Donald Trump's Approval Rating Is Underwater in Florida and Texas

Newsweek

08-05-2025

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President Donald Trump's approval rating is underwater in Florida and Texas, according to polling by Civiqs.
Newsweek has contacted the White House for comment via email.
Why It Matters
Trump's approval rating is a key indicator of public opinion.
He easily carried Florida and Texas, which have a combined 70 Electoral College votes, in November's election. But a drop in his approval rating in the two states could have implications for the GOP ahead of the 2026 midterm elections and affect support from Republican lawmakers as he seeks to push through his second-term agenda.
President Donald Trump during the swearing-in ceremony for new U.S. Ambassador to China David Perdue in the Oval Office of the White House on May 7, 2025, in Washington.
President Donald Trump during the swearing-in ceremony for new U.S. Ambassador to China David Perdue in the Oval Office of the White House on May 7, 2025, in Washington.What To Know
According to the Civiqs poll, Trump's net approval rating in Texas was -3 points as of May 7, with 47 percent approving of the job he is doing and 50 percent disapproving. The poll found that his approval rating in Texas has been underwater since late March and declining since he announced his "Liberation Day" tariffs in early April.
However, the poll shows Republicans in Texas still overwhelmingly approve of the president. Ninety percent said they approve of the job he is doing, while 6 percent disapprove. In contrast, 97 percent of Democrats say they disapprove and only 2 percent approve.
The Civiqs poll shows Trump's net approval rating in Florida was -1 point on May 7, with 48 percent approving of the job he is doing and 49 percent disapproving.
His net approval rating has remained positive in the state until recently, according to the poll. A majority of Republicans in the state still approve of the job Trump is doing—88 percent said they approve, while 8 percent disapprove. Florida Democrats overwhelmingly disapprove of the job Trump is doing. Just 2 percent said they approve, while 97 percent said they disapprove.
Trump's approval rating is also underwater in the seven swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, according to the poll.
What People Are Saying
President Donald Trump dismissed recent polls in a Truth Social post on April 28: "The Polls from the Fake News are, like the News itself, FAKE! We are doing GREAT, better than ever before."
Allan Lichtman, a presidential historian known for forecasting elections, told Newsweek: "A lot can still happen, although the chances of a significant increase in approval ratings for Trump are dim... Low early approval ratings are indicative of midterm losses for the president's party."
Costas Panagopoulos, a professor of political science at Northeastern University, told Newsweek: "The overall picture for Trump in these polls is not pretty. Even if some shifts appear insignificant, the trend lines suggest Trump approval is dropping in almost every state as well as in the national as a whole. Trump approval has dropped precipitously in key states that voted for him, like Texas and Florida, and that can be concerning for Republicans. There's almost no sign of good news for Trump in these polls."
What Happens Next
Trump's approval rating in Florida and Texas will likely continue fluctuating. Any sustained negative polling could impact Republicans in the 2026 midterms.