
US seeks clarity from allies on role in potential war over Taiwan
The Pentagon is urging Japan and Australia to clarify what role they would play if the US and China went to war over Taiwan, the Financial Times reported on Saturday. Elbridge Colby, the US under-secretary of defence for policy, has been pushing the matter during recent talks with defence officials of both countries, the report said, citing people familiar with the discussions.
According to the newspaper, the reported request caught both Tokyo and Canberra off guard, as the US itself does not offer a blank cheque guarantee to defend Taiwan.
Colby said in an X post that the department of defence is focused on implementing the president's 'America First' common sense agenda of restoring deterrence and achieving peace through strength, which 'includes by urging allies to step up their defence spending and other efforts related to our collective defence.'
The US is Taiwan's most important arms supplier, despite a lack of formal diplomatic ties.
REUTERS

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First Post
15 minutes ago
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Can Trump really prosecute Obama over the 2016 Russia probe?
US President Trump has endorsed calls by intel chief Tulsi Gabbard to prosecute Barack Obama and top officials over allegations they orchestrated a 'treasonous conspiracy' during the 2016 election. With newly declassified documents and escalating rhetoric, Gabbard claims a 'years-long coup' was orchestrated from the top read more Former US President Barack Obama and US President-elect Donald Trump speak ahead of the state funeral services for former President Jimmy Carter at the National Cathedral on January 9, 2025 in Washington, DC, US. File Image/Pool via Reuters Is there a possibility of legal action against former United States President Barack Obama and senior officials from his administration by President Donald Trump? At the centre of this growing controversy is Tulsi Gabbard, a former Democratic representative who now leads the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI). Gabbard has made extraordinary allegations involving the 2016 US election, characterising the actions of Obama-era intelligence officials as part of a coordinated attempt to undermine the legitimacy of Trump's first election win. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Gabbard's statements have gained traction within pro-Trump circles and prompted direct endorsement from the president himself. Gabbard accuses Obama of orchestrating a 'years-long coup' Gabbard has publicly accused Barack Obama and several of his top national security advisers of participating in what she described as a deliberate and illegal effort to discredit Trump after his electoral win in November 2016. According to her, the effort relied on 'manufactured intelligence' and misrepresented analysis, and was aimed at supporting the idea that Russian interference had handed Trump the presidency. Donald Trump, left, looks on as Tulsi Gabbard speaks at the National Guard Association of the United States' 146th General Conference, August 26, 2024, in Detroit, US. File Image/AP In Gabbard's words: 'The information we are releasing today clearly shows there was a treasonous conspiracy in 2016 committed by officials at the highest level of our government. Their goal was to subvert the will of the American people and enact what was essentially a years-long coup with the objective of trying to usurp the President from fulfilling the mandate bestowed upon him by the American people.' 'No matter how powerful, every person involved in this conspiracy must be investigated and prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law, to ensure nothing like this ever happens again. The American people's faith and trust in our democratic republic and therefore the future of our nation depends on it.' She claimed that the Obama administration's post-election assessment of Russian interference contradicted the intelligence community's consensus in the months before the election, which had allegedly concluded that Russia was unlikely to interfere or influence the outcome. Her office has made available a cache of documents including a partially redacted Obama-era intelligence assessment on cyber threats, and internal memos from senior officials such as then-DNI James Clapper. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Among those named by Gabbard were Clapper, former CIA Director John Brennan, former US Secretary of State John Kerry, former National Security Adviser Susan Rice, former FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe, and Obama himself. Gabbard's team also published commentary alongside these documents, alleging that leaks following a December 9, 2016, meeting of Obama's senior national security team were part of a broader disinformation campaign. The material refers to a memo titled The Russia Hoax, which claimed: 'Deep State officials in the IC [intelligence community] begin leaking blatantly false intelligence to the Washington Post … claiming that Russia used 'cyber means' to influence 'the outcome of the election.'' 'Later that evening, another leak to the Washington Post falsely alleges that the CIA 'concluded in a secret assessment that Russia intervened' in the election to help President Trump.' The same document states that on January 6, 2017, the Obama administration publicly released a declassified intelligence assessment that referenced 'further information' suggesting Russian President Vladimir Putin directed efforts to aid Trump's campaign. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD According to Gabbard, the additional information cited in the assessment turned out to include the Steele dossier, a compilation of unverified claims, some of which were later discredited. How Trump responded Trump has not only endorsed Gabbard's accusations but has taken visible steps to promote the message. Writing on his Truth Social platform, Trump praised a Fox News appearance by Harrison Fields, a Special Assistant in his administration, stating: 'Great job by young and talented Harrison Fields on Fox News. The Panel was fantastic on prosecuting Obama and the 'thugs' who have just been unequivocally exposed on highest level Election Fraud.' 'Congratulations to Tulsi Gabbard. Keep it coming!!!' In a separate post on X, Gabbard wrote: 'For months preceding the 2016 election, the Intelligence Community shared a consensus view: Russia lacked the intent and capability to hack US elections. But weeks after President Trump's historic 2016 victory defeating Hillary Clinton, everything changed.' 🧵 Americans will finally learn the truth about how in 2016, intelligence was politicized and weaponized by the most powerful people in the Obama Administration to lay the groundwork for what was essentially a years-long coup against President @realDonaldTrump, subverting the… — DNI Tulsi Gabbard (@DNIGabbard) July 18, 2025 STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Trump also posted a 45-second AI-generated video depicting Obama being arrested in the Oval Office. The video, which originally circulated on TikTok, was uploaded without commentary to Trump's Truth Social account. It began with real footage of Obama stating, 'especially the President is above the law,' followed by various prominent Democrats, including Joe Biden, repeating the phrase 'no one is above the law.' Donald J. Trump Truth Social 07.20.25 06:47 PM EST — Fan Donald J. Trump Posts From Truth Social (@TrumpDailyPosts) July 20, 2025 STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD The scene then shifts to a fabricated depiction of Trump and Obama in the White House, where FBI agents enter and arrest Obama, who later appears in a jail cell wearing an orange jumpsuit. The soundtrack: 'YMCA' by the Village People, a staple at Trump rallies. Where the facts stand Despite the volume of material released by Gabbard and the forcefulness of her claims, multiple previous investigations — both bipartisan and nonpartisan — have offered a more nuanced interpretation of Russia's actions in 2016 and the Obama administration's response. Democratic lawmakers have called Gabbard's report inaccurate and misleading. Representative Jim Himes of Connecticut, the top Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, labelled the allegations 'baseless.' Several reviews, including those by the US intelligence community and the Senate Intelligence Committee, have concluded that while Russian actors attempted to access voter registration data in states like Illinois and Arizona, there was no evidence that vote tallies were altered. Intelligence reports also consistently stated that Russia's primary effort was focused on influence operations — shaping American public opinion through disinformation, fake social media accounts, and leaked Democratic emails, rather than changing the actual results. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD A Republican-led Senate report also endorsed the assessment that Moscow's efforts were aimed at damaging Hillary Clinton and benefiting Donald Trump. Among the Republicans on that committee was Florida Senator Marco Rubio, who now serves as US Secretary of State in the Trump administration. A recent CIA review acknowledged concerns about how quickly the Obama-era assessment had been compiled, reported The New York Times. In its wake, the agency referred John Brennan to the FBI for investigation regarding how he managed the preparation of the intelligence conclusions. However, no charges have been brought. One email cited in Gabbard's documentation indicated that Obama requested a comprehensive assessment of Russian interference methods before leaving office, fearing that an incoming Trump administration might suppress or ignore the intelligence findings. US Senator Mark Warner of Virginia responded to the Gabbard report by stating: 'This is one more example of the director of national intelligence trying to cook the books. We're talking about apples and oranges. The Russians were not successful at manipulating our election infrastructure, nor did we say they were.' STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Warner also pointed out that recent intelligence assessments under Gabbard's leadership still acknowledge that Russia continues to engage in influence operations targeting the United States. A March intelligence report concluded that: 'Moscow probably believes information operations efforts to influence U.S. elections are advantageous,' and that these activities are part of a long-term strategy to undermine confidence in American democracy. The big question: Can Trump legally prosecute Obama? The question of whether Trump can direct federal prosecutors to pursue criminal cases against Obama or his former officials rests not on legal prohibition, but on political precedent. Since US President Richard Nixon resigned amid the Watergate scandal in 1974, successive administrations have generally refrained from overtly influencing prosecutorial decisions at the Department of Justice (DOJ). However, these boundaries are guided more by custom than law. Within the US system, both the Attorney General and FBI Director are appointed by the President and serve within the executive branch. Trump, in his first term, dismissed FBI Director James Comey in 2017 and again replaced Christopher Wray in his second term, putting Kash Patel at the head of the FBI. Legal experts note that if Trump installs loyalists in key roles — including US attorneys and assistant attorneys general — he could wield substantial influence over federal investigations and prosecutions. Critics warn that this may enable Trump to direct legal action against political rivals, including by reopening unsubstantiated allegations or launching new inquiries into figures like Obama, Biden, or former officials involved in the Russia investigation. While the law does not explicitly bar a sitting president from seeking investigations into a predecessor, doing so would test long-standing institutional norms designed to keep politics separate from law enforcement. Also Watch: With inputs from agencies


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First Post
4 hours ago
- First Post
Can Ishiba hold on after election loss as Japan's political crisis deepens amid US tariff threats?
Japan is in political flux after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's ruling coalition lost its upper house majority for the first time in decades. With rising inflation, internal party unrest, and looming US tariffs, Ishiba vows to stay — but opposition parties are circling, and a far-right populist wave is gaining ground. Can his government survive? read more Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba attends a press conference at the headquarters of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in Tokyo on July 21, 2025, the day after the prime minister's coalition lost its upper house majority. File Image/Pool via Reuters Japan's political leadership is facing turmoil as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's ruling coalition suffered a defeat in the recent upper house elections. With mounting pressure from opposition, growing dissatisfaction within his own party, and a looming trade standoff with the United States, Ishiba is now contending with the most turbulent phase of his premiership since taking office last October. The results from Sunday's election dealt a substantial blow to the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition partner Komeito. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Together, the two parties secured only 47 seats in the 248-member upper house — falling short of the 50-seat threshold required to retain a majority. Half the seats were contested in this round. This outcome means the coalition now lacks a majority in both chambers of the Japanese Diet, having already lost control of the more influential lower house during the October elections last year. Shigeru Ishiba, Japanese Prime Minister and president of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), places a red paper rose on the name of an elected candidate at the LDP headquarters, on the day of Upper House election, in Tokyo, Japan, July 20, 2025. File Image/Pool via Reuters The loss is historic. For the first time since the LDP's founding in 1955, a sitting prime minister from the party is governing without holding a majority in at least one chamber of parliament. This result comes on the heels of widespread voter frustration over rising consumer costs, stagnant wage growth, and the government's perceived failure to provide adequate relief. Despite the election loss, Ishiba has insisted on staying in office. Speaking to reporters, he said, 'I will stay in office and do everything in my power to chart a path toward resolving these challenges.' He also noted that he intends to engage directly with US President Donald Trump to secure a trade agreement before the impending August 1 deadline for additional tariffs. In a separate statement to NHK, Ishiba acknowledged the public sentiment behind the election outcome: 'That's right. It's a difficult situation, and we have to take it very humbly and seriously.' STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Why Ishiba lost his majority Economic concerns were at the heart of voter discontent. Over the past year, households have been squeezed by rising prices across essential commodities, including Japan's staple grain — rice. Public frustration has only increased by declining real wages and the government's inability to implement effective policies to counter inflationary pressure. The prime minister expressed awareness of these concerns. 'While I painfully feel my serious responsibility over the election results, I believe I must also fulfill my responsibility I bear for the country and the people so as not to cause politics to stall or go adrift,' he said. Ishiba's administration has so far resisted calls to reduce the consumption tax, despite growing popular demand and opposition campaigning centered on such relief. 'Polls show that most households want a cut to the consumption tax to address inflation, something that the LDP opposes,' said David Boling of Eurasia Group. 'Opposition parties seized on it and hammered that message home.' In contrast, rival parties have pledged increased social welfare spending and tax cuts. This strategy helped them win votes, especially among economically strained demographics. Adding further strain to the economic outlook is the concern surrounding Japan's public debt, already the largest in the world. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD The LDP has been advocating fiscal restraint amid a jittery government bond market, where investor confidence has been slipping. Internal dissent within the LDP While Ishiba remains publicly committed to continuing as prime minister, dissatisfaction is growing within the ranks of his own party. Several senior figures have reportedly questioned his leadership following the election outcome. Among them is former Prime Minister Taro Aso, a prominent faction leader within the LDP, who was quoted by TV Asahi as saying he 'couldn't accept' Ishiba staying on as leader. Local media reports suggest that senior LDP members met on Sunday evening to discuss the possibility of Ishiba stepping down. According to the Sankei newspaper, the meeting reflected serious concerns about the future of the party's governance under his leadership. When asked about these internal calls for his resignation, Ishiba said: 'It is natural that there are various opinions within the party.' Although the LDP remains the largest party in parliament, its inability to pass legislation unilaterally will likely require negotiation with the fragmented opposition. Analysts believe Ishiba may now have to build support for individual policies through ad hoc alliances in order to keep the government functioning. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD How Opposition is reacting The electoral results provided a boost to opposition parties. The Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ), led by Yoshihiko Noda, secured 22 seats in the upper house, bringing its total to 37. Following the vote, Noda announced that he was considering introducing a no-confidence motion against the Ishiba government, arguing that the election outcome demonstrated a lack of public trust in the current leadership. The centre-right Democratic Party for the People also increased its standing, finishing with 22 seats. However, despite the gains made by individual parties, the broader opposition remains fragmented across roughly a dozen parties, making it difficult to form a cohesive alternative to the ruling coalition. Any attempt to topple Ishiba's government through a no-confidence vote would need broad support from across these disparate groups, a scenario that currently appears unlikely. What about Sanseito While the traditional parties battled for control, the election also saw a dramatic rise in support for the far-right Sanseito party. Founded during the Covid-19 pandemic, the party grew its influence through online platforms like YouTube, often promoting conspiracy theories related to vaccines and elite global networks. Sanseito increased its representation from one seat to 15, becoming one of the most notable political stories of the election. Their 'Japanese First' slogan and strong anti-immigration rhetoric struck a chord with disillusioned voters who felt neglected by mainstream political discourse. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Party leader Sohei Kamiya, a former supermarket manager and English teacher, has previously cited European right-wing movements like Germany's Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) and the UK's Reform Party as inspiration for Sanseito's political model. Supporters of Sanseito often express concerns about immigration and cultural erosion. One voter, 25-year-old graduate student Yu Nagai, told AFP: 'I am attending graduate school but there are no Japanese around me. All of them are foreigners. When I look at the way compensation and money are spent on foreigners, I think that Japanese people are a bit disrespected.' Although foreign-born residents make up only about 3 per cent of Japan's population, a record 3.8 million foreigners now live in the country. The influx — boosted by tourism and labour shortages — has sparked increased visibility and debate around immigration policy, especially in urban centres. How Trump's tariff threats play into this The most pressing foreign policy issue facing Ishiba's government is the ongoing trade standoff with the United States. With a 25 per cent tariff on Japanese automobiles set to come into effect on August 1, the urgency to strike a mutually beneficial deal with Washington has become paramount. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Ishiba has stated that he hopes to meet with US President Donald Trump soon to resolve the matter. 'We are engaged in extremely critical tariff negotiations with the United States … we must never ruin these negotiations. It is only natural to devote our complete dedication and energy to realising our national interests,' Ishiba told TV Tokyo. The economic implications of the proposed tariffs are significant. Japan's automobile sector, which comprises roughly 8 per cent of the national workforce, has already begun to feel the strain. Exports to the US have dropped sharply, fuelling concerns of an impending recession. Japan's chief trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa has made multiple trips to Washington in recent months. His latest visit, which began Monday morning, is his eighth in the past three months. The US administration has voiced its displeasure with Japan's trade practices, particularly over what it perceives as barriers to American goods such as rice and cars. Trump has also criticised the lack of meaningful progress in negotiations, despite Japan's ongoing grain shortages. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Also Watch: With inputs from agencies