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Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW): A Bull Case Theory
We came across a bullish thesis on Curtiss-Wright Corporation on VantagePointAI's Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on CW. Curtiss-Wright Corporation's share was trading at $484.10 as of July 17th. CW's trailing P/E was 43.07 according to Yahoo Finance. Copyright: vencavolrab78 / 123RF Stock Photo Curtiss-Wright Corporation (NYSE: CW), a century-old industrial leader born from the Wright Brothers' and Glenn Curtiss' pioneering aviation ventures, now specializes in mission-critical components powering aircraft, naval propulsion, nuclear energy, and defense electronics. With 8,200 employees and a reputation for engineering precision, CW has become a trusted supplier to governments and blue-chip customers worldwide. Financially, the company shows remarkable strength: sales and earnings have grown steadily, with a 101% earnings increase since 2020 on a 31% revenue rise, demonstrating efficiency gains. Q1 2025 results underscored execution excellence, with 13% sales growth to $806 million, a 34% jump in adjusted operating income, and a 42% EPS rise, accompanied by raised full-year guidance. Demand for CW's defense and infrastructure technologies is accelerating amid rising global military modernization and energy resilience efforts, with a record $1 billion backlog signaling enduring structural tailwinds. Curtiss-Wright's disciplined capital allocation, including over 50 consecutive years of dividend growth, underscores long-term shareholder CW is breaking through both 52-week and decade-long highs, a bullish indicator of institutional accumulation. Analysts' price targets span $309–$500, implying 42% swing potential, consistent with CW's elevated beta of 1.14, which amplifies market moves. Recent 52-week price action — from lows of $258.85 to highs of $463.38 — signals volatility that active traders can harness. Management's confident tone, rising orders, and expanding margins point to sustained momentum. CW's quiet resilience, proven execution, and mission-critical footprint make it a compelling opportunity, offering both stability and upside in an environment defined by defense spending, infrastructure investment, and geopolitical uncertainty. Previously we covered a bullish thesis on TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) by Summit Stocks in May 2025, highlighting its dominant aftermarket model, pricing power, and disciplined capital allocation driving compounding returns. The company's stock price has appreciated by about 13.52% since our coverage as its resilient high‑margin model delivered. The thesis stands, while VantagePointAI emphasizes Curtiss‑Wright's momentum and defense exposure. Curtiss-Wright Corporation is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 46 hedge fund portfolios held CW at the end of the first quarter which was 50 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of CW as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None. Error while retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data
Yahoo
5 minutes ago
- Yahoo
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC): A Bear Case Theory
We came across a bearish thesis on AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. on by sabordesoledad. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on AMC. AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.'s share was trading at $3.4400 as of July 21st. AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) continues to face structural headwinds in the movie theater business, which was in secular decline even before COVID-19, with the pandemic accelerating negative trends. Per capita attendance has been falling since the early 2000s, and while box office sales have recovered post-pandemic, gains have been driven by ticket price hikes and higher concession sales rather than audience growth. Pixabay/Public Domain Casual moviegoers, a crucial demographic, are increasingly dissuaded by shortened theatrical windows—now averaging around 32 days versus 80–90 pre-pandemic—and the ease of streaming releases. The industry is also contending with a reduced volume of film releases (675 in 2024 vs. 900+ in 2018–2019) and an increasing concentration of box office revenue among a handful of blockbusters. AMC, despite weaker fundamentals and a highly leveraged balance sheet, trades at a premium valuation: 9.9x NTM EV/EBITDA and 11.4x 2025 consensus EBITDA of $449M versus Cinemark's (CNK) 8.2x and 8.6x, respectively. With $4.1B of debt and annual cash interest expense of $400M, AMC remains reliant on equity issuance to de-lever. Revenue in 2024 was still 15% below 2019 levels despite significant price increases—tickets +23% and concessions per attendee +50%—a dynamic that erodes affordability and risks further suppressing attendance. Capex has been cut by 50% to $25k per screen, suggesting underinvestment in maintenance to conserve cash, yet free cash flow remains consistently negative. With only 2M shares left under its current authorization, AMC is expected to seek an expanded share authorization at its 3Q25 AGM, providing a clear catalyst for downside. Previously we covered a on Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) by Margin of Sanity in May 2025, which highlighted the hidden value in Netflix's content library, where amortization accounting obscures the enduring revenue potential of older titles. The company's stock price has appreciated by approximately 5.6% since our coverage as resilient viewership supported the thesis. sabordesoledad shares a contrarian view in AMC, emphasizing structural headwinds from declining attendance, shortened windows, and streaming competition. AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 17 hedge fund portfolios held AMC at the end of the first quarter which was 20 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of AMC as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None. Sign in to access your portfolio
Yahoo
5 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Avantor, Inc. (AVTR): A Bull Case Theory
We came across a bullish thesis on Avantor, Inc. on by Teton0321. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on AVTR. Avantor, Inc.'s share was trading at $12.34 as of July 21st. AVTR's trailing and forward P/E were 11.87 and 11.98, respectively according to Yahoo Finance. Avantor (AVTR) appears deeply oversold, with stock sentiment bombed out on both industry and company-specific concerns, leaving minimal downside to estimates versus material upside from fundamentals or a potential takeout. Shares have dropped 42% in recent months, despite only modest 2–6% reductions in 2025–2026 revenue and EPS estimates. Market derating has been driven by extended post-COVID destocking, muted biotech M&A, NIH funding pressures, tariffs, and a messy Q1 update compounded by leadership transition and unclear messaging. Recent developments signal improving visibility: CEO commentary has bracketed tariff impacts as immaterial, the CFO has confirmed mitigation through supply-chain moves and pricing, and key bioprocessing and tools end markets have stabilized. The Lab Solutions division, half of earnings and two-thirds of revenue, now has proven leadership under Corey Walker, whose prior tenure at Avantor and ILC Dover demonstrated a track record of market share gains. Lab Solutions enjoys durable moats, with 80–85% recurring revenues, daily customer integration, and high regulatory and switching costs, while the Bioscience Production unit, though smaller, is the company's margin and growth engine with entrenched positions in biologics, GLP-1, CGT, and mAbs. Insiders have bought shares, new golden parachutes were adopted, and prior court filings disclosed strategic interest from Ingersoll-Rand at 17x EBITDA ($25/share, a potential double). With high free cash flow, low capital intensity, and double-digit ROIC, AVTR is positioned for rerating toward a high-teens earnings multiple ($20/share) if fundamentals merely stabilize, with catalysts including steady earnings, Lab Solutions recovery, and potential M&A unlocking value. Previously, we covered a on Alcon Inc. (ALC) by Kontra Investment Xchange in December 2024, which highlighted its dominance in ophthalmology through Surgical and Vision Care segments and a promising pipeline. The stock has depreciated about 1.66% since sentiment softened, yet the thesis holds. Teton0321 shares a contrarian view, emphasizing Avantor's undervaluation, improving fundamentals, and rerating potential from strategic interest. Avantor, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 38 hedge fund portfolios held AVTR at the end of the first quarter which was 39 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of AVTR as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None.
