6 days after US struck Iran, nuke program damage is still unclear: Live updates
The smoke has cleared from the rubble but not from the controversy surrounding just how much damage was done, how soon Iran could rebuild the program or even whether it will. Also not clear is when or whether the full extent of the damage will emerge.
President Donald Trump has repeatedly said the U.S. attack obliterated the Iranian program and prompted the ceasefire. However, a U.S. official briefed on the Defense Intelligence Agency's initial assessment told USA TODAY the core components of Iran's nuclear program appeared to remain intact.
An outraged Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Thursday countered by calling the bombings a "resounding success" and accusing some media outlets of "trying to make the president look bad." Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei also chimed in, saying the bombings "failed to achieve anything significant," forcing Israel and the U.S. to abandon their attacks.
"They could not accomplish anything," he said. "They failed to achieve their goal. They exaggerate to conceal and suppress the truth."
Rafael Grossi, the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, took a middle road, saying the Iranian program suffered "enormous damage." He said three primary sites – Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan – were hit hard but that others locations were not affected at all. The nuclear program can be rebuilt, he said, but he declined to put a timeline on it.
"What I can tell you, and I think everyone agrees on this, is that there is very considerable damage," Grosso told French radio.
The Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway that lies between Oman and Iran, has remained open amid threats by Iran to shut it down after U.S. bombings.
After the June 21 U.S. strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, Iran's parliament backed a measure to shut down the strait, which could potentially result in higher fuel costs worldwide. The calls to close the Strait seem to have de-escalated in the days since a ceasefire deal was struck earlier this week.
The strait is 21 miles at its narrowest point, and the shipping lane is 2 miles wide in either direction. About 20% of the world's oil and gas flow through it.
Iran on Wednesday executed three Kurdish men accused of helping Israel's Mossad spy agency conduct assassinations inside the country. The semi-official Tasnim news agency said the three had been caught trying to 'import equipment into the country under the guise of a shipment of alcoholic beverages.'
The Oslo-based group Iran Human Rights said the three were executed at Urmia prison 'without a fair trial and based on confessions obtained under torture,' adding that Iran is conducting hangings as a form of suppression to cover up military failures in its war against Israel.
Two of the men executed were kolbars, or border mules, 'who were arrested on charges of smuggling alcoholic beverages but were forced to confess to espionage for Israel," the group said.
Tasnim reported the defendants had smuggled equipment that 'ultimately led to the assassination' of a government figure. The report did not specify whose assassination they had allegedly assisted. Israel killed numerous top Iranian military officials and nuclear scientists in the opening salvo of its 12-day war with Iran. The three were convicted of 'enmity against God' and 'corruption on earth,' Tasnim reported.
− Dan Morrison
The Senate is expected to vote on a resolution introduced by Democrat Sen. Tim Kaine of Virginia on Friday, which aims to curb Trump's use of military force in Iran.
The measure "directs the President to terminate the use of U.S. Armed Forces for hostilities against Iran unless explicitly authorized by a congressional declaration of war or a specific authorization for use of military force against Iran," its summary reads.
It's one of at least three resolutions pending in Congress. Kaine introduced it days before Trump announced the bombing of Iran's nuclear facilities, warning that U.S. engagement in a "war against Iran" would be a "catastrophic blunder for this country," Kaine said on June 17.
The U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to receive a classified briefing on the June 21 strike against Iran's nuclear facilities on Friday.
Counterparts in the Senate were briefed on Thursday, and emerged predictably split along party lines on opinions over just how much damage the facilities sustained.
Sen. Chris Murphy, D-Connecticut, said Trump was 'deliberately misleading the public' about the extent of the damage, and said that a classified Pentagon report that indicates the bombing only set back the Iranian nuclear program by months appears to be accurate.
"I just do not think the president was telling the truth when he said this program was obliterated,' Murphy said.
Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-South Carolina, disagreed, saying after the briefing he believes the strikes set back Iran's nuclear efforts by years.
'They blew these places up in a major league way, major league setback, years, not months,' Graham said.
Sen. Richard Blumenthal, a Democrat from Connecticut who's a member of the Armed Services Committee, said Iran remains a threat because it may still have the enriched uranium and centrifuges that could enable the regime to reconstitute its nuclear program.
-Zac Anderson and Tom Vanden Brook
In its military action dubbed "Operation Rising Lion," Israel targeted Iranian nuclear facilities, military leaders, nuclear experts and "disrupted all stages of nuclear production," Israeli Defense Forces spokesperson Effie Defrin said.
The operation was launched June 13 "to remove an existential threat against the state of Israel," Defrin said, adding that Israel learned that Iran was "dangerously close" to obtaining a nuclear weapon and planned to destroy Israel. Israel had no other choice, he said.
The operation targeted nuclear facilities, dozens of senior military commanders, 11 nuclear experts, knowledge hubs and research and development sites, Defrin said. Israel's military struck over 30 facilities that produce components for Iran's ballistic missile program, setting back the development of long-range missiles, he said.
More than 30 senior commanders were "eliminated," Defrin said.
The U.S. intelligence community has been consistent: It does not believe Iran has been building a nuclear weapon. U.S. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard said as much when she testified to Congress about Iran's nuclear program in March. U.S. spy agencies, Gabbard said, 'continue to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and Supreme Leader Khamenei has not authorized the nuclear weapons program he suspended in 2003."
Trump and Netanyahu dismissed that assessment. Trump has doubted U.S. intelligence agencies before − for example, over who was responsible for the murder of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi (it was Saudi Arabia). Netanyahu, meanwhile, has been talking about Iran's existential nuclear threat to Israel for as along as he's been in the public eye.
Still, U.S. intelligence agencies, Trump, Netanyahu and the United Nations' nuclear watchdog − the International Atomic Energy Agency − agree on the issue of Iran's uranium.
All believe Iran had developed a large stockpile, and at a sufficiently enriched level, to sustain a nuclear reaction that could be used in a bomb if it decided to. But how quickly Iran would have been able to "sprint to a nuclear weapon," as Gen. Michael E. Kurilla put it on June 10, is also a matter of dispute, and estimates ranged from one week to one year.
−Kim Hjelmgaard
Trump ordered the strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities − Operation Midnight Hammer − effectively joining a war that Israel started on June 13 when it began bombing Iranian nuclear and military infrastructure. Israel said it helped the U.S. coordinate and plan the strikes.
Trump said all three sites were "totally obliterated." A Pentagon assessment was less definitive, and Iran says its nuclear program will hardly skip a beat. The actual damage and the impact on Iran's program could become more clear in coming days.
The saga between Iran and the United States goes back seven decades and 13 presidents, a relationship that broke down after the people of Iran rose up in 1978 against a regime the United States helped install in 1953. While Trump's decision to bomb the country's nuclear sites has Americans on edge, the United States has a long history of punishing Iran's government, most often through sanctions.
At the center of it all is the state of Israel, the United States' key ally in the region − one that consistently finds itself at war with Iran or with the Islamic extremist groups that are proxies for Iran's interests. For some key moments in the relationship between the U.S. and Iran, read more here.
Contributing: Reuters
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Iran-Israel live updates: Fate of Iran's nuclear program still unknown
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