Soybeans face headwinds from large Brazilian supply, wheat rises
SINGAPORE: Chicago soybean futures were largely unchanged on Wednesday, holding near last session's one-week low, with abundant South American supplies and uncertainty over the impact of a trade war on U.S. agricultural sales keeping a lid on the market.
Corn was unmoved, while wheat prices edged higher.
"Soybean supplies are pretty comfortable if you look at Brazilian crop which is entering the market," said one trader in Singapore. "But going forward, the market will take direction from U.S. planting."
The most-active soybean contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) was flat at $10.11-1/4 a bushel, as of 0312 GMT. Wheat added 0.6% to $5.60-1/4 a bushel and corn was unchanged at $4.70-1/4 a bushel.
Soybeans are under pressure from hefty South American supplies hitting the global market.
Brazil's soybean exports are expected to reach 15.45 million metric tons in March, up more than 4% compared with last week's forecast, as the country continues to harvest its massive new crop, according to data from the grain exporters lobby Anec.
Corn prices were weighed down on Tuesday after the U.S. government left domestic corn inventories unchanged in a monthly supply-and-demand report - despite strong export sales and trade tensions with top buyer Mexico.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture pegged 2024-25 U.S. corn stocks at 1.54 billion bushels and exports at 2.45 billion bushels, both unchanged from February. Analysts had expected stocks to decline to 1.516 billion bushels due to robust demand, according to a Reuters poll.
Traders and farmers are keeping a close eye on exports amid U.S. tariff disputes, with major buyers Mexico, Canada and China threatening sales of U.S. agricultural goods.
Commodity funds were net sellers of Chicago Board of Trade corn, soybean, wheat and soymeal futures contracts on Tuesday, and net buyers of soyoil futures, traders said. (Reporting by Naveen Thukral; Editing by Sherry Jacob-Phillips and Varun H K)
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Zawya
15 hours ago
- Zawya
Chicago soybeans slip after three-day rally
BEIJING/PARIS - Chicago soybean futures eased on Wednesday as traders booked profits after a three-day price rally driven by strength in soyoil and the broader energy market, with continuing tariff uncertainty also pressuring prices. The most active soybean contract on the Chicago Board of Trade was 0.2% down by 1055 GMT at $10.71-3/4 a bushel, though still hovering near a one-month high. Support for agricultural commodities such as soybeans and corn has been underpinned by rising energy prices, fuelled by escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. Higher crude oil prices improve the competitiveness of soyoil and corn as biofuel feedstocks. Market participants are keeping a close eye on developments in U.S. biofuel policy. A tax bill proposed by Senate Republicans on Monday would extend a clean fuel tax credit through 2031 but reduce its value by 20% for biofuels made from feedstocks produced outside the United States. Traders are also monitoring tariff developments between Washington and Beijing, the largest buyer of U.S. soybeans. China's move to reduce soymeal use in animal feed could lower soybean imports by about 10 million metric tons by 2030, easing its reliance on foreign supply. In top producer Brazil, soy exports are forecast to reach 14.37 million tons in June, up from 14.08 million tons the previous week, said Anec, a Brazilian trade group representing grain exporters. Corn futures rose 0.17% to $4.32-1/4 a bushel, supported by uncertainty over crop weather in the U.S. Midwest, with traders awaiting more definitive forecasts. Wheat futures rose 0.55% to $5.52 a bushel, buoyed by a slower than average U.S. winter wheat harvest, which reached 10% completion compared with a five-year average of 16%. Farm office FranceAgriMer has increased its forecast for French soft wheat exports within and outside the European Union in 2024/25, but the EU's biggest grain producer is still on course for its worst wheat export campaign this century after a rain-hit harvest. Prices at 1055 GMT Last Change Pct Move CBOT wheat 552.00 3.00 0.55 CBOT corn 432.25 0.75 0.17 CBOT soy 1071.75 -2.25 -0.21 Paris wheat 202.75 0.75 0.37 Paris maize 189.00 0.25 0.13 Paris rapeseed 492.00 -0.50 -0.10 Euro/dlr 1.15 0.00 0.13 Most active contracts - Wheat, corn and soy US cents/bushel, Paris futures in euros per tonne


Gulf Today
3 days ago
- Gulf Today
Gold hits near two-month high
Gold rose for a fourth straight session to a near two-month high on Monday, as intensified clashes between Israel and Iran over the weekend stoked fears of a broader regional conflict, pushing investors towards safe-haven assets. Spot gold gained 0.3 per cent to $3,442.09 an ounce, as of 0246 GMT, after hitting its highest level since April 22 earlier in the session. US gold futures advanced 0.3 per cent to $3,461.90. 'It's the joint political risk premium that's rising due to the Iran-Israel conflict at this point that is boosted safe-haven demand for gold,' said Kelvin Wong, a senior market analyst, Asia Pacific at OANDA. 'We have a clear break above $3,400 right now and the short term uptrend is intact. We are seeing resistance level at $3,500 and with the possibility of breaking new high above the $3,500 level.' Israel and Iran launched fresh attacks on Sunday, killing and wounding civilians and raising concerns of a broader regional conflict, with both militaries urging civilians on the opposing side to take precautions against further strikes. US President Donald Trump said he hopes Israel and Iran can broker a deal but said sometimes countries have to fight it out first. Gold often considered a safe-haven asset during times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. Investors this week will look forward to host of central bank monetary policy decisions, with the spotlight on the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday. Reuters


Gulf Today
3 days ago
- Gulf Today
China's economy maintains recovery momentum in May
China's economy continued its recovery trend in May amid robust macroeconomic policies despite mounting external uncertainties, official data showed on Monday. According to a report by China Daily, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics shows that China's industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.8 per cent year-on-year in May. This indicator reflects the activity levels in industries such as manufacturing, mining, and utilities, which represented a slowdown compared to the 6.1 per cent growth recorded in April. Retail sales, a key measurement of consumer spending, grew by 6.4 per cent year-on-year in May versus a 5.1 per cent rise in April. Fixed-asset investment - a gauge of expenditures on items including infrastructure, property, machinery and equipment - rose by 3.7 per cent during the January-May period compared to a year ago, while in the first four months, it grew by 4 per cent. The surveyed urban unemployment rate came in at 5 per cent in May, down from 5.1 per cent in April, according to the NBS. The NBS noted that China's broader economy maintained steady growth in May, backed by supportive macroeconomic policies, pointing to the strong resilience and vitality. Meanwhile, the NBS warned of mounting external uncertainties, saying the foundation for sustained recovery is yet to be consolidated. In the next step, the NBS said the country should unswervingly manage its affairs well, adding that higher priority should be given to expanding domestic demand and strengthening domestic economic circulation. The key focus should also be placed on stabilising employment and promoting high-quality development. Meanwhile China's yuan steadied against the dollar on Monday, as a firmer-than-expected official guidance fix partially offset uncertainty around the broad economic outlook and currency vulnerability. China's factory output growth hit a six-month low in May but retail sales picked up steam, while home prices fell and new bank lending rose less than expected. The mixed bag of data fed into uncertainty around the economic outlook for the rest of the year, despite a trade truce between Washington and Beijing, analysts said. 'The US-China trade truce was not enough to prevent a broader loss of economic momentum last month,' Zichun Huang, China economist at Capital Economics, said in a note. 'With tariffs set to remain high, fiscal support waning and structural headwinds persisting, growth is likely to slow further this year.' As of 0345 GMT, the onshore yuan was 0.01 per cent higher at 7.1849 per dollar, while its offshore counterpart was up about 0.04 per cent at 7.1860. Investors, meanwhile, were anxiously awaiting more policy guidance from top financial officials, including from the central bank governor and securities regulator, who are scheduled to speak at the annual Lujiazui Forum later this week. Market participants expect the yuan to continue trading sideways as they await fresh catalysts, either from the dollar's broader performance or any policy signals from the upcoming Lujiazui Forum, a foreign bank trader said. The annual forum is scheduled for June 18-19 in Shanghai. Prior to the market opening, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) set the midpoint rate at 7.1789 per dollar, and 65 pips firmer than a Reuters' estimate of 7.1854. The spot yuan is allowed to trade 2 per cent either side of the fixed midpoint each day. In global markets, the dollar firmed against major currencies, underpinned by rising safe-haven bid on the back of persistently heightened Middle East tensions. Meanwhile China and Hong Kong stocks held steady on Monday, as investors weighed mixed macroeconomic data and remained cautious amid persistent geopolitical tensions that continued to dampen risk appetite. China's blue-chip CSI300 Index edged down 0.1 per cent by the lunch break, while the Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.1 per cent. Hong Kong benchmark Hang Seng was also down 0.1 per cent. China's factory output growth hit a six-month low in May, while retail sales picked up steam, offering temporary relief for the world's second-largest economy amid a fragile truce in its trade war with the United States. The golden week holiday and discounts on e-commerce platforms starting in mid-May, ahead of the so-called '618' shopping event, should have helped to boost consumption during the month, said UBS analysts in a note. 'But it remains to be seen whether the momentum can sustain, especially as the effects of the consumer trade-in programme begin to fade and tariff outlook remains uncertain.' Shares of energy equipment and service providers jumped, with Xinjiang Keli New Technology Development Co up 24 per cent. New bank lending in China rose less than expected in May after hitting a nine-month low in April, as companies and consumers remained cautious about taking on more debt despite interest rate cuts and a trade truce between Beijing and Washington. Agencies