logo
The hard truth about Starmer's Brexit reset deal

The hard truth about Starmer's Brexit reset deal

Independent20-05-2025

The government's 'Brexit reset' indicates that there are pockets of real competence in Keir Starmer's administration.
Its early days were characterised by a string of unforced errors and bad choices. However, after securing a trade deal with India, and an agreement with the US to at least limit the damage of Donald Trump's tariffs, the modest reset in UK-EU relations is perhaps the prime minister's most impressive achievement to date.
It is also an example of the government belatedly listening to business and doing the right thing for the economy. Were this with anyone other than Europe, it would be cheered to the rafters. The trouble is, it is with the EU – and because deals invariably mean giving up something that the other side wants in return, the Euro-phobes have pounced.
The biggest give in this case is fishing. The EU wanted access to UK waters for its boats, something it already has as part of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement signed by Boris Johnson. This extends that for another 12 years. Cue sound and fury and accusations of 'selling out' Britain's fishermen, even though a substantial chunk of the British fleet is owned by EU-based businesses.
It is notable that some of those now screaming 'sellout!' had precious little to say about the impact on UK farmers of the free trade deals with Australia and New Zealand, signed by the previous Conservative government, or even of Labour's pact with Donald Trump.
All three of those make things tougher for livestock farmers, who might justifiably ask those portraying themselves as defenders of British fishing why it was OK to throw them over the side of the boat. The National Farmers' Union has also expressed concerns about the bioethanol components of the US deal. But it seems arable farmers similarly lack clout.
The fact of the matter is that the concession over fishing – which won't actually change much – is like half a plate full of whitebait when set against the gains in other areas, particularly the reduction of some of the trade barriers that have been crippling the UK's economy and leading to higher prices for consumers.
Another concession will see the UK aligning with EU veterinary and food standards – not too much of a give when one considers that the UK already has high standards and that consumers value them, in return for fewer checks at customs. The SPS – sanitary and phytosanitary – deal is a win for all those involved, including farmers and retailers, who have been screaming until they're blue in the face about the difficulties they've been grappling with.
Here's the British Retail Consortium: 'The removal of veterinary checks is good news for retailers and consumers alike. It will help keep costs down and create greater security in retail supply chains, ensuring the ongoing availability of key food imports for British shoppers.
'As well as supporting growth for exporters to the UK's biggest export market, retailers operating in the EU will also see a huge reduction in the unnecessary processes, paperwork and administrative burden.'
The attempt to portray this as anything other than beneficial is frankly bananas, although I don't think it affects them. Oranges, then? Britain's food and veterinary standards often exceeded EU minimums when it was part of the bloc. So to characterise this as some sort of surrender is utterly ridiculous.
Downing Street has claimed it will add £9bn to the UK economy – and while I've no doubt that figure rests on optimistic assumptions, the latter will certainly benefit. Of course it will. The EU is the UK's biggest export market. QED.
Further negotiations are promised on a youth mobility scheme, another potential win for both sides, and on defence cooperation, with the UK angling for its sizeable defence industry to be allowed to take part in the continent's re-armament.
The two sides linking their carbon markets to avoid taxes on carbon-intensive goods – think steel, or cement, moving each way – is an under-rated plus. But perhaps the most obvious win for ordinary Britons – a canny one from the perspective of improving relations – is that British holidaymakers will be able to use fast e-gates at more European airports.
All this merits a much-needed silver star on the government's ugly early report card. The polling clearly shows that the public's eyes don't 'go funny' (Michael Heseltine once suggested that this was a symptom of some of his Brexit-backing colleagues) when it comes to deals with Europe. They'd rather live in a world that works a bit better.
The hard truth is that, as welcome as this is, it still isn't as good as what the UK had with EU membership. Nor does it even offer the same benefits as membership of the European single market. It's a baby step in the right direction, but no more than that.
In a world plagued by uncertainty, underlining the critical importance of stable supply chains and cooperation with our neighbours, it is still a very welcome development. But a full-throated endorsement should be withheld until Starmer has proved that he can use it as a stepping stone to go further.
More is required to help turn around a sickly economy.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Winter fuel payments: Am I eligible and how much can I get?
Winter fuel payments: Am I eligible and how much can I get?

The Independent

time16 minutes ago

  • The Independent

Winter fuel payments: Am I eligible and how much can I get?

In the latest U-turn after months of backlash, the government has announced a massive expansion of who will receive winter fuel payments. After weeks of speculation over what the changes would look like, it has now been confirmed that 9 million pensions will be eligible for the payment - a huge uplift from the 1.5 million pensioners who received the payment in winter 2024-25. Here, The Independent looks at how the new system will work and who will be affected by the uplift. How many people did the winter fuel payment cut affect? The winter fuel payment is a state benefit previously given to all pensioners to help with energy costs during the coldest months of the year. The decision to means-test the previously universal payment was one of the first announcements by Rachel Reeves when she became chancellor after Labour's landslide election victory last year, and it has been widely blamed for the party's collapse in support. The government has insisted the policy was necessary to help stabilise the public finances, and meant that the payment would only go to those on low incomes who received specified benefits such as pension credit. This meant the number of pensioners receiving the payment was reduced from 11.4 million to 1.5 million. Several charities, MPs and unions criticised the decision, with some blaming it for the party's disappointing local election results. In November, it was revealed that the government's own figures indicated it would force 100,000 pensioners into poverty in 2026. How was the payment linked to pension credit? Only those who claim pension credit were able to receive the winter fuel payment in winter 2024. Those who are above state pension age and have an income of less than £218.15 a week, or less than £332.95 as a joint weekly income with your partner, are eligible for pension credit. However, despite the government's campaigns and an increase in claims after the July 2024 announcement, it is estimated that half a million eligible people fail to claim the benefit. How will the new system work? The government has increased the threshold at which people over the state pension age become eligible for the payment, meaning that anyone with an income of or below £35,000 will receive it this winter. The government estimates that the new threshold will ensure that more than three quarters of pensioners in England and Wales - around 9m people - will receive the benefit. It is estimated that around 2 million pensioners in England and Wales have taxable incomes above £35,000 and will therefore be exempt. The payment of £200 per household, or £300 per household where there is someone over 80, will be made automatically this winter, meaning no pensioner will need to take any action in order to receive the payment. Those with incomes above the threshold will see the payment automatically recovered via HMRC, or they have the option to opt out. However, details of how this will work are yet to be confirmed. Ministers estimate the change will cost the taxpayer £1.25bn in England and Wales, saving around £450m compared to when the winter fuel payment was universally available. The Treasury has not yet set out how it will pay for the uplift, but has insisted the costs will be accounted for at the autumn budget and incorporated into the next OBR forecast. They have also promised it will not lead to permanent additional borrowing.

Sales rise for Zara owner Inditex but pace of growth slows ahead of summer
Sales rise for Zara owner Inditex but pace of growth slows ahead of summer

The Independent

time16 minutes ago

  • The Independent

Sales rise for Zara owner Inditex but pace of growth slows ahead of summer

The owner of Zara has reported rising sales in recent weeks but a slowdown in the pace of growth as the fashion giant staves off the impact of economic uncertainty on global consumer confidence. Inditex, which is Europe's largest fashion retailer, said store and online sales between May 1 and June 9 rose 6% compared with the same period last year. Spring and summer collections were being received well by shoppers, it said. Sales between February and April" data-source="Inditex"> It nonetheless reflected slower sales growth than the same time last year – when sales leapt 12% higher ahead of the peak summer months. Sales over its latest quarter, between February and April, rose to 8.3 billion euros (£7 billion). This was 4.2% higher than the same period a year ago, at constant currency rates, but slightly fell short of analysts' expectations for the quarter. Spain-based Inditex, which also owns the Pull & Bear, Massimo Dutti, and Stradivarius brands, said the 'optimisation' of its stores was ongoing in a bid to improve productivity. At the end of the latest quarter, it operated 5,562 shops around the world – more than 100 fewer than the 5,698 it had last year. Concerns that consumer confidence in global markets, particularly the US, has been impacted by economic and trade uncertainty have risen in recent months. US President Donald Trump's tariff plans led some economists to cut the outlook for global growth. Meanwhile, power outages in Spain and Portugal – key markets for Inditex – caused major disruption, bringing much of the countries' systems to a standstill for a short period.

Labour splashes the cash… but who's going to pick up the bill? Brits warned of looming tax hikes as Rachel Reeves lays out 'unrealistic' spending plans TODAY
Labour splashes the cash… but who's going to pick up the bill? Brits warned of looming tax hikes as Rachel Reeves lays out 'unrealistic' spending plans TODAY

Daily Mail​

time20 minutes ago

  • Daily Mail​

Labour splashes the cash… but who's going to pick up the bill? Brits warned of looming tax hikes as Rachel Reeves lays out 'unrealistic' spending plans TODAY

Rachel Reeves will splash the cash today as fears mount that Brits will need to pick up the bill later. The Cabinet is set to sign off the spending review before the Chancellor announces the details in the Commons at lunchtime. She will allocate huge sums to departments for the coming years, after loosening the government's borrowing rules at the last Budget. But although Ms Reeves will boast that her new approach means Labour can spend a staggering £300billion more over the next five years than the Tories planned, critics have warned she does not know where the money is coming from. The generous fiscal envelope set last Autumn has been put under massive pressure by the economy slowing down and Donald Trump 's trade war. There are demands to pump far more cash into defence, while Ms Reeves has already made an humiliating U-turn on winter fuel allowance cuts and is facing a Labour revolts on other benefits curbs. That has led analysts and political rivals to argue that more tax increases are 'inevitable' - although the funding gap will not crystalise until the next fiscal package. The tax rises in the Budget last year were the biggest on record for a single fiscal event. Public sector productivity has been making almost no progress despite investment The backdrop to the decisions has been looking increasingly grim, with Labour trailing Reform in the polls. Figures yesterday showed unemployment rising, and a survey found just 12 per cent of Brits believe Ms Reeves is doing a good job. Ministers have described the spending plans – equal to an extra £8,100 for every taxpayer in Britain – as 'the end of austerity'. In her announcement later, Ms Reeves will admit voters do not feel like they have more money in their pockets as Labour prepares to mark one year in office. But she will insisting she is 'renewing Britain'. 'This Government's task – my task – and the purpose of this spending review is to change that, to ensure that renewal is felt in people's everyday lives, their jobs, their communities,' she will say. Last week, Ms Reeves refused to rule out any further tax increases. Spending will be skewed heavily towards the NHS in an attempt to cut waiting lists further. Defence is set to be another big winner after Sir Keir Starmer committed to spending 2.5 per cent of GDP by 2027. Allies of Angela Rayner were last night claiming victory in her bid to secure more cash towards meeting Labour's target of building 1.5 million new homes by the next election. The Deputy PM, who is responsible for housing policy, had a series of bust-ups with Treasury ministers and No 10 over the issue. The Treasury had proposed a modest increase in the social housing budget from £2.3 billion a year to £2.5 billion. But government sources last night said Ms Rayner had secured a £39 billion settlement over ten years. The Treasury said it was the biggest boost to social housing in a generation. But the growing cost of servicing the UK's debt mountain means other areas of spending, including the police, face a budget squeeze in future years. The Tories branded Ms Reeves the 'Spend Today, Tax Tomorrow Chancellor'. Shadow chancellor Mel Stride said: 'Labour is spending money it doesn't have, with no credible plan to pay for it. 'That means more borrowing, more debt, and, inevitably, more tax rises in the Autumn Budget. Don't be fooled. We can't afford Labour.' In recent days, the Chancellor and Prime Minister have repeatedly claimed that Labour has 'fixed the foundations' of the economy, despite rising inflation and cuts to official growth forecasts. Yesterday's stark employment figures underline the real-world impact of Labour's tax and spend approach. They revealed UK payroll numbers have shrunk by 276,000 over the past seven months. In May alone, payrolls fell by 109,000 – the worst month since the pandemic. Meanwhile the unemployment rate has climbed to 4.6 per cent, the highest in nearly four years. Experts pinned the blame on Ms Reeves's £25 billion raid on employer National Insurance, which was announced in the October Budget and took effect in April. Payroll numbers fell every month since the Budget.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store