US bank stocks sink as Trump's tariffs cloud dealmaking, loan demand
Citigroup fell 11%, while Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo slipped 9% each. JPMorgan Chase, the biggest U.S. bank, dropped 7%.
The moves mark a sharp reversal of fortunes for the banking industry which until months ago was projecting a bright outlook for 2025 on hopes of M&A deregulation and lower corporate taxes.
But uncertainty fueled by Trump's 10% baseline tariff on all imports crushed the economy-sensitive bank stocks, while raising fears of a global trade war as some countries vowed to retaliate.
"Uncertainty around the indirect impact of broad-based tariff increases on the economy and activity levels are likely to dominate bank stocks in the near term," said Jim Mitchell, senior analyst at Seaport Research Partners.
With companies holding off acquisitions amid tariff uncertainty, investment banking income is likely to remain under pressure. Analysts warned that weakening consumer confidence could dampen spending and curb loan demand.
Regional lenders may be hit harder than major banks, which can offset some pressure with their trading operations that stand to gain from market volatility.
"We are cautious on bank stocks and we prefer GSIBs (Global Systemically Important Banks) to regionals overall," J.P. Morgan analysts wrote in a note, adding that large bank stocks had fallen sharply and valuations seemed "attractive".
The KBW Regional Banking Index fell 8.7% on Thursday, its lowest since August last year.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
3 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Analysis-Citi's banking head drives turnaround with more executives, deals, cooperation
By Tatiana Bautzer NEW YORK (Reuters) -Viswas Raghavan's hiring spree and push for more internal cooperation are helping Citigroup's investment banking business climb the Wall Street rankings, according to sources, analysts and public data. Since he joined from JPMorgan Chase last year, the head of Citi's banking group has added more than a dozen star bankers from rivals and is requiring executives to collaborate across business lines to generate more deals and other opportunities, the people said. Improving the performance of Citi's investment banking business - currently ranked fifth overall on Wall Street - is a keystone in CEO Jane Fraser's turnaround strategy for the global banking giant. Two recruiting sources said Citigroup is offering multimillion-dollar pay packages to attract star bankers from rivals. Raghavan himself was paid $22.6 million last year in total compensation, including salary, bonus and stock awards. "His decision to join Citi reflects our ability to attract the best talent to our firm and I look forward to seeing our Banking franchise flourish," Fraser said in a social media post on the day he joined. Since joining Citi in June 2024, Raghavan, known as Vis, has recruited about 15 senior executives from competitors, most of them from JPMorgan, but also from Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Ares Management and HSBC in recent months, Reuters previously reported. The bank announced last week that Amit Nayyar will become co-head in tech investment banking for Europe, Middle East and Africa. Other big hires were two new co-heads of M&A, Guillermo Baygual and Drago Rajkovic, as well as Pankaj Goel, co-head for technology investment banking. All are joining Citi from JPMorgan. "Investment banking is a relationship-intense business, so people make a difference," Barclays bank analyst Jason Goldberg said. Raghavan has surprised some people at Citi by telling investment bankers to collaborate across divisions to generate more revenue, said two executives who declined to be identified. That type of cooperation is rare in the highly competitive world of investment banking, where client relationships - and the fees generated by them - are closely guarded. Investment bankers meeting clients to discuss M&A or other transactions such as IPOs are expected to introduce clients to executives from other units, including wealth banking and executives at the services division, which caters to 5,000 large corporations worldwide. It also happens the other way around, with services executives making introductions to investment bankers. Citi got fifth place in the global investment banking revenue ranking this year, with a 5% market share, 0.5 percentage point above last year, according to Dealogic. The best results came from M&A bankers, which pushed Citi to fourth place in overall global rankings this year, up from seventh last year. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley were ranked first through third, respectively, Dealogic data showed. The banking division had the highest growth of all Citi businesses this quarter, up 23% from a year earlier. While Citi had a role in seven of the 10 largest fee-paying deals this year, it still needs to report several more strong quarters to establish a solid growth trend, Goldberg said. "M&A has become a huge priority," adding momentum to the gains in investment banking, said one of Citi's recent hires, who declined to be identified while discussing strategy at his new employer. One of the key challenges, according to bank analysts, is to increase Citi's presence in deals led by private equity firms, where the bank is lagging. The move to broaden Citi's client relationships among the different divisions fits in with Fraser's sweeping turnaround strategy set forth two years ago. She removed management layers, laid off thousands of employees and streamlined the bank's structure into five businesses. "Citi has been losing market share in investment banking for 25 years," Wells Fargo bank analyst Mike Mayo said. "Now Raghavan has a clear mandate to increase market share and returns at the banking division." The executive will face some challenges ahead. Although the share in M&A deals increased, Citi has kept stable market share in equity and debt capital market deals. The bank lost ground in loan revenue, coming in at seventh place in the ranking this year, down from sixth in 2024, according to Dealogic. Mayo has been bullish on Citi stock for a while and said a conversation he recently had with Fraser made him believe the heads of businesses are now held accountable for increasing returns. Fraser set a target of 10% to 11% return on tangible equity to be met in 2026. The lender is still working to fix regulatory punishments dating back to 2020 to improve its risk management and data governance. It was fined $136 million last year by regulators for failing to fix widespread and longstanding deficiencies in its data management. SENIOR HIRES BY CITIGROUP'S BANKING DIVISION EXECUTIVE TITLE FORMER DATE EMPLOYER ANNOUNCED Amit Nayyar Co-Head of UK, Europe JPMorgan 08.13.2025 and MEA Tech investment Banking Aashish Dhakad Head of North America Ares 08.13.2025 Private Credit Management Origination Guillermo Co-head of M&A JPMorgan 08.07.2025 Baygual Pankaj Goel Co-head, tech JPMorgan 07.29.2025 investment banking Bernal J (BJ) Head, North America JPMorgan 07.21.2025 Vargas Equity Capital Markets David Friedland Co-head, North Goldman, 07.17.2025 America Investment Sachs Banking Alok Gupte Co-head of global JPMorgan 07.16.2025 equity capital markets Alex Watkins Head of technology JPMorgan 07.16.2025 financing James Head of equity Morgan 06.20.2025 Manson-Bahr capital markets- Stanley Europe, UK and MEA Drago Rajkovic Co-head of M&A JPMorgan 06.20.2025 Ed Sankey Head of equity HSBC 05.21.2025 capital markets- Europe, UK, Middle East, Africa, Japan, Asia North, South Asia and Australia Achintya Mangla Head of financing for JPMorgan 07.03.2024 investment banking
Yahoo
3 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Analysis-UK motor finance ruling could fuel M&A
By Charlie Conchie LONDON (Reuters) -A ruling from the United Kingdom's top court that will likely save car finance companies billions in compensation payouts could clear the way for a wave of consolidation in the sector. The Supreme Court this month overturned much of a lower court ruling on car loan sales practices, leading some industry experts to say the compensation bill could be less than half of initial estimates of about 30 billion pounds ($41 billion). The lower cost - coupled with the fact that many private equity firms have owned car finance companies beyond their typical investment horizons - could help trigger a spate of dealmaking in a sector that has been in limbo for about 18 months. "I think it's the real activity that will start now," said Hyder Jumabhoy, a partner at law firm White & Case. The owners of car finance lenders have enough clarity to begin preparing them for sale as they await full details of the redress scheme, he added. Jumabhoy's view was echoed by three other corporate advisers contacted by Reuters, although another three cautioned that uncertainty could hold back dealmaking until at least next year. London-based private equity firm Cabot Square Capital has hired BNP Paribas to handle a sale of Blue Motor Finance, two people familiar with the matter said. Blue Motor made a loss of 8.5 million pounds in 2023 on revenue of 53 million pounds, according to its latest full-year accounts. Startline, owned by U.S. hedge fund The Baupost Group, could also come to market in the coming months, advisers said. Startline reported 100.3 million pounds of interest receivable and other income in 2023 and a loss of around 4.25 million pounds, according to its latest accounts. "There's a series of highly attractive assets which have sat in private equity portfolios for longer than most would have expected, more for regulatory or macro reasons as opposed to anything else," said Elliot Reader, a director at investment bank Houlihan Lokey. "Now is a period of time where there is some more certainty and these assets can start to come to market." Cabot Square Capital, Blue Motor and Startline did not respond to requests for comment. The Baupost Group declined to comment. To be sure, there are still uncertainties for the industry. Some advisers said the lack of clarity around the final redress bill could dampen deals until later next year. "Does it (the Supreme Court ruling) pave the way for future M&A activity in the motor finance space given recent inactivity? Yes, but I'd expect any meaningful movement to emerge throughout 2026," said Antony Walsh, partner and international head of corporate at Eversheds Sutherland. GROWING MARKET Following the court ruling, Britain's financial watchdog is working on a compensation scheme for car loans that included so-called discretionary commission arrangements - those where the broker could adjust the interest rate offered to a customer - if they were not properly disclosed. The regulator said this month that it was hard to predict the cost of the scheme, but that estimates in the middle of a 9 billion to 18 billion pounds range were "more plausible". Despite the spectre of hefty payouts, advisers said there was likely to be interest from potential buyers in a growing market that underpins much of Britain's automotive industry. Around 80% of all new cars sold to consumers in Britain in the 12 months to April were bought using a form of motor finance, according to the Finance & Leasing Association. New business rose 6% in value in the first six months of 2025, bringing the total size of the point-of-sale consumer car finance market at the end of June to about 86 billion pounds in terms of the value of outstanding contracts, it added. Potential bidders could include bigger banks or private equity and private credit funds, Reader and Jumabhoy said. Britain's banking sector has already seen a flurry of deals, including Santander UK's recent swoop on TSB. Analysts at credit rating agency Moody's said in a June note that the focus could now turn to specialist lenders, with larger motor finance-exposed firms like Aldermore and Close Brothers among potential targets. Aldermore's owner, South Africa's FirstRand, and Close Brothers led the legal challenge that culminated in the Supreme Court ruling on Aug. 1. Close Brothers, whose shares are up around 25% since the ruling, declined to comment. "I've spoken to CFOs of other banks who tell me that they think that Close Brothers is a good business, but they would not touch it with a barge pole until motor finance is well and truly dusted," said RBC Capital Markets analyst Benjamin Toms, referring to certainty over the eventual compensation costs. A FirstRand spokesperson said it was not considering a sale of Aldermore and the ruling would have no impact on its strategy for the unit. ($1 = 0.7385 pounds) Sign in to access your portfolio


Chicago Tribune
4 minutes ago
- Chicago Tribune
Wall Street is quiet in premarket trading ahead of Trump's meeting with Ukraine's Zelenskyy
Wall Street ticked modestly lower early Monday ahead of U.S. President Donald Trump's meeting later Monday with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and other European leaders. Futures for the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq were all 0.1% lower before the bell. Markets showed scant reaction to Trump's inconclusive summit meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday. Investors are also watching for cues from an annual meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, of top central bankers later this week. In premarket trading, Soho House jumped 16% after the global membership-based club said it was being taken private by hotel operator MCR. Executive Chairman Ron Burkle and other big shareholders will retain their equity interests and control of the business. Dayforce, a human resources software company, climbed more than 28% before the bell on media reports that it is being acquired by Chicago-based private equity firm Thoma Bravo. Bloomberg reported that Thoma Bravo was offering $9 billion, including debt, to take Dayforce private. Some of the biggest U.S. retailers will report their latest financial results throughout the week, including Home Depot, Target and Walmart. Trump's meeting with Zelenskyy will include other European leaders who were not included in the president's talks in Anchorage, Alaska, with Putin. The European allies are seeking to present a united front in safeguarding Ukraine and the continent from any widening aggression from Moscow. An annual meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, of top central bankers later this week will be watched closely for hints about possible interest rate cuts from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. He is due to speak Friday at the conference. 'While the official theme is labor markets, investors will scrutinize any hint of September policy direction, especially after last week's mixed inflation data,' Ipek Ozkardeskaya of Swissquote said in a commentary, adding that 'any progress on Ukraine peace talks could push global equities higher still.' Expectations have been building that the Fed will cut interest rates at its next meeting in September, though mixed reports on the U.S. economy have undercut those bets somewhat. At midday in Europe, Germany's DAX lost 0.3%, while the CAC 40 in Paris dropped 0.7%. Britain's FTSE 100 was flat. In Asia, Japan's Nikkei 225 picked up 0.8%, while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong gave up early gains, losing 0.4%. The Shanghai Composite index jumped 1%. It's trading near it's highest level in a decade. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 picked up 0.2%. The Kospi in South Korea declined 1.5% on heavy selling of semiconductor makers like Samsung Electronics, whose shares fell 2.2%. SK Hynix lost 3.3% as investors fretted over the possibility of more U.S. tariffs on computer chips.