
China private equity secondary deals to surge on rising supply, cheaper valuations
A private equity (PE) secondary trade refers to the buying and selling of PE fund portfolios or their direct shareholdings in private companies, allowing investors to exit their positions outside the typical investment cycle.
The steep discounts being offered by the selling funds are expected to attract buyers who have confidence in China's longer-term economic prospects, industry sources said. Many of the selling funds have to repay their own investors and are struggling to find trade buyers or float the assets on public markets due to economic headwinds and geopolitical risks.
Canada's Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec (CDPQ), for example, which stopped making PE investments in China two years ago, is considering selling about $2 billion worth of assets via secondary trades, most of which are from China, said two people.
China-focused buyout fund CDH Investments is also aiming to raise a multi-asset continuation vehicle to allow some investors to cash out from its existing fund's portfolio, they said.
A continuation fund is a new investment vehicle created by a PE firm to transfer holdings of some existing investments, which allows investors to maintain or exit their stakes in the assets.
CDPQ declined to comment. A CDH spokesperson did not respond to a Reuters request for comment.
The people, who are familiar with the matter, did not wish to be identified as the talks are confidential.
A total of 731 secondary trades involving yuan-denominated funds were completed in the first half of 2025, hitting a record 77.3 billion yuan ($11 billion) and logging an 89% year-on-year growth, according to Chinese data provider ZERONE.
Data for secondary trades involving U.S. dollar-denominated assets in China is not publicly available, industry sources said.
It is a good time for investors who have a long-term view on China to buy quality assets on the cheap with reduced regulatory risks, global alternative asset investor LGT Capital Partners said in an industry insight white paper published in July.
"We expect the majority of capital we are going to deploy in China in the short to medium term to be via secondaries," Doug Coulter, LGT's Hong Kong-based partner and head of Asia Pacific private equity, told Reuters.
LGT announced in June that it was the co-lead investor in continuation vehicles worth a total of $500 million for a portfolio of 13 assets managed by China-focused venture capital fund IDG Capital.
LGT declined to disclose the discounts the assets were traded at.
Singapore sovereign wealth fund GIC (GIC.UL) also invested in IDG's continuation vehicles, primarily buying shares of social media company Bytedance, said the two people.
GIC declined to comment. IDG did not respond to a Reuters request for comment.
Globally, secondary market deals have also hit record volumes, reaching $103 billion in the first half, according to a report by investment bank Jefferies, as the lack of capital distribution from IPOs and M&A deals fuels supply.
Quality China assets are being sold in the secondary market at 40%-50% discounts to net asset value (NAV), said Coulter. That compares with the roughly 10% to 20% discounts to NAV for U.S. assets in the secondary market, industry sources said.
The improved market sentiment in China should be conducive to PE secondary deals, industry sources said.
China's onshore benchmark CSI 300 (.CSI300), opens new tab is up 7% so far this year, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (.HSI), opens new tab is up 25%.
"We believe the sentiment of investors about China has generally improved," said Mingchen Xia, managing director and co-head of Asia investments at investment management and advisory firm Hamilton Lane.
He said that "the softened geopolitical tensions and largely settled tariff negotiations" by some major economies should give some comfort to investors.
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Digital Services and Software: Local IT companies and freelancers regularly purchase software, cloud tools, online courses, and other digital services from international providers. Without smooth outbound payments, these businesses struggle to stay competitive. Tuition Payments: In 2024, around 60,000 Bangladeshi students went abroad for higher education, more than double the 26,112 recorded in 2014. With an estimated 106,000 students currently studying abroad, outbound tuition payments have reached about USD 2 billion. Healthcare: According to the Daily Star (Dec 2024), approximately 350,000 Bangladeshis travel abroad annually for medical treatment, primarily to India, Thailand, and Singapore. These healthcare-related outbound flows amount to roughly USD 3 billion each year. Travel (Including Hajj & Umrah): Each year, 2 million Bangladeshis travel abroad for tourism, spending more than USD 1 billion. Additionally, 100,000 travel for Umrah and 90,000 for Hajj. 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Without efficient official channels, businesses often resort to informal networks for quicker transactions. : A small textile factory importing fabric from China could make payments smoothly through banking channels, avoiding hawala. This transparency builds trust with suppliers and ensures compliance. Without efficient official channels, businesses often resort to informal networks for quicker transactions. For Freelancers and IT Firms : Instant payments for software or cloud services enhance productivity, competitiveness, and revenue generation. Without efficient payment systems, freelancers often rely on third parties with international accounts, further fueling the informal market. : Instant payments for software or cloud services enhance productivity, competitiveness, and revenue generation. Without efficient payment systems, freelancers often rely on third parties with international accounts, further fueling the informal market. For Individuals: Students, patients, and travelers could make payments without facing delays or overpaying in the open market. For instance, parents may need to urgently send tuition or living expenses to universities abroad, and patients may need to pay for medical treatments. Ultimately, every outbound transaction conducted through official channels is one less for hawala networks, making it harder for them to operate. How Tight Outbound Controls Can Unintentionally Boost Hawala and Affect Inbound Remittances Regulators often impose strict controls on outbound payments to preserve foreign currency reserves, which are crucial for paying for urgent imports like fuel, food, and medicine. While this strategy may seem logical in the short term, it creates a chain effect that harms the economy over time. Think of Bangladesh's cross-border financial flows as two interconnected buckets—one for Taka inside Bangladesh and one for foreign currency outside. When outbound payments through legal banking channels are restricted: Outbound Demand Shifts to Hawala Networks: The unmet demand for outbound payments doesn't disappear; it simply shifts to informal channels like hawala. Students, businesses, and families still need to send money abroad. When banking channels are slow or limited, they turn to hawala. Foreign Exchange Market Distortion: Hawala creates artificial demand for foreign currency in the open market while increasing demand for Taka abroad. This creates pressure on both the local currency and the foreign exchange market. Inbound Remittances Get "Netted Off": Hawala operators balance their books by matching outbound and inbound transfers, leading to a "net-off" effect. As a result, some inbound remittances that should flow through formal channels are instead settled off the books. Banking System Loses Credibility and Reserves Stay Weak: Even if foreign reserves seem protected in the short term, reduced formal inflows mean the country ultimately loses more than it saves. The Bottom Line: Strict outbound controls can reduce formal inbound remittances because hawala "nets off" the two-way flow of money. What Easing Outbound Payments Could Look Like Create a Simple 'Personal Outward Remittance' System: Allow residents to send a modest annual amount (for education, medical expenses, small family support, subscriptions) fully digitally, using e-KYC, e-documents, and internal banking portals. Simplify Documentation: Bangladesh Bank already lists permissible categories. A one-page checklist per use case (e.g., tuition fees, hospital deposits) could streamline the process, accepting digital invoices and allowing post-verification for smaller amounts to ensure urgent payments aren't delayed. 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What Success Would Look Like When governments ease and digitize legitimate outbound payments, three positive outcomes occur at once: People return to formal banking : It becomes easier and safer than using hawala. : It becomes easier and safer than using hawala. More inbound remittances through banks : Less 'netting off' as hawala loses its outward leg. It becomes harder for it to source dollars/taka and to match cross-flows : Less 'netting off' as hawala loses its outward leg. It becomes harder for it to source dollars/taka and to match cross-flows Lower open-market pressure: As legal outbound payments rise, demand in the open market decreases. Better data for policy-making: Clean data allows Bangladesh Bank to fine-tune foreign exchange liquidity, incentives, and compliance. Besides, Regulators see the flows, which improves risk control and macro planning. Lower costs over time: Competition between banks and fintech companies drives fees closer to the G20 target (≤3%). 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By simplifying and digitizing legal outbound transfers, the country can: Reduce reliance on hawala networks, Increase inbound remittances through official banking channels, Strengthen reserves sustainably, Empower SMEs, freelancers, and individuals to expand globally, Stimulate growth in the cross-border payments industry. This approach will create a healthier, more transparent financial system that supports long-term economic growth and stability.


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