Ayala Land Plans $1.3 Billion Debt, to Focus on High-End Homes
(Bloomberg) -- Ayala Land Inc. is looking at fresh borrowings of up to 75 billion pesos ($1.3 billion) this year as the Philippines' top property developer plans to continue pushing expensive homes amid still elevated interest rates.
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Short-term mortgage rate needs to drop by as much as 75 basis points from 6.5%-6.75% currently 'to really encourage the core market to come back,' Chief Financial Officer Augusto Bengzon said in a briefing on Thursday, referring to its main middle income market wherein many seek loans to buy property.
'We are going to lean on the premium segment for as long as interest rates remain fairly high,' Bengzon said. High-end buyers usually pay in full and last year, the company said sales from premium brands Ayala Land Premier and Alveo jumped 25% to 80.8 billion pesos, accounting for 64% of sales.
Low interest rates, high remittances from the nation's over 10 million citizens living abroad and an outsourcing industry that generates billions of dollars in revenue had in the past driven demand for home purchases.
About 70% of new residential projects that Ayala Land plans to offer this year will cater to high-end buyers and 30% to middle income earners, President Anna Ma. Margarita Bautista-Dy said. The developer expects to launch 80 billion pesos worth of residential projects for 2025, she said.
The unit of the Philippines' oldest conglomerate Ayala Corp. reported its 2024 net income rose 15% to 28.2 billion pesos, driven by higher residential sales. It earlier announced a target to expand its profit at double the annual growth rate of the country's gross domestic product in the next five years.
Shares of the property firm slid as much as 9%, the largest decline in nearly five years. Investors took profits after the stock's two-day spike despite its good earnings report, said Raoul Santos, president of RCBC Securities.
Ayala Land said in a separate stock-exchange filing that it plans to sell up to 75 billion pesos of retail bonds, corporate notes or bilateral term loans this year to partly fund general corporate requirements and pay maturing debt.
The company has 25 billion pesos in maturing debt that it plans to refinance locally this year. It may raise another 30 billion pesos in bonds for capital spending, Bengzon said.
Ayala Land has set a capital expenditure budget of 95 billion pesos for 2025, the highest since 2019. 'We are very cautious going forward but still we have quite aggressive plans,' Dy said.
(Updates with comments from company executives and analyst.)
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The Hill
33 minutes ago
- The Hill
Trump clears path for Nippon Steel investment in US Steel, so long as it fits the government's terms
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump on Friday signed an executive order paving the way for a Nippon Steel investment in U.S. Steel, so long as the Japanese company complies with a 'national security agreement' submitted by the federal government. Trump's order didn't detail the terms of the national security agreement. But U.S. Steel and Nippon Steel said in a joint statement that the agreement stipulates that approximately $11 billion in new investments will be made by 2028 and includes giving the U.S. government a 'golden share' — essentially veto power to ensure the country's national security interests are protected. 'We thank President Trump and his Administration for their bold leadership and strong support for our historic partnership,' the two companies said. 'This partnership will bring a massive investment that will support our communities and families for generations to come. We look forward to putting our commitments into action to make American steelmaking and manufacturing great again.' The companies have completed a U.S. Department of Justice review and received all necessary regulatory approvals, the statement said. 'The partnership is expected to be finalized promptly,' the statement said. The companies offered few details on how the golden share would work and what investments would be made. Trump said Thursday that he would as president have 'total control' of what U.S. Steel did as part of the investment. Trump said then that the deal would preserve '51% ownership by Americans.' The Japan-based steelmaker had been offering nearly $15 billion to purchase the Pittsburgh-based U.S. Steel in a merger that had been delayed on national security concerns starting during Joe Biden's presidency. Trump opposed the purchase while campaigning for the White House, yet he expressed optimism in working out an arrangement once in office. 'We have a golden share, which I control,' said Trump, although it was unclear what he meant by suggesting that the federal government would determine what U.S. Steel does as a company. Trump added that he was 'a little concerned' about what presidents other than him would do with their golden share, 'but that gives you total control.' Still, Nippon Steel has never said it was backing off its bid to buy and control U.S. Steel as a wholly owned subsidiary. The proposed merger had been under review by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States, or CFIUS, during the Trump and Biden administrations. The order signed Friday by Trump said the CFIUS review provided 'credible evidence' that Nippon Steel 'might take action that threatens to impair the national security of the United States,' but such risks might be 'adequately mitigated' by approving the proposed national security agreement. The order doesn't detail the perceived national security risk and only provides a timeline for the national security agreement. The White House declined to provide details on the terms of the agreement. The order said the draft agreement was submitted to U.S. Steel and Nippon Steel on Friday. The two companies must successfully execute the agreement as decided by the Treasury Department and other federal agencies that are part CFIUS by the closing date of the transaction. Trump reserves the authority to issue further actions regarding the investment as part of the order he signed on Friday. ___ Associated Press writer Marc Levy in Harrisburg, Pa., contributed to this report.

Miami Herald
38 minutes ago
- Miami Herald
Why the US is stronger than you think – and what that means for a world on edge
Contrary to common belief in the last two decades, the U.S. is not in decline militarily, economically, or technologically - at least according to GZERO Media founder Ian Bremmer. In a speech delivered at the AICPA's annual conference, Bremmer detailed significant global geopolitical shifts and their implications, focusing on the role of the U.S. and the emergence of new populist trends. Bremmer, who also founded political risk research and consulting firm Eurasia Group, noted a major geopolitical shift over the past 20 years as the U.S. became asymmetrically more powerful than its allies such as Europe, Japan, South Korea, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand. These allies, he said, have weakened demographically, technologically, and due to underinvestment in defense and productivity. "The United States is actually not in decline," he said. "Not militarily, not economically, certainly not technologically, and increasingly dangerous global order. The U.S. is in by far the most stable part of it geographically." Don't miss the move: Subscribe to TheStreet's free daily newsletter In fact, he noted that, currently, only two countries are technologically dominant: China in post-carbon energy (nuclear, solar, EVs, supply chains, critical minerals) and the U.S. in artificial intelligence (hyperscalers, chips, compute). At present, the primary driver of global uncertainty and geopolitical volatility that "feels so dangerous to people is that the most powerful country in the world has decided that they, we, do not want to play the leadership role by the old rules." From Bremmer's perspective, that means saying "no" to U.S.-led collective security, a global trade system shaped by Washington, and American-backed international law and democratic values. And this change, he said, "profoundly impacts U.S.-aligned democracies that relied on this leadership." Image source: Eric Tompkins on Unsplash Before reports emerged of Israeli strikes on Iran's nuclear and military sites, Bremmer said the U.S. was strategically using leverage to push Iran toward a nuclear enrichment deal – a key priority for President Trump. Bremmer noted Iran's weakened position, citing setbacks involving Hezbollah, Bashar al-Assad, and Hamas, along with Gulf States' support for a deal, as factors making an agreement more likely. He acknowledged the possibility of Israeli military action if Iran delays but maintained that a deal remains the expected outcome. Trump's recent warning of "even more brutal" attacks if Iran refuses a deal may further increase pressure on Tehran. According to Bremmer, Trump's success stems from identifying "exactly what the pain points are for the bulk of the American population: ending wars, achieving fair trade, and securing borders. "His positions on these issues," Bremmer said, "are more popular than the Democrats." To be fair, Bremmer said Trump has "almost no interest in the specifics of policy." And unlike in his first term, President Trump now appoints individuals fiercely loyal to him, not necessarily to the Republican party or establishment, Bremmer said. "They may be great, really smart, they may not, but they are going to be fiercely first and foremost loyal to [Trump]," said Bremmer. Related: These are the most tax-friendly states if you work in retirement The president also relies heavily on his own judgment, believes he is always right, externalizes blame, and is less concerned about market reactions. "He's completely convinced that he's right on these issues," said Bremmer. "If things go wrong, it is someone else. It is not him." What's more, his top advisers are much less likely to tell him when they disagree, leading to a lack of critical feedback. "Trump is less concerned about market reaction to what he is doing than he was [in his] first term," said Bremmer. "So, he's more willing to see a longer period of economic impact." And "he's much less aware that anything he's doing might be problematic because he's not hearing it from his top advisers." The new global driver is the U.S., the most powerful country, willing to use its leverage, not lead historically, and unconcerned about whether it causes pain in other parts of the world. That same approach is also reshaping global trade dynamics. Bremmer noted, for instance, that the International Trade Court's ruling against Trump's broad use of emergency tariff powers under AIPA will prolong uncertainty in global trade – something "markets hate" - as the case likely heads to the Supreme Court, with a decision expected by late fall or early winter. Regardless of court rulings, Bremmer predicted that blended U.S. global tariffs will rise to 12-15% (1940s levels), a cost not yet priced into markets. He said this would lead to supply chain disruptions, potentially resulting in empty shelves at retailers over the summer, causing panic and increasing trade tensions. "Most of the things out there that we buy are not yet affected by the supply chain challenge you're about to see," said Bremmer. "They will over the course of the summer. You won't get stuff on Amazon Prime. You'll go to Walmart. A lot of shelves will be empty. That will cause a level of panic and unease and anxiety." Bremmer also noted that Mexico is capitulating to U.S. demands on issues like fentanyl and illegal immigration due to its heavy reliance on the U.S. economy (over 80% of exports to the U.S.). And Canada, despite a new politically consequential prime minister, is structurally built for North-South trade with the U.S., making a significant pivot away difficult due to its infrastructure and provincial power. Bremmer said Trump has realized "he's not getting a deal" with Putin. 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But China is in a "wait and see" mode, believing that U.S. actions (undermining allies, making itself less attractive for high-skilled immigration) will ultimately benefit China long-term. "They know that this is going to cause more economic pain to China than the U.S.," said Bremmer. "But they also feel like they are politically stronger. They're more patient. They can wait the Americans out." So Bremmer's bottom line: "I do not believe that we are set for a U.S.-China breakthrough." While not a bond market expert, Bremmer said Trump's quick reversal on firing Fed Chair Powell shows that the bond market remains a "clear red line" for Trump, given the potential for severe fallout. "The one area where Trump was hit in the face hard by everyone and backed off completely was when he said, 'I'm thinking about firing Fed chair Powell,'" said Bremmer. "I think that that does say something – that even in this environment, where Trump is more willing to push and is getting less information, there still are some clear red lines. And this is a clear red line." Despite high debt, Bremmer said the U.S. benefits from its reserve currency status, technological dominance, and military umbrella, making it difficult for other countries to "derisk" from the U.S. Bremmer suggested that in the age of exploding AI, short-term spending as much as humanly possible might be market and geopolitically positive for the U.S., provided it's spent wisely (e.g., chips, education). While historically overdue for a recession (averaging every seven years post-WWII), the massive Covid stimulus and the unprecedented growth of AI capabilities (doubling every six months) could fundamentally alter economic cycles, making traditional definitions of recession less applicable, said Bremmer. It is "inconceivable," said Bremmer, for the U.S. to return to being a manufacturing economy as it once was. "The U.S. is not a manufacturing economy anymore," he said. Any new manufacturing will be driven by robotics, automation, and AI, requiring far fewer workers, which could ironically put more pressure on existing manufacturing labor. This shift is part of broader "incoherent, angry, anxious" movements that will focus on economic displacement. Bremmer suggested that likelihood of war in the near term is "very low." China aims to appear "more responsible and more stable" while the U.S. undermines its own allies. However, China will continue to squeeze Taiwan's leadership with military exercises and economic sanctions, said Bremmer. This remains a long-term concern, but not for the immediate future. Bremmer stated definitively that Trump has never said he will run again and is not running again, despite media questions. Bremmer also believes Elon Musk understands he "damaged his interests" by fighting with Trump, and "that getting into a long-term fight with Trump was unsustainable." And Musk, according to Bremmer, is expected to support Trump's political goals and candidates in the midterms. The Democratic Party is not expected to settle on a coherent platform until closer to 2028 due to a broad range of views among potential leaders, according to Bremmer. And the midterm elections will be a decision about Trump. While Trump is currently doing well on immigration and the economy, his economic standing is expected to weaken over the summer due to trade issues, said Bremmer. What's more, a much stronger push to the economic populist left is anticipated, a phenomenon not seen since the post-Gilded Age. According to Bremmer, current populism from the right is driven by disaffected industrial working-class men in former industrialized places like Appalachia, the Rust Belt, and former East Germany, focusing on manufacturing and anti-immigrant sentiment. Bremmer predicts an enormous spike of populism from the left in the next electoral cycle, driven by college-educated, urban, white-collar professionals losing jobs due to AI. This movement, he said, will be more progressive on cultural issues but strongly opposed to the "deep state," major corporations, banks, and technology companies. Got questions about retirement, email Stagflation Risks: Shield Your Retirement Portfolio The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.


Axios
an hour ago
- Axios
Trump clears U.S. Steel-Nippon deal, terms still up in the air
U.S. Steel and Nippon Steel said Friday they have entered into a security agreement with the U.S. government, as President Trump signed an executive order allowing their proposed partnership to proceed. Why it matters: It's a major hurdle cleared toward the two companies' eventual combination, though the exact structure of the deal still remains mostly unclear. Catch up quick: The two companies issued a statement late Friday confirming a National Security Agreement that includes $11 billion in investment commitments by 2028, as well as a "Golden Share" for the U.S. government. "With those approvals, all necessary regulatory approvals for the partnership have now been received, and the partnership is expected to be finalized promptly," the companies said. Yes, but: It's still not clear how much Nippon Steel is paying for U.S. Steel, or what the final entity will look like. U.S. Steel shares rose 5% in after-hours trading late Friday to nearly $55, the original price the Japanese company agreed to pay before President Biden blocked the transaction in early January. The intrigue: At a rally in Pennsylvania last month, Trump said Nippon would be investing $14 billion as part of a deal.