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Winners and Losers: Energy Stocks Soared and Healthcare Crashed in May

Winners and Losers: Energy Stocks Soared and Healthcare Crashed in May

May was a month to remember for the U.S. stock market as the benchmark S&P 500 index posted a gain of 6% and had its best showing since 1990. But, as always, there were winners and losers among equities.
Confident Investing Starts Here:
The big winners among U.S. stocks during May were energy and technology stocks that are helping to power the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. Specifically, NRG Energy (NRG) saw its share price rise 42% in the month and Constellation Energy (CEG) was close behind with a 37% gain. Both companies power AI data centers through cleaner energy sources such as natural gas.
Other big winners in May were previously downtrodden technology stocks that are also associated with AI. These include data storage firm Seagate Technology (STX), whose share price increased 37% and outpaced AI chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA). Super Micro Computer (SMCI), which makes AI servers that run Nvidia microchips, also had a big month, with its stock running 26% higher.
Healthcare Loses Out
On the flipside, healthcare was the worst-performing sector of the market in May. The declines were led by insurer UnitedHealth Group (UNH), whose share price fell 27% amid worries after the company slashed its full-year guidance. Also dragging healthcare lower was pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly (LLY), whose stock dropped 18% after the Trump administration said it wants prescription drug prices lower.
Other healthcare stocks that took a drubbing in May include retail pharmacy chain CVS Health (CVS), and healthcare insurer Humana (HUM). The lone bright spot among healthcare stocks was Insulet (PODD), whose share price vaulted 29% higher on strong financial results. The stock has been on an upswing since the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved its insulin system for Type 2 Diabetes last summer.
Is LLY Stock a Buy?
The stock of Eli Lilly has a consensus Strong Buy recommendation among 18 Wall Street analysts. That rating is based on 16 Buy, one Hold, and one Sell recommendations issued in the last 12 months. The average LLY price target of $1,003.14 implies 34.82% upside from current levels.

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The UK seeks to send a message to Moscow as it outlines higher defense spending
The UK seeks to send a message to Moscow as it outlines higher defense spending

San Francisco Chronicle​

time32 minutes ago

  • San Francisco Chronicle​

The UK seeks to send a message to Moscow as it outlines higher defense spending

LONDON (AP) — The U.K. is about to see the biggest increase in defense spending since the end of the Cold War as it seeks to send "a message to Moscow," the British defense secretary said Sunday. John Healey said the Labour government's current plans for defense spending will be enough to transform the country's military following decades of retrenchment, though he does not expect the number of soldiers — currently at a historic low — to rise until the early 2030s. He said plans for defense spending to hit 2.5% of national income by 2027, which amounts to an extra 13 billion pounds ($17 billion) or so a year, were 'on track' and that there was 'no doubt' it would hit 3% in the next parliament in the early 2030s. The government will on Monday respond to a strategic defense review, overseen by Healey and led by Lord George Robertson, a former NATO secretary general and defense secretary in a previous Labour government. It is expected to be the most consequential review since the fall of the Soviet Union in the early 1990s, and make a series of recommendations for the U.K. to deal with the new threat environment, both on the military front and in cyberspace. Like other NATO members, the U.K. has been compelled to take a closer look at its defense spending since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. 'This is a message to Moscow,' Healey told the BBC. 'This is Britain standing behind, making our armed forces stronger but making our industrial base stronger, and this is part of our readiness to fight, if required.' U.S. President Donald Trump has also piled pressure on NATO members to bolster their defense spending. And in recent months, European countries, led by the U.K. and France, have scrambled to coordinate their defense posture as Trump transforms American foreign policy, seemingly sidelining Europe as he looks to end the war in Ukraine. Trump has long questioned the value of NATO and complained that the U.S. provides security to European countries that don't pull their weight. Healey also said Russia is 'attacking the U.K. daily' as part of some 90,000 cyber attacks from state-linked sources that were directed at the U.K,'s defense over the last two years. A cyber command to counter such threats is expected to be set up as part of the review. 'The tensions are greater but we prepare for war in order to secure the peace,' he said. 'If you're strong enough to defeat an enemy, you deter them from attacking in the first place.' While on a visit to a factory on Saturday where Storm Shadow missiles are assembled, Healey said the government would support the procurement of up to 7,000 U.K.-built long-range weapons and that new funding will see U.K. munitions spending hitting 6 billion pounds in the coming years. 'Six billion over the next five years in factories like this which allow us not just to produce the munitions that equip our forces for the future but to create the jobs in every part of the U.K.,' he said. Robert Jenrick, the shadow justice secretary for the main opposition Conservative Party, welcomed the government's pledge to increase defense spending but said he was 'skeptical' as to whether the Treasury would deliver. He called on the government to be more ambitious and raise spending to 3% of national income within this parliament, which can run until 2029.

Can Trump fix the national debt? Republican senators, many investors and even Elon Musk have doubts

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Can Trump fix the national debt? Republican senators, many investors and even Elon Musk have doubts

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White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt opened her briefing Thursday by saying she wanted 'to debunk some false claims" about his tax cuts. Leavitt said that the "blatantly wrong claim that the 'One, Big, Beautiful Bill' increases the deficit is based on the Congressional Budget Office and other scorekeepers who use shoddy assumptions and have historically been terrible at forecasting across Democrat and Republican administrations alike.' But Trump himself has suggested that the lack of sufficient spending cuts to offset his tax reductions came out of the need to hold the Republican congressional coalition together. 'We have to get a lot of votes,' Trump said last week. 'We can't be cutting.' That has left the administration betting on the hope that economic growth can do the trick, a belief that few outside of Trump's orbit think is viable. Tech billionaire Musk, who was until recently part of Trump's inner sanctum as the leader of the Department of Government Efficiency, told CBS News: 'I was disappointed to see the massive spending bill, frankly, which increases the budget deficit, not just decreases it, and undermines the work that the DOGE team is doing." The tax and spending cuts that passed the House last month would add more than $5 trillion to the national debt in the coming decade if all of them are allowed to continue, according to the Committee for a Responsible Financial Budget, a fiscal watchdog group. To make the bill's price tag appear lower, various parts of the legislation are set to expire. This same tactic was used with Trump's 2017 tax cuts and it set up this year's dilemma, in which many of the tax cuts in that earlier package will sunset next year unless Congress renews them. But the debt is a much bigger problem now than it was eight years ago. Investors are demanding the government pay a higher premium to keep borrowing as the total debt has crossed $36.1 trillion. The interest rate on a 10-year Treasury Note is around 4.5%, up dramatically from the roughly 2.5% rate being charged when the 2017 tax cuts became law. The White House Council of Economic Advisers argues that its policies will unleash so much rapid growth that the annual budget deficits will shrink in size relative to the overall economy, putting the U.S. government on a fiscally sustainable path. The council argues the economy would expand over the next four years at an annual average of about 3.2%, instead of the Congressional Budget Office's expected 1.9%, and as many as 7.4 million jobs would be created or saved. Council chair Stephen Miran told reporters that when that growth is coupled with expected revenues from tariffs, the expected budget deficits will fall. The tax cuts will increase the supply of money for investment, the supply of workers and the supply of domestically produced goods — all of which, by Miran's logic, would cause faster growth without creating new inflationary pressures. 'I do want to assure everyone that the deficit is a very significant concern for this administration,' Miran told reporters recently. White House budget director Russell Vought told reporters the idea that the bill is 'in any way harmful to debt and deficits is fundamentally untrue.' Most outside economists expect additional debt would keep interest rates higher and slow overall economic growth as the cost of borrowing for homes, cars, businesses and even college educations would increase. 'This just adds to the problem future policymakers are going to face,' said Brendan Duke, a former Biden administration aide now at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a liberal think tank. Duke said that with the tax cuts in the bill set to expire in 2028, lawmakers would be 'dealing with Social Security, Medicare and expiring tax cuts at the same time.' Kent Smetters, faculty director of the Penn Wharton Budget Model, said the growth projections from Trump's economic team are 'a work of fiction.' He said the bill would lead some workers to choose to work fewer hours in order to qualify for Medicaid. 'I don't know of any serious forecaster that has meaningfully raised their growth forecast because of this legislation,' said Harvard University professor Jason Furman, who was the Council of Economic Advisers chair under the Obama administration. 'These are mostly not growth- and competitiveness-oriented tax cuts. And, in fact, the higher long-term interest rates will go the other way and hurt growth.' The White House's inability so far to calm deficit concerns is stirring up political blowback for Trump as the tax and spending cuts approved by the House now move to the Senate. Republican Sens. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin and Rand Paul of Kentucky have both expressed concerns about the likely deficit increases, with Johnson saying there are enough senators to stall the bill until deficits are addressed. 'I think we have enough to stop the process until the president gets serious about the spending reduction and reducing the deficit,' Johnson said on CNN. The White House is also banking that tariff revenues will help cover the additional deficits, even though recent court rulings cast doubt on the legitimacy of Trump declaring an economic emergency to impose sweeping taxes on imports. When Trump announced his near-universal tariffs in April, he specifically said his policies would generate enough new revenues to start paying down the national debt. His comments dovetailed with remarks by aides, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, that yearly budget deficits could be more than halved. 'It's our turn to prosper and in so doing, use trillions and trillions of dollars to reduce our taxes and pay down our national debt, and it'll all happen very quickly,' Trump said two months ago as he talked up his import taxes and encouraged lawmakers to pass the separate tax and spending cuts. The Trump administration is correct that growth can help reduce deficit pressures, but it's not enough on its own to accomplish the task, according to new research by economists Douglas Elmendorf, Glenn Hubbard and Zachary Liscow. Ernie Tedeschi, director of economics at the Budget Lab at Yale University, said additional 'growth doesn't even get us close to where we need to be.' The government would need $10 trillion of deficit reduction over the next 10 years just to stabilize the debt, Tedeschi said. 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Feds' abrupt cutoff of HIV prevention funds threatens decades of progress, S.F. providers say
Feds' abrupt cutoff of HIV prevention funds threatens decades of progress, S.F. providers say

San Francisco Chronicle​

timean hour ago

  • San Francisco Chronicle​

Feds' abrupt cutoff of HIV prevention funds threatens decades of progress, S.F. providers say

Leaders in HIV care in San Francisco and across the country say their critical efforts to stop new infections are under attack by a Trump administration that already has cut several key federal programs and now appears to be withholding money meant to go specifically toward prevention. The bulk of HIV prevention work is supported by federal money, including grants issued through the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. But the CDC's HIV programs have been gutted this year, and millions in grant money that should have been in the hands of state and local health care providers by now has yet to arrive. In parts of California, including Los Angeles, some prevention programs already have been impacted because the money hasn't come through. Los Angeles County sent notices to dozens of organizations it works with that their contracts would be terminated if federal funds weren't available by June 1. San Francisco may be less immediately impacted because it does not rely on outside contractors for services, and local leaders have promised to backfill any missing federal money. The Los Angeles and San Francisco grants are for about $19 million and $7 million, respectively, and the state gets a separate allotment. But the situation is grim, said experts in HIV care, who worry that any efforts to dismantle public health and services for vulnerable communities will have disastrous effects, and could undo decades of work to slow down and eventually end the AIDS epidemic. 'We have an incredible, effective, world-class HIV prevention and care system, and we can't afford to go back because of what's happening at the federal level,' said Jonathan Frochtzwajg, director of health justice policy for the San Francisco AIDS Foundation. 'This level of uncertainty and instability is unprecedented,' Frochtzwajg said. 'In the past, funding levels may increase or decrease and we would always be in the fight. But with this administration, it's the wholesale elimination of funding streams and programs.' In San Francisco, the federal funding supports HIV prevention efforts along with programs to end other sexually transmitted diseases and hepatitis C, which are often concurrent infections. Losing that money would jeopardize the city's work toward ending the epidemic, said the San Francisco Department of Public Health, and 'significantly weaken' efforts to provide testing, offer uncomplicated access to care for those who test positive, monitor case rates and provide education and outreach. The public health department said Friday that it had not yet received the grant money, which was supposed to arrive by Sunday. HIV care leaders said they were caught off guard by President Donald Trump's attacks on their work since he took office in January. In his previous administration, the president had been supportive of efforts to end the epidemic, and had not touched federal funding. Now, those leaders say, they fear their programs have been swept up in larger plans to scale back federal government and in particular get rid of diversity, equity and inclusion programs. The CDC has especially come under attack in the second Trump administration, and several programs aimed at HIV — including the CDC's HIV research arm — have been scaled back or killed entirely. Trump also has divested from or severely curtailed involvement in programs to support HIV care internationally. HIV care requires intense public health work to control spread of disease, and efforts often are focused on vulnerable communities including people of color and transgender people, who are at much higher risk of infection than other groups. 'That's what they seem to be objecting to: 'Oh, you work with transgender people? You work with gay people? You work with Black people? '' said Carl Schmid, executive director of the HIV+Hepatitis Policy Institute in Washington. 'We don't have the luxury of not thinking about those things,' Schmid said. 'In fact, if you want to utilize tax dollars, that's where the (HIV) cases are. That's what I call being efficient.' Ending the epidemic must include widespread, easy access to testing and prevention tools like PrEP (pre-exposure prophylaxis), say HIV experts. And those who are infected must be treated in order to keep them from passing the infection to others. Indeed, the nation's prevention programs have had a profound effect on slowing down the epidemic, which at its peak in the late 1980s and early '90s was seeing 130,000 new infections a year; that's down to about 30,000 now. In San Francisco, cases dropped from about 2,000 a year during the worst times to about 145 last year. 'Accessible HIV testing, accessible PrEP, accessible care for people living with HIV — all of that is what is driving down our new diagnoses,' said Frochtzwajg. 'We'll see that trend reverse if you take away those services.' Schmid said the timing of the federal cuts was especially frustrating because new prevention tools that will soon become available — including PrEP that may require only one injection a year to be effective — require stable foundations to get the care to people who need it. 'It's really sad, because we have such great hope on the horizon,' Schmid said. 'We have the science, and we're losing the infrastructure.' Lance Toma, chief executive of San Francisco Community Health Center, said he was concerned about the fate of organizations that reach the most vulnerable communities because they tend to be smaller and less resourced. At an event at the Commonwealth Club of San Francisco on May 21, Toma and others painted a dire outlook for HIV care, even as they said they intended to fight for resources. 'We're really headed toward a potential future where we will see the dismantling of organizations that we hold dear,' Toma said. 'Everything we've worked so hard at, the efforts we've made to make competent trans programs, or gay men of color programs — that's where I get scared. These are the folks we've worked so hard for, and these are the folks being targeted.' The Commonwealth Club event called up two panels, one focused on young activists and the other on the current climate. Several participants said they must now look to past activism — in particular, the efforts of ACT UP, a grassroots organization fighting for people with HIV and AIDS — as they pick up the battle all over again. 'We all lived through it, when it was so grim that we didn't really see any light at the end of the tunnel,' said Cecilia Chung, senior advisor with the Transgender Law Center in Oakland who is transgender and HIV positive herself. 'We persevered, we fought and we pushed through. And that's phenomenal.'

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