logo
Most Gulf markets end higher on Iran ceasefire, US rate cut expectations

Most Gulf markets end higher on Iran ceasefire, US rate cut expectations

Business Recorder17 hours ago

Most Gulf stock markets closed higher on Sunday, rebounding to levels last seen before the recent Iran-Israel conflict, as a holding ceasefire and growing expectations of U.S. rate cuts lifted investor sentiment.
Saudi Arabia's benchmark index advanced 1.2%, led by a 2.3% rise in Al Rajhi Bank and a 3.3% increase in Riyad Bank.
The International Monetary Fund on Thursday raised its 2025 GDP growth forecast for Saudi Arabia to 3.5% from 3%, partly on the back of demand for government-led projects, and supported by the OPEC+ group's plan to phase out oil production cuts.
The world's largest group of oil producers, OPEC+, is set to announce another big increase of 411,000 barrels per day in production for August as it looks to regain market share, Reuters reported on Friday, citing four delegates from the group.
Gulf shares rise as Iran-Israel ceasefire holds
Oil behemoth Saudi Aramco's shares finished flat.
Qatar stock index gained 0.8%, with almost all its constituents in positive territory, including the country's largest lender, Qatar National Bank, which rose 1.2%.
Investor focus also shifted toward potential U.S. monetary policy easing amid speculation that President Donald Trump may replace the Federal Reserve chair early, fuelling expectations of a more dovish stance from the central bank.
The Fed's decision affects monetary policy in the Gulf where most currencies, including the Saudi riyal, are pegged to the U.S. dollar.
Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index closed 0.6% higher, with Commercial International Bank climbing 1.2% higher.
SAUDI ARABIA rose 1.2% to 11,203
QATAR added 0.8% to 10,768
EGYPT added 0.6% to 33,207
BAHRAIN gained 0.9% to 1,937
OMAN eased 0.2% to 4,507
KUWAIT advanced 2.1% to 9,153

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Copper rangebound as market awaits US trade talks, tariff clarity
Copper rangebound as market awaits US trade talks, tariff clarity

Business Recorder

time34 minutes ago

  • Business Recorder

Copper rangebound as market awaits US trade talks, tariff clarity

SINGAPORE: Copper prices on the London Metal Exchange and Shanghai Futures Exchange traded in a range on Monday, as investors awaited progress in US trade talks and clarity on potential copper import tariffs. Three-month copper on the LME eased 0.15% to $9,863 per metric ton as of 0105 GMT, while the most-traded copper contract on the SHFE gained 0.13% to 79,840 yuan ($11,132.03) a ton. Uncertainty clouded US trade talks after President Donald Trump abruptly ended negotiations with Canada on Friday, denouncing its tax on US tech firms as a 'blatant attack' and vowing to impose new tariffs on Canadian goods within the week. Meanwhile, expectations that the US will impose tariffs on copper imports have pulled metal to that country, leaving shortages elsewhere. 'The ongoing squeeze on the LME also provided some support to prices,' ANZ said. 'Spot copper contracts continue to trade at huge premiums to later-dated futures. Supplies in LME warehouses have been partly drained due to record shipments to the US ahead of upcoming tariffs.' Copper stocks in LME-registered warehouses fell 1,800 tons to 91,275 tons on Friday, the lowest since August 2023. Copper slips from three-month peak on Chinese data Inventories in the SHFE-monitored warehouses fell 19% in the week ended Friday to 81,550 tons, the lowest since May 9. LME tin fell 0.41% to $33,625 a ton, lead lost 0.34% to $2,037, zinc shed 0.32% to $2,770, nickel dipped 0.23% to $15,210 and aluminium eased 0.19% to $2,590. SHFE tin fell 0.63% to 268,030 yuan, lead dipped 0.29% to 17,145 yuan and aluminium dropped 0.22% to 20,530 yuan, while nickel gained 0.13% to 79,840 yuan.

Australia, NZ dollars steady near multi-month highs, with eyes on US trade deals
Australia, NZ dollars steady near multi-month highs, with eyes on US trade deals

Business Recorder

time34 minutes ago

  • Business Recorder

Australia, NZ dollars steady near multi-month highs, with eyes on US trade deals

SYDNEY: The Australian and New Zealand dollars inched higher towards multi-month peaks on Monday, with their future direction dependent on how US trade deals shape up as a tariff deadline looms. The Aussie rose 0.1% to $0.6540, having rallied 1.3% last week to close above 65 cents for the first time since November last year. That was a strong comeback from a trough of $0.6373 earlier in the week when concerns over the Iran-Israel conflict were rocking markets. Resistance is, however, stiff at $0.6564 and $0.6687, charts show. The kiwi dollar gained 0.3% to $0.6074, after rising 1.5% last week. It was a whisker away from the recent eight-month top of $0.6088 and quite a bit off the low of $0.5883 struck last Monday. With tensions in the Middle East largely receding, investors are focused on the developments in the US trade deal negotiations, with a wary eye on the progress of a US tax-cutting and spending bill slowly making its way through the Senate. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said various trade deals with other countries could be done by September 1, suggesting some wiggle room on the July 9 deadline to reach deals or face aggressive 'reciprocal' US tariffs. Helping risk sentiment, Canada on Monday rescinded its digital services tax targeting US technology firms in a bid to advance trade negotiations with the US 'AUD/USD will extend last week's gains towards the next resistance level at 0.6700 if the Trump administration announces more trade deals,' said Joseph Capurso, head of international economics at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia. 'Conversely, AUD/USD will correct lower to near support at 0.6428 if negative news emerges regarding US trade negotiations.' Nonetheless, the technical set-up for the Aussie is bullish given markets have almost fully priced in a rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia next Tuesday following a tame inflation reading for May. Swaps imply a 92% probability that the RBA will cut the current 3.85% cash rate again, having just moved in May. A total easing of 95 basis points - about four rate cuts - has been priced in by early next year. In contrast, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may well sit out the next meeting on July 9, with swaps suggesting a 23% probability for a quarter-point cut in the 3.25% cash rate. A private survey showed on Monday New Zealand business confidence jumped in June as global tariff turmoil faded. Looking ahead, Australia will release retail sales data on Wednesday. Forecasts are centred on a bounce of 0.3% in May after a dip in April, with the rate cuts so far supporting the outlook for consumer spending.

Australian shares head for sixth straight half-yearly rise
Australian shares head for sixth straight half-yearly rise

Business Recorder

time44 minutes ago

  • Business Recorder

Australian shares head for sixth straight half-yearly rise

Australian shares were headed for their sixth straight half-yearly rise on Monday, driven by easing geopolitical and trade tensions and hopes of rate cuts by the local central bank. The S&P/ASX 200 index rose 0.2% to 8,530.60 points by 0023 GMT. The benchmark was on track to rise 4.5% for the first half of 2025. Domestic equities recouped from a trough hit in early April as easing US-China trade tensions and an Israel-Iran ceasefire boosted risk appetite. Gold stocks were poised to soar more than 35% in the first six months of 2025, in what could be its best half-year since 2016's first half, as geopolitical tensions and tariff worries drove safe-haven demand. However, the sub-index fell 1% on the day as bullion prices eased. Energy stocks, which fell 0.7%, were highly volatile in the half-year as the Israel-Iran conflict fuelled oil supply concerns. The sub-index was largely unchanged for the half year. Meanwhile, miners retreated 1.3% after surging more than 2% on Friday. Australian shares wipe out early gains as banks drag Further leading the benchmark higher were prospects of rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) as domestic inflation eased. Swaps implied a 92% probability that the RBA would cut rates by a quarter-point at its upcoming policy meeting on July 8. Local investors awaited the retail sales data for May due on Wednesday for further clues into rate cuts. Financials rose 0.7%, with the 'Big Four' gaining between 0.3% and 0.8%. The sub-index was on track to jump more than 10% for the half-year. In company news, Star Entertainment said it received a notice from Hong Kong's Far East Consortium International and Chow Tai Fook Enterprises to terminate the deal to sell its 50% stake in its Queen's Wharf project in Brisbane. However, shares rose 1.7%. New Zealand's benchmark S&P/NZX 50 index was largely unchanged at 12,580.56 and was set for its worst half-year since the first half of 2022.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store