logo
BOJ vows to keep raising rates if underlying inflation accelerates

BOJ vows to keep raising rates if underlying inflation accelerates

Reuters17 hours ago

TOKYO, June 10 (Reuters) - Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda on Tuesday stressed anew the central bank's readiness to keep raising interest rates if underlying inflation approaches its 2% target.
The BOJ has said underlying inflation, or demand-driven price pressure measured by various indicators, remains short of its 2% target - even though the broader core consumer inflation has exceeded that level for three years.
Ueda said the BOJ is keeping real interest rates negative to ensure that underlying inflation reaches 2%, and stabilises around that level in a sustainable fashion.
"Once we have more conviction that underlying inflation will approach 2% or hover around that level, we will continue to raise interest rates to adjust the degree of monetary support," Ueda told parliament.
The BOJ ended a decade-long, massive stimulus programme last year and in January raised short-term interest rates to 0.5% on the view Japan was on the cusp of durably meeting its 2% inflation target.
While the central bank has signalled readiness to raise rates further, the economic repercussions from higher U.S. tariffs forced it to cut its growth forecasts and complicated decisions around the timing of the next rate increase.
Although the BOJ is eyeing further rate hikes, Ueda said the central bank must be mindful of the risk of hitting the zero lower bound again - or being forced to push interest rates down to zero and leaving itself with few tools to battle a recession.
"It's not something that could happen immediately. But if the economy and prices come under strong downward pressure, the BOJ would have limited scope to cut interest rates and underpin growth," Ueda said. "That's why we need to be mindful of the zero lower bound."
The BOJ is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at 0.5% at its next policy meeting on June 16-17.
(This story has been corrected to say 'because,' from 'to ensure,' in paragraph 2)

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

World Bank predicts worst decade for global growth since 60s
World Bank predicts worst decade for global growth since 60s

BBC News

time2 hours ago

  • BBC News

World Bank predicts worst decade for global growth since 60s

The global economy will see the slowest decade for global growth since the 1960s as the effect of Donald Trump's tariffs are felt, the World Bank has two thirds of countries in the world had their growth forecasts cut from the bank's last set of predictions six months bank predicts global growth of only 2.3% in 2025, which is 0.4% lower than was forecast in January, and for 2027, it predicts growth of 2.6%Japan, Europe and the US were among those downgraded in the bank's twice yearly report. The bank's last set of forecasts in January were made before Donald Trump took then, his introduction of a universal 10% tariff on all imports into the US, as well as higher tariffs on steel and aluminium, caused financial markets to plunge in early April.A trade ruling found the bulk of his global tariffs to be illegal in May, although the Trump administration won an appeal to keep them in place for World Bank downgraded its growth forecast for the US in both 2025 and 2026, because of escalating trade tensions rattling investor confidence as well as private it not downgrade the US's main rival, China, which the bank said had enough financial stability to weather the "significant headwinds" from global political uncertainty."Against the backdrop of heightened policy uncertainty and increased trade barriers, the global economic context has become more challenging," the report said, adding that more "sentiment-sapping policy uncertainty" would come because of the potential for "further rapid shifts" in trade-restrictive moves by bank said there would be further cuts in growth if the US increased tariffs, and warned of rising could lead to "global trade seizing up in the second half of this year, accompanied by a widespread collapse in confidence, surging uncertainty and turmoil in financial markets," the report it stopped short of predicting a global recession, saying the chances of that were less than 10%.The report comes after the OECD also downgraded its outlook for the world economy. It said global growth is now expected to slow to a "modest" 2.9%, down from a previous forecast of 3.1%.In the mean time, a new round of talks aimed at resolving the trade war between the US and China has taken place in central London.

Bank of Mexico poised for 50 basis points rate cut despite inflation rebound
Bank of Mexico poised for 50 basis points rate cut despite inflation rebound

Reuters

time3 hours ago

  • Reuters

Bank of Mexico poised for 50 basis points rate cut despite inflation rebound

MEXICO CITY, June 10 (Reuters) - Mexico's central bank is expected to cut its key interest rate by another half percentage point this month despite a recent surge in inflation, although analysts believe the pace of rate cuts could slow if prices remain under control. In May, inflation exceeded the central bank's target of 3%, plus or minus a percentage point, after the headline rate accelerated to 4.42%, its highest level since November. Core inflation, meanwhile, rose to 4.06%, its highest level in almost a year. However, a dozen economists surveyed by Reuters still expect the Bank of Mexico to implement its fourth consecutive rate cut of 50 basis points at its next meeting on June 26. "I see it as very unlikely that they will change their plans for a 50 bp cut, unless there's a major surprise," said Julio Ruiz, chief economist for Mexico at Citi. "I think they still believe that the level of monetary restriction is too high compared to the current inflation rate." Gabriela Siller, head of analysis at Banco Base, also expects another half-percentage-point cut this month, but believes the most "recommended" course of action would be for the central bank to pause its monetary easing cycle, which began in early 2024 after rates reached a record high of 11.25%. "Given the surge in inflation and its potential impact on long-term expectations, it would be best for the Bank of Mexico to either cut rates by only 25 bp or pause its rate-cutting cycle," she said. Another 50 bps cut would bring interest rates down to 8%, their lowest level in three years, providing a boost to the struggling economy. However, going forward, experts believe the rise in inflation should lead the central bank to be more cautious in its future moves. "What we should expect at least is a moderation in the bank's statement," said Ramse Gutierrez, co-director of investments at Franklin Templeton. "It would be reasonable to expect the Bank of Mexico to be more cautious in its future rate cuts." Although the bank's governing board has stated it will maintain a restrictive monetary stance, it has also said it plans to continue cutting rates, with a potential half-percentage-point cut on the table in June, depending on consumer price behavior. Last month, the central bank's governor, Victoria Rodriguez, said in an interview that the effects of economic weakness would be taken into account when calibrating monetary policy. Mexico's economy, Latin America's second largest, narrowly avoided a technical recession in the first quarter, but still faces significant risks due to weak domestic activity and uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies. The central bank in late May slashed its 2025 growth forecast for gross domestic product to just 0.1% from a previous estimate of 0.6%, which would be its worst performance since the pandemic. "We expect growth to remain the main driver of monetary policy, and we still believe that the Bank of Mexico has room to ease monetary policy," Barclays said.

Meta's Threads to test direct messaging feature in select markets
Meta's Threads to test direct messaging feature in select markets

Reuters

time4 hours ago

  • Reuters

Meta's Threads to test direct messaging feature in select markets

June 10 (Reuters) - Meta Platforms (META.O), opens new tab said it would start rolling out direct messaging on its Threads app, adding a feature long offered by rivals, in a bid to attract more users. Users in select markets, including Hong Kong and Thailand, will get a dedicated inbox for direct messages on the app as part of the test, eliminating the need to switch to Instagram's messaging platform, CEO Mark Zuckerberg said on Tuesday. Meta said messages on Threads will not be encrypted for now. Threads and Instagram have long been intertwined as part of Meta's plans to leverage the image and video sharing platform's massive user base to better compete with services such as X, TikTok and Reddit (RDDT.N), opens new tab for digital ad dollars. Launched in 2023 as a competitor to Elon Musk's X, then known as Twitter, following his chaotic takeover of the platform, Threads quickly attracted consumers and now boasts over 350 million monthly active users. Meta announced the expansion of advertising on Threads to all eligible advertisers globally in April. However, the company has said it did not expect Threads to be a "meaningful driver" of revenue growth in 2025. Research firm Emarketer expects Threads' U.S. monthly active users will grow 17.5% to 60.5 million by next year, surpassing X, whose user base is expected to decline 14.4% to 50 million. U.S. trade restrictions and the rise of AI‑powered ad targeting have pushed social media platforms to enhance their offerings, adding distinctive features and sharper user experiences to stand out in a saturated market.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store