the GLD ETF a Buy?
(GLD), so we'll look at the ETFs three-month performance instead. As one can see in the chart below, the GLD ETF has risen 15.74% in the last 12 weeks.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Is Costco Stock a Buy, Hold or Sell After May Sales Results?
Is Costco Stock a Buy, Hold or Sell After May Sales Results?

Globe and Mail

timea day ago

  • Globe and Mail

Is Costco Stock a Buy, Hold or Sell After May Sales Results?

Costco Wholesale Corporation 's COST May sales results offer fresh insight into the retail giant's current performance. Known for its steady growth and strong position in the warehouse club space, Costco continues to appeal to long-term investors. However, the latest figures could have a meaningful impact on the stock's near-term trajectory. Let's take a closer look at the data to determine whether Costco stock is a buy, hold, or sell after May sales results. Breaking Down Costco's May Sales Numbers Costco's membership-driven model remains a key driver, with high renewal rates providing a reliable revenue stream. Its efficient supply chain and bulk purchasing power support competitive pricing and market position. The combination of strong customer loyalty and operational efficiency helps Costco maintain an edge in the competitive retail landscape. For the four weeks ended June 1, 2025, comparable sales in the United States, Canada and Other International markets grew 4.1%, 3.3% and 6.6%, respectively. Total company comparable sales rose 4.3%. This follows gains of 4.4% in April and 6.4% in March, signaling consistent momentum. E-commerce also remained a bright spot, with comparable sales surging 11.6%. (Read: Costco Sales Surge in May: E-Commerce Leads the Way With a 12% Jump) As a result, Costco's net sales for May increased 6.8% to $20.97 billion, up from $19.64 billion in the same period last year. This follows sales improvements of 7% and 8.6% reported in April and March, respectively, reflecting a strong and consistent sales performance over the past few months. What Makes Costco a Top Long-Term Investment Choice? Costco continues to impress with its stellar revenue performance, showcasing its ability to navigate shifting economic dynamics. The consistent growth in membership fee income, coupled with a high renewal rate of 92.7% in key markets like the United States and Canada, underscores the company's effective customer retention strategies and strong member engagement. With a substantial base of paid household members and increasing executive memberships, Costco ensures a steady flow of high-margin recurring revenues. At the end of the third quarter of fiscal 2025, the retailer had 79.6 million paid household members, up 6.8% year over year. Executive memberships, a more profitable segment, grew 9% to 37.6 million, now making up 47.3% of paid members and contributing to 73.1% of global sales. By steadily enhancing its e-commerce capabilities and investing in fulfillment infrastructure, Costco is creating a more integrated omnichannel shopping experience. Its e-commerce comparable sales rose 14.8% in the third quarter. Notably, Costco Logistics deliveries surged 31%, driven by increasing volumes of large and bulky items. The launch of a Buy Now Pay Later program in partnership with Affirm has offered members greater purchasing flexibility, especially for higher-priced items. The company takes a measured approach to expanding its global warehouse footprint. During the third quarter, Costco opened nine warehouses — including seven in the United States, one in Japan, and a relocation in Australia — and plans to open 10 more in the final quarter, including its second warehouse in Sweden and 20th in Korea. For fiscal 2025, the company expects 27 total openings (24 net new), bringing its global warehouse count to 914. Meanwhile, Costco's disciplined focus on cost control, product mix optimization, and growing penetration of its private-label brand, Kirkland Signature, continues to support margin expansion. Kirkland Signature sales outpaced overall company growth in the third quarter, with penetration rising 50 basis points year over year. The company continues to shift more Kirkland Signature sourcing to the regions where items are sold, helping reduce costs and mitigate tariff impacts. How Consensus Estimates Stack Up for Costco Over the past 30 days, analysts have raised their estimates for the current fiscal year by 8 cents to $18.04. For the next fiscal year, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 14 cents to $19.90. These estimates suggest year-over-year growth rates of 12% and 10.3%, respectively. Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Does Costco's Valuation Reflect Strength or Stretch? Costco stock has been a standout performer, with shares rallying 17.1% over the past year, outpacing the industry 's rise of 8.4%. This impressive growth underscores investor confidence in Costco's business model. Costco has even outperformed its peers, such as Dollar General Corporation DG, Dollar Tree, Inc. DLTR and Target Corporation TGT. Shares of Dollar Tree, Dollar General and Target have declined 9.4%, 11.1%, and 29.8%, respectively, in the past year. However, Costco is trading at a significant premium to its industry peers. Costco's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio stands at 51.44, higher than the industry's ratio of 32.81 and the S&P 500's ratio of 22.02. The stock is also trading above its median P/E level of 50.77, observed over the past year. Costco is trading at a premium to Dollar General (with a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 19.07), Dollar Tree (16.99) and Target (12.88). Now, the question arises whether Costco's current price is warranted or overvalued in today's market. Costco's high valuation shows that investors have strong faith in the company's steady growth, loyal customer base, and solid business model. This premium may be deserved, given Costco's consistent performance, but it also means the stock has less room for error. At this level, some of the future growth may already be priced in, making it harder to justify further upside. Should You Invest in Costco Now or Wait for a Pullback? Costco's May sales results reaffirm its position as a dependable stock in the retail sector, backed by strong membership growth, consistent comparable sales improvement and solid financial fundamentals. While the stock trades at a premium valuation, this appears justified given its operational resilience, expanding global footprint, and loyal customer base. For long-term investors willing to pay up for quality and stability, Costco remains a compelling choice. However, for value-conscious buyers, the elevated valuation may warrant patience for a more attractive entry point. Costco currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days Just released: Experts distill 7 elite stocks from the current list of 220 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buys. They deem these tickers "Most Likely for Early Price Pops." Since 1988, the full list has beaten the market more than 2X over with an average gain of +23.5% per year. So be sure to give these hand picked 7 your immediate attention. See them now >> Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Target Corporation (TGT): Free Stock Analysis Report Dollar General Corporation (DG): Free Stock Analysis Report Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR): Free Stock Analysis Report Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST): Free Stock Analysis Report

Global Data Center Construction Projects Insight 2025: Top 20 Data Center Projects Highlight Regional Opportunities for Investors
Global Data Center Construction Projects Insight 2025: Top 20 Data Center Projects Highlight Regional Opportunities for Investors

National Post

time2 days ago

  • National Post

Global Data Center Construction Projects Insight 2025: Top 20 Data Center Projects Highlight Regional Opportunities for Investors

Article content Article content DUBLIN — The 'Project Insight – Global Data Center Construction Projects (Q1 2025)' report has been added to offering. Article content This report provides a detailed analysis of data center construction projects globally, based on projects tracked by the analyst. Article content The analyst is currently tracking a global pipeline of large-scale data center projects with a total value of $981.4 billion. Article content The pipeline of projects includes those with a value above $25 million, from pre-planning through to execution stages. Article content The pipeline of projects is levelled at 39% in the pre-execution and execution stages, and 61% in the early stages of pre-planning and planning. North America is the dominant region, with a data center project pipeline totalling $412.6 billion, of which $94.7 billion relates to projects already in execution Article content Scope Article content The report provides analysis based on the analyst's construction projects showing total project values and analysis by stage and funding for all regions. The top 20 projects per region are listed giving country, stage, value of projects. Ranked listings of the key operators for the sector are also provided showing the leading contractors, consulting engineers and project owners. Article content Reasons to Buy Article content Gain insight into the development of the data center construction sector. Assess all major projects by value, start date, scope and stage of development globally, for the regions to support business development activities. Plan campaigns by country based on specific project opportunities and align resources to the most attractive markets. Article content Key Topics Covered: Article content Global Overview The Americas Europe Middle East and Africa South and South-East Asia, Australasia North-East Asia Article content For more information about this report visit About is the world's leading source for international market research reports and market data. We provide you with the latest data on international and regional markets, key industries, the top companies, new products and the latest trends. Article content Article content Article content Article content Contacts Article content Article content Article content

Stock Split Watch! Does Netflix Stock or Costco Stock Split First?
Stock Split Watch! Does Netflix Stock or Costco Stock Split First?

Globe and Mail

time3 days ago

  • Globe and Mail

Stock Split Watch! Does Netflix Stock or Costco Stock Split First?

Stock splits can be exciting for investors, as they make shares more affordable. *Stock prices used were the afternoon prices of June 9, 2025. The video was published on June 11, 2025. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More » Should you invest $1,000 in Costco Wholesale right now? Before you buy stock in Costco Wholesale, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Costco Wholesale wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $649,102!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $882,344!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor 's total average return is996% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to174%for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of June 9, 2025 Parkev Tatevosian, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Costco Wholesale and Netflix. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Parkev Tatevosian is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through his link, he will earn some extra money that supports his channel. His opinions remain his own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store