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Wells Fargo CEO: Overall health of consumer is strong

Wells Fargo CEO: Overall health of consumer is strong

CNBC05-05-2025

Wells Fargo CEO Charles Scharf sits down with David Faber at the 2025 Milken Institute Global Conference to discuss outlooks on trade, what he's seeing from clients, and more.

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Is the stage finally set for transcontinental rail mergers?
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Is the stage finally set for transcontinental rail mergers?

-- The prospect of transcontinental rail mergers in the U.S. has re-entered discussions among industry participants, with Wells Fargo analysts stating that while the probability remains "low," it has "increased substantially from near-zero." The key factor, according to Wells Fargo, lies in securing "the Trump administration's buy-in," which they believe would make the STB "unlikely to stand in the way." This political alignment has elevated the odds to approximately 20% in their view, with an accelerated timeline aiming for completion by the end of Trump's term in 2025. Wells Fargo suspects that any potential combinations would occur "between the large Western U.S. rails and the Eastern rails," as administration support for Canadian rail participation is deemed unlikely. They also anticipate that if one East/West deal is proposed, another would likely follow due to the competitive advantages of a transcontinental network. The primary appeal of such mergers, according to Wells Fargo, would be "better service as un-natural interchanges, and the friction they create, are eliminated, resulting in market share increases." Beyond potential cost synergies, they highlight the public good generated by "privately funded, greener infrastructure" that can reduce trucks and congestion on highways, driving "revenue/margin/EPS growth story for the rails." Wells Fargo estimates potential deals could generate "25-60%+ EPS growth over 3-5 years," assuming 30% premiums and synergies. Wells Fargo maintains a positive outlook on railroads, with or without M&A, due to "improving pricing power, potential for technological operational improvements, strong cash generation, and volume support from less economically sensitive goods." If mergers proceed, they see "the most upside for CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) and NS," considering them likely targets, though all rail stocks are expected to benefit. Related articles Is the stage finally set for transcontinental rail mergers? What are next big copper projects? UBS tells when equipment makers could benefit What's next for Fannie and Freddie under Trump administration? Effettua l'accesso per consultare il tuo portafoglio

Why Shopify Stock Popped Today
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Why Shopify Stock Popped Today

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Treasury Yields Rise on Stable Employment Ahead of CPI

1600 ET – U.S. job creation slows less than expected, reducing odds of a dovish Fed. Bond markets react with a selloff that boosts yields. May's job creation slows less than forecast and unemployment remains at 4.2%. CME data show diminishing odds of a rate cut before September. Two or more cuts this year still represent the highest odds, but bets on only one or no cut rise. Wells Fargo foresees May's 12-month core CPI, due Wednesday, accelerating to 3.3% from April's 2.8%. The 10-year gains 0.089 percentage point this week, including 0.155 p.p. today, to 4.507%. The two-year rises 0.125 p.p. in the week and 0.115 p.p. today, to 4.039%. ( @ptrevisani) 0846 ET – U.S. job creation didn't slow as much as expected in May, spurring a bonds selloff that takes Treasury yields higher. May payrolls slowed to 139,000 from a downwardly revised 147,000. Economists surveyed by WSJ forecast 125,000. Unemployment was unchanged at 4.2%, as expected. The data likely supports expectations of a Fed hold. Yields were already rising ahead of payrolls, as markets watched the Trump-Musk break up. They rose faster after the data, particularly in longer maturities. The 10-year trades at 4.452%% and the two-year at 3.985%. ( @ptrevisani)

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