Pop open the umbrellas. How much rain is predicted for Naples, Collier County, Florida?
After an active 2024 hurricane season, Southwest Floridians were relieved when it ended and dry season set in.
It hasn't rained much for a while in the Naples area.
That's expected to change Monday. Prepare for some waves of rain in Naples and Collier County.
The National Weather Service predicts showers before 10 a.m., with showers continuing and thunderstorms possible after 10.
"Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall," NWS said on its website.
The weather service seems confident it is going to rain. Its web site said Sunday evening that the chance of precipitation is 80% for the Naples area. The chance of rain continues at 70% Monday night.
Rainfall amounts between 3/4 and 1 inch are possible Monday, the weather service predicted; 1/4 to 1/2 an inch of rain could fall Monday night.
Accuweather's forecast showed the rain beginning Monday morning, around 7 a.m.
The weather service's Miami office said Sunday that an area of low pressure will be moving over Florida. It said:
"Model trends are coming into some agreement in regards to the system`s track, keeping its bulk over the southernmost portions of the peninsula and over the Keys.
"This solution favors lower rainfall totals for South Florida and lower chances for thunderstorms overall as much of the instability looks to remain over the Keys."
The agency said that thunderstorms and rain chances could increase though:
"Given the disorganized nature of the low, there remains a low chance that the convection could push further north over our region, which would mean higher chances for thunderstorms and a more widespread rainfall event."
With 1 to 2 inches predicted, some areas could expect localized flooding.
While it's usually relatively dry this time of year, there's been less rainfall than normal for the first part of 2025.
The last time it rained in Naples was Feb. 19, but that was just a tiny bit: .04 inches. It also rained a tad (.01 inches) on Feb. 3, but before that, it hadn't rained since .09 inches fell on Jan. 23.
Monday's rain might help the area catch up a bit. A little more than a half of an inch fell in January, compared to a normal 1.68. February's normal is 2.06 inches.
The weather service reports that parts of the Naples and Collier County area have been abnormally dry, with some parts experiencing moderate drought conditions.
Here are 2024 rainfall totals for the Naples area:
January: 2.21 inches, normal 1.68 inches
February: 3.32 inches, normal 2.06 inches
March 2024: 5.34 inches, normal 1.92 inches
April: .09 inches, normal 2.50 inches
May: .72 inches, normal 3.98 inches
June: 17.03 inches, normal 9.62 inches
July 14.47 inches, normal 9.78 inches
August: 8.88 inches, normal 10.83 inches
September: 5.82 inches, normal 10 inches
October: data is missing, normal 3.92 inches
November: .5 inches, normal 1.85 inches
December: 3.16 inches, normal 2.16 inches
The sun is predicted to be back on Tuesday and throughout the week. Here's the forecast:
Tuesday: A slight chance of thunderstorms before 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Northwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60. North wind around 6 mph.
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 77. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming west in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 64. Light and variable wind.
Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the morning.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
This article originally appeared on Naples Daily News: Naples, Florida weather and rain forecast for Monday, Feb. 24
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